S&P 500 Falls 0.7% Amid Investor Uncertainty S&P 500 Falls 0.7% Amid Investor Uncertainty
The S&P 500 OANDA:SPX500USD declined by 0.7% on a subdued Thursday as investors adjusted their portfolios amid fluctuating market sentiment. The trading session was marked by an uneasy atmosphere following the release of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting minutes, which indicated that central bankers are not in a hurry to reduce interest rates . This cautious stance from the Fed has been a key factor in supporting the recent upward trend in stocks.
Technically Side:
The price has declined and reached the breakout zone, indicating a potential return to the 5266 level. To continue the bearish trend, the price must break below 5266, confirmed by closing a 4-hour or 1-hour candle under this level. If this occurs, the next targets would be 5226 and 5193.
Conversely, if the price closes above 5282, it would suggest a bullish trend, with the potential to reach 5307 and subsequently 5320.
Pivot Line: 5282
Resistance Levels: 5305, 5325, 5350
Support Levels: 5245, 5227, 5193
Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5192 and the resistance 5320.
Spx500short
SPX - Enjoy the rally while it last!For those who have been here since 2022 early 2023 when there was so much fear in the market and we called the market had bottomed. I think it was the right call, even though we had a lot of naysayers. Now I think we are nearing the end of this rally which I estimate will be sometime in February 2024. I have two outcomes the green line below which I highly favor and believe that is the path and the grey line which is definitely possible but unlike in my opinion due to election year. Also it looks like we are following the cup and handle. I have also explained in my other ideas why I think we are like in 1990 and 2012 (base on the fear). If the grey line happens, Biden loses the election guaranteed so I am certain the fed will hold the stock market at least until after the election.
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S&P 500 FORECASTThe current bearish trend is projected to reach 5280 and 5266 if the price remains below the pivot point at 5300. However, if it breaks above 5300, confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing above this level, it could potentially target higher levels at 5311, 5328, and then 5345.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 5300
Bullish Lines: 5311, 5328, 5345
Bearish Lines: 5280, 5266, 5220
SP500 Mid term planOur friend Fibonacci is showing up a possible next move for SPX. Actually is ranging exactly on the 1.618 level of the last leg, and usually this level to a retrace till the level 1. There we could probably see a reversal that could lead the price into the resistance area at 5250, but it's probably too early for that
SP500 in the hammer zoneSP500 reached a strong reversal area where price reacted in the previous week. I was expecting a little pump in my previous ideas, and honestly i wasn't expecting it to rise so much. But i am holding my short trades and i am adding more here, consider i expect a selloff this month. First target the support zone at 4990
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" GBPUSD Market Analysis 💡📊👀
3H Time Frame Chart 📈🕒
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We're seeing a potential long opportunity in the GBPUSD market, with a current price of 1.25376. Our target is 1.27087, which is a key resistance level. A breakout above this level could lead to a significant price increase 📈💸!
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The 3H time frame chart shows a bullish trend, with a series of higher highs and higher lows. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also indicating a bullish signal, with a reading of . The Moving Averages are aligned, providing additional confirmation for a long position 💪📈.
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Buy: 1.25376 (long)
Target: 1.27087 (next resistance level)
Stop Loss: 1.24650 (bullish warning) ⚠️🚨
Note: This analysis is based on a 3H time frame chart and is subject to market changes and fluctuations. Always use proper risk management techniques and consult with a financial advisor if necessary.
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THREE BLACK CROWS appear on the S&P500In the weekly frame on the S&P500 index, there is a pattern called three black crows and it is a bearish pattern that will lead to a downward move in the upcoming weeks.
in July and August 2023, the same pattern happened and the market rebounded for two weeks then the downward move began to make the index retrace about 9%
As we can see on the chart the index stopped at the Fibonacci support level in August and last week also, so we expect the rebound will be to the 5208 points level and a new correction will begin.
S&P500(US500):🔴Is it Bearish...?!🔴(Details on caption)By examining the ES1! 4-hour chart (S&P), we can figure out that, the market structure is bearish, so we looking for a sell position.
In that case, the price had a bearish reaction to all of the bearish Pd Array, so we can expect a bearish reaction on the balance price range (BPR).
In my perspective, sell-side liquidity is a draw on liquidity. Until this sell-side is not purging I don't think about buy position.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️15/04/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
S&P Bearish after Retail Sales.. Israel/Iran conflict abroad? 🤨The S&P futures is quite weak after strong USD retail sales data. This move opposes a rational reaction to data that came out better than forecasted by a good margin. The market is pulling back and continuing the bearish momentum from the previous week. This may have to do with the conflict between Israel and Iran, this retracement back down. Oil is pushing up and Gold is pushing up late in the NY session here on Monday April 15th.. Money is being shifted to those Risk-On assets rather than stock indices such as S&P
Stocks Put A Top In This Week! Further Downside to Come!ES (US 500) Fibs, Hourly: ES is our main index that provides helps us determine trend. You will notice that this week had a change of character. The market had taken the stairs up, but is now taking the elevator down, with sharp moves coming in a few hours to the downside. Expect more of this. ES pattern at the top is more head and shoulders like. And, unlike YM, we got a FULL All the Way Half Way Back Short this week, going back to the 50% line on Friday and selling off from there. Look for a gap up on Sunday night/Monday and a sell into strength of a 2nd test at the 5272.50 level. Our Target is all the way down at the 5158.25 level, over a 100 points away.
####TRADE ALERT####
ES (US 500- S&P500)
Call: Short
Entry Type: Limit, ideally better than 5262.50 no worse than 5245
SL: 5290
TP1 / TP2: 5158.25
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SP500 Expecting a dropI think SP500 is on the way to perform a great drop. Looking on H4 timeframe we can see a clean break below main trendline and a retest of it. I think today we will see some volatility around the beginning of the NY Session. I expect a fake moves first to the upside to grab some liquity, next we should see a drop till support zone around $5130
US500 Guys, using the maximum filter for 3 days - signals were sent that everyone had arrived)
+ news seen today that everyone is long on shares)
will probably be damped soon
There has never been a total overheating of such signals.
SP:SPX TVC:SPX CBOE:SPX SPREADEX:SPX OANDA:SPX500USD AMEX:SPXL
There is also a strong downward signal this week
S&P 500 In Trouble The S&P 500 is showing signs that the uptrend is becoming fragile. As you can see there is a very clear rising wedge pattern developing on the daily chart this is a classic bearish reversal pattern and it indicates a shift in supply and demand from bullish to bearish as the buyers can no longer keep prices propped up. This pattern is not confirmed yet as it has yet to break the bottom support trendline but it still can act as a stern warning to be careful going long here.
The bearish signal in my opinion would be a break of the bottom support on large volume this would signal traders are beginning to panic and exit long positions and the selling cascade can have a big impact. Target wise If it does break down I think a retest of the previous all time high makes sense but if you want to go off the technical price target it would technically be at the bottom of the wedge at $410 which is bold...
RSI is also showing bearish divergences popping up and we are very extended away from the 200 day moving average it is no surprise to say that stocks just may be overvalued and far too extended and probably ripe for profit taking.
Also on the fundamental side of things inflation has been coming out sticker and not coming down as seen in the recent CPI and PPI reports which dampens the expectations of early rate cuts and continues to support the "Higher for longer" narrative which again is not a good thing.
Overall I am thinking this is looking extremely dangerous and based on technical and fundamental factors I would absolutely not be loading up on fresh longs especially on leverage I would tread carefully and consider thinking twice before you make a decision.
CBOE:SPX AMEX:SPY CME_MINI:ES1!