US SPX 500
depends on whether it is maintained above 12119.2 after March 1Hello?
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(NAS100USD chart)
(1D chart)
The key is whether the price can sustain it by moving above the uptrend line (1) and above 12119.2.
If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and above HA-High, it is expected to continue its mid- to long-term upward trend.
If it doesn't, it's likely to drop down to section 3.
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(DXY chart)
We need to see if there is movement out of the 103.494-104.738 interval.
If it rises above 104.738-105.873, the investment market is likely to enter a recession.
A drop below 101.494 is expected to boost the investment market.
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(SPX500USD chart)
The 4000.0 point is the point where the M-Signal of the 1M chart and the M-Signal of the 1W chart pass.
Therefore, if the price holds above this point, it is expected to move up along the uptrend channel.
If not, I expect it to fall below 3931.2.
However, as long as it does not break out of the uptrend, it is expected to maintain its uptrend.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.
** Check the formulas for the MS-Signal, HA-Low, and HA-High indicators at ().
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)
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BUY NATURALGASGood morning traders, I managed to start again sharing with you one of the trades I make every day since I trade multiple markets. The one I'm sharing with you today is on NATURALGAS.
As you can see on the chart the system I follow gave me the entry point with the little candle I put the arrow at, to make things fair I gave the entry to the guys I work with first and after 15 min I share it with you. I'd you have any questions don't hesitate to ask.
TP and SL set them at your own risk
Spy could ripSup baby,
This story will be told using the weekly time frame, colourful pasta, made up lines, and a positive outlook.
If we look back some time, using the 20(yellow), 50(Orange), 100(Blue), and 200(Red) squiggles. You’ll notice we haven’t crossed the Orange, or the Blue without recovering and taking off afterwards. In fact we haven’t since 2008.
If this fails, we also know the Red pasta is bouncy! If the Red pasta fails you, just keep buying calls and eat ramen. You’ll be just fine.
Interestingly enough, the market sentiment online is rather bearish. It has been for a few months now. The rate hikes are doing a good job screwing people, how much it’s helped inflation though.. couldn’t tell ya. Point being, it’s the first time this many investors are present online and taking in all the recession crap 24/7. I honestly think there’s enough bullshit out there to cover up a good market rip.
This is pulling back to retest an old downtrend that held the market back (4 times) during this “mild recession”. AND it’s hitting a tested diagonal trend line that’s kept the recent rallies in check. The Yellow pasta could breakout , this could be nice.
Hope you enjoyed reading this! If not, buy puts what do I care.
Not investment advice
Cheers
4 charts Bitcoin - Gold - DXY - S&P500Never posted this in here so, thought I'd give it a go
Bitcoin has, as we all know, made a full recovery from the FTX crash and is now back to the area of its price Prior to that crash, currently resetting but Bullish Sentiment continues despite the "War cries" from the FED - and Data shows that BTC PA does not react overly badly to Rate rises..and neither does the Dow Jones - on a monthly chart, BTC and S&P are in very similar positions, coming out of Bearish MACD, now turning bullish
GOLD is continuing its Low volume slide but that could change Soon, if only for a relativly short time. On a Long Time Frame, Gold is in the Handle of a Cyup & Handle pattern and has just been rejected frm the upper trendline and is currently on the 9.382 Fib retracement line, could act as support but the Weekly MACD is turning Bearish - likely to eventualy reach lower trendline and bounce from there, around 1650
DXY has also just bounced off a Fib retracement line ( 0.5) and the Weekly 100 EMA - on the 4 hour chart, it is Bullish with EMA's now in order below PA of 50, 100 200. MA's are lagging indicators. Change maybe about to happen. RSI is overbought and MACD over 0 - Short term StochRSI is overbought on 1&4 hour, Daily and weekly which points to wards a range incoming at the very least, maybe Drop
On a weekly chart, S&P has broken through a long term descending line of resistance and is currently coming back down to test it as support but on a daily, PA has dropped back below MA's - on a 4 hour ( as in charts above) PA has just come down onto the 200 MA which may act as support - Over all, I think Markets are about to recover over the next week or so
OVERALL, BTC and S&P are in very simialr positions and loko ready to push higher in the near future - DXY has a Ver Bearish looking Monthly MACD and oversold Stoch RSI so, over all, I see more downside over time, after the current lttle push up is exhausted
GOLD is in a better positin than DXY though stil lhas room to drop in time and then recover but liekly to stay in Handle of Pattern - Over the last 19 months, I have seen a large number of Cup / Handle patterns fail and the PA drop out of the handle to at least 50% below - We could see GOLD got to 1547 -1400 this year - Not a popular opinion I know
What ever you do, trade safly right now and Always...
May your gods keep you safe
Beginning of volatility (until February 21)Hello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(NAS100USD chart)
(1D chart)
The first start of the volatility period mentioned on the BTC chart is on the NAS100USD chart.
Therefore, during the volatility period until February 21st, it is necessary to check whether there can be a movement out of section 2 and section 1.
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(DXY chart)
The question is whether it can continue the trend by breaking out of the 103.494-104.738 zone.
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(SPX500USD chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is falling and is about to be created.
Therefore, I think it is highly likely that depending on where the candle closes this week, it will determine whether the mid- to long-term uptrend can continue or whether it will show a downtrend.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.
** Check the formulas for the MS-Signal, HA-Low, and HA-High indicators at ().
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)
---------------------------------
SPX: First Down Then UpIt looks like the SPX has topped out temporarily. This woudn't be too farfetched as the previous couple uptrends lasted for 34, 36, 21, 23, 40, and 33 days. Right now, we're looking at a top which has been formed after 28 days.
From the looks of it, its trying to form a falling channel. The properties of this pattern are:
- Declining parralel support and resistance lines
- Price oscilating between the support and resistance lines
- Bottom at an important support zone
- Going sideways after hitting the bottom, preferibly with a daily bullish divergence
I'm still bullish on the SPX for 2023, but for now i'm expecting a small correction.
SPX short term trend has turned negative.US500 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 4091 (stop at 4127)
Price action has posted a bearish Outside Day and is negative for short-term sentiment.
An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning.
Bespoke support is located at 3997.
Previous support, now becomes resistance at 4091.
Bespoke resistance is located at 4091.
Our profit targets will be 4001 and 3991
Resistance: 4091 / 4155 / 4174
Support: 4051 / 3996 / 3974
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
SPX: Watch These Stocks to CASH IN on EGGS 🥚Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
The SPX Chart is looking bullish as we see another very clear pattern form - the higher lows. Previously, this has been a sign that we can expect more upside movement from the stock market. But not all stocks are equal during this time... Have you bought some eggs recently?
Forget high gas prices. If you've tried to buy eggs lately, you've paid up or done without. But some investors are finding a way to cash in. Shares of one of the largest publicly traded egg producers, Cal-Maine (CALM) is up 39% in past 12 months. That's impressive as while the S&P 500 was down more than 7% during that time. Egg prices are on fire — even more so than oil. The price of a dozen grade-A eggs was $4.25 nationally in December 2022, says the Bureau of Labor Statistics, up 138% from the same period a year ago. In some places, like California, eggs sell for even more.
Egg prices are becoming the new face for runaway inflation. Millions of hens died last year in an outbreak of disease. That sharply cut the supply of eggs. Cal-Maine is even considered a meme stock now, landing in the Roundhill Meme ETF (MEME). The avian flu's effect on supply will ease, analysts say. But investors who look closely will see that corporate profits at egg companies are booming, too. And that's not seen easing anytime soon.
"Energy prices fell 4.5% in December on a 9.4% decline in gasoline prices. Food prices rose 0.3%, with food at home up 0.2% and food away from home up 0.4%, " said Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank. "Egg prices rose 11.1% on the month, pushed higher by an avian flu outbreak that has hurt supply."
So when you're ready to cough up the big bucks to buy eggs, at least know there's a way to profit, too.
HEY👀 Interested in Bitcoin? Here's my take for the SHORT TERM :
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US Market, Short retrace or all the way down?10YY is back at Dec 2022 high, yet S&P is far from Dec 2022 low.
100Y has broken out above resistance. The dollar continues to show strength.
No doubt, there is bound to be a market retracement coming up. If you FOMO during the last week, you may want to trim some long positions.
The next question is, will a new higher low be created?
There are 2 possible scenarios ahead
1) S&P bottom at a level higher than 3800 (Dec's 2022 low), hence a higher low. Inflation continues to decline. The dollar continues to weaken. Soft landing and bull market is confirmed but it won't be as strong as the 2020 post covid.
2) YoY Inflation creates a higher low and rises back above 6.5%. The dollar continues to rally. 10YY continues to rise and retest the high at 4.3%. Then we may see S&P breaking 3800 and maybe even restest 3500.
Our portfolio is neutral for Feb 2023, but we may start pivoting to short bias. We have shared a few potential shorts ($AAPL and $HD). However, a short bias portfolio does not mean the entire portolio is filled with SQQQ or CFD S&P short. By playing a careful selection of individual stocks, we can choose the degree of our bearishness. We are still carrying some long positions in the utility/clean energy and shipping sector.
As we see more data, we will get more bearish or less bearish.
DYODD
The next period of volatility is around February 20Hello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
--------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
After the next volatility period around February 20th, we need to see if it can hold above 12716.0.
If not, you should check for support around 12497.5.
-----------------------------------------
(DXY chart)
It is necessary to check which direction it deviates from the 103.494-104.738 section.
If it rises above 104.738-105.873, the investment market is likely to enter a recession.
I think it needs to fall below 102.020 for the investment market to be active.
-------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.
** Check the formulas for the MS-Signal, HA-Low, and HA-High indicators at ().
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)
---------------------------------
SP500A wonderful investment opportunity to buy the SP500 with the breach of the side channel shown in the analysis, as well as the breach of the bearish trend and a positive candle indicating that buyers entered the market in a positive way. Please be patient with the deal. Good profits. My friends, traders.
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ES looks bullish - pullback possibleWatching the SPX futures, I have my eyes on the roll/expiration dates for ES. This is mid-March (Mar 17).
The trendline I have in white will likely break at some point. We can see some clean confluence that we've got a bit of resistance at this declining level. Are we going to see a new local low before we go up or are we going to go straight up from here?
The key is that level. Shorting here has the best risk management with a stop loss if we start closing above this trendline. Target could be the pivot low from ~Feb 10.
I'm not shorting yet, but if you are willing to give it a shot, you could do it right here at 4100. Again, set alerts because if we start closing hourlies above this trendline, you should probably get out and flip long targeting roughly 4200-4250.
SPX500 Next MovePair : SPX500 Index
Description :
Bearish Channel in Short Term as an Corrective Pattern
Exp FIAT
Buying Divergence
Bullish Channel in Long Time Frame as a Corrective Pattern and Rejecting Previous Resistance Level
If it breaks the Resistance Level and Retest then Buy
Break of Structure
SPX to stall at trend line resistance.US500 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 4151 (stop at 4186)
Trading within a Corrective Channel formation.
Trend line resistance is located at 4154.
Bespoke resistance is located at 4151.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The medium term bias is neutral.
Our profit targets will be 4074 and 4041
Resistance: 4151 / 4154 / 4194
Support: 4074 / 4041 / 3979
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
S&P 500 BEAR PENNANTAssuming this is a bear pennant/distributive pattern, I am looking for a slight pull back to around 3965, before another leg of grinding higher. The 3rd and last leg higher should be slower and shallower, topping out around 4250-4310. We might see a false break out above the top of the bear flag, but we should not go above the previous lower high around 4326.