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Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.12.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies: At 10:00 AM ET, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will testify before Congress, providing insights into the economic outlook and potential monetary policy adjustments. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📅 Wednesday, Feb 12: 🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI) (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM. 📈 Core CPI (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM. 📉 CPI (YoY) (Jan): Expected 2.9%; Previous 2.9%. 📉 Core CPI (YoY) (Jan): Expected 3.1%; Previous 3.2%. 🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 AM ET): Previous: +8.664M. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by TrendTao
$BA Getting Ready to Resume the Uptrend?Boeing had formed a cup with handle formation that it “tried” to breakout from at earnings. That breakout failed but not by much. It broke out again on February 6th and has since been forming what looks like a bull flag. I had an alert set on the horizontal line of resistance (breakout area) and I took a long position with a stop just below today’s low. To confirm the continuation of the uptrend, it needs to break above the bull flag. If it does that I will look to add to my position. This is my idea of how I look to make trades. If you like it, please make it your own trade, and follow “your” trading rules.
NYSE:BALong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-11 : GAP DefenderThe GAP Defender pattern is where price struggles to maintain a recent open GAP - attempting to defend against closing that GAP. In my mind, this is the lower GAP window between 601.30 and 602.75 (yesterday's opening GAP range). If this recent gap is filled, then I suggest the SPY will attempt to move downward (into my Deep-V breakdown) trying to target the lower GAP near 584.29. Watch Gold and Silver as they continue to breakdown. Any big breakdown in metals should be considered a warning sign the markets are moving into a PANIC phase (selling). We have lots of news today (Powell and other Fed members testifying) while we just found out Trump initiated a larger tariff on steel. I believe the strength of the US Dollar will continue to put pressure on global currencies - possibly leading to even more foreign market distress. This may result in a broader global market breakdown over the next 5-10 trading days. Remember, we have the Deep-V pattern setting up this week and another Major Bottom pattern setting up on Feb 21. I interpret this as a dual-breakdown event - where price attempts to move downward and tries to identify solid support. Bitcoin will likely follow this trend downward over the next 5 to 10+ days. Buckle up. It looks like today may be the day my Deep-V breakdown starts to drive prices lower for the SPY/QQQ and other major sectors. We'll see how things play out. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
13
Your Vote Counts - Help Build the Ultimate Index Watchlist!Hey, I need your help again - this will only take a minute! I’ve said it before, here and to my Substackers: I want to be your reminder to invest . Because let’s be honest, steadily growing your wealth might not be thrilling but it should be your goal! Yes, individual stocks have their place (and I’ll keep sharing ideas on those too), but indexes should be a key part of a solid portfolio. Today’s focus? Maximizing your index purchases. 📊 Proven strategy: A few weeks ago, I ran an experiment comparing QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF), SPY (S&P 500 ETF), and IWM (Russell 2000 ETF). Using technical analysis, I outperformed two of them. The tests showed that blind purchasing could be costly: for instance, regular SPY purchases would have left $100,000 on the table, and IWM even more. But here’s the point: this isn’t about blindly picking an index - it’s about timing, risk optimization, and smart diversification. 💡 Now, it’s YOUR turn! Drop two indexes in the comments that you want me to analyze every single month. You decide the final list (likely 4-5 indexes), and I’ll cover them consistently. Whether it’s S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, DAX, Euro Stoxx 50, Russell 2000, or others - you pick, I deliver. 📈 How this helps YOU? ✔️ No overthinking : "What should I buy this month?" - just wait for my post and see the TOP picks ✔️ Keeps you engaged and active in the market ✔️ Builds consistency in your investing ✔️ Ensures every allocation works harder for you ⬇️ Comment your picks below, and let’s make every move count! 🚀 Cheers, Vaido
SP:SPXLong
by VaidoVeek
22
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update - Watching Paint Dry...Today's market seems to be trapped in a "go nowhere" zone. Get thread though. The markets will react to my Deep-V and Breakdown patterns with some aggression in the near future (24 to 48+ hours). Buckle up. This is going to get very interesting as the SPY attempts to move down to 585-590 - or lower. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-10: EveningStar Island PatternThroughout the past week and a half, I've been watching the markets as I prepare for what I believe will be a sudden and fairly aggressive Deep-V setup between 2-10 and 2-13. Yes, that means RIGHT NOW we are sitting on top of a potentially aggressive type of FLASH market move to the downside. Will it come from news, or someone's comments (think Fed comments or news), or will it come from some other source - if it shows up at all. I'm sticking to my Deep-V analysis because I have no reason to believe it is wrong. We may see a mild type of Deep-V pattern, but I believe it will happen anyway. So, as we move into this week's trading, I want to urge everyone to stay very cautious of a potential FLASH breakdown into my Deep-V type of price activity. As you may get trapped into longs and feel comfortable entering some solid bullish price trends/trades, be aware that this FLASH breakdown (Deep-V pattern) may still be lurking behind what appears to be a solid uptrend (for now). Gold and Silver are falling - which is perfect for my Expansion Phase rally to $4400+ (gold). Bitcoin is stalling - preparing for a breakdown. This is the time to prepare for the rest fo 2025. Follow my research to know when you JUMP INTO the markets for greater success. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
2
MyMI After-Hours Update: S&P 500 Potential Pullback?As the White House proposes 25% Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum imported to the US, and with the current resistance we're seeing around the $6069 Price Level, we're now looking for a potential pullback as more import duties are to be included along with Steel and Aluminum come Tuesday / Wednesday of this week. If we do see a pullback, we're looking to see if it break support on the 50% Retracement and even further below are the $6021 Price Levels, but even more so, the $5960s. Going to be an interesting one to watch! Stay connected by registering your FREE account on our website to access even more resources and tools to improve managing your financials and investments. LINK IN BIO!
CME_MINI:ESH2025Short
by MyMIWallet
1
CRASH - CRASH - CRASH - Don't believe a word of it...I created this video because I'm seeing a bunch of content/videos where everyone is suddenly calling for a CRASH. and I laugh about it. If you want to believe the markets are going to CRASH - go for it. Sell everything. Bet the farm on the CRASH. Leverage your house and everything you own to bet on the CRASH. It's not going to happen soon. My research is very clear. I believe the first opportunity for a deep (more than 25-35%) market pullback will happen after late 2029 and into 2030. Until then, we are going to see moderate pullbacks in a very solid uptrend. Watch this video and learn why real research and modeling systems don't react to the Crash-Dummies that continually push out CLICK-BAIT. It's time to get real about your trading and investing. If you are following someone who continually calls for a market crash - good luck. At some point, you are going to come to the realization they are wrong 90% of the time. Try to find someone you trust who provides clear, timely, and ACCURATE forecasts. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
FX:NAS100Long
by BradMatheny
64
$QQQ Wedging on the 65 Minute Chart (VCP)NASDAQ:QQQ is clearly in a wedging pattern. These types of patterns “usually” resolve in the direction of the larger trend. In this case that trend is still up. This is a news driven market now so anything can happen. I have an alert set at both the top and bottom of the wedge lines. I do not plan to short this market, but should it break down, I may want to reduce my exposure. And if it breaks to the upside, I may add more exposure. I am giving my observation of the market. Nothing more.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by jaxdog
Weekly Market Forecast: S&P, NAS & DOW Are Still Bullish!This forecast is for the week of Feb 10-14th. The S&P500, the NASDAQ, and the DOW JONES are still bullish overall, despite last weeks NFP news that saw the markets move lower. Until there is a bearish break in market structure, it is buys all the way. Let the markets reach the buy zones and wait for the bullish market structure shift. That is the time to take valid buy setups. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by RT_Money
$CWAN Ready to Break Out of The Flat Base? NYSE:CWAN is a name most of us have never heard of. They serve hedge funds, asset managers, and insurance clients with Analytic software. It looks like it is in the process of putting in a higher low. It has regained the 8 and 20 EMAs and the MACD has turned positive. It can still go either way. There is overhead resistance at both the upper horizonal line on the chart and the now downward sloping 50 DMA (red). I have an alert set on the upper resistance line around 29.50. Should that trigger, I will go to a lower timeframe like a 5-minute chart to see if I can get a good entry. My stop, if I take the trade would be on a close below the 20 EMA (green). Making for a tight and good risk reward trade. I do not set targets, but I do think it has a chance to get back up to around 32.00 – 32.50. Which is around a 13% gain if that were to happen. If you like this idea, make it your own trade that fits your trading style.
NYSE:CWANLong
by jaxdog
$QTUM Maybe Trying to break out of This Wedge (VCP)I have been long this name for a few months now in my investment account. I have added more today with a stop on the added position size just below today’s low. There are some very big names in this ETF, it invests in AI learning as well as Quantum Computing. It looks to me to be in a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), more popularly called a wedging pattern. I went long more shares as indicated above in anticipation of a break above the declining upper trendline. It also is supported by both the 8 and 20 EMAs and has consolidated to get more inline with the 50 DMA (red). If you like it, make the trade your own and make sure it fits your trading plan. Look at the fund holdings in “More About Fund” link supplied by TradingView. Here are some of the names you might recognize: NASDAQ:KLAC NYSE:IBM NASDAQ:PLTR NYSE:RTX NYSE:BABA From Defiance ETF Website: QTUM Index Description: The BlueStar® Machine Learning and Quantum Computing Index (BQTUM) tracks liquid companies in the global quantum computing and machine learning industries, including products and services related to quantum computing or machine learning, such as the development or use of quantum computers or computing chips, superconducting materials, applications built on quantum computers, embedded artificial intelligence chips, or software specializing in the perception, collection, visualization, or management of big data.
NASDAQ:QTUMLong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Where's The Deep-VShortly after I created the morning video, the markets opened with a BANG. First rallying, then rolling over - just as I predicted. Granted, I never expected the markets to rally above 606 before rolling downward, but the breakdown move into a potential Deep-V looks to be playing out very nicely right now. Come Monday (2-10), and possibly carrying into the 13th, we could see a very sharp deep-V type price move that pushes the SPY below 580 for a period of time. That could be a very big move from the 606+ levels we saw this morning. And you know I'll be saying, "Just as I predicted," for at least 3 to 5 days starting early next week if that happens. Again, I put my research out to the public like this to either live or die by my work. Very few people are able to do this - or they flip/flop all the time (every 2-3 hours). My research is different. I'm really trying to make a difference by telling traders what to expect now and in the future. I know I'm starting to make a difference for many people because I'm getting emails and messages from individuals who use my research to identify great trade opportunities. Are you going to be the next person to share your success story with me? Remember, have a safe weekend and GET SOME come Monday morning. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
$TAN Is This Getting Ready for a Stage 2 Breakout?Clean Energy (Solar) has been in a downtrend since January 2021! Every time it looks like it is setting up for a stage 2 breakout, it has broken down. Will this time be different? Here is what I see on this chart. TAN was in a clear downtrend until mid-December 2024. Then it challenged its previous high from the beginning of December. That failed BUT, it seems to have found a bottom as here we are in early February, and it has not sunk any lower than the December lows. I am optimistic that we may be ready to enter a Stage 2 uptrend. However, it has work to do. The first step is to get up and over the 50 DMA (red). Next it needs to break the Downtrend line. It also needs to put in a higher high and finally put in a higher low. As I said, it has work to do. Having said all of that, I have an alert set just over the 50 DMA where I will look for a good entry where I can put in a tight stop should I decide to make the trade. IF, it is going to enter a sustained uptrend it “could” be a big winner. All TBD. These are my ideas, if you think it makes sense for you, please make it your own trade that fits within “your” trading plan.
AMEX:TANLong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Carryover PatternAs many of you know, I'm still expecting a breakdown in the markets leading to my Deep-V pattern on the 9th and the secondary Major Bottom on the 10th. Why haven't we started to move downward yet? I really don't know. I suspect the markets are being pushed higher by Market Makers trying to crush the shorts (premium). Either way, we'll know how this is going to play out over the next 5+ days. If I'm right, we'll see the SPY break downward towards 580-590 over the next 5+ days. The QQQ should move down 510-515 throughout that same breakdown (possibly a bit lower). I expect Gold and Silver to also move downward if this breakdown in the SPY/QQQ happens as I expect. Metals tend to move downward when the SPY/QQQ makes a sudden impulsive breakdown move. Bitcoin also appears to be poised for a breakdown event. It seems that all the indexes and symbols I follow in the morning video are already standing near the edge of a cliff, just waiting to jump off. I urge traders to move into a protective mode (protecting open longs and hedging against any breakdown event) over the next 5-10+ days. We'll eventually see another bounce/rally off some lows, but right now, everything looks ready to JUMP (off the cliff). Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
10
SPX500 H4 | Approaching all-time highSPX500 is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 6,128.66 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the all-time high. Stop loss is at 6,195.00 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level. Take profit is at 6,011.02 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:SPX500Short
by FXCM
Elliott Wave View: SPY Looking to Resume HigherShort Term Elliott Wave View in SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) suggests pullback to 575.04 ended wave ((4)). The ETF has resumed higher in wave ((5)) with internal subdivision as 5 waves impulse. Up from wave ((4)), wave ((i)) ended at 585.99 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 578.35. From there, wave (i) ended at 583.81 and wave (ii) ended at 578.90. Wave (iii) higher ended at 595.56 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 590.35. Final wave (v) ended at 607.7 which completed wave ((iii)). Pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 604.67 and wave ((v)) higher ended at 610.78. This completed wave 1 in higher degree. The ETF then pullback in wave 2 with internal subdivision as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((b)) ended at 609.96 as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((a)), wave (w) ended at 605.96 and wave (x) ended at 599.22. Wave (y) higher ended at 609.96 which completed wave ((b)) in higher degree. The ETF turned lower in wave ((c)) towards 589.5 which completed wave 2 in higher degree. It has turned higher in wave 3. Near term, as far as pivot at 575.04 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
AMEX:SPY
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1