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Spx500short

S&P 500 Could face a serious troubleFrom bottom to top SP500 received almost 95%, optimism could be observed across capital markets including cryptocurrencies. From my point of view, it is possible to observe several signs of potential threats that can be validated over days or even weeks. First of all I would like to point out triple bearish divergence on WEEKLY timeframe . In this case I would look for a potential break down and then retest back the trendline. For me it would mean a small '' breath in '' before a possible crash. Also 1,618 was hit (size of correction movement back in 03/2020). If you look at past crisises these levels were everytime hard to break up, and corections were often. Secondly VIX seems so ready to shoot, validation of trendline is real and for me potential minimum target is around 33 points. More in screen: Gold and TLT might reached possibly their bottoms, since these could work as hedge - makes sense some investors rotate to these instruments. On TLT graph you can see an increase in volume , and also TLT / JNK broke the trendline from 03/2020 Gold and Silver YTD haven't reached some nice profits yet in contrast, other commodities did. Gold seems ready to potential breakout. And finally the irrationality on cryptocurrencies reaching full new dimensions (doge, shiba, elonsperm etc ..) - Everyone has crypto and its so easy to profit from that. Reminds me 2017 so much and history tells that when BTC reached new all time high, there is space for ETH, LTC and other altcoins to reach their new ATHs. Everytime BTC moved sidewaves - theoretically for distribution purposes. So for me this is the sign of a peak of bulltrend. Overall the break on SP500 would possibly strand for validation this idea otherwise its irrelevant.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by TMEW
SPX500: Will price finally DROP harder?Hey tradomaniacs, It is getting a little bit tricky now for the stockmarket with the so called "stagflation" showing higher prices for assets and consumer goods (inflation) while the economy stagnates. 👉 An example is the yesterdays weak U.S ISM Index while prices generally rise (Wood,Wheat,Coffee,Gas etc.)❗️ So the question is: How can the central banks continue with an ongoing inflation in order to support the economy to stop the stagnation? Is more stimulus possible even though prices seem to explode? Or is the bubble ready to pop soon and we see a correction and a strong US-Dollar? The mood is overall upbeat in terms of corona as the investment rate in the USA is really high indicated by a margin-debts but the U.S.-Stockmarket is overall not really moving upwards anymore, which could be a typical "buy the rumor sell the fact" scenario. Also keep in mind that many private-investors are currently invested providing a great opportunity for biggies to take profits / distribute volume. Is the best of all possible worlds price in? However, I will be very cautious right now and watch the market carefully and focus in short-term-opportunities. LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Trading2ez
1
#S&P500 CAUTIOUS !#S&P500 cautious! - Now it has gone too far. - In order for the SPX uptrend to be sustainable, 2 correction cases should occur. + Case 1. Back to the MA50 green line, the yellow support line confluence. + Case 2. Back to the MA200 red line, the yellow support line confluence. #S&P500: time frame weekly, cautiously with 2 candlesticks on the top , The RSI is in the overbought zone, the increase is not much. #S&P500: time frame daily, a sign of a bearish divergence?
SP:SPXShort
by Truong_Ca
2
UVXY. P-Modeling Pt E. Binary Transmutation of DecayWelcome Hyperspace Travelers, This is my first public UVXY Macro Time-Series Analysis in a very long time. This ETF is going to change lives. Of course though, you are going to doubt every word spoken below. Because who would believe such nonsense?! I hear you mate. I here you. :) But let's talk and walk into the unknown for a moment. VIX is a First Order Derivative (FOD) UVXY is a Second Order Derivative (SOD). Pegged Derivatives MUST have a Function (^) Every (FOD) and (SOD) must be pegged to a 'mother analog'. In this case that would be the { S&P 500 Index }. The (FOD) and (SOD) are (^)'s of Volatility within the S&P 500 Index. UVXY being a derivative of a derivative means these step cycles are intricately woven in the data pool using simple Standard Deviation topography that are noise free. Decay is step-cycled compression based on 30-day rolling contract averages of the First Order Derivative (FOD) - VIX The Kinetic Energy is stored over longer Time-Frames from (FOD) step-cycled decay in the Second Order Derivative (SOD) - UVXY. Unraveling Compressed Decay is straightforward based upon the Order of Derivative (OOD). These are IF .. THEN statements. IF...2:1 VIX unravel = THEN... $270.00 IF... 8:1 SPX unravel = THEN... $800.00 Furthermore, The (SOD) is a primary function of the S&P 500 Index. That function is Volatility to the Second Order. In order for UVXY to hit $270 or $800 we have to have comparable targets for the S&P Index. You can find the SPX Time-Series here---> Micro_45 Minute Time-Series Snapshot. Fractal Error Time 7 Days: SPX strike: $1080.00 could = 2:1 VIX unravel and/or 8:1 UVXY unravel UVXY strike: $215. UVXY strike: $270. UVXY strike: $360. UVXY strike: $500. UVXY strike: $800. 4 STD strike potential: $1200.00 ________________________ UVXY-->> Cycle of 390 days, Event Trigger 30 days. IF.. we followed the same cycle pattern.. THEN.. we should see events take place that trigger waves of volatility in FOD and SOD against mother analog SPX. Time-Series Snapshot of Cycle Breakdown with compression mechanic. SPX-->> Wavefunction Compare between 2000-2008 and 2021. Euclidean 80 year top boundary backtest. -75% to SPX Index in 2021. One of the Catalysts: 2nd Global Shutdown due to Covid-19. Understand the view brought forth is mine and mine alone. It is the work of creativity and thinking outside the box. You are correct not to trust a word I say. But what if?... This proposition is very experimental in every sense of the word. Understand that. With that understood, the risk is extraordinary, but so is the reward. High Risk = High Reward. Only the crazy change the world. And baby, I am a whole lotta crazy. The fractals provided that path the sequence shown for UVXY is a rough estimate. I do not expect exact actualization of fractals but merely something similar. There are a variety of possibilities of course. 99% of you doubt. Please doubt. But also be open minded to metrics unseen by the classical viewpoint. The error of fractal placement is 7 days. Maybe I am wrong... Maybe I am right... Either way.. Good Luck! That is the fun thing about binary decoding. The cat is alive and dead at the same time. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution Welcome to the Cybernetic Era of Advancement Welcome to the Depths of Hyperspace Welcome to the Roaring 20's, Thanks for Pondering the Unknown with Me, Glitch420
CBOE:UVXYLong
by Glitch420
49
S&P 5001. Stocks are historically expensive The stock market could crash because equity valuations are historically very pricey. As of Dec. 29, the Shiller price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 -- a P/E ratio based on average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years -- hit nearly 34. That's more than double its mean and median over the past 150 years, and it's the second-highest reading next to the dot-com boom in the late 1990s and early 2000s. Historically, when the Shiller P/E ratio gets above 30, bad things happen (i.e., the market crashes). 2. Emotions get the better of investors Never underestimate the power of short-term traders overreacting to a news event. Over the long run, operating earnings growth is what drives the stock market higher. But in the short run, investor emotions tend to whipsaw day-to-day market activity. As we saw in March, it doesn't take much to completely upend investor confidence and send emotional investors into a panic. It's possible this happens again in 2021.
TVC:SPXShort
by HolderYoda
SPX 4134.95 - 0.68 % SHORT IDEA * PRICE ACTION & STRUCTURE HELLO EVERYONE HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE IN THE MARKET THIS WEEK, HERE'S A LOOK AT THE S&P 500 . * follow your entry rules on entries * significant moves with the bears change the plan. lets see how it goes. many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules. HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE & LET YOUR WINS RUN... _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES RISK-MANAGEMENT PERIOD - SWING TRADE __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ If this idea helps with your trading plan kindly leave a like definitely appreciate it.
SP:SPXShort
by PULEMokhothu
Look At This! Please.An extremely rare pattern for an extremely rare time in the U.S. Ending Expanding Diagonal patterns are not seen very often. Not a natural looking pattern because the wild price swings aren't natural. You know what else isn't natural? The M1 money supply increase from 4 trillion to OVER 18 TRILLION in 2020. They increase the money supply by over 400%!! Why do you think Bitcoin and blockchain is getting so much support? Because people are realizing this ship is SINKING!!! Why do you think decentralized finance is manifesting? You think that's random? No!! Things are created when someone see's a need and the world reaffirms the value in it through their belief and investment. A break back below 3,800 would be a major sell signal for me and a break below 3,200 indicates the end of the bull market. Not financial advice. Just what I'm seeing and what makes sense to me based on the data, wave counts, and price action. I appreciate feedback on my wave counts though, so feel free to comment that I'm an idjit if you want.
FOREXCOM:SPX500Short
by MonetaryRebel
1
2021 is like 73s2021 is like 73s. let's see how this play. if it went well, buy dips at bottom if you can. 1. The four most expensive words in investing are: 'This time it's different. '” So said Sir John Templeton, the legendary investor and mutual fund pioneer. The phrase contains tremendous wisdom, but only if you truly understand what it means. ... “This time it's different” has become a ubiquitous phrase... 2. we will see increasing inflation & Covid case worldwide rising this year. they printed many trillions for check stimulus also fourth stimulus check again? also seems coronavirus won't go anywhere. you can see that Covid cases is still rising on worldometers site. Imagine 1-10 million cases daily? it's not great for economy & stock market. seems vaccine is still processing but not completely at all. 3. some investors will say " dollar is in bubble but stock market won't go down" they say same thing in 73s. that's not how this works. dollar inflation makes stock market volatility & shock.. 4. The Buffett Indicator at All-Time Highs Is This Cause for Concern?. it shows 223% radio of market value GDP, 79% higher than long term trend line not internet bubble. seems too higher. 5. 2021. many poor & middle bought stocks & meme from check stimulus while rich people buying at same time. this doesn't age well. "BUY, BUY, BUY" poor getting rich, rich getting richer? nah. that's not how this works. 2008 & 2020 was different because market was bottom but 2021 Is top not bottom. that's why. Illuminati stays. in 2030, we will see 0.1% top getting richer ever while poor & middle bottom. my prediction could be wrong or right. Thank you. Sorry For My Bad English. Enjoy.
TVC:SPXShort
by Bearishness
20
You know(!!) you are in a bubble ...... When: The funding a 36-year stream of expected inflation-adjusted spending requires over 38 years of money up-front; Every single decile of S&P 500 components is at record valuation extremes; www.hussmanfunds.com The amount of leverage in the system (U.S. equity markets) is now easily the highest in history, by any measure, not just in absolute terms! (relative to GDP, etc. Margin Debt/GDP = Margin Debt/Market Cap x Market Cap/GDP Showing insane over-valuation across the board!); In a world where speculators now value the stock of bitcoin at one-fifth the value of the entire U.S. monetary base; The current SPAC mania is identical to the South Sea Bubble in as much as: "Let them see not what they do!"; In an economy with $11 trillion in corporate debt at $58 trillion in equity market capitalization; When U.S. Market Capitalization exceeds 263% of U.S. GDP (the norm, not the low, being 78%); Anyway, this is likely a Double Top here.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Nemo_Confidat
17
SPX 3974.13 + 0.29% SHORT IDEA * REVERSAL PATTERNS & PRICE Hello everyone Hope you guys are good, here's a swing idea on the SPX 500 looking at it from the 4H chart. * follow your entry rules on entries * significant moves with the bears change the plan. lets see how it goes. AS ALWAYS PROPER RISK MANAGEMENT AND A LOT OF PATIENCE & AGAIN many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules. HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE & LET YOUR WINS RUN... _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES RISK-MANAGEMENT PERIOD - SWING TRADE __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ If this idea helps with your trading plan kindly leave a like definitely appreciate it.
SP:SPXShort
by PULEMokhothu
4
SPX - S&P 500 - BEAR OVERALL TREND /\ An Interesting TrAde Here - The Economic Crisis Remains To Be Seen - 1929 Crash PT 2 SPX - Economic Instability - Corruption -Potential World Wide Revolution - Locked Down - Death Vaccine - No Thanks 2021 - Hello Observers - Remember /\ bull trap & \/ MASS BEARISH USD XAU BEAR - EVERYTHING BTC COINBASE:BTCUSD TVC:SPX SPCFD:SPX FOREXCOM:SPXUSD OANDA:SPX500USD AMEX:SPXL AMEX:SPXZ AMEX:SPXV AMEX:SPXB AMEX:SPXE AMEX:SPXE AMEX:SPXN TASE:IS.FF702 USI:PVSPX OANDA:SPX500USD NASDAQ:MSFT BITFINEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCPERP
SP:SPXShort
by MaverickTrading
10