US SPX 500
S&P Scenario 2.1.2025In this market, in order to consider some long setups, we need to hold the 6060 level or something around it, and since we didn't hold this support, we had a way to go short after the breakout. Now I see a scenario like this: the market should come for the sfp below the low as shown, or it will start to rise directly into the long, but as long as we are below the 6060 level, I'm considering a long setup. I would take that if the sfp below the low was met.
SPX500USD: Intraday DowntrendMarket Overview
The SPX500USD index is currently trading within a moderate downtrend with a Trend Score of -40, as identified by BreadWinners INDI v2. The price is hovering near the Point of Control (POC) at 5,889, showing significant selling pressure. Short-term indicators suggest bearish momentum, but long-term moving averages hint at potential support near 5,800, which could lead to a reversal.
The SPX500USD is currently in a moderate downtrend , with selling pressure dominating near resistance levels. Support zones between 5,827 and 5,752 remain critical for potential bullish defense. Traders should monitor these key levels closely, using the suggested entry and stop-loss levels for disciplined trading.
Patience and risk management are key in this volatile environment.
Resistance Levels:
Primary Resistance: 5,889 (Point of Control).
Secondary Resistance: 5,922.84 (BreadWinners Stop Loss level).
Support Levels:
Primary Support: 5,827 (BreadWinners Entry Price).
Secondary Support: 5,752 (Lower Point of Control).
Oscillators
The oscillators indicate a mixed sentiment, with most leaning neutral and some showing divergence in momentum.
Relative Strength Index (14): 39.65 (Neutral)
Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3): 26.98 (Neutral)
Momentum (10): -132.47 (Buy)
MACD Level (12, 26): -35.46 (Sell)
Stochastic RSI (Fast): 19.95 (Buy)
Williams %R (14): -71.91 (Neutral)
The Momentum and Stochastic RSI indicate potential for a short-term recovery, while the MACD remains bearish.
Moving Averages
Short-term moving averages continue to signal a sell, reinforcing bearish momentum, but long-term moving averages suggest support levels could hold.
Exponential Moving Average (10, 20, 30): Sell
Simple Moving Average (10, 20, 30): Sell
Exponential Moving Average (200): Buy
Simple Moving Average (200): Buy
Hull Moving Average (9): Buy
Trade Strategy
Bearish Setup (Short Positions):
Entry Zone: 5,889–5,900 (Primary POC and resistance zone).
Stop Loss: Above 5,922.84.
Target 1: 5,827 (Primary Support).
Target 2: 5,752 (Secondary Support and Lower POC).
Bullish Setup (Long Positions):
Entry Zone: 5,827–5,752 (Key support levels).
Stop Loss: Below 5,740.
Target 1: 5,889 (POC and resistance retest).
Target 2: 5,922 (Short-term breakout level).
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Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the breakout of MA level 5960 (OR) Entry in Pullback 5820
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 6100 (or) escape Before the Target
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, I would conclude that the US500 / SPX500 is : Bullish
Reasons:
US economic growth: The US economy is expected to grow at a rate of 2.5% in 2023, driven by a strong labor market, increasing business investment, and a rebound in the housing market.
Monetary policy support: The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates at a low level of 1.5%, which is expected to support borrowing and spending in the economy.
Fiscal policy support: The US government has announced a series of fiscal stimulus measures, including tax cuts and infrastructure spending, which are expected to support economic growth.
Corporate earnings growth: US companies are expected to report increasing earnings in 2023, driven by a strong global economy and a competitive dollar.
Valuation: The US500 / SPX500 is currently trading at a relatively high valuation, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 20, but this is still below its historical average.
However, it's essential to consider the following risks:
Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth could reduce demand for US stocks and drive down the index.
Trade tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and other countries, particularly China, could impact the US trade balance and economic growth.
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation could lead to higher interest rates, which could negatively impact the economy and the stock market.
Key Fundamental Indicators:
US GDP growth: 2.5% (2023 estimate)
Unemployment rate: 3.5% (2023 estimate)
Inflation rate: 2.0% (2023 estimate)
Interest rates: 1.5% (2023 estimate)
Corporate earnings growth: 10.0% (2023 estimate)
Market Sentiment:
Bullish sentiment: 75%
Bearish sentiment: 25%
Neutral sentiment: 0%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
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SPX500USD (6H/4H): HIGH-RISK DOWNTRENDThe SPX500USD on the 4-hour/6-hour timeframe is exhibiting significant bearish momentum, consistent with a short- to medium-term downtrend.
However, longer-term indicators suggest that the index is approaching critical support levels that could provide a platform for a potential rebound. The SPX500USD remains in a short-term downtrend, presenting opportunities for bearish trades near resistance levels.
However, long-term indicators suggest that the index is approaching a critical support zone that could provide a platform for a rebound.
***Traders should watch for confirmation of price action and volume at the 5,800–5,860 level before committing to long positions.
OSCILLATORS
The oscillators highlight a bearish sentiment with increasing selling pressure but suggest that the market is nearing oversold conditions, potentially setting up for a relief bounce.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 38.11 – Neutral, approaching oversold territory.
Stochastic %K: 24.77 – Neutral, near oversold conditions.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): -102.47 – Neutral, signaling mild bearish momentum.
Momentum (10): -75.92 – Sell, confirming bearish pressure.
MACD: -29.63 – Sell, reflecting declining momentum and no imminent reversal signals.
Williams Percent Range: -77.32 – Neutral, nearing oversold territory.
MOVING AVERAGES
Short-term moving averages confirm bearish momentum, while long-term averages signal potential support and a possible reversal point.
Short-Term MAs (10, 20, 30, 50): All indicate “Sell” signals, confirming strong bearish momentum in the short to medium term.
Long-Term MAs (200 EMA and SMA): Indicate “Buy” signals, reflecting the underlying bullish trend over the longer timeframe.
Ichimoku Base Line: Neutral at 5,962.44.
Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): 5,959.81 – Sell, reinforcing short-term bearish sentiment.
Hull Moving Average (HMA): 5,862.93 – Buy, indicating potential support near current price levels.
SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS
Immediate Resistance: 5,960–6,000 (aligned with short-term moving averages).
Major Resistance: 6,100–6,160 (upper pivot zones and psychological barrier).
Key Support: 5,860–5,800 (aligned with Hull Moving Average and 200 EMA/SMA).
Critical Support: 5,760 and 5,658 (historical pivot lows).
PRICE ACTION
The index has recently tested its resistance levels near 5,960 but failed to break through, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
Strong selling pressure is evident in the price action, with lower highs and lower lows dominating the 4-hour chart.
However, significant support is observed around 5,800, where the 200 EMA and SMA converge, offering potential for a bullish rebound if the level holds.
BEARISH SETUP (Short Positions)
Entry Zone: 5,960–6,000 (resistance levels and short-term MAs).
Stop-Loss: Above 6,010 (next major resistance).
Target: 5,860–5,800 (first support zone), and extend to 5,760 if bearish momentum persists.
BULLISH SETUP (Long Positions)
Entry Zone: 5,800–5,860 (key support area, aligned with 200 EMA/SMA).
Stop-Loss: Below 5,780 (critical support break).
Target: 5,960–6,000 (resistance levels), and extend to 6,100 if the rebound is strong.
MARKET SENTIMENT
Short-Term: Bearish – Downtrend persists, with strong resistance at 5,960 and 6,000.
Medium-Term: Neutral – Oversold conditions may trigger a relief rally.
Long-Term: Bullish – The 200 EMA and SMA indicate potential for a long-term uptrend if key support levels hold.
S&P 500: Final Day Analysis with Key Levels and Trend OutlookS&P 500 Technical Analysis
It's the final trading day of the year.
The price shows bullish momentum up to 5,969, which must be confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing above this level. This could lead to a further rise toward 6,022, followed by a correction.
Conversely, stability below 5,969 will trigger a bearish move from 5,969 toward 5,899 and potentially 5,863.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5937
Resistance Levels: 5969, 6022, 6053
Support Levels: 5905, 5863, 5790
Trend Outlook:
Bearish Momentum: Stability below 5,969
Bullish Trend: If 5,969 is broken
S&P500 ES ready to enter the buy zone based on my new indicatorTL:DR I created a new price + volume based indicator that sold BEFORE the most recent crash, and bought BEFORE the most recent rise. If this indicator is any indication of the near future, then it's showing a near future rise in S&P500 since there is an active BUY signal. Below is a more detailed description of the indicator I created which is typically based on simple price and volume action.
I designed a new indicator that I dub the "Money Flow by NHBprod" indicator. It helps to EASILY identify potential trade opportunities without over complicating the process. In short, MFI typically uses volume and pricing data in its calculations which are 2 important keys to consider when trading. However, the actual indicator typically lags behind actual trade opportunities. I heavily modified the standard MFI so that this new indicator can be used to easily see where to buy and where to sell. It also has built in alerts which can be used to automate trading.
How It Works
The indicator calculates the Money Flow Index (MFI), but is heavily modified both in terms of calculations, performance, and output. The indicator computes the MFI using the closing price and a user-defined length. A linear regression moving average is applied to the MFI, smoothing out fluctuations to provide clear signals. Then we have Buy & Sell Zones which are Customizable thresholds that are used to determine when to buy and when to sell. When the moving average crosses into the buy zone, green highlights appear on the chart; similarly, red highlights appear when it enters the sell zone.
Alerts: Integrated alert conditions notify traders when the moving average enters either zone, ensuring they never miss a trade opportunity.
Simplifies Analysis: By focusing on the MFI's moving average and clearly marking significant zones, the indicator eliminates noise and simplifies market analysis.
Enhanced Visualization: The green and red highlighted zones on the pricing chart offer an intuitive, at-a-glance understanding of market conditions.
Potential bullish rise?S&P500 has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 5,995.10
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 5,936.66
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 6,110.04
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lies up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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S&P 500 Potentially BullishFOREXCOM:SPX500 has been in a bullish direction. We have seen it make new highs and right now it is coming for a retest on the previously broken high. I will wait for a retest and see some price action at the 5,875.2 area before going long.
Until then, fingers crossed.
Past results does not guarantee future results, please do your due diligence
Like and follow for more
Scenario on s&p 500 13.12.24We have two scenarios for now, the first one is that if we want to get to the new ath, we need to keep the level around 6060, if that doesn't happen and we break below this level, it is possible that there will be a deeper correction, the first level is 6000, the deepest so far is 5880.
Why on Earth anyone invests in the Australian Shares? (SPX)The last 16 years. The US S&P 500 index (in red) Vs the Australian All Ordinaries index. The US broad market index up by 607%, the Australian index up by 58%. The US S&P 500 index is a broad measure of the top 500 companies in the US, and the All Ordinaries likewise from the largest 500 companies listed in Australia. The US represents about 25% of Global GDP Vs Australia at 1.6%. The US S&P500 index companies also earn about 40% of their earnings from outside America (due to their Global reach). Their companies also lead in tech, banking, defense etc. Why does anyone invest solely in the Australian share markets? The Australian index is very narrowly weighted to the big 4 banks (mostly leveraged on Australian residential real estate), and the large miners (leveraged on the commodity cycle). Both very narrow, non-diversified risky strategies, and clearly over the long term a crap investment compared to the breath of risk and performance outcomes of the US multinational giants of expansion and leading edge innovation.
S&P 500 Third of a ThirdLooking at the way the price structured the pattern. I lean hard into it moving down into the second swing. We are at the end of sub-wave two of the ongoing second swing at this juncture. Just by logic having wave two end means we are moving into a third wave territory. Third waves are, in most cases, the best and most aggressive move to trade in. Thus the high at 6,085 should hold until we see it make a new low past the first swing low of 6039.25
Happy Trading :)
S&P Correction, More Downturns ExpectedEven though the price traded slightly higher than the closing price on Friday, we did not see it make another high. Instead, it has started its descent into forming what I expect will be a more moderate retracement before we continue the upward trajectory.
The first swing down, just on the look of it, seems to be at or close to completion. Assuming this is true, the best course of action is to wait for the upcoming intra-correction rally of the B wave. Subsequently, we can look to position an order to take advantage of the second swing down to complete a classical zigzag pattern.
The correction so far has reached the 23.6 level retracement of the previous third wave total advance. Still, we would ideally like to see it travel into at least the 38.2% retracement, which coincides somewhat closely with the ending area of the previous 4th wave of one lesser degree. This is one of the main target areas we look for on the travel of a 4th wave.
I will keep updating as the price and the pattern continue to develop.
Happy Trading :)
SPX500USD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 6,031.9.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 6,180.5.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SPX macro analysis ⏰ Hello 👋 it's me your RAJ 🙂 professional trader ✨
This idea 💡
is completely my own analysis to explain situation _&_ market conditions of CBOE:SPX
How this chart valid for long term 📌 explained clearly based on technical #TA 📌 #DYOR
Let's go with market conditions 1st 👉
PPL 📌 thinking 🤔 big crash in S&P500 , based on economy and some other theories
I don't this things go , if this happens 😂 it will vanish not only stocks or companies even goverment also get vanish
Money 💰 >> PPL work / save in -> gold , bank & stocks
Money 💰 >> banks -> save in ->> gold , stocks & giving loan to company & PPL 📌
Money 💰 >> companies -> save in future growth 📈 give return to retailers and keep on increasing vlaue for future like NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:GOOG , NASDAQ:AMD etc ....
if stocks lose 📌 PPL lose 📌 if ppl lose 📌 goverment also lose 📌 biggest revaluation 😂
This is the major index ☝️ for many stocks , did you think 🤔 it will crash 🩸 that much harder 🙂
Use 🧠
👀 Let's go with my technical analysis ⏰ #TA ->> how I am expecting macro growth 💹
👀 There tend line 🙄 at previous High 2022 > to < 2023 which actually promised
trend 📉 line and even turned as resistance 📌 for 1.2yr
+
Finally it was broken and re-test also done 👍 turned as support 📌 💜💚 🚀
👀 According technical analysis 📌 my analysis get Invalid 📌 when month close below $3800.2
👀 There was oder block strong 🚀 support 📌 in 3 - month $4000-4200
👀 The previous order block at $4300 & $4600 easily broken 😂
These and some other theories making me push towards new high 💰
Expecting target's 🎯
🎯 :: $4880-$5018 ( easy target )
🎯 :: $5324-$5469 ( 💯 target )
🎯 :: $5885-$6484 ( high pressure resistance )
Support 📌 $3900-4200
This is my analysis on S&P500 on macro , i will post other patterns and chart of technical as per education under this post 📌
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🪩 disclaimer :
▶️ TQ u for supporting 💚 follow idea 💡 get updates everytime ⏰ when I updated 📌
Note 👀
👉 keeping comments , reacting with emojis , pointing us is very easy to some people
They think 💬 what they see 📌 that was knowledge 📌
We need to learn market in many ways and should get adopted with experience, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS won't help understanding market structure and understanding bull 🐂 and bear 🐻 is more important
Economical conditions
Fundamentals
Technical
News
Sentiments
Checking macro to micro having good plan and build it is very important ☺️
Some Times market easily turn suddenly bear // bull 🤣 even we need to catch 🫴 those movements is also very important ☺️ 💛
I hope i cleared my view 🙂 if any points if I miss I will add in update 📌 post
Try to understand, try to learn - try to move with flexibility with market is important
Have good day 😊
SPX500 / US500 Index Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideHallo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist SPX500 / US500 Index Market Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
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