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SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

1928 Has Begun Early, Powell Has Given In. QE 3.0 The linchpin was Japan, the Japan interest rate scare has started the panic with the FRED. 1. US Debt spiral is 34.5T. 2. US Debt Interest at 1T and the system has buckled. 3. MMF at all time high 4. Majority still believe a yield curve that has not worked since 2008 will cause a recession. 5. The USA cannot have a recession or it defaults on its debt. Rates have to be cut and fast, MMF will start pouring into the market, cheap credit will start reinflating all assets. QE 3.0 will be commenced shortly to deal with the US Debt death spiral. This is the biggest financial crisis around the corner, people will short it who don't understand the USD currency is about to be debased by figures we can't imagine. This is the end game and it could last years. Its fun speculating the deflationary crash down, where's the debasement inflationary melt up?
AMEX:SPYLong
by UnknownUnicorn4782510
10
Powell Says "We're Cutting Rates" - S&P Performance MixedA nice alignment comparing SPX, NDX, RUT with the Fed Funds Rate showing when the FED raises rates and cuts rates and how it impacts the indexes. 1995 Cut Cycle - S&P Higher 1998 Cut Cycle - S&P Higher 2001 Cut Cycle - S&P Lower 2007 Cut Cycle - S&P Lower 2019 Cut Cycle - S&P Higher (but after 30-40% COVID Crash) Nobody knows how this cycle will impact current markets, but we're about to find out. September 18 = 1st cut since 2019 (pre-COVID) and we've seen some impressive booms and busts since 2018. It's pretty remarkable really. The bull markets seem unhealthy, and the bear markets seem more violent and aggressive, but end sooner. How great or how nasty does it get? Let's figure it out and trade accordingly.
NASDAQ:NDX
by ChrisPulver
240823 Market Outlook $SPX $DJI $VOO $SPY $QQQChart S&P overlay Fed interest rate a few conclusions: 1. Stocks can rise and fall throughout rate cut cycle; 2. Rise in stocks is usually associated with minimum interest rate in the cycle; 3. US stocks were rising throughout rate hike cycle in later years; 4. More money supply management tools were introduced in last quarter century like QE policy; 5. More tools like Circuit Breaker were introduced to stop panic selling in US stocks since Financial crisis 2008; 6. The market has become more certain and efficient; 7. Investors must always recognize the market situation, cuz US management is research based and one cycle is different from another. A new prosperous cycle is enact at the moment. Cheers
SP:SPXLong
by moncap2023
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-23 Update: Gold Rips - SPY StallsHere is a quick update related to the post-Powell expectations. I still believe the SPY will consolidate through most of today and move into a broader rally phase next week and into early September. Gold is RIPPING higher after Powell's comments. I expect Gold to try to break above $2600 next week. Bitcoin is still struggling to break above the $63k level. It may make a move next week. Time will tell. Follow my research. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-23 : Harami Inside PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Harami-Inside pattern. This suggests the SPY will stay rather muted today - trading sideways and likely staying between 557-560. I believe the SPY will trend upward a bit and try to close near 560. I don't believe we'll see any big trends today - mostly just sideways consolidation. Gold will likely attempt to move above $2450 - attempting to regain support above $2535. Bitcoin will stay somewhat flat - probably below $61.5k as the big move won't happen till next week. Today may be more of a "go golfing" day. Literally, the SPY/QQQ/Gold/Bitcoin will probably stay in a very narrow range today - moving into a bigger trend next week. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Mag 7 Drags Down Large Cap - Potential Index Wedge FormationsThanks for checking out the video today. It was a reasonably nice selloff today, led mostly by the Mag 7 stocks. All US Indexes were in red, Nasdaq taking the worst of it around -1.60% lower. Powell on tap for Friday with Day 2 at Jackson Hole. The market is oh so curious if the FED will cut 25 or 50 bps in September and we have plenty of news to digest prior to the official September 18 FOMC Meeting and Press Conference. If Friday Aug 23's trading day pushes lower and helps balance out the aggressive bull moves from August 5's bottom, we could see a nice wedge pattern in the works - lower highs / higher lows. Watch the S&P Daily 200 SMA or 200 EMA for some dynamic support. It will be interesting to see if the bulls and bears both get what they want with prices on the move through September with volatility returning to elevated levels > 20 perhaps. Thanks for watching!!!
AMEX:SPY
by ChrisPulver
2024-08-22 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Strong day by the bears for most markets and on higher volume too. After climactic moves, many traders keep tight stops and won’t let the market run too much against them because they want to secure their profits. Does that mean the market is reversing? Probably not. But deep pullbacks are always possible. In trading rangs the daily 20ema and the 50% (midpoint of the range) are always magnets, so always mark them on your chart. For tomorrow I expect more volatility since we have BOJ Ueda + FED JPOW speaking. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Huge day for the bears by closing below 5600. I do think it would be fitting if we close the week with a huge bear reversal candle below 5550 or even 5500. Can we get there? Unlikely but not impossible. Could we also close above 5721? You bet. No one knows where we are going because market has moved in such extremes the past two weeks, that absolutely everything is possible tomorrow. Odds still somewhat favor the bulls to close the week above 5600 but just slightly. Daily ema is around 5500 and that are two good reasons for market to test that price. Anything above 5640 would surprise me tbh. current market cycle: Bull trend inside the big trading range on the daily chart key levels: 5500 -5670 bull case: Bulls tried to fight it today but the down moves saw a big increase in volume and bulls could not keep the market above 5600. They need to stay above this price or risk much more downside because I do think many stops will be around 5580-5595 tomorrow. Their first target is a 15m bar close above the ema and then the 1h ema to turn the market neutral again. 50% pullback from today is 5625 and that is also a magnet for tomorrow. Invalidation is below 5580. bear case: Bears surprised me today because the strength of the selling was not expected. Market grinded higher first but since the US open we just saw big selling coming through and every rip was sold. If bears do not keep the momentum going tomorrow, they risk another reversal and potentially another meltup to a new ath but that will strongly depend on Jpow and Ueda and how the market will interpret their speeches. Can you forecast this? Don’t bother. Mark key levels on your chart and hop along on the breakout tomorrow. Invalidation is above 5670. short term: 5600 is neutral and I wait. Bears need follow through selling below 5580 and bulls a strong reversal. Above 5625 I will consider longs. medium-long term: Bearish. I gave the 5000 target 3 months ago and we almost got there way earlier than expected. There is a reasonable chance we will see an event unfolding over the next days/weeks. Something breaks during these violent moves and this time will not be different. current swing trade: Nope. trade of the day: Sell US open. No reason not to and no reason to exit until 5600 where market stalled too much.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
Why Monitoring S&P 500 Futures is My Morning Trading Ritual!Every morning before the trading day begins, I have a ritual: I analyze the S&P 500 futures. For me, this isn’t just a routine—it's a crucial step in gauging the market's direction. The S&P 500 futures offer a snapshot of market sentiment and potential movements long before the regular trading session opens. By examining the overnight action, I can identify key levels of support and resistance, and understand the market's mood—whether it's risk-on or risk-off. This early insight helps me set the tone for my trading day, allowing me to make informed decisions, anticipate possible trends, and adjust my strategies accordingly. In a market where timing and positioning are everything, starting my day with a clear picture of where the broader market might be headed gives me a competitive edge. It’s about being proactive rather than reactive—preparing for the day’s opportunities and challenges with confidence.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
S&P 500 Index SPX To Rally FurtherThe S&P 500 index SPX is just 50 points away from breaching the previous all-time high. The minutes of the Fed’s July 30-31 meeting, released Wednesday, said the “vast majority” of policymakers “observed that, if the data continued to come in about as expected, it would likely be appropriate to ease policy at the next meeting.” Traders had already considered it a certainty that the Fed will announce its first interest rate cut in four years when it meets in mid-September. SPX next targets: 5680 - 5825.
SP:SPXLong
by AlyaAkram
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-22 : Flat-Down PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will stay within a flat/downward type of price trend. In this video I cover Gold, Bitcoin, and the SPY. What I see is a consolidated flagging formation across many markets. As I suggested early on Monday - this week may be the week to go golfing or find something fun to do as it appears the SPY/QQQ and other are simply trading sideways (flagging). We'll see how things play out today. I would not be surprized to be saying the same thing tomorrow morning. As we close out the week, get ready for a bigger price move into late August/early-September. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
What Wall of Worry? Path of Least Resistance for NowI reviewed an interesting study Tuesday about V bottoms. Over 20 years of data showing the average "V Bottom" takes nearly 1 year to come back and get into positive territory. The fact that all US Indexes and many stocks have done this in 10-15 trading trades is pretty remarkable. Will we more path of least resistance at all-time highs or will we see resistance actual hold for a beat. All US Markets closing green today, Russell 2000 led the indexes today with +1.30% DXY hitting fresh lows, but 101 and 100 are major technical support levels that I'm watching. Review at your convenience. Thanks for watching!!!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ChrisPulver
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update 8-21 : Markets Top & StallAs I suggested in Monday's video, the SPY Cycle Patterns predicted today's TOP more than six months ago. Tomorrow's inside/harami pattern suggests the markets will stall out the rest of this week. I urged traders to prepare to wait out this week and sit on the sidelines. When the markets stall like this, it is best to avoid trying to trade in tight ranges. Wait it out and maybe pick out a few great swing trades for next week's rally phase. This update shows you why Bitcoin, Gold, and the SPY/QQQ will continue to stall and stay in a sideways price trend. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny