Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.25.2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for 2.25.2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs on Canada and Mexico 📈: President Donald Trump has confirmed that tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will proceed on March 4, 2025. This decision may impact trade relations and market dynamics.
🇰🇷💰 Bank of Korea Rate Cut 💰: The Bank of Korea is expected to reduce its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% on February 25, aiming to support economic growth amid recent slowdowns.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Tuesday, Feb 25:
🏠 S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET) 🏠: Provides data on home prices across 20 major U.S. cities, offering insights into the housing market trends.
📈 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 📈: Measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions. Analysts forecast a slight dip in February to 102.1 from January's 104.1, indicating potential shifts in consumer behavior.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
$SPY Bull & Bear Options to End FebruaryThe AMEX:SPY is at a crossroads as we close out February. We’ve had hotter-than expected inflation, talks of tariffs, promises of deregulation, China’s stimulus rollout, and Wall Street’s continuing “soft landing” narrative. This is a time to be cautious. Friday’s PCE inflation data could sway the Fed’s March rate decision. Midterm elections and tax cut debates are heating up. Regardless of the noise, the levels show us the way.
We are trading in the range of $591 to $600. For this week, we will be using support over $597 as the entry for calls and a rejection under $600 for puts.
Here are this week’s AMEX:SPY options:
(15-30 minute candles for confirmation and stop-loss)
📜 $595 PUT 3/10 or $591 3/11 (Cheaper, but higher risk)
Entry: Retest & rejection under $600
Target 🎯 : $595, $591.50, (Continuation: $587, $585)
📜 $603 CALL 3/11
Entry: Breakout & retest over $597.70
Target 🎯: $601, $603, $603.44, (Continuation: $606, $608)
HIGH TIMEFRAME FVG STRIKES AGAINThey say look to the left right? Here we can clearly see the benefits of plotting previous level FVG's on higher timeframes, as well as basic daily liquidity. When plotting like this, it helps in contract selection. As options traders we're looking to make the most out of the market right? Whats sexier than a contract going from like .10 to $200!? By plotting liquidity and FVG's, we are aided in contract selection and it takes a lot of the hoping and wishing out of the trade. Are we sweeping liquidity or not? Are we on track to reach a higher timeframe FVG or not? Make sure you have your contract levels planned prior to market open so you can take advantage of these life changing moves!
My ideal entries. This doesn't always happen but its nice when it does!
- Break of 30m PMKT ORB (initial entry)
- Break of 15m ORB (add)
- Break of 30M ORB (add)
- Break of FVG (SELL!!!)
Just look to the left! Draw the lines, draw the boxes. and don't panic, you got this!
The blue shaded box at the bottom is a previous FVG plotted from the 6HR timeframe
S&P500 Index Goes 'Floundering', ahead of Bearish HarvestWhile the S&P 500 is generally expected to perform well in 2025, with forecasts suggesting gains ranging from 9% to 14.7% depending on the source, there are several factors that could lead to a less favorable performance or even a decline:
High Valuations: The S&P 500 is currently trading at high valuations, with a P/E multiple of 22 times projected earnings, which is above historical averages. This elevated valuation increases the risk of market downturns if there are negative economic shocks.
Economic Uncertainties: The economic landscape is filled with uncertainties, including potential inflation increases and geopolitical tensions. These factors can impact investor confidence and lead to market volatility.
Interest Rates and Bond Yields: Higher bond yields can reduce the attractiveness of stocks compared to bonds, potentially leading to a decline in stock prices.
Earnings Growth Expectations: While earnings are expected to grow, there is a risk that actual growth may not meet these expectations, which could negatively impact the market.
Policy Risks: Changes in trade policies, such as tariffs, and shifts in fiscal policy could also affect the market's performance.
Historical Patterns: Achieving three consecutive years of high returns (above 20%) is rare for the S&P 500, suggesting that 2025 might not see such strong gains.
Overall, while there are positive forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2025, these potential risks could lead to a less robust performance or even a decline if they materialize.
// While salmon make up the bulk of their diet, Coastal Brown Bears also enjoy a fresh flounder now, and again.
Best wishes,
PandorraResearch Team 😎
US $ YEN BOTTOMING NOW SHARP RALLY BULLISH FOR SPY QQQThe chart is my work in the US/YEN I have NOT ALTER the Wave structure . We will now see a BOTTOM on the short term here or a minor new low .From here we should see a rather nice RALLY up in an ABC to .382 /.50% of this decline .This is friendly for the SPY and QQQ . BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-24-25 : Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will attempt to make a Breakaway move.
I believe this breakaway will be to the downside after watching the rejection near the 609 level on the SPY play out and the breakdown of the Excess Phase Peak pattern over the past 2+ days.
However, if the breakdown I suggested (above) does not happen, I suggest the markets continue to FLAG SIDEWAYS into a FLAG APEX near the end of this week.
The SPY's trend is such that I see it either breaking down hard over the next 2-3 days (confirming the Excess Phase Peak breakdown) or stalling back into the FLAG formation and reaching the Apex near the end of this week.
That means traders need to prepare for one of two major price events: a continued major breakdown or a consolidation/reversion back to the 605-608 level within a sideways FLAG.
What I expect is a breakdown in price. That seems the most logical. But, after watching the markets continue to flag sideways over the past few weeks, I know the markets can stay illogical for longer than I can try to short this top. lol
Gold and Silver look ready to rally. This could be a huge upward move and very powerful for skilled traders.
BTCUSD looks ready to break downward. And I think a breakdown in Bitcoin would be timed with a breakdown in the SPY/QQQ as well.
This is going to be an interesting week. Start off by letting the markets try to settle today (for the first 10 to 30 minutes). You can't kick the markets to do what you want.
After watching this moderate pullback in pre-market trading, we need to see how the price will attempt to trend.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
10D Chart shows Falling 3 , Pullback to 3/18!! $SPYAMEX:SPY shows 10D trend very clear. It is my hidden gem. We, by my charting, Should pullback until 3/18 ... not sure how far but I have plenty of targets on the way down to my ultimate target at 5200... I think we could flush to $560.. Good Luck yall. Gems I tell ya... sorry I'm so bad at explaining things..
$SPY $SPX OLD CHART BAR PATTERN COVID CRASH NOW!!!!Holy crap.... I just came across an old chart and literally in the nick of timeI tell you. All I'm going to say is... I'm a pattern chart trader and this is the COVID bar pattern attached to our daily from like a year ago almost and I loaded up an old layout to do work and boom... here we are... Good LUCK ... Not sure what the trigger will be but we are here.
$SPY $SPX OLD CHART BAR PATTERN COVID CRASH NOW!!!!Holy crap.... I just came across an old chart and literally in the nick of timeI tell you. All I'm going to say is... I'm a pattern chart trader and this is the COVID bar pattern attached to our daily from like a year ago almost and I loaded up an old layout to do work and boom... here we are... Good LUCK ... Not sure what the trigger will be but we are here.
$SPY short term top downside from $521 to $481AMEX:SPY is looking like it put in a short term top here. I originally only thought that we had the potential to fall to $545 or so, but now looking at the chart, I think we have the possibility of falling farther.
The two targets that I'm looking for on the downside are $524.35 and 481.18.
Let's see if they get hit over the coming weeks.
If they hit, it'll be the ultimate buying opp as I think from there, we're likely to see SPY over $700 in the coming year or two.
S&P500 $SPY | SPY’s All-Time High - Where to Next? | Feb23'25S&P500 AMEX:SPY | SPY’s All-Time High - Where to Next? | Feb23'25
AMEX:SPY BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $597.50 - $613.23
AMEX:SPY DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $584.88 - $597.50
AMEX:SPY SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $574.00 - $584.88
AMEX:SPY Trends:
AMEX:SPY Weekly Trend: Bullish
AMEX:SPY Daily Trend: Bullish
AMEX:SPY 4H Trend: Bullish
AMEX:SPY 1H Trend: Bearish
AMEX:SPY just reached a new all-time high! How did price get there?
AMEX:SPY experienced a small range between 602.45 – 604.00, followed by bearish momentum, leading to a 3% drop in price. However, bullish momentum quickly stepped in, pushing the price up before continuing downward again. This bearish trend was short-lived and appears to have formed a developing range rather than a sustained downtrend.
Shortly after, price broke back above 597.50, signaling the start of a new bullish trend. SPY then established a ranging pattern between 597.50 - 608.00 before ultimately breaking out to a new all-time high of 613.23. Despite the breakout, price action has now dropped back into the range between 597.50 - 608.00.
Where to next? Will SPY hold its new highs, or is this the start of a reversal?
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Weekly Market Outlook: February 24 – 28, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs Implementation 📈: President Donald Trump has announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and lumber products, set to take effect on April 2, 2025. This move aims to protect domestic industries but has raised concerns about potential impacts on global trade relations.
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Diplomatic Efforts 🇺🇦🇷🇺: This week marks the third anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Key events include French President Emmanuel Macron visiting President Trump in Washington and a virtual G7 meeting to discuss potential resolutions to the ongoing conflict.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Tuesday, Feb 25:
🏠 S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET) 🏠: Provides data on home prices across 20 major U.S. cities.
📈 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 📈: Measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions. Analysts forecast a slight dip in February to 102.6 from January's 104.1.
📅 Wednesday, Feb 26:
🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Reports the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month. Economists predict a modest decline to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 680,000 homes from December's 698,000.
📅 Thursday, Feb 27:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉: Weekly report on the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits.
📊 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Second Estimate (8:30 AM ET) 📊: Revised estimate of the nation's economic growth for Q4 2024. The initial reading showed a 2.3% annual growth rate, slightly below expectations.
🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET) 🛠️: Indicates new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting goods.
📅 Friday, Feb 28:
💰 Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index (8:30 AM ET) 💰: The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation.
💳 Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) 💳: Reports changes in personal income and spending.
🏠 Pending Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SPY was trading in an
Uptrend but then the index
Made a bearish breakout
From the bearish wedge
Pattern and we are locally
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
CELH Breakout: Can Buyers Hold the Line?CELH closed the week slightly above its IPO AVWAP on the highest volume ever, signaling significant short liquidation and a potential market sentiment shift. The immediate resistance at the $36 range aligns with a key consolidation zone, adding weight to its importance. With the weekly RSI approaching 50—historically a pivot point—a breakout above could strengthen the bullish case.
The volume spike indicates not only short covering but also potential new buyer accumulation. The SMI crossing up from oversold and the stock reclaiming the anchored VWAP above the 200-week moving average further support the strength of this move.
What’s crucial now is whether CELH can attract real buying interest above $36 once short-covering subsides. If this level holds, mid-$40s could be the next target, with significant resistance around $50. Ideally, I'd like to see a low-volume pullback that confirms new buyer support, suggesting a trend reversal rather than a short-term bounce.
Following up SPYEntry Strategy
Entry Levels:
599: Initiate your first position here.
593: Consider adding to your position if the price pulls back.
585: Evaluate a further entry during a deeper retracement.
Profit Targets:
607: Aim for an initial profit target at this level.
611: A secondary target to capture additional gains.
615: The final target where you may exit for optimal returns.
Remember to use proper risk management, including stop-loss orders, and ensure your risk/reward ratio meets your trading criteria.
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly.
SPY: Market of Buyers
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the SPY pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
$QQQ Support and Resistance Areas?QQQ had a big bearish candle on Friday. If you look left on the chart there were 2 comparable recent days. On Dec 18, 2024, and Jan 7, 2025, both lead to further downside. On Dec 18, the decline before a rally was about 5.3% and the Jan 7 decline was around 4.9%. Friday’s decline was about 2.4%. “If” those declines are any guide, we could expect another 2.5% to 3% additional deterioration. Which portends a pullback to around 512 to 510. Think of those as areas of concern, not a prediction. I have also drawn in horizontal lines that “may” become areas of support or resistance. In addition, we are touching an area of upward sloping line (area) that has defined a series of higher lows over the last 4 weeks.
In summary, it is a good idea to have an open mind about any outcome over the next few days to weeks and simply look at these areas to see if they do indeed end up being turning points.
One more point, this is an index fund and as such looks at heavily weighted stocks. We are likely in a period of picking individual stocks that are leading and using this index simply as a guide to overall market health.
I hope that helps.
SPY On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SPY is below:
The market is trading on 599.97 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 605.39
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK