UVXY. P-Modeling Pt E. Binary Transmutation of DecayWelcome Hyperspace Travelers,
This is my first public UVXY Macro Time-Series Analysis in a very long time.
This ETF is going to change lives. Of course though, you are going to doubt every word spoken below. Because who would believe such nonsense?! I hear you mate. I here you. :) But let's talk and walk into the unknown for a moment.
VIX is a First Order Derivative (FOD)
UVXY is a Second Order Derivative (SOD).
Pegged Derivatives MUST have a Function (^)
Every (FOD) and (SOD) must be pegged to a 'mother analog'. In this case that would be the { S&P 500 Index }.
The (FOD) and (SOD) are (^)'s of Volatility within the S&P 500 Index.
UVXY being a derivative of a derivative means these step cycles are intricately woven in the data pool using simple Standard Deviation topography that are noise free.
Decay is step-cycled compression based on 30-day rolling contract averages of the First Order Derivative (FOD) - VIX
The Kinetic Energy is stored over longer Time-Frames from (FOD) step-cycled decay in the Second Order Derivative (SOD) - UVXY.
Unraveling Compressed Decay is straightforward based upon the Order of Derivative (OOD).
These are IF .. THEN statements.
IF...2:1 VIX unravel = THEN... $270.00
IF... 8:1 SPX unravel = THEN... $800.00
Furthermore,
The (SOD) is a primary function of the S&P 500 Index. That function is Volatility to the Second Order.
In order for UVXY to hit $270 or $800 we have to have comparable targets for the S&P Index.
You can find the SPX Time-Series here--->
Micro_45 Minute Time-Series Snapshot. Fractal Error Time 7 Days:
SPX strike: $1080.00 could = 2:1 VIX unravel and/or 8:1 UVXY unravel
UVXY strike: $215.
UVXY strike: $270.
UVXY strike: $360.
UVXY strike: $500.
UVXY strike: $800.
4 STD strike potential: $1200.00
________________________
UVXY-->>
Cycle of 390 days, Event Trigger 30 days.
IF.. we followed the same cycle pattern.. THEN.. we should see events take place that trigger waves of volatility in FOD and SOD against mother analog SPX.
Time-Series Snapshot of Cycle Breakdown with compression mechanic.
SPX-->>
Wavefunction Compare between 2000-2008 and 2021.
Euclidean 80 year top boundary backtest.
-75% to SPX Index in 2021.
One of the Catalysts:
2nd Global Shutdown due to Covid-19.
Understand the view brought forth is mine and mine alone. It is the work of creativity and thinking outside the box. You are correct not to trust a word I say. But what if?...
This proposition is very experimental in every sense of the word. Understand that. With that understood, the risk is extraordinary, but so is the reward.
High Risk = High Reward.
Only the crazy change the world. And baby, I am a whole lotta crazy.
The fractals provided that path the sequence shown for UVXY is a rough estimate. I do not expect exact actualization of fractals but merely something similar. There are a variety of possibilities of course.
99% of you doubt. Please doubt. But also be open minded to metrics unseen by the classical viewpoint.
The error of fractal placement is 7 days.
Maybe I am wrong...
Maybe I am right...
Either way..
Good Luck!
That is the fun thing about binary decoding.
The cat is alive and dead at the same time.
Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution
Welcome to the Cybernetic Era of Advancement
Welcome to the Depths of Hyperspace
Welcome to the Roaring 20's,
Thanks for Pondering the Unknown with Me,
Glitch420
Spx500short
S&P 5001. Stocks are historically expensive
The stock market could crash because equity valuations are historically very pricey. As of Dec. 29, the Shiller price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 -- a P/E ratio based on average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years -- hit nearly 34. That's more than double its mean and median over the past 150 years, and it's the second-highest reading next to the dot-com boom in the late 1990s and early 2000s. Historically, when the Shiller P/E ratio gets above 30, bad things happen (i.e., the market crashes).
2. Emotions get the better of investors
Never underestimate the power of short-term traders overreacting to a news event. Over the long run, operating earnings growth is what drives the stock market higher. But in the short run, investor emotions tend to whipsaw day-to-day market activity. As we saw in March, it doesn't take much to completely upend investor confidence and send emotional investors into a panic. It's possible this happens again in 2021.
SPX 4134.95 - 0.68 % SHORT IDEA * PRICE ACTION & STRUCTURE HELLO EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE IN THE MARKET THIS WEEK, HERE'S A LOOK AT THE S&P 500 .
* follow your entry rules on entries
* significant moves with the bears change the plan.
lets see how it goes.
many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules.
HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE & LET YOUR WINS RUN...
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES
RISK-MANAGEMENT
PERIOD - SWING TRADE
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
If this idea helps with your trading plan kindly leave a like definitely appreciate it.
Look At This! Please.An extremely rare pattern for an extremely rare time in the U.S.
Ending Expanding Diagonal patterns are not seen very often.
Not a natural looking pattern because the wild price swings aren't natural.
You know what else isn't natural?
The M1 money supply increase from 4 trillion to OVER 18 TRILLION in 2020. They increase the money supply by over 400%!!
Why do you think Bitcoin and blockchain is getting so much support?
Because people are realizing this ship is SINKING!!!
Why do you think decentralized finance is manifesting? You think that's random? No!! Things are created when someone see's a need and the world reaffirms the value in it through their belief and investment.
A break back below 3,800 would be a major sell signal for me and a break below 3,200 indicates the end of the bull market.
Not financial advice. Just what I'm seeing and what makes sense to me based on the data, wave counts, and price action.
I appreciate feedback on my wave counts though, so feel free to comment that I'm an idjit if you want.
SPX500 SELLThe following trade was taken earlier this morning for a sell position on the 15mim TF.
I trapped price in a mini area of consolidation (highlighted box) & anticipated for a break and close of the candle outside of the box. I also drew a mini trend line to see if it breaks the structure, which it did! This also allows for a tighter stop loss with a higher R:R
2021 is like 73s2021 is like 73s. let's see how this play. if it went well, buy dips at bottom if you can.
1. The four most expensive words in investing are: 'This time it's different. '” So said Sir John Templeton, the legendary investor and mutual fund pioneer. The phrase contains tremendous wisdom, but only if you truly understand what it means. ... “This time it's different” has become a ubiquitous phrase...
2. we will see increasing inflation & Covid case worldwide rising this year. they printed many trillions for check stimulus also fourth stimulus check again? also seems coronavirus won't go anywhere. you can see that Covid cases is still rising on worldometers site. Imagine 1-10 million cases daily? it's not great for economy & stock market. seems vaccine is still processing but not completely at all.
3. some investors will say " dollar is in bubble but stock market won't go down" they say same thing in 73s. that's not how this works. dollar inflation makes stock market volatility & shock..
4. The Buffett Indicator at All-Time Highs Is This Cause for Concern?. it shows 223% radio of market value GDP, 79% higher than long term trend line not internet bubble.
seems too higher.
5. 2021. many poor & middle bought stocks & meme from check stimulus while rich people buying at same time. this doesn't age well. "BUY, BUY, BUY" poor getting rich, rich getting richer? nah.
that's not how this works. 2008 & 2020 was different because market was bottom but 2021 Is top not bottom. that's why. Illuminati stays. in 2030, we will see 0.1% top getting richer ever while poor & middle bottom.
my prediction could be wrong or right.
Thank you. Sorry For My Bad English. Enjoy.
You know(!!) you are in a bubble ...... When:
The funding a 36-year stream of expected inflation-adjusted spending requires over 38 years of money up-front;
Every single decile of S&P 500 components is at record valuation extremes; www.hussmanfunds.com
The amount of leverage in the system (U.S. equity markets) is now easily the highest in history, by any measure, not just in absolute terms! (relative to GDP, etc. Margin Debt/GDP = Margin Debt/Market Cap x Market Cap/GDP Showing insane over-valuation across the board!);
In a world where speculators now value the stock of bitcoin at one-fifth the value of the entire U.S. monetary base;
The current SPAC mania is identical to the South Sea Bubble in as much as: "Let them see not what they do!";
In an economy with $11 trillion in corporate debt at $58 trillion in equity market capitalization;
When U.S. Market Capitalization exceeds 263% of U.S. GDP (the norm, not the low, being 78%);
Anyway, this is likely a Double Top here.
SPX 3974.13 + 0.29% SHORT IDEA * REVERSAL PATTERNS & PRICE Hello everyone
Hope you guys are good, here's a swing idea on the SPX 500 looking at it from the 4H chart.
* follow your entry rules on entries
* significant moves with the bears change the plan.
lets see how it goes.
AS ALWAYS PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT AND A LOT OF PATIENCE & AGAIN many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules.
HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE & LET YOUR WINS RUN...
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES
RISK-MANAGEMENT
PERIOD - SWING TRADE
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
If this idea helps with your trading plan kindly leave a like definitely appreciate it.
SPX - S&P 500 - BEAR OVERALL TREND /\ An Interesting TrAde Here - The Economic Crisis Remains To Be Seen - 1929 Crash PT 2 SPX
- Economic Instability
- Corruption
-Potential World Wide Revolution
- Locked Down
- Death Vaccine
- No Thanks 2021
- Hello Observers
- Remember /\ bull trap & \/ MASS BEARISH
USD
XAU
BEAR - EVERYTHING
BTC
COINBASE:BTCUSD
TVC:SPX
SPCFD:SPX FOREXCOM:SPXUSD OANDA:SPX500USD AMEX:SPXL AMEX:SPXZ AMEX:SPXV AMEX:SPXB AMEX:SPXE AMEX:SPXE AMEX:SPXN TASE:IS.FF702 USI:PVSPX OANDA:SPX500USD NASDAQ:MSFT BITFINEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCPERP
SPX 3943 + 0.1 % SHORT IDEA * REVERSAL PETTERNS & PRICE ACTIONHey everyone
Hope everyone had a good weekend, new week new opportunities. Here's a look at the S&P 500 from the 4H chart.
* The index has been trading in an ascending channel, looking for reversal pattens to capitalize on a move with the bears.
* We are trading at the formation of a doule top so should this pattern hold looking for a move with the bears.
* entries on lower time frames for marging and less risk.
* follow your entry rules on entries
* significant moves with the bulls change the plan.
lets see how it goes.
AS ALWAYS PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT AND A LOT OF PATIENCE & AGAIN many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules.
HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE & LET YOUR WINS RUN...
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES
RISK-MANAGEMENT
PERIOD - SWING TRADE
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
If this idea helps with your trading plan kindly leave a like definitely appreciate it.
S&P Further thoughts(a) is the 50MA, it can be seen to be curling upwards
and the comparison point (a) shows this ends in a bearish outcome
(b) is a similar points on TSI where I expect a reoccurrence of the pattern in oval to occur, likely acting bearishly.
As i have said before, assess the situation based on impact
2008 banking crisis the market collapsed
2020 COVID? Upward movement seems unjustified.
Here is a chart that further explains that philosophy.
I know the charts are kinda similar but I wanted to restate this for those unaware..