Spxlong
SPX: Bullish Momentum Targets 6,000 with Key Retest at 5989SPX: S&P 500 Futures Eye Further Gains as Index Targets 6,000 Milestone
The S&P 500 index surged to a new record high on Friday, with futures indicating more potential gains at the New York open. Investor sentiment remains buoyed by the election results, with the "Trump effect" continuing to fuel demand for risk assets.
Technical Analysis
The price has increased by approximately 5.00% over the last week. Today, a retest toward 5989 is expected, followed by a continuation of the bullish trend, aiming to break the all-time high (ATH) at 6019 and reach 6045 and 6068.
Alternatively, if a 4-hour candle closes below 5989, it could signal a bearish trend, targeting 5970 and 5931.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 6019
Resistance Levels: 6045, 6068
Support Levels: 5989, 5970, 5931
Trend Outlook:
Bearish Correction toward 5989
Bullish Trend toward 6045
previous idea:
SPx (Still or Yet...)SP500 Index Forecast
The price continues to attempt a correction towards 5281 as long as it trades below 5320. However, overall stability above 5325 would indicate a continuation of the bullish trend towards 5360 and beyond.
The bearish scenario will be activated if the price breaks below 5281 and 5266.
Pivot Line: 5313
Resistance Levels: 5325, 5340, 5357
Support Levels: 5281, 5263, 5227
Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5264 and the resistance 5370.
Meanwhile, U.S. rate futures indicate a 3.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the June FOMC meeting and a 22.8% chance of a similar cut at the July policy meeting.
S&P500 - Bullish opportunites ahead! - Long in flight Last weeks levels provided to be partly actionable and price has immediately responded (See attached post). Comfortable holding this 50% long position with stop/target untouched. Will be looking for opportunities to buy the other 50% and increase risk as I'm confident in the bullish sentiment after last weeks Feds statement. I hold an underlying belief that the FED does actually have a decent pulse on the economy that drives the stock market - obviously not the "real" economy but an important one no less. I'm personally very bullish 2024 on nearly all assets.
So lets unpack the chart -
Daily chat shows a "comfortable" pullback. One very similar to Nov. 2024. Evidence on the RSI suggests we are positioned for months of bullish room to run ahead. So I'm interested in getting long at least back to comfortable new highs.
2 hour chart shows our first aggressive entry hit and the second entry came within .30% of getting filled. Although I would have loved the second to get filled, It's a non-factor. Thankfully price has strongly verified our bullish identification of these price levels and the overall theory.
Although the stop of the aggressive was close to the conservative entry - it was separated by several key levels and strategically placed. I've got a good idea of where things are going and the opportunities on the way are endless. The rest is risk management
Follow/like for more AMEX:SPY NYSE:ES GETTEX:MES #S&P500 Commentary
Best,
GrayTrader
SPX 1W Public Valuation LongThis is what the range looks like to me. Have fun out there if you're still alive trading.
Somehow the market keeps traders in the middle.
We press on to new highs 4500 first target and 5175 is the second.
This Analysis is not space/time oriented only valuation
The S&P is a float-weighted index, meaning the market capitalizations of the companies in the index are adjusted by the number of shares available for public trading. Because of its depth and diversity, the S&P 500 is widely considered one of the best gauges of large U.S. stocks, and even the entire equities market.
SPY LONG: scout for hourly higher lowBulls defended the weekly low and made a convincing breakout yesterday. This is a powerful statement, although buyers have not yet proven their control. To do that, they must first establish a weekly higher low, which is likely to happen next week (of course, we need to monitor how things develop). This presents a great opportunity for a long play, but buyers should wait for a pullback and scout for an hourly higher low. Ideally, this should occur near the previous Volume Area High (VAH). An example of the trade is shown on the chart.
You can read full analysis of the market below
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
S&P still very strong; rally goes onLast week began with bearish consolidation, which was short-lived. The bulls quickly regained control, established a daily higher low, and broke through the previous week's resistance at 524.1 . Although the breakout was not very strong, it was still meaningful. The March close was very strong, posting a +3% gain, and both weekly and daily charts are indicating an uptrend. All major sectors appear strong. The bulls have full control, and the rally is likely to continue.
This week is heavily loaded with economic data releases, which might cause some volatility. However, unless there are major surprises, it should not affect our main thesis.
Important level to watch is 518.4 . As long as it holds, buyers are in control
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
SPX500 - BULLISH OR BULLISH? (TARGET 4910 AND BEYOND)A bit of a late post as the market is moving faster than my fingers can type but let's see how relevant this is regardless. Here is what I see:
What is on the chart? (follow the steps)
1) A strong price accumulation that gives us a potential liquidity target for later on! For now bullish until said otherwise.
2) The BOS level that serves as support.
3) The formation of a trendline which is bullish.
4) Our 1 Hour bearish FVG that may stunt price temporarily. Hence my trajectory leading downwards first!
5) ( NOW ) An accumulation structure that may propel price or lead it lower to our GOLDEN LEVEL!
6) The entry of the Gods. Yes, I am very enthusiastic but if I were to enter, it is here. We have an FVG + fib reload zone + trendline + hourly Kumo. I mean what else does a trader need? A crystal ball? No.
7) The final target. If we're bullish, what better than an ATH as a target?
As always, stay cold headed (unlike myself because when I see such a beautiful confluence of entry conditions, I just get excited) and happy trading! ;)
SPX, Bullish Megaphone pattern still not completed and in playHi guys, I want to share with you this bullish megaphone pattern. I had made several post on this pattern we still look to be following it. I am still bullish on the stock market in general even though things look bad right now. I have compared this on a monthly chart but the weekly looks very identical to the image I attached.
Please like if you find it useful.
Note: This is not a financial advice.
SPX SPY in No Mans Land, Never seen before in market historyThis is a weekly chart and I meant to share this on Friday; but forgot. Blue vertical lines are the paths from previous bear market lows to new all time highs, over-layed to the bottom of October 2022. Red vertical lines are the bear market paths from all time highs to bear market lows, over-layed to the high of January 2022.
As you can see we are no longer following the path of the "new" bull markets, and we we deviated away from bear market paths... well a while ago. So should we have been on a bear market path this whole time, but the stimulus from Inflation Reduction Act and Chips Act helped support the market for just a short period of time?!?!? Well we will find out. I just know this is truly a historic pattern.
Possible SPX - Inverse H&S Long IdeaSP:SPX
Bullish outlook on SPX ( S & P 500)
- Golden Cross on Daily Timeframe (50 Days MA crossing 200 Days MA),
- Possilbe hike Pause by the Fed at March/April meeting,
- General negative sentiment and large short positions that would need covering,
- General company earnings that mostly beat earlier estimates,
- Generally safer environment to invest in US registered equities,
- Mass Layoffs that will eventually decrease costs and consequently increase earnings per share,
Things to watch :
- Appleearning release end of today (as holder of largest weight)
- Fed minutes of January 2023 Meeting,
- Support Line at around 3,900 level,
- DXY level 105 and already happened Death Cross (refer to my earlier DXY chart),
As always DYOR and stay safe.
2023 Tradingdesk for S&PFrom now i will have one main idea, and all the ideas as we reach cycle targets for the year will be updated in the thread.
I dont trade short term, keep in mind my ideas are longer term, and its boring.
We wait for the cycles to bottom and we wait once in the trade for the trade to mature.
Fallow, like and boost so you dont miss the updates.
SPX500 Elliott Waves Analysis (midterm Expectations)Hello friends.
Please support my work by clicking the LIKE button👍(If you liked). Also i will appreciate for ur activity. Thank you!
Everything on the chart.
Previous scenario with leading diagonal was invalidated,
I switched to an alternative scenario that we formed wave ii in the form of a flat (3-3-5) and now I am waiting for continuation of growth, with a minimum target of 4300
to confirm the current growth, we must get a five-waves upward impulse
Entry: market and lower
TP: 4300 and 4500
after first target move ur stop in breakeven
SL: ~3600
RR: 1 to 2
Good luck everyone!
Follow me on TRADINGView, if you don't want to miss my next analysis or signals.
It's not financial advice.
Dont Forget, always make your own research before to trade my ideas!
Open to any questions and suggestions.
SPX500 Elliott Waves Analysis (midterm Expectations)Hello friends.
Please support my work by clicking the LIKE button👍(If you liked). Also i will appreciate for ur activity. Thank you!
Everything on the chart.
My Main scenario that we forming leading diagonal,
where right now we're in wave of iv,
after that i will wait final upward movement in zone 4200-4300 before starting correction.
Good luck everyone!
Follow me on TRADINGView, if you don't want to miss my next analysis or signals.
It's not financial advice.
Dont Forget, always make your own research before to trade my ideas!
Open to any questions and suggestions.