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Spx500long

Interesting last minute sell off. So we did end up gapping above and into the symmetrical triangle and testing the intermediate term trend line for majority of the day after grinding through it on a low volume/algo pump. It's almost as if everyone had to go collect their thoughts and lick their wounds after the past couple days. But after grinding higher most the day on half avg volume we had an interesting reversal in the last 15 minutes of trading that gave us a bearish engulfing on the hourly that landed smack dab on the trend line. That candle was also 2x the avg vol. Could have been everyone GTFO so they don't have to hold overnight. Also notice how we were radio silent on the trade front news wise besides Bloomberg's annonymous source this morning (5 AM EST) that said something that we already knew? (China's willing to do a watered down deal, buy ag products, shit like that. The manipulation is impressive sometimes.) And it's not like we had a shit ton of buyers today, it was just no one had any conviction on whether to buy or sell or are already positioned. Although it was a nice little short squeeze. What also kills me is we've seen this movie before - if we do end up getting a "trade truce" and "skinny deal" or a partial deal all it'd be is a replay of the G7 meeting in Japan and literally nothing gets done. But, the markets would use it as an excuse to rally and $310/$3100 here we come. I can see two different scenarios playing out overnight. Scenario 1. We stay bullish overnight barring any bearish catalysts and resume our low volume pumpage back to the $294 level until whispers about the meeting start coming to light. There is a downtrend line coming from the original break down candle (top of the symmetrical triangle) but i'm assuming people would want to go for the fat round number of $294. $2950 on ES. Scenario 2. Some institutional traders or Trump's team or whomever frontran us and that actually is a reversal candle and we gap down and head back to revisit $288 which i would not expect to hold a third time. This could also just be one big ass bear flag that just printed as well. But, at this point your guess is as good as mine. Let me know where you guys stand. Goodluck.
AMEX:SPY
by merkd1904
Schizophrenic markets win the day againToday was another incredibly challenging day to trade intraday. The market wants to be bullish SO bad and honestly i thought we were going to turn there for a minute. But this schizophrenic news flow is whipsawing everyone left and right. I'm personally wearing this one with bad entries and overreactions to news. My target of $289 on SPY and $2900 on ES were ultimately hit even if we took the long way there. I can see us retesting the trend line i drew creating a symmetrical triangle after the market reversed, only to reverse again breaking down out of it. But i do still see it as valid. Either we'll retest that trendline in ES overnight and get rejected or we'll pass through it for a gap up and retest the neckline. Positive divergences on the 15m - 1H. I honestly don't know how anyone is still bullish but there were buyers out there today. We'll see if it bleeds into tomorrow.
AMEX:SPY
by merkd1904
SPX to climb from upside confirmation, potential bounce! SPX to climb from its upside confirmation at 2951.5 where it could potentially bounce further to 3028.3. *Disclaimer.* Trading leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may result in you losing substantially more than your initial investment. Pepperstone Group Limited is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (AFSL 414530). Pepperstone Limited is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 684312). This information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
TVC:SPXLong
by Pepperstone
How to Trade the SPX in October 2019Look for the SPX to trade rangebound between 2960 and 2880 for 2 to 3 weeks, followed by a significant move either to the upside or downside. Its too early to tell which way the move will resolve, so be watching closely. My bias is towards the downside, specifically towards the trend-line at 2790, but considering the amount of liquidity the Fed has already pumped into the market, I would not be surprised to see the S&P shoot higher.
TVC:SPX
by Ludwig_Von_Mises