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Reposting my weekend update for those who didnt see itMy weekend update was banned as noted other place, Im re-posting now: I have cycles top on Tuesday and choppy period into 22nd low The way I see here is that the price is about to finish the wave 2 and 3rd wave will bring the price down into third week of Dec. Dont see and Santa Rally this year, it should be a Santa Crappy. Nov month should be lowest monthly close when Dec will be higher and Jan 2023 will be another lower monthly close. Intra day low might not come till Apr or even May. I have volatility rising from tomorrow all the way into EOM . I do expect a good down move tomorrow, which will be bought. Main support now is at 3910-15SPX and smaller degree support at 3950-58SPX Resistance and target on the upside are on the chart with notes. Maj resistance on closing daily level is at 4010.50 SPX and weekly at 4116-18. Ideal target for the high this month is 4118SPX level, might very well top in mid 4000 The way the price is going is not bullish but a bear rally, those can extend and be super fast (we got second part already) Main support is at 3750-55SPX now, below it top is in. My game plan for tomorrow is buy low 39 handle for a move up into Tuesday high. I have exited my MES short from Friday close at Sunday open and flipped to long from 83.50 and 84.50. Already took profits at 91.50 and 93.50 zone. Im long some MNQ and my main position is swing short MNQ. I will trim most of my long on Tuesday high.
SP:SPX
by RealTima
16
S&P500 Time to reveal the real trend.The S&P500 index has been trading within a short-term Channel Down pattern since the October 27 Low on the 4H time-frame. We presented this formation on our last week analysis: The price rebounded at the bottom of the Channel Down and reached its top to form a Lower High. This happens to be also on the Lower Highs trend-line that started after the August 16 High. Since September 12 though, the RSI on the 1D time-frame has been trading on Higher Highs, i.e. showcasing a Bullish Divergence. On top of that, this is the first time since June, that the price didn't drop lower after an oversold 4H RSI but instead rose without any pull-back. Those factors add weight on the bullish case. A candle close above the August 16 trend-line, immediately targets 3925 and then 4040 in extension. The medium-term targets are Resistance 1 (4175) and Resistance 2 (4328). Failure to break the August Resistance though, maintains the Channel Down pattern, targeting first the 3643 Support (1) as a Lower Low. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CME_MINI:ES1!
by TradingShot
9
SPX long termHe is a bit cleared out chart for my long term view on the SPX. I think (as was saying all year long), that we will revisit 2020 lows and ideally make a higher low at 2855SPX or if super weak low 2400 (less odds at this point) by Mar/Apr 2023. If there is a H&S playing out and we will know soon enough, then the price should get down to 3k zone My ideal target for this year low is at 3212SPX with min 3389SPX (which I think will be sliced/wont hold long if tested) Maj support going into Nov 10-11th low is at 3610 to 3656 SPX, where 3610SPX is the maj support. Below 3610SPX the price will test min 3543-56SPX is not all the way to re-test Oct 13th lows. If in fact that happens, then the move down to 3389 and ideally 3212SPX will be very fast and will bottom on Nov 21-22nd. Ideally we test 3389SPX level on Nov 21-22nd, rally up back to 3545-55SPX and ideally back to 3610-55SPX by EOM and make a final low in Dec either at 3212 or that mid 3k zone. I do think 3k will be a very solid support and will hold this year. This year is a pure bear market and so many still expecting a Santa Rally, I think we get Santa Crappy instead. So after a good size rally (13-18%) from Dec lows to mid Jan high Early next year it will be a perfect scenario where the price dives down to 2855 and low 24 handle to mark the bottom of the whole move down from Jan highs. Then I think the price will start to move up with the money flow from the European countries and other countries to a safe heaven - the US stock market. DOW will benefit the most imo, so I expect DOW to outperform, SPX to follow. That high might be a double top sometime in 2026 and then another move down to 1550SPX zone by 2030-32 So if played right and give enough time to your trade, a lot of money can be made playing long term/swing this pathway Have a good night, tomorrow will be interesting, expect a lot of volatility to hit the market going all the way till Christmas time
SP:SPX
by RealTima
5
S&P500 4H RSI oversold but means nothing unless this breaksThe S&P500 (SPX) is having a strong pull-back on the short-term following Powell's remarks during the Press Conference on the Fed's future policy in the aftermath of the +0.75% Rate Hike. The RSI on the 4H time-frame dropped below the 30.000 oversold barrier intraday but that alone has proven to mean nothing in terms of buying power. As you see, every time the RSI turned oversold since June, the price dropped lower eventually. The only signal that has been causing a confirmed rise is a break above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which has caused price rises ranging from +2.26% to +5.18%. Right now the price is even below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) which is making things worse and as a Channel Down is forming, we may see a slight bounce and then Lower Low as per this data sample since June. If a 4H MA50 breaks happens now, a minimum of +2.26% rise would hit 3925 while a maximum of +5.18% would hit 4040. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CME_MINI:ES1!
by TradingShot
3
S&P500 The inflation crisis is just a minor cyclical event!This is a complete roadmap of the S&P500 index (SPX) on the 1M time-frame, where we have taxonomized its historical trend on Super Cycles and Minor Cycles. As you see, since the Great Depression, we can categorize a whole era (approximately 42 years) as a Super Cycle. Super Cycles tend to end with a massive Recession/ Bear Market. Within the Super Cycle, we've fitted three Minor ones. The first two Minor Cycle within the Super one have ended with a minor corrections (relative to the long-term of course). Based on S&P500's current Super Cycle projection, it appears what we are only heading towards the end of the 1st Minor Cycle of the Super Cycle that started a few years after the 2008 Housing Crisis. As a result the current correction in 2022 due to the very high inflation, is simply viewed as another minor cyclical event at the start of a Super Cycle that is projected to end with a Recession around 2048! For illustration purposes and to help make a better comparison, I have plotted the first two Super Cycles (blue and green trend-lines) on the current one. We can see how thee current one has diverged a bit more than the others, probably thanks to the massive QE since the Housing Crisis. Also notice that since January 1943, the 1M MA300 (red trend-line) has been the ultimate Support and a rebound level on both Super Cycle corrections/ Recessions. This chart simply shows that long-term investors have nothing to be afraid of with this inflation crisis and soon incredible buy opportunities will emerge. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
SP:SPX
by TradingShot
6
SPX still unclearI have no good feeling on either direction here. Its all can be muted all the way till the 2nd decision In idea it has to gap down and retrace into Fri am lows around 3808SPX or so Ideally we test 374-50 support zone and then rally up for a higher or lower high, back testing 3907-13SPX level Its all up to 3707-13SPX level on closing level, bull/bear line Futures are up at this moment, so hard to make a call here, If we hold in am, I will do a long trade as it might get another squeeze into 4010-20SPX zone with 3960SPX as a smaller degree resistance on the way. Im swing short and under the water, I do believe that November month will be negative and I have huge doubts of Santa Rally being present this year. There is a chance we get a Santa Crappy into EOY instead:) If I see something solid in am, I will post it right away, for now as long as we hold 3907-13SPX Im looking for lower levels to be seen.
SP:SPX
by RealTima
18
S&P500 Short-term Rising Wedge ahead of the Fed.The S&P500 is trading within a Rising Wedge pattern since the October 13 Low and which ahead of the Fed Interest Rate Decision tomorrow, should break-out. Until it does, the Support and level to buy is the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which has formed the last two Higher Lows. This should coincide with a Higher Low on the 4H RSI trend-line. As long as it holds, the target will the the 3918.50 Resistance and above that a Higher High within 3990 - 4000. A candle close below the 4H MA50 would constitute a bearish break-out from the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Rising Wedge. In that case the immediate target should be the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Below that all lower Fibs can be filled. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FOREXCOM:SPX500Long
by TradingShot
3
SPX rejected its resistance, ES got its gap filled from SunNothing much to add today, another rejection of the top. As noted on Sunday, ES and NQ gaps (all futs gaps) always get filled, so it happened in am. I did long from 3901 and exited at 3922ES just for the am dump to take my gains with stop losses. I did few trades from 58 and 53 level, already exited SPX price is below the opening range and cant re take it, putting pressure for lower to be seen. I have a long order at 3814.50 and 3815ES, want that to hold and break only after the FED announcement fakeout. It seems its going to put a pressure lower into Fri numbers and rally into 7-8th if not the CPI release on the 10th. Then Im looking for much lower into week of 21st of Nov.
SP:SPX
by RealTima
8
S&P500: Bullish for the next 10 days at least.The S&P500 hit the 1D MA100 (green) on Friday for the first time since September 13. The rebound started off a Double Bottom and broke above the dashed Lower Highs trend-line that is consistent with all previous short-term rallies in 2022. Based on that, the price should stay bullish for at least the next 10 days and hit the 1D MA200 (orange). We can even make a case for a potential long-term bullish reversal above the bold black Lower Highs trend-line, as the 1W RSI has been trading within a Channel Up on Higher Lows since June 21, while at the same time the index made Lower Lows. This is a Bullish Divergence on the long-term but we will have time to analyze this in the coming days if the major breakout occurs. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by InvestingScope
SPX update Oct 28thTodays candle, if it closes up (it seems that it will), going to cancel the topping pattern candles we had last 2 days, means more squeeze to come. Next stop is at 3907-09SPX for the top of this move. Support is at 3725-35SPX and I will be buying it for that last target with a stop I have posted in comments this am: That my 50% short was stopped at BE other 50% I took off after the AMZN move, also some protective longs sold yesterday evening at a loss and rest this am with a small gain. I went back to sleep in am and now its a more clear picture to me. Im still in that B wave down camp, only it might be a start of a new wave and that C can be shorter as we are approaching 3907-09. If it does want to extend then we could see very well 4k, but Im not in that camp just yet. My target is the same for the next low - 3690-3718SPX at min, below we could see a retest of Oct lows, which I personally think will be re-tested and it should make new lows into 34 and 32 handle. Again there is no more crash window, but month of Nov is a seasonally bearish month after Oct high! Note this, that its bearish during the bear market, which we are now! Many will be looking for a bullish month of Nov based on regular seasonal pattern. My swing short is quite under the water after those being BE last night, Im holding those for my targets mentioned above
SP:SPX
by RealTima
17
S&P500 The RSI Divergence. Critical break or make moment!The S&P500 index (SPX) has been rising aggressively since the October 13 bottom and broke again above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) after its two day pull-back. By doing so it hit again the Lower Highs trend-line from the September 12 High. While the price was under this trend-line, the 1D RSI has been under Higher Highs. This peculiar Divergence has been seen another two times since the Bear Market of 2022 started. In fact it has been the exact same pattern on RSI and in the previous sequences it led to a drop. This time the index can invalidate it as there is a gap to fill at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2022 Bearish Megaphone, on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) within the 0.618 - 0.786 Fibonacci Zone, which is where the previous Lower Highs were formed. Technically, this is all about the 1D candle closing. A close above the price Lower Highs and the RSI Higher Highs, is a bullish break-out signal towards the 1D MA200. A rejection and close below, is a bearish signal towards the 3650 and 3500 lows. Will it break or get rejected in your opinion? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
11
SPX my pathway for the next week or 2First of all I want to say thank you to my 1k+ followers as of today! Means a lot to me, as it shows me that my work helps others to navigate the markets and my time spent posting charts gets respected. Solar eclipse! Seems we have topped here, at least for now There is also a lunar eclipse on Nov 7-8th, watch for a possible higher high if not lower high there. So my pathway is down to 3689 or so, then up to 3908 or so and only after we go down to 3500SPX level again Again, I do think we will re visit Oct 2nd lows at min, so that move could be it. If this pathway will play out up to Nov 2nd, then I will be huge long from that level going into the Midterms and short that lunar eclipse high. If in fact this all plays out, I do believe we will see my 3212SPX by Nov 21st week if not 2855SPX This is my game plan, I do have a right to change it at any time if I see changes going against my pathway. Have a good night and please dont forget to press that 🚀 button to push this chart up so more people will see it.
SP:SPX
by RealTima
32
SPX updateI have missed all todays rally, had only a long from 3792 and exited at 3805 My swing short isnt in a best shape, but I have protective longs going till they stop working. Maj resistance today is 3798SPX and its going to close above it. Next maj resistance is at 3907 on daily and 3913-14 on weekly Today is a solar eclipse day, usually markets top on or around solar eclipse day. Im not buying this move up, its just all 3 waves moves up with extensions, nothing else. The price is already getting to overbought zone and the fear and greed is already in neutral zone and getting close to cross the greed zone. VIX is in support zone, but close to be broken to the downside, still lots of room there. SPX supports are at 3825 and 3808-07 and then maj support is at 3789SPX I have some price confluence in 3900-20SPX zone as mentioned yesterday and closing above 3820SPX will confirm that target. Watching the price and 3820-25SPX test to enter with longs for 3900 target SO far there is a small H&S on ES and NQ on 15min, not touching anything just yet.
SP:SPX
by RealTima
28
S&P500 Huge confirmation of our bull pattern repeat.Right on the October 13 2022 low, when the CPI number came out higher than expected and the market was in extreme fear mode, we posted the following idea on the S&P500 index (SPX), explaining how fundamentally the report was still lower than the previous month and more importantly how technically the index was flashing some early signs that it would repeat the previous two rebounds on the Megaphone's Lower Lows on February 24 and June 17: As you see, our expectation is so far being materialized as 10 days later, the index hasn't just avoided making a Lower Low going against the majority's belief on the CPI but also rebounded on the exact same day and is testing the October 05 High/ Resistance. This time we will see this in more detail, focusing on the 1D RSI. As you see, when the RSI broke above its Lower Highs trend-line, the rebound basically started and on both previous sequences, it was as early as anyone could get. This time (October 14), it appears to be even earlier. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is just above and if the current Lower High leg follows the previous two, then it should break rather fast and target just above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which as you see is where the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is headed. This trend-line is critical as it was exactly where the August 16 Lower High was made and the price was rejected, so right now is the most important long-term Resistance. As with the previous analysis, we have plotted all Lower Low/ Lower High sequences on top of each other with Blue being January - March, Orange April - August and Grey August to October (now). It is evident that all are very similar and compared to the previous ones, the current S&P500 levels constitute still a good buy opportunity, at least on the medium-term. For the long-term, the price has to break above the Bearish Megaphone's top (Lower Highs trend-line), which is the pattern that has been dictating the 2022 Bear Cycle so far. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FOREXCOM:SPX500Long
by TradingShot
2