Is Stock Market Going to Crash?Stock Market Analysis | NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
Mag 7 Price Forecast | NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFT GOOGL
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
SPY Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
SPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 555.80 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 569.99
Recommended Stop Loss - 549.79
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY is still on thin iceA month back I wouldn't have believed this post though I did expect 10% correction and exited my major position at the top. I post this as pure academic purpose and my own record. I find volume profile the most important tool in technical analysis. Whatever I present here is an educated guess and not pure speculation. Before doing the profile I did a VP study on major stocks, since VP shows more clarity on the stocks
Based on Volume profile the sellers will have little resistance breaking through thin ice zone. We could still be looking at 514 easily. Then it starts facing some resistance
Market is still breaking through bubble territory. The reason I call bubble territory is because the volume became significantly lower after May 24. Most of the large investors and funds had bought their major holding by then. If fact based on news Warren Buffet and Michael Burry started selling USA market in August and kept selling till end of Dec. WB sold his entire holding of American express, one of his favourite company Berkshire was holding largest cash balance in is history by Dec. Smart guy. So I just followed him. Then I ask If these heavy weights are selling will they back after 10% correction? No way, they would wait for at least 20% or more markdown
This give me confidence in my analysis and economic environment supports that too
The market will quick fall through low volume region or imbalances. These act like magnets for the price and stop or pause for a breath at High volume nodes and even bounce back to take back some the low volume nodes. These can create a flag structure. This what happened when the market bounced back from 5500 to 5790 and reversed again. I correctly said in a previous post it was a bear flag
When the market is euphoric and in FOMO stage it will leave lots of volume gaps which attracts the market back to those levels
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo SystemEOD accountability report: +$537.50
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: Energized
As mentioned in our trade recap video yesterday, today was suppose to be really bearish and go down more,
However, the inflation report ended up being really bad and that just crashed the market all day.
I was expecting to see some bounces here and there along the way but it was just straight drill with no buyers in sight.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System
8:24 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! Look to STR at 1 min MOB or resistance.
11:10 AM VXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal
3:36 PM VXAlgo NQ 48M Buy Signal
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-28-25 EOD Review : Brutal SellingI sure hope all of you were able to profit from this big selling trend today.
And I also hope you didn't get trapped in the potential for a base/bottom rally off the recent lows.
This move downward reminds me of the 2022-2023 downward trending pattern when the Fed was raising rates.
What Trump is doing with tariffs is very similar. It is slowing the economy in a way that will not break it - but it will result in slower, more costly, economic function.
Watch this video and I sure hope all of you have great (profitable) stories to share with me today.
I know I do. And, I'm positioned for the weekend. Ready to profit no matter what the markets do.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPY Bearish wave count The only one !The chart posted is that of the spy updated for the bearish wave structure . I have now exited my 125 % long position as the formation is forming SO FAR an ABC rally up with two legs if equal we should top today in cash at 5796 5805 in spy 575/577.9 IF the beasish count is correct we should see a 3 wave drop to retest the low or make a small new low for wave B then I will enter the long calls once again for a 5 wave rally under the bearish count the limit is .786 but based on history dated back to 1902 we should peak at .618 to .66 if The bearish wave count is were we are in the Cycle . But if we rally from here and close above 5805 I would see the market making New all time Highs .Best of trades WAVETIMER 1
Bear Flag Broken on the $SPYBear Flag Broken on the AMEX:SPY ‼️🙀
- Rejection off the 200DMA
- 25DMA Bearish Cross of the 200DMA
Look Left 🎯 is $549.68
⛳️Measured Move 📏 is $538.73
Not financial advice
DJI US stock market forecast 2025-2026Assumption:
oct-22 — nov-24 (1-2-3-4-5) wave is over.
correction (a)-(b)-(c) is expected.
likely structure is a 3 wave regular flat.
Time:
the correction is expected to last until at least sep-25.
Price:
it's too early to predict final price for wave (c).
anticipated range is 35000-39000.
wave (a) shall reach 39600.
Long term waves:
Major uptrend lasts 25 years.
Major correcting downtrend lasts 9 years.
Next major downtrend is expected to start in 2033-2034.
3/21 Gap Fill Bullish BounceUS indices are poised to fill downside gaps from Friday's close. Could be good for a bounce w/ upside cash gap targets higher.
Morning Market AnalysisToday or Monday should be a low. The possibility of a move up after open to squeeze out shorts before a larger down move is there.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-28-25 : Carryover in Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move downward in early trading. The SPY may possibly target the 564-565 level before finding support. The QQQ may possibly attempt to target the 475-476 level before finding support.
Overall, the downward trend is still dominant.
I believe the SPY/QQQ may find some support before the end of trading today and attempt to BOUNCE (squeeze) into the close of trading.
Gold and Silver are RIPPING higher. Here we go.
Remember, I've been telling you of the opportunities in Gold/Silver and other market for more than 5+ months (actually more than 3+ years). This is the BIG MOVE starting - the BIG PARABOLIC price rally.
BTCUSD has rolled downward off the FWB:88K level - just like I predicted. Now we start the move down to the $78k level, then break downward into the $58-62k level looking for support.
Love hearing all of your success stories/comments.
GET SOME.
Happy Friday.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 28, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📊 Core PCE Inflation Data Release: The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for February is set to be released. Economists anticipate a 0.3% month-over-month increase and a 2.5% year-over-year growth, aligning with previous figures. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, this data could influence monetary policy decisions.
🇺🇸🛍️ Consumer Spending and Income Reports: February's personal income and spending reports are due, with forecasts indicating a 0.4% rise in personal income and a 0.5% increase in personal spending. These figures will provide insights into consumer behavior and economic momentum.
🇺🇸🏠 Pending Home Sales Data: The Pending Home Sales Index for February is scheduled for release, with expectations of a 2.0% increase, following a 1.0% rise in January. This index offers a forward-looking perspective on housing market activity.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, March 28:
💵 Personal Income (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.4%
Previous: +0.9%
Measures the change in income received from all sources by consumers.
🛍️ Personal Spending (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.5%
Previous: -0.2%
Tracks the change in the value of spending by consumers.
📈 PCE Price Index (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year
Previous: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year
Reflects changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: +2.0%
Previous: +1.0%
Indicates the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPX - Where Rebound?Possible reversal level is at the lower boundary of the channel in wave 4 of the upper order
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo SystemEOD accountability report: +$786.25
Sleep: :ok: Overall health: Day 1 of fasting, edgy as f
I finally got to test Caffeine and lions mane on an empty stomach and it was crazy, really sharp focus but jumpy as well.
We started the day off pretty scary, Huge drop to 5720 and instant recovery to the top. Traded a bit on one of my APEX evals that renewed today but
Didn't really touch the funded account until 11:20 when we hit the 48m resistance and got a 10m signal.
Overall day was pretty decent, 10m and 5 m chart worked really well.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System
9:50 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal 2x
11:10 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Sell Signal 2x
12:24 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
$DELL Ready for a Dumpster Dive?NYSE:DELL I got long on this one Feb 14th and I was stopped out just a few days later. I am looking at it again because they are a big supplier for AI hardware needs, and I think they are over sold. (Just because I think that does not make it so.)
Here is what I am looking at. Today’s candle is a clear rejection of heading lower (at least for today). If we can get a follow through candle tomorrow, I will look to take this long with a clearly defined risk just below today’s candle. Which if it follows through would be a nice higher low.
If you like this idea, please make it your own and make sure it fits your trading plan.
$DE Breaking Out of Flat Base?I went long NYSE:DE on Mar 5th after it bounced right back over the 50 DMA (red). It had been choppy, so I waited to add to the position until today. Why today? If you look you can see the pattern of the candles kept getting tighter and consolidating around the shorter term EMAs. I had drawn in what felt to me to be a resemblance of a flat base pattern. It broke above that with conviction this morning, so I have added to bring up to a full-size position.
My stop on the added portion will be just below the LOD and the remaining stop has been moved up to the most recent higher low.
If you like this idea, please make sure it fits with your trading plan. These are simply my ideas.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-27-25 : Breakaway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern suggests the markets will continue to melt downward (possibly attempting to fill the Gap from March 24).
I strongly believe the SPY/QQQ are completing the "rolling top" pattern I suggested would happen near or after the March 21-24 TOP pattern my deeper cycle research suggested was likely.
At this point, things are just starting to line up for a broader market decline while the current EPP pattern plays out as a Breakdown of the EPP Flagging formation (moving into consolidation).
Gold and Silver are RIPPING higher. Yes, I do expect a little bit of volatility near these recent highs. But, I also expect metals to continue to rally higher from these levels over the next 10-15+ days. Watch the video.
Bitcoin is stalling/topping - just as I suggested it would months ago.
Now we see how the market move into this new trending phase and how far this current trend will drive price trends. I believe the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin will all continue to move downward while Gold/Silver move (RIP) higher on this breakaway move.
This is a PERFECT trader's market.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Bull vs Bear: The 5700 FlipzoneBull vs Bear: The 5700 Flipzone | SPX Analysis 27 Mar 2025
Some days, the best trade is no trade at all.
It’s Thursday, the kettle’s on, the charts are up… and I’ve done absolutely bugger all from a trading perspective. Not out of laziness (though I do love a good sit-down), but because nothing’s screaming "go". And when nothing’s screaming, I don’t go running.
We’re smack-dab in the middle of the “flip zone” - right around 5700. The market’s pacing like a nervous cat, pretending to pick a direction, but mostly just knocking things off the shelf to keep us on our toes. And honestly? I’m good with it. Because when the market hesitates like this, it’s usually winding up for something worth waiting for.
Stick with me and I’ll show you how to turn “nothing happening” into “something smart”.
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Deeper Dive Analysis:
Today felt a bit like turning up to a party early and realising no one’s there yet. Just me… and the punch bowl.
I’ve barely done a thing trade-wise. And I’m perfectly happy about it. Because when there’s no clear setup, the smartest thing you can do is absolutely nothing.
Here’s why:
The 5700 level continues to act like the social bouncer of this range - nobody gets through without a convincing ID. It’s the pivot point where bulls and bears are circling, eyeing each other like it’s a West Side Story dance-off.
Bear pulse bars? None yet. So while price has dribbled downward in that slow, lazy style, we’ve had no real confirmation of fresh bearish momentum.
Bull pulse bars? Not exactly punching through the ceiling either. For that, we need to see solid moves above 5720 and, ideally, a breakout-pullback pattern to load up a fresh bull swing.
What’s more interesting is the GEX (Gamma Exposure). This week’s setup highlights 5700 as the flip point, reinforcing what we’ve already seen in price behaviour. When the options market lines up with technicals, I start paying even more attention.
The ES futures chart (with overnight data) shows the same range boundaries a little more clearly. It’s painting a picture of compression. And as you know from experience, compression always precedes expansion.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: patience pays.
We're in the eye of the storm - the kind where people get twitchy, traders get emotional, and portfolios get wrecked... unless you're working the system.
So here's the play:
No new bear trades until pulse bars form below 5700.
Bull trades only trigger on solid breaks above 5720.
Until then? Watch. Wait. Brew tea.
Because I’d rather miss the first 10 points of the move than get slapped for trying to be clever.
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Fun Fact
There’s a stock ticker called YUM. Yes, really.
YUM Brands – owner of Taco Bell, KFC, and Pizza Hut – trades under the very appropriate ticker: YUM. Now that’s branding you can taste.
YUM Brands spun off from PepsiCo in 1997 and has since become a global fast food empire. With over 50,000 restaurants in more than 150 countries, it’s been gobbling up global market share like it’s a late-night snack. The ticker symbol “YUM” is one of Wall Street’s more deliciously accurate tickers – and proves that branding doesn’t stop at the menu. Fun fact: KFC was once known as “Kentucky Fried Chicken” until the name got a trim for health-conscious times. Go figure.
$KRE REGIONAL BANK Crash? Identical Setup to March 23'Identical Setup to 23' Regional Bank Crash. As always, not sure what the trigger will be, but I will do my best to keep everyone updated as usual. Target of $58 from $60s reached. I'll be expecting a bit more come June. Watch for the sideways movement and rally until then.
Toast me or Roast me - I'm still learning & practicing charting
I was looking at descending scallops and some of their features via thepatternsite.com
What is valid or invalid about this charting here??
I have the high peak marked from the ATH that topped the uptrend on AMEX:SPY and the most recent upward breakout prior to trending back down on the 1HR as of yesterday. I know I will only be able to confirm in hindsight but is there good reason here for me to say we have the makings of a long-er term descending scallop in play here?
Thanks to all. I enjoy reading your opinions and discussions on the daily.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo SystemEOD accountability report: +$790
Sleep: Great Overall health: :check:
Overall pretty decent trading day, spotted long term sell signals on market across the board this morning pre market so I was expecting thing to be bearish and drop. It played out as expected and helped with the trades today as thing went according to plan most of the time.
I did expect a V shape recovery at some point but that didnt happen.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System
10:36 AM VXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal,( didn't work that well)
1:30PM 10min MOB bounce :check:
2:09 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal + 10min MOB (Double Signal) :check:
3:36 PM VXAlgo NQ 48M Buy Signal :check:
S&P500 - Donald Trump Is Crashing Markets!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is starting a correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Since Donald Trump was elected the markets have been super volatile and clearly not too easy to trade. But now it seems like bears are slowly taking over the entire U.S. stock market after we just saw a drop of -10% within a couple of days and a correction becomes more and more likely.
Levels to watch: $6.100, $4.800
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
US Cash Market Goes 'Flippant'. Understanding Revenge in TradingFirst of all, revenge trading is a destructive pattern of behavior in trading where individuals make impulsive and emotionally-driven decisions in an attempt to recoup previous losses. This practice is not limited to novice traders; even experienced traders can fall prey to it. The primary emotions driving revenge trading include anger, frustration, greed, fear, and shame, which cloud judgment and lead to irrational decision-making.
Causes of Revenge Trading
Emotional Response: Traders often react emotionally to significant losses, feeling compelled to immediately recover their losses without adequate analysis or strategy.
Lack of Discipline: Deviating from established trading plans and risk management principles is common in revenge trading.
Psychological Triggers: Feelings of injustice, anger, or a desire for vengeance against the market can trigger revenge trading.
Consequences of Revenge Trading
Financial Losses: Revenge trading often results in larger losses due to riskier trades and poor timing.
Emotional Burnout: The stress and frustration from repeated losses can lead to emotional exhaustion and decreased trading performance.
Career Impact: Persistent revenge trading can erode confidence and lead to a trader questioning their abilities.
Real-Life Examples of Revenge Trading
Increasing Position Size: A trader experiences a significant loss and decides to double or triple their position size in the next trade, hoping to quickly recover their losses. This action disregards risk management principles and often leads to even greater losses.
Ignoring Stop-Loss Orders: After a loss, a trader might hold onto a losing position longer than planned, hoping it will turn around. This behavior ignores established stop-loss orders and can result in further financial damage.
Chasing Trades: A trader feels compelled to enter trades without proper analysis, driven by the urge to recoup losses quickly. This impulsive behavior can lead to a series of poor trading decisions.
Market Reversal Scenario: A trader suffers a loss due to a sudden market reversal. In an attempt to recover, they enter a trade in the opposite direction without thorough analysis, which can exacerbate their losses.
Wish more examples? Watch recent one below 👇👇
How to Avoid Revenge Trading
To avoid revenge trading, traders should focus on maintaining discipline and adhering to their trading strategies. This includes:
Taking Breaks: After a loss, taking time to reassess the market and calm emotions can help prevent impulsive decisions.
Sticking to Plans: Adhering to established trading plans and risk management principles is crucial.
Emotional Awareness: Recognizing emotional triggers and taking steps to manage them can help prevent revenge trading.
In conclusion, revenge trading is a HARMFUL AND DANGEROUS practice that can lead to significant financial and emotional consequences. Understanding its causes and recognizing its signs are essential steps in avoiding this behavior and maintaining a successful trading career.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
