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US SPX 500

SPX: The 4 Horseman of the Apocalypse"When the Lamb opened the fourth seal, I heard the fourth living creature saying, “Come!” Behold, I saw a horse, pale greenish gray. The name of the one riding on it was Death" Hello, and welcome to the Apocalypse :D With SPY/SPX recent moves, I thought I'd scan history to see if there's anything unique about the pattern we see today. I wasn't disappointed. The best way I can describe it so far is a decline + 3 bear market rallies that I highlight here (weekly charts): This pattern has been present 5 other times in history, 4 of which ended in declines ranging from -37% to -56%. After the 3rd bear market rally, a 4th comes. The 4th horseman of the apocalypse signaling the end is nigh! Keep in mind that recognizing patterns has an element of bias to it and these were all identified to the best of my abilities. Hmmmmmm... 1966 23% move down from the highs 238 days from top to bottom 1968 37% move down from the highs 532 days from top to bottom 1973 50% move down from the highs 630 days from top to bottom 2000 50% move down from the highs 693 days from top to bottom 2007 56% move down from the highs 511 days from top to bottom Another interesting thing to note is that they seem to happen in sets of 2 with the second downturn moving 10%-13% lower than the first low. 1968-1974 2000-2009 If this pattern does in fact play out, it would mean this chart can guide you into the future of when to buy for the next bull market, and when to sell before the next decline. What's also interesting to take note of is that although our current issues of inflation are more related to the 70s than 2000-08, the market movements are more in line with the speed of 2000-08. 68-73 slowly fell from the top and then quickly fell to the bottom whereas 00-08 quickly fell from the top and slowly fell towards the bottom (time wise). For that reason, most of my predictions are based on 00-08. Lastly I'll post my projection for the end of this recession. You can look at my previous post which mapped the exact moves of 00 and 08 based on time and percentage.
SP:SPXShort
by PlayerNonZero
SPX is at its support trendline off Sep 1st and 6th lowIt was a crazy day, as always after FOMC. Im expecting this move down to reverse completely and more by Fri. - Main resistance is at 4012-15SPX on weekly closing - Daily resistance is at 3802-17, 3850-55, 3895 and 3935 Tomorrows support (if the AHs price wont be reversed by the open) levels: - 3752-50 - 3721 - 3680 I expect 3721SPX holding strong on closing level and wont rule out an overshoot to 3680SPX SPX daily targets 3475-85SPX by Oct 28-31st ES support trendline hit - resistance is at 3825-35 for tonight If we open green or flat, it will be a bullish sign and I will be looking to enter with longs and ride it till at least over today's highs. Otherwise will be looking to buy at 3752 and 3721SPX tomorrow for a good size rally back to 3890-95 or so. No point to over trade this but trade the levels of importance Have a good night
SP:SPX
by RealTima
6
spx500, end of year (bullish) projection{this is not my primary count} --- good evening, this is a bullish interpration of what comes next. putting on my bullish sweater tonight, just for the sake of the argument. ---- so many people are bearish right now, like more than i ever imagined. you know what happens when this many people are short? a face ripping short squeeze takes place, which marks up the price to unreasonable heights for seemingly no reason. ---- new years target = $4530
CME_MINI:ES1!
by notoriousbids
3
S&P500 Index Analyze!!!First, I have to say that if you want to know about the road map of the S&P500 Index, please look at my previous post about S&P500 Index (It ran as I expected✅).👇 S&P500 Index is near the trend line, and I expect that it goes down and making the Expanding Leading Diagonal. I showed you the end of wave 5 in my chart. Also, we can see the Hidden Divergence (HD-) between MACD Indicator and price.👇 ❗️Note❗️: If S&P500 Index breaks the trend line, my scenario will change. S&P500 Index Analyze Daily Timeframe(Log Scale) Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
SP:SPXShort
by pejman_zwin
3
SPX one more big bear channel visualizationA slightly lower into my 3802-17 level will be a perfect hit of the lower trend channel. NQ already broke its on to the downside! Important to note A right shoulder fake rally will be perfect before it really drops into Oct/Nov lows Also dont be surprised if it breaks, then look for the retest of the broken trend channel from below P.S. Dont forget to like (click star-ship button) my posts, so it gets pushed up on TV for others to see as well. Thanks in advance!
SP:SPX
by RealTima
14
SPX possible H&S pattern targets 3500 or soI have changed the color theme on my chart and removed everything I could to make it clear for those who are having troubles reading my charts. Look what I just saw! Let me introduce a possible pathway after tomorrows FOMC announcement. On June 15th we have spike up and had a big range day. Then next day the price gaped down and made new lows. I see kinda similar pathway were we either make a new low in am - 3802-17 and maybe 3795, then rally up to 3925-65SPX level to make a right shoulder. (I prefer 3955-65 in case we see low of 3800 in am) Then the price can start moving fast and get below 3700 even by Friday, bottoming on the 27th in Tuesday turn around structure. That low can be as deep as 3500! I have fibs supporting this possible move down from 3680 to 3500 So my plan for tomorrow, exit shorts (partly) in am and go long for a FOMC squeeze. Then short the close and hold into the 27th low. Please do your own risk management as the price can be very volatile and will take both sides in stops (been there done that) 22nd is a reversal day of whatever day we get tomorrow and should bottom or top on the 27th. So if in fact we see selling after the FOMC, then I will be looking for a long at the end of the day instead of shorting the hole. - 3802-17, 3752 and 3721 are the support levels to watch! I will leave this right here. Feel free to share this update with anyone. P.S. (Sometimes Im getting interesting comments like my charts make people seizures (those people dont even follow me). Just want to make it clear, that Im not here to make it pretty, Im not selling a anything to anyone or make money out of my posts. I do post my updates just to share with those who will appreciate that work and use it for their own homework. So please no need to even follow or see my charts if you cant read them, that means you're very new to the markets and need to do more study and learn simple stuff like moving averages, support/resistance lines as well as trendlines etc. All my charts are working progress, please respect that as well as my time)
SP:SPXShort
by RealTima
34
SPX to hit 3802-17I missed am short, now waiting for 3802-17 to go long. Wont rule out a move down to 3750 tomorrow before FOMC The way I see it is that we will bottom today tomorrow and rally back to 3880+ after the FOMC decision, then completely erase the move by Fri. Should bottom on the 17th and rally up into EOM early Oct, then continue lower Dont try to trade this, very choppy designed to take both sides. I got chopped with stops here, now entered with short and exit at my 3802-17SPX level P.S. Dont forget to like (click star-ship button) my posts, so it gets pushed up on TV for others to see as well. Thanks in advance!
SP:SPXShort
by RealTima
6
SPX to retest broken trendline from the bottomMain resistance for the SPX is: - 3942 - 3952-60 Support cluster is still the same: - 3802-3817 - 3750-55 and much lower (check my last SPX update) Im currently long ES and some SPY calls and will be adding to my swing short NQ position tomorrow and ideally on Wednesday. - 3955 and 3975 are the 2 numbers where I will be adding to my short position. In case of a super bullish case (like the one in NQ going to 12700), next resistance level to short is: - 4025-35 So far Im looking for lower level, again please see my latest SPX update (link above) And I think there is one big move down is coming up very soon. Ideally we bottom on the 27-29th and rally hard into early Oct where we should see lower prices printed before this is over and another 11-14% rally starts Have a good night P.S. Dont forget to like (click star-ship button) my posts, so it gets pushed up on TV for others to see as well. Thanks in advance!
SP:SPX
by RealTima
4
SP500 direction for next days and weeks...Hello all, I would like to do some comparison here. On the LEFT side you can see chart pattern on 3D timeframe during the 2008 mortgage crisis in US. What happened? From TA perspective - we can see broadening descending wedge or channel where price was strongly rejected from white MA (green circle) - what happened next you can see on the chart = BEARISH SCENARIO. Meaning FED will rapidly increase interest rates in near future or we will have another conflict or whatever like this. I hope just for increasing interest rates. ON the RIGHT side you can see my price prediction - yellow line with the BULLISH SCENARIO BUT we have there the same chart pattern like we had in 2008. Very similar or same... so what we can expect? For bullish scenario FED must start print money again (quantitative easing). BUT i dont think so they can do it right now - because it will cause a higher inflation again... So just small recap of the chart on the RIGTH SIDE: From TA perspective - we can see broadening descending wedge or channel where price was strongly rejected from white MA (green circle) - we need buz pressure to not collapse like in 2008 (ABCDE) on the right chart... IF BEARISH SCENARIO comes out, we can see SP500 under 2500 - BUT this will be one of the biggest economic crisis ever... Do the FED really want it? I have some doubts here because Chinesse currency juan can be new number one currency if usd falls... I think we will see the result in next months... personally I think that downside is more likely to happen...not sure if really under 2500 but most likely under 3500... PEACE and have a great day Svarog
SP:SPX
by SvarogPerun
3
SPX Weekend quick updateI was busy all weekend, this update will be quick. Still seeing this as a bear market, well it is for the past 9 months wasnt it. The main trend is still down! Please note those purple lines are the unfilled gaps, will be gone each time the price will fill those, otherwise act as magnet to fill, depends on the trend Looking at the price action, I can see 1-2, 1-2 development (Im not an EWT pro or do I want to be at this point) to the downside and much lower levels into Oct/Nov low. Also think, that this bear market will merge into Q1 2023 and should bottom sometime in Apr/early May As for this upcoming week of Sep 19th: - Im looking for a day or 2 muted bounce and continue lower after the FOMC decision. - If we see the opposite, a drift lower into the FOMC decision, then I would be looking for a long right before the announcement. I think we will bottom this week on the 21st-22nd, or make a intraday low next week 27-29th. Friday price action wasnt what I expected and limited to the downside by holding 3850 level. I dont find that level important to hold and think its a low level of support at this point. The most important thing on Friday was this - the price gaped down below my 3880-86 support level, which was much stronger then 3850 level. So I think this can still get to 3802-17SPX early next week, ideally on Monday and then move up into a muted action to 3950-60SPX level and reverse lower from there. Main weekly resistance is 4155-60 with 4015-25 in the middle. Support levels: - 3802-17 - 3750-55 - 3735-40 - 3720 - below last number nothing but air till 3636 and my ideal target of 3580, 3550-55 and 3500 even. My main target for this move is at 3200-10SPX! And I think we will see lower into 2020 higher lows in 2023 Im looking to buy longs tomorrow in 3802-17 zone or just short 3950 zone. No need in over trading this but the levels of importance! Have a great weekend, do not over trade, this bear market will get both sides, wait for a good setup to take with higher R/R odds P.S. Dont forget to like (click star-ship button) my posts, so it gets pushed up on TV for others to see as well. Thanks in advance!
SP:SPX
by RealTima
17
ES1! SPX500USD 2022 SEP 19 Week ES1! SPX500USD 2022 SEP 19 Week ES's long trap played out on Monday, later than the other 2 US indices, before the shorts took over on Tue 13 Sep. Friday's last 2 H3 up bars happened on very high volume. Keep stops tight if long as there is likely selling into the up move. Possible Scenarios are considered: 1) Temporary long opportunity if 3853-3902 is supported 2) Short if test and rejection of rotation area (circled on chart) / rejection of 4051 / 3981 Weekly: High vol down bar close off high = demand coming in Daily: Ave vol down bar close toward high = demand > supply H3: Ultra high vol up demand bar followed by 2 very high vol up bars = caution as there may be selling into the up bars Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4303 4175 4051 3981 3903-3853 3742 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by paradox677
Posted this on the 12th of Sep, playing out so well!!!I did post this warning on Sep 12th as well as emailed to those who are on my email list. Check the MACD on that day and now! It created a hook and continued lower, bearish! Some people noted and didnt get trapped on that day, it was daily high close DO NOT GET TRAPPED Today!!! Dont short this red whole! Have to leave, will be back in few hours, again dont get trapped on the short side today! P.S. Dont forget to like (click star-ship button) my posts, so it gets pushed up on TV for others to see as well. Thanks in advance!
SP:SPX
by RealTima
19
Watch for S1 to hold on closing level!S1 is right at first gap to fill 3831, can act as a very good support. So again, its a day when I will be buying longs, question is from what price. Ideally I buy at 3802-18 level, but might buy at higher price if I see that S1 holding into the close and no new lows. Please note Futs can always extend into AH's session DO NOT GET TRAPPED Today!!! Dont short this red whole today! P.S. Dont forget to like (click star-ship button) my posts, so it gets pushed up on TV for others to see as well. Thanks in advance!
SP:SPX
by RealTima
2
SPX Sep 16th updateThe price has broke down and Im waiting for 3880-86SPX to be lost. Ideally we gap down below 3880-86 and it becomes a resistance. Futs already down and below those numbers if convert to SPX. My pathway for tomorrow is to buy a gap down to 3802-18 for at least a day or 2 bounce. - There is nothing but air after 3880-86 is lost, all the way to the numbers above. - If we loose 3800, next support is not there till 3750-52SPX Im looking for a low in am and reversal into the close and Monday/Tue high On the other hand we held 3888 level today, close enough to my support zone, so if it gaps up, it could be quite a big squeeze imo. But I give low odds for the gap up scenario. Its a weekly closing, important numbers to watch are: - Weekly support is at 3720-22SPX - Next weekly support is at 3635-40SPX - Weekly resistance is at 4018-20SPX We should bottom next week, ideally at or after FOMC decision, then rally up in another bear market rally into second week of Oct and continue lower into Oct final low for this year. - Next week low is expected to hit 3750 or 3680SPX Final low I have is at 3580SPX. i was looking for 34-35 handle to get hit, it should get there sooner then later imo If it gets hit next week, then we will see 32 handle in Oct The trend is down till it's not! Have a good night, rest and get ready for tomorrow... P.S. Dont forget to like (click star-ship button) my posts, so it gets pushed up on TV for others to see as well. Thanks in advance!
SP:SPX
by RealTima
17