S&P LongS&P has hit below its 50 year mean average meaning investors and institutional buyers are going to be delighted to get back into S&P, we're waiting for a higher low to present itself before buying into S&P, Volume flow on the weekly chart has crossed 0 and we're expecting this to now hold above it, Squeeze indicates it is dying out for sells, exciting times ahead if everything goes to plan. We have several TP's set to secure profit but we will be keeping on our buy long term if price reacts the way we hope it to.
GL
Spxlong
SPX Trade ManagementAs we can see US equities fall from negative market sentiment (overdue) we can identify long zones and look toward the upside.
This means using DCA methods and not PILING in all at once. It will not work like that..
Trade small. Spread your risk
LZ1 - long zone one
LZ 2 - Long zone two
SXP500 Index: ready to U-turn Today we are here to talk about the SXP500 index.
Today: The index is trading at 4462. In the last trading session, we saw a sharp rise in prices to the level of 4485, which I mentioned earlier here is a link to the idea.
What's on the market now:
The market continues to develop lateral movement. Perhaps there is a good place to enter the market.
What are we waiting for today:
Today we are waiting for the market to try to rise above 44 85. And then the subsequent stabilization of the price to the level of 44 15.
What I recommend:
If you want to open short:
I recommend going short above 44 85, limit your risks
If you want to buy:
Long positions are possible below 44 15. Limit your losses to the last low.
If you want to ask a question about an idea:
If you would like to get more info, please do not hesitate to contact me in the comments below.
And please don't forget to like. This greatly motivates me to share my trading ideas and market knowledge.
Also take a look at my profile where you will find the full history of trading every day on the SPX 500. Contact me in 1 or 2 days for further trading advice.
Don't forget to subscribe to my channel.
I post SPX 500 analytics every day, so check back tomorrow!
See you next time!
Bye!
Potential Butterfly Forming 🦋 SPX - Again, similar story with SPX (95% Correlates with the DOW) This moves, dow moves, again today not respecting anything (Due to the sell off), another butterfly forming here, if we don't see this demand respected ill be looking for shorts on Indices, lets see what the opening bell brings.
Let me know your thoughts!
* Disclaimer **
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
S&P500 swing Buying opportunityHey traders, we are monitoring S&P500 for a long term buying opportunity around 4270 zone, once we will receive any bullish confirmation the trade will be executed.
Trade safe, Joe.
SPX - SPX shows similarities with NDXThe S&P 500 Index trades approximately 7% below its all time high value that it reached on 4th January 2022. Volatility of the index fell sharply in the last three days which supports the notion that selling pressure has cooled off tremendously. Because of that we are growing increasingly bullish on SPX. This view is also supported by bullish developments taking place on the daily time frame. However, due to quickly changing conditions in the market and upcoming rate hikes by the FED we remain very cautious. We think interest rate hikes pose a substantial threat to further rise of SPX in the medium-term and long-term.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI strives to break its bearish structure, similarly like on the NQ1!. Stochastic is bearish at the moment. MACD points to the upside which is bullish, however, it still remains in the bearish territory. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. ADX moves sideways which suggests the prevailing trend is not gaining strength but also not losing it. Overall, the daily time frame is less bearish than a week or two weeks ago. Although, the daily time frame shows mixed conditions.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
Stochastic points to the upside which is bullish, however, it continues to oscillate in the bearish area. RSI started to flatten which is bullish. MACD, DM+ and DM- remain bearish. ADX exhibits growth which suggests the bearish trend is gaining strength. Overall, the weekly time frame is neutral.
Support and resistance
Short-term support sits at 4 364.84 USD and short-term resistance at 4 595.31 USD. Support 1 lies at 4 222.62 USD while major resistance can be found at 4 818.62 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
SPX is about to reverse, wave 5 of C is almost completed.Hi everyone, SPX is about to complet the C wave inside this Zig Zag ABC. Max wave 5 target (the 261.8%) fib is at 4500. It's a very clean pattern, impulse down in A, ABC in B and impulse down in C on the 100% fib. SPX is already diverging (bullish Divergence Class A on the RSI).
The big question is what's next...?
It can be 2 things now, a new higher high or the beginning of a WXY in what i think can be a Cycle Wave 4 retracement.
Where this Wave 4 can go ? At least to 3935 in the 0.24 fib from our last wave 2 we made in March 2009. But in between 0.3 and 0.5 more common (probable).
Best to you !! Thanks for your comments !
SPX re buying further..For more highly detailed daily analysis , please feel free to go ahead and click on the follow button. Any questions, please do ask them!
Our SPX chart has shown a long term up move. This is due to the acceleration of growth after the pandemic amongst other factors. As of late we have seen new inflation fears that have knocked the SPX lower.
On this lower move we can start to look long at the current fractal area. The price action at the bottom of our Price channel gives us an impetus on the long side and allows us to buy to continue the trend higher. This price is appropriate because we get a better deal on our long side trades.
Look to exit around the eclipse symbol area.
SPX long zoneDon't forget to click on the follow button for more detailed analysis and ask any questions should you have them,
After moving to the short side at the open today we are now looking long.
This is based on TECH factors like our Price action (See Labelled Areas).
Exit at eclipse symbol area for gains on the long side.
US500Hey traders, in the coming week we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 4620 zone, once we will receive any bullish confirmation the trade will be executed.
Trade safe, Joe.
SPX uptrend longDon't forget to click on the Follow button for more daily detailed analysis, Also if you have any questions, please do ask them!
When looking at our SPX chart we can see a clear uptrending channel.
Along with this we can combine some nice price action and other TECH aspects.
We are still looking long and exit area is noted by the eclipse symbol.
SPX longDon't forget to click on the Follow button for more daily detailed analysis, Also if you have any questions, please do ask them!
Here we have our SPX Chart.
On this current upmove we are looking to continue the upside bias.
Techs + market rules are in order for entry.
Exit is at eclipse symbol.
SPX New PlanHere we have our SPX chart.
After the recent Hawkish FED sentiment we have seen a rapid fall on many Assets.
The SPX has taken a hit and is falling back down this channel. We are looking long at the level Noted as price falls.
Price direction is noted by Directional arrows + eclipse symbol.
US Market Technicals Ahead (15 November – 19 November 2021)As U.S. inflation has surged to the highest level in over thirty years, inflation is likely to remain in focus in the coming week with investors looking ahead to the latest U.S. monthly retail sales figures along with earnings results from major retailers, including $WMT (Walmart).
With $SPX (S&P 500) erasing its weekly losses from Friday’s late week rally, the bearish Rising Wedge formation of $RSP (S&P 500 equal weight) remains in play. Attention has being turned towards small-cap companies after a nine month consolidation breakout on $IWM (Russell 2000), setting a potential new leg of multi month long market rally leading by this companies. It is worth to note that $GLD (Gold) have also broken out of a multi month long trendline resistance, gaining +2.71% as the leading asset class of the week.
China will provide an update on the economic recovery via industrial production and retail sales and wide there are expectation for a slowdown in its economic recovery, just as Europe is experiencing a fresh surge in Covid-19 infections.
Here’s what you need to know to start your week.
Market Technicals
$SPX (S&P 500) vs $RSP (S&P 500 Equal Weight)
The benchmark index $SPX retraced with a weekly loss of -0.31% (-14.68 points) confirming last week’s highlight on the over-extension of this rally which was 200% ATR away from its short term moving average, the first time since September 2020. With $SPX reducing its intraweek losses with Friday’s +0.72% gain, it is worth to note that $RSP (S&P 500 Equal Weight) has yet to break its Bearish Wedge Formation, which was has already played out in $SPX. The upwards consolidation of $RSP may be reflecting signs of fatigue, signaling downside potential of $SPX in near term.
The immediate support to watch for $SPX this week is at 4,645 level, a break of its short term pivotal level.
U.S. retail sales
The highlight of the week’s economic calendar will be October retail sales data, due out on Tuesday, with economists expecting an increase of 1.1%, after a 0.7% rise in September.
U.S. inflation has surged to the highest level in over thirty years amid a global supply chain crunch and data on Friday showed that consumer sentiment fell to its lowest in a decade this month, as higher prices eroded living standards.
Investors are betting that the Federal Reserve will have to raise interest rates sooner than currently indicated to stop inflation spiraling upward.
Retail earnings
Third quarter earnings season is continuing to wind down, but investors will get an additional update on the strength of consumer spending this week with results from major retailers, including Home Depot ($HD), Walmart ($WMT), Target ($TGT), and Macy’s ($M).
The earnings reports will face extra scrutiny ahead of the start of the holiday shopping season, with investors looking at guidance from retailers to determine whether inflation will eat into profits or be passed on to consumers.
Third quarter earnings season has largely been upbeat. 459 of the companies in the S&P 500 have reported with 80% of earnings results beating analysts’ forecasts.
China slowdown
The recovery in the world’s number two economy is weakening and data on Monday, which includes reports on retail sales, fixed asset investment and industrial production is expected to confirm this. The loss of momentum in China, a key driver of global growth, is casting a shadow over the uneven global economic recovery from the pandemic.
The recovery in China has been hit by an aggressive approach to containing Covid-19 outbreaks, a massive debt crisis in the country’s real estate sector and an energy crunch that has weighed on manufacturing activity.
Analysts think the country’s central bank is likely to take a cautious approach to loosening monetary policy to bolster the economy as slowing growth combined with soaring inflation fuel concerns over stagflation.
Meanwhile, U.S. President Joe Biden is to hold a virtual meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Monday, amid rising tensions between the world’s two largest economies.
Pandemic resurgence hits Europe
Europe is seeing a resurgence of the Covid-19 pandemic, adding to headwinds for the region’s already fragile economic recovery.
Europe accounts for more than half of the average 7-day infections globally and about half of latest deaths, according to data compiled by Reuters, the highest levels since April last year when the virus was at its initial peak in Italy.
Several countries, including the Netherlands, Germany, Austria and the Czech Republic are implementing restrictions or planning fresh measures to slow the spread.
Holland entered a three-week partial lockdown on Saturday, the first in Western Europe since the summer. Germany reintroduced free Covid-19 tests on Saturday and Austria is to decide on Sunday whether to impose a lockdown on people who are not vaccinated.
US Market Technicals Ahead (27 September – 1 October 2021)Expect markets to remain at last week’s levels of raised volatility for the final week of the third quarter with investors keeping an eye on fresh economic data for the US including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and PCE inflation. Fed Chair Powell will also testify on Coronavirus and CARES Act before the Senate and lawmakers will try to pass a funding plan to avoid a government shutdown on October 1st.
The Evergrande limbo is set to continue as markets expect an update on interest payment for a dollar-denominated bond and hope a default could be avoided. The 2-days ECB Forum on Central Banking will be keenly watched for more clues on the monetary policy outlook and traders will also pay attention to the outcome of the German federal election.
Here’s what you need to know to start your week.
S&P GOOD fundamental but huge sell offS&P had really good fundamental news today with Margins increasing by 13%. The sell off comes all the way down to seek liquidity at a Gap i had marked for some time now. This gap provided a fantastic rejection zone and im expecting a rebound. looking for a rebound to the 50% level and really hoping to get to the 4600 61% area.