Spx500short
SPX: First Down Then UpIt looks like the SPX has topped out temporarily. This woudn't be too farfetched as the previous couple uptrends lasted for 34, 36, 21, 23, 40, and 33 days. Right now, we're looking at a top which has been formed after 28 days.
From the looks of it, its trying to form a falling channel. The properties of this pattern are:
- Declining parralel support and resistance lines
- Price oscilating between the support and resistance lines
- Bottom at an important support zone
- Going sideways after hitting the bottom, preferibly with a daily bullish divergence
I'm still bullish on the SPX for 2023, but for now i'm expecting a small correction.
SPX short term trend has turned negative.US500 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 4091 (stop at 4127)
Price action has posted a bearish Outside Day and is negative for short-term sentiment.
An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning.
Bespoke support is located at 3997.
Previous support, now becomes resistance at 4091.
Bespoke resistance is located at 4091.
Our profit targets will be 4001 and 3991
Resistance: 4091 / 4155 / 4174
Support: 4051 / 3996 / 3974
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
SPX to stall at trend line resistance.US500 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 4151 (stop at 4186)
Trading within a Corrective Channel formation.
Trend line resistance is located at 4154.
Bespoke resistance is located at 4151.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The medium term bias is neutral.
Our profit targets will be 4074 and 4041
Resistance: 4151 / 4154 / 4194
Support: 4074 / 4041 / 3979
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
S&P500 Trading Ideas Ahead of the Fed 0.25 Rate HikeThe S&P500 is looking bearish ahead of the much awaited Fed Interest Rate decision later today. Sellers looks to be in control in anticipation for the rise in the USDX value.
On the daily chart, MACD shows slightly overbought signs. Selling opportunities exist at the current price 4055 with tight stop loses around 4076. Should the USDX surge later today. The S&P500 may retrace to the 4025 mark, touching the trendline as indicated by the arrow.
On the flip side should the USDX break below the 101.4 - which is unlikely - the buyers will be taking control once more.
SPX SHORT 2/1/2023DOA
-Killzone Time: 8:30 AM
-Session: London/New York
-Time of Execution: 8:55 AM
-Date: 2/1/2023
-Day of Week: Wednesday Morning
Entry
-POI: CHOCH 1Min
-Risk to Reward: 1:5
-SL: 2.8 pts 28pips
-TP: 10 pts 100pips
-Position: Sell By Market
Moral
-ICT 2022 Mentorship Model
-Opening Bell Liquidity Sweep
-15min chart setup
-Liquidity Swept, MSS
Results
-Target Reached
-Price respected concept with SSLS & MSS
-100pips secured
Lesson
-GREAT JOB!!!
-Keep it up!!!
-Way to be patient
bearish head and shoulders set up w/ elliott wave countThe Ad and money flow have peaked w/ price action. I'm anticipating a bearish head and shoulders to form here, and have price action drop to my 1st buy level to test the neckline of the head and shoulders. just like last week we bounce from 3885, im expecting similar bounce from 3950, 3920 if its a scam wick
SPX is getting close to it's target boxThis was the title of the last update, which got deleted by the tradingview:
"SPX can still make a higher high next week - Jan 19th update"
I cannot attach the image but will post it another place, look for info under my bio
Since I get banned not even mentioning a site, I will post here only 1-3 times a week.
I don't want to waste my time on bringing business to this site.
SPX is near its completion move for the C wave up I have had for over than a week now.
Targets are at 4065, 4090 and 4110
We close near the first one; tomorrow is the PCE numbers report, which should move the markets.
But today, we didn't move on GDP numbers, when before, it was selling off on hot numbers.
So the real move might not come till actually the Fed meeting on the 1st.
We had a wall into the close, which is a bearish signal and usually ends up with a gap down the next day.
As long as we won't exceed Dec high, I'm looking for a move down to 3700 handle if not more.
Watch that yellow trendline, it's been a bear-bull line since 2009, and the price is still below it!
Night
Time For Bears To Feast? $SPY Heading to $385 By Feb. 10th.It seems like it's following the same pattern as the past two rallies. If you look closely, each time it rallied, the volume was declining and same is happening with the current rally as well. The first rally hit the bottom trendline in 36 days, the second rally hit the bottom trendline in 18 days (in exactly half the amount of days it took the first one to touch the trendline) and if the algos are following similar pattern we should see $385 by second week of Feb. Close above $405 invalidates this probability for me.
SPX more downside soonSPX remains bearish.
The downsloping resistance line (yellow line) is still acting as a long-term resistance
The price is breaking down from the Rising Broaderning Wedge which is a bearish pattern.
We expect the price to get rejected from the previous support which now should be acting as a resistance.
More downside coming.
Targets shown in the chart.
Good luck
sp500Thinking we've just completed wave B on the HTF monthly chart in what appears to be a Zig Zag bearish ABC that once completed will make the 5th wave blow off top into summer 2023 or longer / shorter depending on
how long it will take for Wave C to push, judging by the way Fed is reducing interest rates a pause seems likely in the next few meetings. This should be the FA event that sends the stock markets up 1 last time.
Continue...The increase in rates will begin to realize itself closer to March. FRS does everything right.
Taking into account the Fed's policy for 2023, macroeconomic factors and banking policy, 2023 can easily become the year of the red candle or the continuation of the downtrend.
Let's now go deeper into the economy and see what is happening in it now.
We all know that the credit policy of the USA and the EU for individuals. the price is very profitable. Interest rates were very low, and housing loans were even negative. All this led to individuals grow lending themselves to the ceiling of their salaries. Not the way I teach you – to calculate only from net income – namely from a salary on paper.
Due to the increase in interest rates, % on loans begin to grow and payments from individuals grow with them. All this, at a distance, will lead to the fact that many people will have to start selling their property in order to pay off their debts to banks.
S&P500 Is Likely To Go LowerThe SPX made a false breakout. A false breakout means that the price attempted to break out of a pattern, or break support/resistance. The attempt is successful for a short amount of time, before the price goes back to where it was. This usually is a reversal signal.
For now i'm staying bearish, untill the price goes sideways or manages to break the resistance of the channel.
SPX - Are you ready for this?SPX approaching a downsloping resistance.
It may fakeout above the trendline to trick traders but don't get it twisted. This bear market rally is almost done and it's a time for a major move.
Lower high after lower high is suggesting downtrend continuation.
Are you ready for a 17 % dump? If you are not ready, this is a friendly reminder that it may be a right time to close your longs and enter shorts or stay on the sideline.
It may take some time so be patient!
Good luck!
SPX SHORT idea As the current price is moving toward the Ichimoku cloud and heading to the 1st support line. As of now, we may hold our position until the price break the 1st support line. Once the price has broken the 1st support line, we are expecting the price to drop further. we may place the sell entry at 3901.28. Take profit 3764.49 and stop loss at 3952.92.
Is it the end of the bear-market rally on the S&P 500?Volatility was high during the Asian and US session yesterday, which saw a reversal of fortunes for the Japanese yen and the US dollar track Wall Street lower by the close on concerns the US is already in a recession.
The yen originally weakened and sent USD/JPY over 250 pips higher as the BOJ did absolutely nothing, catching pre-emptive hawkish bets off guard. Yes with US retail sales sinking to a 12-month low at -1.1% m/m, then industrial production and manufacturing output falling –0.7% m/m and -1.3% respectively, it seems ‘happy new year’ is a distant memory and bears are coming out of hibernation.
The Dow Jones led Wall Street lower (-1.8%) followed by the S&P 500 (-1.56%) and the Nasdaq (-1.3%). It also dragged the dollar lower as traders bet on a lower terminal Fed rate, seeing USD/JPY hand back most of its earlier gains. AUD, CAD and oil were also dragged lower as recession concerns dominated sentiment.
S&P 500 daily chart:
The S&P has stalled at an interesting juncture, and one that may prove to be a major swing high, during its worst session in 21. A large bearish ingulfing candle formed following an intraday false break of 4,000, trend resistance and the 200-day MA. Also note how the S&P has struggled previously at the 50-day MA back in August and twice in December. Volume was also above average to show conviction in the down-day, and the OBV (on balance volume) has been trending lower since November, despite the S&P’s rally since October, to show that bearish volume is dominating overall.
Have we just seen the end of a bear-market rally?
Possibly, perhaps not. But it does appear that a prominent swing high has formed
• Our bias remains bearish below 4016 with an initial target at 3800
• Bears could either enter a break of yesterday’s low, or seek to fade into rallies with yesterday’s bearish candle (this potentially increases the reward to risk ratio)
• If confident this is the end of a bear-market rally, bears could keep an open downside target and manage with a wider stop as it moves lower to managed the inevitable whipsaws along the way