Healthcare Sector Poised For A 7% to 15% Rally Into Early 2025My continued research to help traders shows the US Healthcare and Biotech sectors are poised for a very large rally phase into early 2025.
Particularly, XLV and XBI seem uniquely setup to rally more than 9-10% over the next 60 to 90+ days.
This video explains how I use my Adaptive Dynamic Learning Predictive Modeling system to find opportunities other people miss.
Using technology, predictive modeling, and inference engines like this is one advantage I have because I can build any type of technology or system I like - and use it on any symbol or interval I like.
Now is the time to prepare for the big moves headed into 2025. Follow my research if you want to target the biggest price swings in the markets.
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SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-20 : Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat Down Pattern suggests the SPY & QQQ will trail downward a bit within the current #2 sideways flagging pattern. I believe this setup is indicative of a broader breakdown (Anomaly Event) playing out headed into Thanksgiving and into the end of the year.
Gold and Silver are also moving in an Inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern - struggling near a Phase #3 (sideways consolidation) range. This move will resolve to the upside if my research is correct, yet we could also see Gold and Silver move into a very large Phase #2 type of EPP phase (Flagging downward). This could setup a very large upward price rally in Gold and Silver over the next 60+ days.
BTCUSD is struggling to break to new highs. Although I see a confirmed bullish trend because of a recent new Higher High, I also see BTCUSD struggling to continue to make new highs right now.
Because of this, I see some potential for a breakdown if BTCUSD is unable to rally to new highs within the next 5 to 6+ hours.
Remember, price must always attempt to make new highs or new lows. Failure to make a new high means price must then attempt to make a new low. Failure to make a new low means price must then attempt to make a new high.
These are the RULES OF MARKET PRICE ACTIVITY. Once you learn to use/follow them, trading becomes a bit easier to understand.
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NVDA earnings 11/20NVDA cycle target 225 , but it has run a lot and is in the 3rd cycle without a major pullback.
Congestion zone 137/153
Above 153 move is 165/181
Below 137 move is 133-121/116
This is still a range bound move and coming days it needs to decide power over 153 or puke below 121.
If straight run towards 225 without any major pullback , in coming year , I would look for some good correction in overall markets
Market insights & Where we are heading on the $QQQ $SPY $IWM 📊 Market Insights & Future Trends: NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM
In this must-watch video, we’re diving deep into:
Market Direction: Projections for where the markets are heading this week into year-end.
Potential Catalysts: Key events and factors that could cause significant market shifts.
My Secret Tools & Strategies: An inside look at the methods I use to anticipate market moves.
Ready to get ahead of the game? Let’s dive in and uncover the insights you need to stay informed and strategic!
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Bitcoin Breaks To New Highs - $100.5K Is The Likely TargetI created this short video to help traders understand how Fibonacci Price Theory works using BTCUSD.
This move suggests that BTCUSD will attempt to rally above $95k and target $100.5k in the next trending phase.
BTCUSD broke away from the Excess Phase peak Flagging formation (#2) very clearly today.
At this point, there is very little downside price risk unless price breaks below $86.8k.
I also review Gold/Silver and the SPY/QQQ to help traders prepare for the BIG SHIFT into my proposed Anomaly Event.
Here we go..
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2024-11-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
sp500 e-mini futures - Bullish bias still. The reversal was nasty and we had a very strong close. We are in a nested expanding triangle and if bears are strong, market won’t get above 5950. If bulls do, we go 5980 and the bear trend line next. I lean bullish. Measured move up from today gets us close to the ath and it’s the third try bears tried to close below the 50% retracement and failed. Good chance today was bears giving up and we melt again to a new ath. If we drop below 5900 again, I am probably wrong and bears taking over again.
comment : Nasty reversal and a good close by the bulls. Can expect follow through tomorrow above 5950 up tom 5980 and test the bear trend line. Above that we print a new ath. Best for bears would be to keep this below 5950 and then they have a chance of testing down to 5900 again. I have a heavy bullish bias going into tomorrow as long as market does not drop below 5900 much again
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 5900 - 6100
bull case: Bulls want to test the bear trend line around 5980 and go above 6000 again. They do need to break above 5950 first, which could be resistance due to the expanding triangle pattern but I doubt it. They kept the market 3 days in a row above the 50% retracement and I don’t think bears are strong enough to try a fourth time tomorrow. Measured move up from today’s reversal leads to around 6036.
Invalidation is below 5900.
bear case: Bears had an amazing sell off but bulls bought it big time. Technically this could be seen as a bear flag, but bears would have to keep the market below 5950 for that. That’s their first target and then getting below 5900 again. Since we are seeing big time buying below 5900 and the selling was mainly due to news, I don’t think bears are favored.
Invalidation is above 5950.
short term: Bullish. Probably more squeezing late bears tomorrow and I still do have unreasonable insane targets above 6100 that could be hit over the next days-weeks.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-16: So the top definitely qualifies as a blow-off top but the question if we continue further up, is still valid. It is possible that we are already inside the correction and if we continue below 5860, I highly doubt bulls can get above 6000 again. Given the current market structure, I won’t turn bear because the risk of another retest of the highs or even higher ones are just too big.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Buying 5855. Market printed a perfect inverted head & shoulders on the 1m tf, huge bull bars on a big volume increase. 3 almost too good to by true reasons to take the trade.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-19 : Top Resistance PatternToday's Pattern plays into the Anomaly Event I believe will continue to play out over the next 15+ trading days.
Today's Top Resistance pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move higher, attempting to find a peak, then roll downward into a decidedly bearish type fo trend.
My analysis continues to suggest a price Anomaly event is likely. I believe this event could be related to a financial or hard-asset type of devaluation event (a mini-crisis).
As of right now, we need to see how today plays out related to price trends. I would be cautious of a rollover to the downside throughout trading today for the SPY/QQQ.
Gold & Silver already moving into a very strong #3 rally phase - attempting to find the new consolidation range (forming the #3 of the EPP pattern).
Bitcoin has moved into a moderate bullish trend - but could still roll downward very strongly. Stay very cautious of this moderate upward trend until we get a more confirmed breakaway above the Ultimate High.
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SPY Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SPY is trading in a strong
Uptrend an the index is
Already making a bullish
Rebound from the local
Horizontal support below
At 584$ which reinforces
Our bullish bias and makes
Us expect a further move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 11-18: No INTERNET IssueMorning guys.
Something odd happened today after I created a great 45-minute morning video.
TradingView reported an Internet Issue even though my internet was working perfectly???
So, I DOWNLOADED the video so I have a record of it and posted it up elsewhere.
I don't know what to say - except check my profile on TradingView.
I was not going to try to replicate my 45 minute recording after experiencing this issue.
Get Some.
SPY LOVERS, BE READY ! This week, I decided to remove some objects I had in the chart history as references, which we’ve been analyzing, to make some space and clean up the chart a bit.
After reaching all-time highs, the price has naturally begun a retracement.
But what’s new in technical analysis?
Let’s analyze the price together:
In this case, I added an ascending channel where the price follows an upward sequence, bouncing between support and resistance.
Here’s the million-dollar question: How much further can the price drop?
If we look at the chart, I marked a very important line in red or maroon color at $575.12, which aligns with a resistance pivot and two indecisive candlesticks with identical volumetric bodies.
Often, indecisive levels are key to how the market makes sudden decisions after an indecisive candle. In this case, if we pay closer attention, the indecisive level marked in maroon color is positioned exactly at the support of the ascending channel. This suggests how far the price might fall, and we could potentially see a rebound. For me, this would be the primary scenario.
But...
If the price breaks through this level, my second scenario would be a drop to the order block. Since this level has acted as both support and resistance in the past, I can validate it as my secondary inflection zone or "Inflection Block."
You might wonder: What on earth is an inflection zone?
As I’ve mentioned multiple times and explained in some of my analysis, inflection zones—or points of inflection—represent moments where there’s a significant change in the price’s direction within a trend, whether in a market, an asset, or an economy.
On a trading chart, an inflection point is the spot where the chart changes direction or marks an important decision.
An inflection zone can also be a historical area on a chart. As we can see, my order block is already being considered an inflection zone because the price has historically made key moves within it. and i called it "Inflection Block" (See the white arrows).
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE
Best regards!
nasdaq to 20k?!good evening,
---
consider this post somewhat fictional for now, created more for entertainment purposes, but i want you to know that there are some serious data points which i'm going to bring up to build the case that the stock market has found a long term bottom.
---
~our monthly indicator is finally oversold for the first time since 2009 market low and is on the verge of crossing bullish.
~nasdaq is backtesting the monthly ichimoku cloud.
~0.382 cycle wave 4 target hit through a very complex correction .
~the monthly rsi has confirmed a hidden bear.
~the us dollar found a top and is headed down to about 80 bucks over this next year.
~us10y, topped out.
~fed might run out of money if they continue to press the markets.
~fear is at all time high.
~retail short positions are at all time high.
~and i'm buying everything.
---
the cycle w5 target on nasdaq sits at $20,000 and we could be in the early stages of beginning that ascension.
---
ps. take my words with a total grain of salt, as i could be very much dreaming here.
ps2. in my last big nasdaq post, i called the top, but was early by a few months. it also went a bit higher, so if i adjust the target with the current data, we have reached the 4th wave target successfully.
✌
ALL ROADS LEAD TO $PYI am feeling Bullish Monday for SPY. After the heavy selling on Friday.
The 4-hour chart shows a DOJI well stablished by a small green candle that start to show momentum. On the smaller time frame, it is rebounding on the support line at that level.
Supporting actions in relation to prediction:
1. Downtrace was not able to push lower than 50% in the FVG.
2. The lowest point once the great FVP was established was 585.43 and was not successfully broken at market close. Instead, it closed with the candle sitting above.
3. NVDA just rebounded at the small trendline created.
4. TSLA just rebounded at my last prediction price of 301 up, creating a sustainable support in that area to uptrend.
5. APPL is respecting a minor trendline within the 195 to 219 and starting to create a cross between 50 and 200 MA.
This indication seems that the companies will push the SPY level up next week.
If the SPY rejects this analysis I would wait until it reaches the 575/578 area for a push up.
(If it goes below of 568 may the market gods be with us.)
BEAR-TRAP : GAP Reversal May Lead To Larger EPP FlaggingPay attention to the dual Excess Phase Peak (EPP) patterns in the SPY this morning and how the current GAP Reversal pattern may resolve as a base/bottom in the markets in early trading.
I believe the markets will shift from this early breakdown into a moderate upward (Flagging) trend.
Learning to anticipate these types of shifts in the market can help you plan and prepare for future price trend rotations.
Knowing the SPY is likely to attempt to base/bottom from a broader EPP pattern (moving into the sideways Flagging stage #2) suggests traders may attempt to prepare for a 0.75% to 1.25% upward price swing over the next 2 to 4+ days.
This aggressive downward selling aligned perfectly with my SPY Cycle Patterns. Now, this low may be the Base/Bottom I'm expecting to shift into the FLAGGING phase of the larger EPP pattern (#2).
Buckle up. This should be fun.
Looks like a BEAR TRAP in the making.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-15: GAP-Reversal Counter-TrendToday's Pattern suggests the SPY will GAP downward at the open and attempt to identify a base/bottom throughout the day.
I belive this move may represent a pause in the downward trend, shifting into a FLAGGING pattern as part of a broader Excess Phase Peak pattern.
If I'm correct, we are going to move into a moderate BUYing opportunity for the SPY/QQQ lasting into Tuesday/Wednesday of next week.
Gold and Silver appear to be setting up a base/bottom off a very deep Phase #5 (Ultimate Low) of a current Excess Phase Peak pattern. This means, if we continue to get confirmation, that Gold and Silver will attempt to move higher and attempt to move into the Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak pattern (a move into a consolidation phase).
BTCUSD is current exhibiting a dual type of Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests a broader breakdown is in the works. Possibly back down to 78-82k. This could be a very big contraction event for BTCUSD.
Buckle up.
Happy Friday.
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2024-11-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
sp500 e-mini futures - Bears moving it lower but barely. Every low was followed by 7-10 point pullback. For tomorrow I can see the following, 5909 is the daily 20ema and the breakout retest is at 5924. Those could be potential targets if the bears are strong and keep the market below 6000. Above 6000 I think many bears will give up and market could retry 6030 or higher. On the daily chart we have a two legged pullback and bulls are free to melt again. Still heavily favoring the bulls since the selling is so weak.
comment : Close below 6000 was good for the bears but does the 1h chart look bearish to you? Look at the daily chart and see how insignificant this move down is. Bears would need a big acceleration down and keep the market below the 5m 20ema for couple of hours and 100+ points. This will likely be a minor pullback which the bulls buy tomorrow. Be prepared for a nasty short squeeze tomorrow. I would not be surprised if we close above 6060 but consider me dumbfounded if we close the week below 5950.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 5900 - 6100
bull case: Bulls want to close the week green and print another buy signal going into next week. Most bears will likely cover above 6000 and try again around 6015, which was the big magnet for the entire week and it will likely be for tomorrow as well. Above 6035 we see a complete give up by bears until 6053. Everything is in place for a big move tomorrow.
Invalidation is below 5960.
bear case: Bears closed below 6000. That’s the only thing they have going for them. Can they get down to the breakout price 5924 and daily 20ema around 5911? I highly doubt it. For that to happen the market would have to stay below 6000 and trap many bulls. Even a hot ppi print today could not move the market much and we had two sided trading all day. In all fairness, we have a very clear bull channel on the daily chart, with 2 upper trend lines, one around the ath 6053 and the other currently runs through 6180. I think 6180 is currently much more likely than touching the lower trend line at 5760.
Invalidation is above 6001.
short term: Bullish. Want to see a 2%+ up move tomorrow and squeeze further. Below 5950 we will print 5920 or 5900.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess.
Update 2024-11-14: Blow-off top happening right now. Got measured move targets above 6150 or higher. Santa came early, so don’t expect him to come around again this year.
current swing trade : Nope
trade of the day: Selling the open was decent I guess. Market looks much more bearish on the 1h tf than it was. Much two sided trading with better end for the bears. I don’t think selling 6000 was a good trade, despite going down to 5964.