Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.10.2024🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Predictions for 1.10.2024
📅 Fri Jan 10
⏰ 8:30am
💰 Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.4%)
👷 Non-Farm Employment Change: 164K (prev: 227K)
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (prev: 4.2%)
⏰ 10:00am
📊 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: 74.0 (prev: 74.0)
📈 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: 2.8%
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
The markets are very sensitive right now with the pause. I wouldn't bet that it holds this gap for long.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
A little more upside, and then markets will need the weekend to digest.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
Spy!
Pre-Market Update: SPY - 01092025 - $586-$586.50 Support RetestWatching the SPY going into Premarket, it lost support at the $588.62 Levels, so we're looking for that $586-586.50 to gauge if the Markets will lose steam and pullback even more (providing better buying opportunities on our other Trade Analysis). The question is always, "How far are really pulling back though?"
Today's Economic Calendar:
Event Type Date Time Description
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Industrial Production
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Merchandise Trade
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Industrial Production
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Merchandise Trade
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 04:00 AM Retail Sales
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 04:00 AM Retail Sales
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM Challenger Job-Cut Report
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM ECB Minutes
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM Challenger Job-Cut Report
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM ECB Minutes
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 07:30 AM Jobless Claims
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 07:30 AM Jobless Claims
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 09:00 AM Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary)
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 09:00 AM Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary)
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 3-Month Bill Announcement
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 6-Month Bill Announcement
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 3-Month Bill Announcement
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 6-Month Bill Announcement
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:30 AM 4-Week Bill Auction
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:30 AM 4-Week Bill Auction
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 03:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 03:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 05:30 PM Household Spending
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 05:30 PM Household Spending
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 11:00 PM Equity Settlements
Stay tuned by connecting with us below to discover more at @MyMI Wallet!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 1-9-25 : Behind The Scenes ResearchMany of you are following my research and Plan Your Trade videos - watching my SPY Cycle Patterns play out as the markets trade through various phases/trends.
What you do not see is the extended research and predictive modeling that go into my deeper research, which aims to help traders.
The SPY Cycle Patterns are just one part of my extensive coded solutions related to cycles/trends/phases and other market conditions. Every week, I review and research dozens of market conditions, attempting to determine the current phase, setup, and conditions related to the market and what to expect in the near future.
That is why, in many cases, I will be ahead of the trends by 2 to 5+ weeks.
You may wonder why I'm able to draw future expected price action often so accurately. This is because of my extended market research (done behind the scenes). My work is not only about the SPY Cycle Patterns - it includes many other more detailed market analyses related to key fundamentals and cycle/phase market trends/setups.
In this video, I try to share some of the extended work I do to help traders so you can better understand how all of my research/work ties together to deliver the best information I can.
In my opinion, trading is about what is likely to happen now, and attempting to identify what is likely to happen in the near future - so we can prepare and trade efficiently through any market trend.
As we take a day off to remember President Carter, I thought you might be interested to see what I actually do every day/week in terms of research and software development trying to help you learn to become a better trader.
Stay safe & get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Arch up to 120 till the end 2025?So what is Arch Capital - its not an investment bank or fund or something else - lets say insurance company.
Why its so attractive for me right now: Some financial highlights
Robust Profit Growth: In Q3 2024, Arch Capital reported a net income of $978 million ($2.56 per share), up from $713 million ($1.88 per share) in Q3 2023, marking a 37% increase.
Increased Premiums: The company saw a 20% rise in gross premiums written, reaching $5.44 billion in Q3 2024, indicating strong demand for its insurance products.
Enhanced Investment Income: Pre-tax net investment income grew by 48% to $399 million in Q3 2024, reflecting effective investment strategies amid favorable market conditions.
Improved Combined Ratio: Arch Capital achieved a combined ratio of 80.8% in Q1 2024, down from 82.2% in Q1 2023, demonstrating enhanced underwriting efficiency.
Book Value Growth: The company's book value per common share increased by 5.2% to $49.36 as of March 31, 2024, indicating solid financial health.
ANR recommends mstly buy and medium target is near 120
Bulls and Bears zone for 01-08-2025Yesterday S&P 500 sold off and closed near LOD which could caution momentum traders.
Any test of ETH session High could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch: 5956 --- 5958
News to watch:
US FOMC Minutes --- 2:00PM EST
Wishing everyone Happy, Healthy and Wealthy Year !!!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-8-25: RALLY patternPlease take a few minutes to watch this entire video.
I spent quite a bit of time trying to explain to all of my followers why the markets are struggling to find a trend and why the volatility has been so excessive over the past 3+ months.
Simply put, the markets are trying to reprice a Trump Economy (changing from a Biden economy).
In my opinion, the new Trump economy will still be decent/good - but there will be changes and the US Fed is still trying to borrow based on past data - which traders no longer believe is going to be valid reflecting future US economic/policy actions.
Thus, yields are rising as investors demand MORE PROTECTION against unknowns.
And, THAT is one of the primary reasons why the US Dollar and Yields are really driving most of this market volatility.
Again, simply put, investors/traders are unsure of what the future US/global economy looks like (specifically with Trump suggesting he is going to "streamline" the US government/agencies, and fix the US BLOAT). To many people, that is a big unknown.
I do believe today's Rally phase in the SPY/QQQ, as well as the Rally phase in Gold, will resolve to the upside. Yesterday's move was, IMO, another "washout low".
We'll see how things play out today and see IF we get a RALLY move in the markets.
Bitcoin rolled downward right at the dual Flag levels - just as I suggested. Now we'll see Bitcoin roll back towards recent lows - trying to identify support, or break downward - targeting the $72k I suggested would be the next lower level.
Get some.
Stay ahead of these markets and remember to trade efficiently (BOOK PROFITS).
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 01.08.2025🔮
📅 Wed Jan 8
⏰ 8:15am
🧑🌾 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 139K (prev: 146K)
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Unemployment Claims: 214K (prev: 211K)
🎙️ FOMC Member Waller Speaks
⏰ 10:30am
🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.8M (prev: -1.2M)
⏰ 2:00pm
📜 FOMC Meeting Minutes
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
Slight rally higher and then chop out.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
A little more upside and then faced by some old-fashioned bearishness.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
$DATS and $HOTH largest two gainers of entire stock market todayImagine two +360% vertical stocks 🚀🚀 while rest of the market crashes
Imagine no more, that was reality today!
Today's 2 trades were the hottest two stocks of the entire market
NASDAQ:HOTH and NASDAQ:DATS with buy alerts before they went up 363% and 376% on over $1 Billion USD volume each
Now you know where all the bulls went today 📈
This further proves our strategy is able to generate big wins no matter the market circumstances!
🖐️ 5 Buy Alerts - 5 Wins yesterday
✌️ 2 Buy Alerts - 2 Wins today
Perfect week so far, let's keep it going!
Market Open Update: ES Buy Zone Here? APEX Trade of the DayHere's our APEX Trade of the Day!
The ES provided us with a healthy pullback providing a re-buy zone around the $5975 - $5982. We can use this as an overall market gauge to see some pushes higher in our trades that we have shared!
If you have seen them yet, be sure to follow for more as we can analyze the Market and finding what's available as to get positions in as we move forward into 2025!
Connect with us to stay tuned for more at @MyMIWallet #MyMIWallet
I just created this $300 Million dollar push in the market $HOTHOops?
Stock doubled in minutes causing huge losses to shortsellers and awesome wins to everyone who bought because of my alert
Volume went from 100 million shares to 270 million shares, stock went from $1.70 to $3.80 both within an hour 🔥
We're just getting started, shortsellers we're coming for you in 2025!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-7-25 : Counter Trend BreakawayToday's pattern suggests the markets will move upward (counter-trend) in an attempt to move into the RALLY, RALLY, RALLY phase closing out this week's price action.
I suggest traders prepare for what may become a fairly explosive upward trend over the next few days - but stay fairly cautious as unexpected news may derail price trends a bit.
We are still moving into the early 2025 liquidity flood - where traders who pulled capital away from risks in late 2024 are starting to move back into the markets. We are also moving into Q4:2024 earnings data (in about a week or so). So there are still lots of opportunities for big trends.
I'm watching to see if the markets attempt to move to new All-Time Highs again - which I believe is a highly probable outcome.
If my research is correct, we are going to move into that RALLY, RALLY, RALLY phase very cleanly today and tomorrow.
Gold and Silver are moving higher again - which is great to see. Today is a RALLY day on my Gold Cycle Patterns. Could be a great opportunity for skilled traders in Metals this week.
Bitcoin has reached that DUAL FLAGGING zone. In other words, stay cautious at this point.
Volatility will likely increase for Bitcoin and I believe the most likely outcome will be to attempt to move back downward after reaching this dual flagging zone. We'll see what happens next.
Remember, we are just starting 2025, so you have lots of time to try to identify opportunities throughout the year. Your goal as a trader is to find the best opportunities to BOOK PROFITS. The more you are able to BOOK PROFITS, the more likely you are to GROW YOUR ACCOUNT.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPX JAN 7 2025| READ DESCRIPTION |Here we need to understand the power of money & risk management.If it goes to 6200 from here then our RR is just 1: 1.08 .
The RR is the heart & soul of a trade. One should be discplined enought to understand this & if you are not getting minimum 1:2 & I have used the word minimum, then there is no point taking that particular trade.
You need to think what if a trade goes against me?
Always be open to both sides understanding the RR
If you are not following RR & rules then this business will eat all your wealth
You mind is actually the most powerful thing in the world.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 01.07.2025🔮
📅 Tue Jan 7
⏰ 10:00am
📈 ISM Services PMI: 53.5 (prev: 52.1)
📋 JOLTS Job Openings: 7.73M (prev: 7.74M)
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
If we gap above here, it’s going to bait a lot of traders by a drop.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
A little more upside and then will be faced by some old-fashioned bearishness.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Will cause a chop as people try hedging slightly but keep an upside thesis as people hedge extremely fast.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
My Current Market Sentiment Through March 2025 Hello Trader Fam,
In this video I am covering my current market sentiment through March or even April of this year. Along with this, we'll take a closer look at the dollar, the vix, the spy, NVIDIA, U.S. Oil, and Crypto - (Bitcoin, Dominance, Solana, Solana memecoins, AI genned memecoins, etc.). We'll talk a bit about my indicator and what it is showing us and why it has me leaning bullish but why I am cautious with Bitcoin in the lead.
✌️Stew
CHIP SECTOR TO CRASH SMH The chart posted is the SMH we are now in the final 5th wave and it is a classic 5th wave Diagonal in the 5th wave wave to form a double top into fib cycle peak .From here we should see a major break down in All chip stocks into Oct 2025 but we should see the first leg down low march 10/20th 2025 this should be a Very Bearish action world wide see spy and qqq as well . This is the warning to All traders EXIT INTO RALLIES THE BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-6-25 : Inside BreakawayToday's pre-market RIPPER RALLY somewhat invalidates the "Inside" part of any Inside Breakaway pattern. But, this rally mode in price validates what I've been suggesting for more than 3 weeks now - that the markets would settle after the new year and start to move into a rally phase before the Presidential Inauguration event.
Today's rally in metals and the SPY/QQQ suggests traders are eager to see the Q4:2024 results and are starting to PILE INTO the US equities markets after a very volatile end to 2024.
Even though 2024 was a banner year for the SPY (up over 20% YoY), December was very difficult for many traders. Aren't you glad you listened to my advice and moved to 80-85% CASH back on October 25 and avoided all this chaos?
As we start this week, I want to warn you that trades will be fairly quick in terms of "making up for lost ground". I believe quite a bit of the market's movement will take place overnight and pre-market. We'll still see some trending throughout the US regular trading session - but I believe the bigger moves will take place after hours in most cases.
Remember, foreign capital will be pouring into US assets for safety and security over the next 3-6+ months.
Gold and Silver will act as a hedge against perceived risks and I believe Gold will make a rally attempt above $2800 in early 2025. Silver.. Well, Silver is about to see an explosive move to levels above $35 in my opinion.
Bitcoin is still struggling to break away from this sideways price range. I believe the real struggle will materialize in about 24 to 48 hours as Bitcoin reaches an overlapping consolidation phase (almost like a Flag Apex). This is where I believe big volatility will hit for Bitcoin.
Get some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
1/6 Weekly Watchlist + NotesIndexes - SPY had a really interesting start to the year this past week. For starters, we went 2-1-2d and hit magnitude on Thursday before seeing price retrace back through all of the weeks previous range before making new weekly highs, and closing green. We now have 1-2-2U potential on all indexes, as well as a LOT of names off my scanner. Its also worth noting that we poked through previous month lows on all indexes before seeing a reversal back into previous range. This now opens up the potential for outside months on all indexes (AKA engulfing bars) which will be evidenced by our weekly setups triggering the 1-2D-2U and targeting the previous month's midpoint on all indexes to trigger the SSS50% rule (Which essentially says when you break one side of previous range and then retrace more than 50% of the previous candles range, you are now closer to taking out that other side than you are to reclaiming the side that was already taken out. It doesn't necessarily mean price is more likely to go to the other side, but it does mean that there is less room to the other side than their is to the one side broken, which means it is fundamentally less difficult to achieve since it would require less effort from one group (in this case buyers) to reclaim one side vs the effort it would take the other group (Sellers) to reclaim the level broken already.
This week it is evident we have all the setups and evidence needed to start heading back towards ATH on the indexes, but it will depend on whether we can actually take out previous week highs, and then remain above them. Simply put, if price is above previous week highs, we are seeing an attempt to reclaim the previous weekly highs all the way up to ATH. If we break above previous highs and fail to stay above, then we are seeing a failed attempt from buyers, and we can look to target previous week lows. If inside week, we just rely on what is happening each day to see where daily participants are attempting to take price. If price is stuck inside previous week range, trade something that isn't.
The watchlist for the week will include the best bullish setups, and also looking for relative weakness in what is currently a strong market (as evidenced by the majority of stocks on all indexes being green on the previous day and week).
Bullish:
NYSE:LUV - Big hammer daily that took out a lot of daily pivots below on friday. Hammer week as well, but having mother bar issues on the week as well as M being inside despite large drawdown Friday. Sort of expecting a big move or big fail this week.
NASDAQ:AMD - Revstrat hammer week at M/Q Exhaustion level
NASDAQ:SMCI - 2-2U weekly to counter M going 2D. Daily BF looking to expand. (played this 2 weeks ago for downside, now we have evidence to go long back through range)
NYSE:NET - 3-2U W to target ATH
NASDAQ:MSFT - 2-1-2U D to trigger W hammer 2-2 to negate monthly 2-2 rev. Daily PMG as well
Bearish:
NYSE:KO - 3-1-2d shooter D, 2-1-2 W, 2-1-2 M. 3 Actionable signals that could all trigger and hit targets easily this week, if not all on Monday alone
NYSE:DG Revstrat shooter W to trigger monthly 2-2D. Nice weekly Broadening Formation
NASDAQ:DLTR - Failed 2U Week that triggered SSS50% rule. Looking to quickly drop back through previous range to take this month failed 2U to 3. DG also looking weak so slight industry support here too.
Neutral:
NASDAQ:AVGO - 2x Inside week. No daily AS, but seemingly making a new BF within the combined range of the 2 days after their recent ER. Weekly participants lacking control since then and currently showing evidence of sellers trying to take out LOD from ER gap up day. Can trade this either way since compound inside bars typically result in outside bars following.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.6.2024🔮
📣 Corporate News:
💻 Nvidia CEO's CES Keynote (Mon) on AI & Semiconductor Tech
🗓️ Schedule Note:
Markets Closed Thu 🇺🇸 in honor of former President Jimmy Carter
📅 Tue Jan 7
⏰ 10:00am
📈 ISM Services PMI: 53.2 (prev: 52.1)
📋 JOLTS Job Openings: 7.77M (prev: 7.74M)
📅 Wed Jan 8
⏰ 8:15am
🧑🌾 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 131K (prev: 146K)
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Unemployment Claims: 210K (prev: 211K)
⏰ 2:00pm
📜 FOMC Meeting Minutes
📅 Fri Jan 10
⏰ 8:30am
💰 Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.4%)
👷 Non-Farm Employment Change: 154K (prev: 227K)
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (prev: 4.2%)
#ces #trading #foryou #shorts #stockmarket #finance #daily NASDAQ:NVDA
Doge Showing BUY signal While Using Easy Machine Learning Method
TL:DR
Currently Analyzing DOGE because one of my clients asked me to create a customized indicator and parameter set for him, and these are the results. Long story short, a backtest shows that the custom indicator and parameter set will yield 7000%+ profit compared to buying and holding DOGE which only resulted in 400%+ profits. According to that indicator, DOGE is currently in another buy state. Let me walk you through how I did it, the details and nuances, and next steps. Please let me know if you agree or disagree with me. I have a breakdown of the script and here is the link for it:
www.tradingview.com
Here is my general process for validating whether a script will be successful:
1) Determine performance vs buy and hold
In the world of technical analysis, you must have a benchmark to compare your results to. Depending on your goals, that benchmark can vary. For my goals, I believe it makes sense to compare indicators directly to the buy and hold scenario, but in some scenarios, it makes sense to use other metrics to compare your indicator against (I'll discuss this in a future post.)
When comparing your indicator to a buy and hold, I PREFER to use a 100% order size and this is obviously UNREALISTIC because there aren't many traders who dump 100% of their equity into a single investment. However, because I am doing a comparison test, it is important to max out the indicator since we are comparing it directly to the buy and hold. Similarly, we don't add in any trade costs, which mean I am neglecting the commission, fees, and slippage, which again show this is unrealistic. Again, the reason I do this method is so that I can verify if the indicator is any good or not. A "good" indicator will have consistent results and beat the buy and hold over the course of a long duration with a large number of trades. a "bad" indicator will be inconsistent, which may refer to huge drawdown, or periods of time where it is unsuccessful/unprofitable. The difference between a 'good' indicator and a 'bad' indicator in this context is that a 'good' indicator will be able to absorb some of the trade costs (mentioned earlier) whereas the 'bad' indicator can't be fixed. Trade costs, especially commission and fees, are highly dependent on number of trades. So if a 'good' indicator performs well on a 1 minute chart against the buy and hold, but it starts to fail when trade costs are accounted for, then you can still adjust the indicator or timeframe so that you perform less trades, which will reduce the trade costs, but still maintain the profits. Again, a 'bad' indicator is dead in the water if it can't outperform buy and hold in the first place.
In this example, we have DOGE performing at +400% profits. In the same time period, this strategy would have yielded 7000%+ profits in the same time period. Therefore, these results show that the customized parameter set and indicator work well, and should be considered as a 'good' indicator to use for DOGE. The next step is to add in trade costs, and modify the timeframe IF NECESSARY. Most likely, from my experience, a strategy that yields 7000%+ profits won't suffer significantly from trade costs, and will still be SIGNIFICANTLY better than the 400% DOGE buy and hold scenario, which ultimately leaves my client and I with what he requested: a solid and profitable strategy that he can use to alert him when to buy and when to sell DOGE.
🔔If you'd like me to come up with a custom indicator and parameter set for whatever you trade, please send me a message and I'll work on it ASAP and make a post about it!
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.