SP500- Bearish Engulfing announce correction?In yesterday's Nasdaq100 analysis I said that I expect a drop for the index and 14k is my first target. Things are not different for SP500, here also expecting the price to drop.
Also, SP500 has started the year badly, with a bearish engulfing weekly candle and, although the price structure is not so bearish like in Nasdaq's case, a drop is probable here also.
4600 is trend line support, that kept the price elevated for more than a year now, and a break here would increase chances for a drop to 4250-4300 horizontal support.
In bearish this index too and I will look to sell rallies.
A new ATH would delay this scenario.
Spx500short
S&P 500 (SPX) | Best point for sell🎯Hello traders, S&P 500 in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
In indicators, the ratio of waves to each other is either too low or too high.
In this wave, wave 1 is formed and wave 2 has modified wave 1 relatively little.
Wave 3 then forms its microwave trend in a relatively normal state on a line and is in its last microwave.
Wave 5 The last microwave, wave 3 is not complete and this wave is on Fibo 0.50 compared to its microwaves and is not in a good position compared to the waves of the main wave 3 and it is better to return from the point after completing the waves to Fibo 0.38 Do a quick move.
Also, waves 3 and 4 of wave 5 of wave 3 form a harmonious pattern, and if this pattern is correct and we break the red circle and the downward trend line, we will have a heavy downward trend.
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S&P 500 (SPX) | Best point for sell🎯Hello traders, S&P 500 in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
In the indicators, because the movements of the waves are always upward and its corrections are very short compared to the forward movement that is done, no relation between the waves can be detected.
Therefore, we consider the beginning of new waves after the biggest correction in terms of time.
After the largest correction, we counted an almost normal wave 1 and a not-so-excellent wave 2, and considered the rest of the waves to be related to wave 3, and it was only in this scenario that we were able to make a connection between the waves.
Wave 3 is probably made up of 1, 2, 3, and 4 microwaves, and now we are inside wave 5.
In the previous analysis, we said that if the end of the previous wave is broken, the motion will be different and so on.
From wave 5, this ascent is related to microwave 5, which according to Fibo must end before 4900 and start the correction by breaking the black trend line.
If the price moves more than the specified targets, this count should be doubted.
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SPX looking weakAlthough the S&P 500 has been pushing hard for the last year, I think the omicron shakeout has brought a new short term correction.
I have laid out the wave count in the chart. This was the 5 wave cycles of the intermediate wave 5 of the primary wave 3 (not highlighted here). This is also been confirmed by the EW channel drawn in the chart. I expect S&P to finish this correction when it hits 4330. However before dip further there will be a relief bounce which will create a lower high at around 4700. Then after hitting the resistance we will have wave C which will bring extreme fear in the market to terminate at 4300. There the sentiment will be rock bottom, However, it will hide great opportunity for the grab pushing the S&P to new highs in q1 and 2 of 2022.
I drew two different scenarios for this.
Why do I care about S&P? Because it directly affects the crypto market.
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13 year BULL MARKET IS ENDING This chart has bean the pattern I have been working with ever since feb 2018 top In wave structure and spirals in time We should start the BEAR MARKET AND SEE MIN TWO MAJOR DOWN LEGS with a low finally near 3200 the first low should be seen inthe MONTH OF MAY and a LOWER LOW OCT 10/22 2022 NEAR 3200 .THE FIRST LOW IN MAY 3800 . THIS IS MY FORECAST FOR 2022 BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER
S&P 500 (SPX) | Best point for sale🎯Hello traders, S&P 500 in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
In the wave count of this index, we are in wave 5 or one of the microwaves of wave 3, and we examined this wave or microwave.
This wave completes its main waves 1, 2 and 3 and is now inside wave 4.
We considered the possibility of the formation of wave 4 from this region according to the Fibonacci range of wave 3 relative to wave 1.
This wave 4 will be deeper than wave 2 and will be medium in time.
The probability of correction to Fibo 0.618 is very high.
In general, to confirm wave 4, we prioritize breaking the trend line.
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SPX S&P500 Black Friday Discount ?This chart looks like a giant rising wedge pattern.
This pattern shows up in charts when the price moves upward with pivot highs and lows converging toward a single point known as the apex, suggesting a reversal pattern frequently seen in bear markets.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SPX to 5000, then big correctionFollowing weekly chart.
There was a big cup & handle formation that takes 16 years. After breakout in the beginning of 2017, target was 3350 and.
After hitting the target, covid broke out!
Actually it was a big corection of this 4 years trend.
Then, a new cup & handle formation formed and it broke the resistance at January 2021.
Target is 5000 and we're really close to this target. After that, my plan is to short till red line.
But important part is there is still a GAP in 2574 and what if we hit there?
S&P 500 – crash is incomingHello, everyone!
The largest risk is incoming for all markets – traditional, crypto and other. The euphoria on SPX is going to the end. I analyzed the weekly timeframe and found the strongest price reversal signal. We can see that the divergence with the MACD histogram began to form for a long time, but now the MACD almost flashed the signal to reverse: the divergence appeared even on MACD line. In this case we should wait for the first decreasing bar of the histogram and short the market. It can appears already on the next week. Be very careful!
Moreover the price is approaching the yearly R2 pivot. This is another evidence of the potential reverse!
DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
SPX500 Short SetupS&P500 Short Setup
🔵 Entry Level: $4577.3
🟢 Take Profit: $4532.0 (1.31R)
⛔ Stop Loss: $4612.0
Reasoning:
1) We formed a double top and while the Risk-Reward-Ratio is not very favorable (just 1.3) the setup does provide for quick scalping.
2) With that being said, considering the spread on the platform you are trading (or commission) and the weekend fees (if the target doesn't get hit which is very likely) this trade wouldn't make too much sense, but I decided to share my thoughts just in case.
US500/SPX: Correction NeededWhat a year for SPX, this was by far the most incredible bull run I have witnessed.
The bull run can continue however I would like to see a correction in the price for discounts to buy.
Now that the majority of sellers have been taken out of the market, it could be time to start seeing those retracements in price as illustrated.
What is your view? Don't forget to leave a like and a comment.
THE GREAT CRASH IS COMING! This Fractal Pattern Tells Us Why!Hello friends! It's been a while. Many apologies for that. Life has been busy so I haven't been able to dedicate much time to T.A on TradingView.
I have recently pulled out of Crypto, just waiting to see if Bitcoin decides to break-through or crash. Patience is key here - keep cash handy. You want to be sure of your investments (easier said than done in these very strange financial times).
I have been researching the U.S Economy lately. How is it that in that there is no correlation between the workforce economy and the stock market?
The U.S have recently averted default (when you're unable to make a repayment) by once again - lifting the debt ceiling to 28.9 trillion US dollars (yes, that is correct). This situation, better known as Cockroach Motel is a game that has never been played to this extent before. Keep avoiding a recession by printing your way out of it. Negative consequences? Yes. Many.
Here is a dump of my notes and why the US isn't in as good as a position as you may believe:
✓ Uncontrollable Inflation due to the U.S's printed economy.
✓ Debt highly leveraged across all trading firms.
✓ Feds left with no further tools due to 0% interest rates.
✓ Commercial property vacancies increasing.
✓ Energy shortage crisis in Europe and China.
✓ Rising expenses, declining incomes.
✓ Gas and oil prices at an all time high in Europe.
✓ Commodity prices at highs not seen since 2011.
✓ Irresponsible government spending and federal policies. (Yes, the Biden Administrations 'Build Back Better' agenda is a little too pricey for their current situation)
✓ Evergrande and Fantasia Holdings on the brink of bankruptcy in China.
✓ 2008 GFC was the housing bubble crash. Every asset is currently in a bubble. We are in a debt crisis.
✓ 40% of the money in the US economy has been printed in the last 12 months - now more. Feds have printed their way out of the 2008 and 2020 COVID-19 recession and made the debt bubble larger.
✓ Effective Federal Funds Rate is down to 0.8% - cheap money.
✓ Post 2008 recovery is an ongoing untried experience.
✓ Market is currently parabolic, as seen in 1929 crash which results in 90% drop.
✓ Wealth gap is increasing due to printed money. Asset prices increase as yearly salary stagnates/decreases due to inflation. This makes the rich richer and the middle class and poor poorer.
✓ No correlation between the economy and the stock market. Money is staying in the investor market.
✓ Velocity of money is plummeting. People are not spending. The Chinese economy is growing while we are stuck with a massive debt.
✓ Saving going up and spending going down. Debt/GDB ratio is extremely high.
✓ Huge underemployment.
✓ Massive social unrest. Fed and treasury haven't invested in the working class.
✓ Superannuation is going to crash which will force many to convert their portfolio to liquid money.
✓ Armed the Taliban in Afghanistan. Weapons will be used against our only ally, Israel.
✓ Yallan and Powell work for the Fed and treasury which is essentially a communist organisation.
✓ Bullish Gold, Silver and BTC
✓ Michael Burry and Robert Kyosaki predicts crash of 90% and American financial system collapse
✓ The US Government is inviting inflation with its MMT tinged policies, brisk debt/GDP ratio, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery. Trillions more stimulus and reopening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket
✓ Consumer price index reaching all time highs.
✓ Biggest speculative market of all time - Robinhood generation
✓ Real-estate is currently experiencing hyperinflation.
Back to the Chart:
I found a fractal pattern from the 2008 GFC which is quite similar to this crash. I wouldn't compare it to the Dot Com bubble as that was far more speculative. This crash is similar due to greed - the belief that the economy will never crash and just continue in the upwards direction despite increasing debt at levels never seen before.
Enjoy this fractal and better yet, enjoy the rest of your day.
Love, peace, Seb.
SPX S&P500 double top?After calling the dip of SP500 here:
Now SPX just hit a strong all time high resistance that can turn into a double top from which we can expect a pullback to 4430usd.
Let`s not forget also that one of the FAANGs just lost 42.5Bil in post market because of a rival platform, TRUTH social, owned by former president Donald Trump.
And who knows how much they will lose tomorrow!
I`m looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SPX500 Short SetupSPX500 Short Setup
🔵 Entry Level: $4486.0
🟢 Take Profit: $4426.9 (1.28R)
⛔ Stop Loss: $4532.1
Reasons:
- Reaching resistance level at $4485
- Expecting either divergence or highly overbought level on the PVS Indicator by the time price reaches that level.
Game plan: If the price flips this resistance into support (tests it), I may close the trade prematurely and open a long trade until the next resistance level is reached at $4548