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SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-19-25 : Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to rally up to resistance, then form a peak/top in price, and then roll over a bit. After yesterday's fairly consolidated price range, I believe the SPY/QQQ may rally through most of the day and move into the topping pattern near the end of today's trading day. Overall, I believe the markets are still rolling into the Excess Phase Peak consolidation phase and that means traders need to prepare for extreme price volatility. What is interesting is how BTCUSD is trying to rally a bit, but not finding upward momentum. As I stated in today's video, I believe a fairly big move upward, possibly $3000 or more, in BTCUSD could happen between now and the end of this week. This would be a perfect upward price advance into resistance that could correlate with a move h higher in the SPY/QQQ - targeting the upper level of the Consolidation Phase. Gold and Silver have reached a "pause" level. I believe Gold and Silver will only pause for 48 to 96 hours before attempting to break higher. So, metals will still attempt to break higher into late March 2025. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
6
Tight Coil, Big Move Coming - FOMC Could Be the TriggerTight Coil, Big Move Coming - FOMC Could Be the Trigger | SPX Analysis 19 Mar 2025 Sometimes, doing nothing is the best trade you’ll ever make. While I was off enjoying my long weekend, SPX’s bullish move got slapped back into the range. Had I jumped in long, I’d probably be hedging or cursing my screen right now. Now, price is coiling into a bear flag, and with the FOMC circus rolling into town at 2PM, I’m expecting things to stay tight until the fireworks start. 📌 Bullish above 5705. 📌 Bearish below 5605. 📌 Until then, I sit back and let the market make the first move. Because in this game, you don’t force trades—you wait for the perfect shot. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Some days, doing nothing is the right trade. That’s exactly what I did over my long weekend, and it ended up saving me from stepping into a bullish trap. SPX’s move up was short-lived, and now we’re right back in the range—but this time, it’s setting up in an interesting way. 📌 The Setup – Bear Flag + FOMC = Volatility Incoming SPX has: Fallen back into the previous range—bulls are losing control. Coiled into a tight bear flag formation—hinting at a breakdown. FOMC later today, which could be the match that lights the next move. 📌 The Trade Plan – Let the Market Show Its Hand Right now, I have no interest in guessing. Instead, I’m letting the market come to me. Bullish above 5705? I’ll consider a long setup. Bearish below 5605? I’ll ride the downside momentum. Until then, I sit tight. 📌 Bigger Picture – The Waiting Game FOMC is always a game of patience. Traders try to guess what’s coming, but most end up whipsawed to oblivion. I won’t be one of them. If the market confirms my bias, I strike. If it fakes out, I wait for a better setup. No stress, no panic—just disciplined execution. 📌 Bottom Line – The Best Trade Is Sometimes No Trade For now, I’m watching, waiting, and keeping my capital intact. Because when the market finally makes its real move, I’ll be there, ready to take full advantage. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? The longest FOMC meeting in history lasted five days—in 1932, during the Great Depression. Traders were left in limbo, staring at their tickers, waiting for an answer that took 120 hours to arrive. 💡 The Lesson? Waiting for clarity isn’t new—it’s just that today, we get our pain in hours, not days.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 19, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🏦 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 🏦: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, March 19, at 2:00 PM ET, followed by a press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 2:30 PM ET. The Fed is widely expected to maintain the federal funds rate at its current range of 4.25% to 4.5%. Investors will closely monitor the Fed's economic projections and Powell's comments for insights into future monetary policy, especially in light of ongoing trade tensions and global economic uncertainties. 🇯🇵💴 Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Decision 💴: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is set to announce its monetary policy decision on March 19. The BOJ is expected to keep interest rates steady, as policymakers assess the potential impact of U.S. trade policies on Japan's export-driven economy. The yen has remained stable ahead of the announcement, with traders awaiting the BOJ's guidance on future monetary policy. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Wednesday, March 19: 🏢 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏢:This report measures the annualized number of existing residential buildings sold during the previous month, providing insight into the strength of the housing market. Forecast: 5.50 million annualized units​ Previous: 5.47 million annualized units​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
$QQQ Dead Cat to 10 WMA, then lower. Buy $496, Sell $514 What I see here is a double top on the weekly just like 2022. I can see our last 9 count in 2022 produced a 30% rally to the top. After the rally several months of sideways movement until we break trend. If we are Indeed Repeating the 2022 TOP. Then we have a harsh year ahead of us. As I said in previous posts, we should close February at the low of January. I have KRE falling out next week so I'm skeptical about what's going on. We've got DOGE checks and what not, who knows. I'm extremely bearish and I do believe we will bounce into a rejection this next week, then fall even further the week of 3/14. I will update day by day. For now, $496 will be my Buy. and $514 will be the Sell. Take Care Yall.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by TazmanianTrader
3
Europe Vs US Break Out!This chart suggests huge long-term implications after breaking for the 2nd time this 16-year downtrend. EU since Trump took office has outperformed the US by 23%! More than half of that has occurred since the ambush on Zeleneskyy in the Oval Office. While no new high has been made yet to confirm, it is noteworthy that money may be flowing toward the EU more than the US for a decade or more. EU has a much lower debt to GDO at 80% than the US at 125%. Stock valuations are much more attractive than in the US. So much so that I labeled the EU as a value trap. Not anymore! The biggest obstacle right now is how much would a US recession impact the EU. Even if it does, I expect the EU to perform much better than the US. As such this chart should continue to outperform. I have another post up you may want to follow.
AMEX:VGKLong
by RealMacro
3
US Technology Sector Futures. The Heartbreak HotelPresident Donald Trump's tariffs on imported tech goods, targeting China, the EU, Canada, and Mexico, are reshaping the U.S. technology sector through higher costs, supply chain disruptions, and retaliatory trade risks. While intended to boost domestic manufacturing and reduce trade deficits, these measures are creating immediate economic strain across critical industries. Below is an analysis of their key negative impacts: Rising Consumer Prices and Hardware Costs The 25% tariff on EU semiconductors, 10% levy on Chinese goods, and 25% duties on Canadian/Mexican imports are projected to add $50 billion in new costs to North American tech supply chains. This directly affects consumer electronics: Smartphones and laptops. Apple’s iPhone production in China exposes it to 10% tariffs, likely forcing U.S. price hikes. Semiconductors. The U.S. relies on China and Taiwan for 80% of 20-45nm chips and 70% of 50-180nm chips, with tariffs disrupting access to essential components. Cloud/AI infrastructure. Steel and aluminum tariffs (25%) increase data center construction costs, potentially raising prices for AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure services. Experts warn companies may pass 60-100% of tariff costs to consumers rather than absorb profit losses. Supply Chain Disruptions and North American Integration The tariffs jeopardize tightly integrated North American production networks: Cross-border dependencies. Components often cross U.S.-Mexico or U.S.-Canada borders multiple times during manufacturing. Christine McDaniel of the Mercatus Center notes this integration means tariffs “hurt the pricing power of the U.S.” by inflating domestic costs. Critical material shortages. Canada supplies nickel and cobalt for batteries, while Mexico handles assembly for firms like Foxconn. Tariffs risk delays and renegotiations with suppliers. Retaliatory measures. The EU may respond with fines or trade barriers against U.S. tech giants like Apple and Google, escalating tensions. Sector-Specific Challenges Semiconductors and Hardware Chip shortages. With limited domestic foundry capacity, tariffs on EU semiconductors threaten AI development and device manufacturing. Networking equipment. Proposed 10% tariffs on Chinese-made routers and modems could disrupt cloud providers reliant on these components. Data Centers and AI Construction delays. Steel/aluminum tariffs increase costs for server racks and cooling systems, potentially delaying $80 billion in planned U.S. data center investments. AI infrastructure. Projects like the $500 billion Stargate initiative face higher expenses for imported components, slowing AI adoption. Macroeconomic Risks Trade deficit growth. Despite tariffs aiming to reduce the $1 trillion U.S. goods trade deficit, S&P Global warns retaliatory Chinese tariffs could worsen imbalances. Job losses. Economic modeling suggests tariffs may cost 125,000+ U.S. tech jobs through reduced consumer spending and IT budget cuts. Innovation slowdown. While firms like TSMC and Intel accelerate U.S. fab construction, short-term supply chain reallocations divert R&D funding. Corporate Responses and Limitations Some companies are attempting mitigation strategies: Stockpiling. NVIDIA and AMD are urging partners to increase pre-tariff production. Domestic shifts. Apple plans $500 billion in U.S. manufacturing, while TSMC pledged $160 billion for stateside fabs. However, these efforts face scalability issues. Building advanced chip foundries takes 3-5 years, leaving gaps in critical components. Meanwhile, 65% of IT firms report difficulty finding tariff-free alternatives for Chinese inputs. Technical challenge The main technical graph for US Technology Select Sector Futures CME_MINI:XAK1! (CME Group mode of AMEX:XLK - SPDR Select Sector Fund - S&P500 Technology ETF) indicates on further Bearish market in development since major support of 52-week SMA has been broken already, with possible upcoming Bearish cascade effects in the future. It is also important to note the almost complete absence of a Trump-a-rally in the 2024 holiday quarter, which contributed to the formation of a multi-resistance top. Conclusion While the tariffs aim to strengthen U.S. tech autonomy, their immediate effects—higher prices, supply instability, and strained international relations—outweigh potential long-term benefits. With global IT spending still projected to grow 9% in 2025, the sector’s resilience is being tested by policy-driven headwinds that threaten America’s competitive edge in semiconductors, AI, and consumer electronics. Investing in S&P500 Technology Sector Futures / ETFs seeks to provide precise exposure to companies from technology hardware, storage and peripherals; software; communications equipment; semiconductors and semiconductor equipment; IT services; and electronic equipment, instruments and components industries; allows investors to take strategic or tactical positions at a more targeted level than traditional wide style based investing. S&P500 Technology Sector Futures / ETFs are designed for investing at a more targeted Technology level, since nearly 50 percent of holdings weight just a five well-known names: Name Weight APPLE INC NASDAQ:AAPL 15.61% MICROSOFT CORP 12.83% NVIDIA CORP NASDAQ:NVDA 11.91% BROADCOM INC NASDAQ:AVGO 5.18% SALESFORCE INC NYSE:CRM 3.11% -- Best 'Heartbreaking' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
CME_MINI:XAK1!
by PandorraResearch
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 18, 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature get these first and then ideas and then minds, I also post these for NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:META TVC:VIX in my group, so join if yall havent Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 20 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-18-25 : Gap Reversal Counter-TrendFirst off, thank you for all the great comments and feedback. I really love hearing from TradingView subscribers and how my research is helping everyone find success. Just recently, I received some DMs from viewers saying my research has been "dead on" - which is great. One thing is for sure, the big move in Gold/Silver is just getting started. Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Gap-Reversal in a Counter Trend mode. The long-term & short-term bias is currently BEARISH - so I believe the GAP Reversal will be to the upside. Meaning, I suggest we start the day with a mild lower GAP - followed by a moderate price reversal in early trading, leading to a continued melt-up type of trend for the SPY/QQQ Gold and Silver are likely to attempt to melt a bit higher into the TOP pattern for today. I believe this is just a temporary resistance level for metals. Bitcoin is struggling to find upward momentum - but I believe BTCUSD still has a $3k-$5k rally left to reach the current Consolidation highs. We'll see if it breaks higher over the next 3-5 days before rolling over into a new downtrend. Again, I really appreciate all of my followers and viewers. I want all of you to learn to see, read, and understand price action more clearly than ever before. That's why I don't use any technical indicators on my chart. I want you to understand PRICE is the ultimate indicator. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 18, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🏛️ Federal Reserve Meeting Commences 🏛️: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) begins its two-day policy meeting on March 18, with a decision on interest rates expected on March 19. While markets anticipate that the Fed will maintain current rates between 4.25% and 4.5%, investors will closely monitor the meeting for any signals regarding future monetary policy directions.​ 🇨🇳📊 China's Economic Data Release 📊: China is set to release key economic indicators, including retail sales and industrial production figures for February. These data points will offer insights into the health of the world's second-largest economy and could have ripple effects on global markets, including the U.S.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Tuesday, March 18: 🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET) 🏠:This report measures the number of new residential construction projects begun during the month, providing insight into the housing market's strength. Forecast: 1.31 million units (annualized)​ Previous: 1.34 million units​ 🏢 Building Permits (8:30 AM ET) 🏢:This data indicates the number of permits issued for new construction projects, serving as a leading indicator for future housing activity. Forecast: 1.35 million units (annualized)​ Previous: 1.36 million units​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 17, 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 10 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 3-17: GAP PotentialAs we start moving into the Excess Phase Peak pattern consolidation phase, I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt a moderate rally for about 3-5+ days, then roll into a deep selling mode after March 21-24. I don't believe we have reached a bottom - yet. I do see a lot of people talking about "the bottom is in" and I urge all of you to THINK. What do you believe will be the basis of US and GLOBAL economic growth starting RIGHT NOW? Can you name one thing that will be the driver of economic expansion and activity? I can't either. Thus, I suggest traders prepare for more sideways consolidation range trading over the next 60+ days as hedge assets and currencies attempt to balance risks. BTCUSD, Gold, Silver should all be fairly quiet this week. I'm not expecting any huge price moves this week. I expect the SPY/QQQ & BTCUSD to move a bit higher while Gold and Silver melt upward a bit further. Then, after March 21, I expect bigger volatility and a broad rotation in the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin where Gold/Silver will start a bigger move higher. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Markets Open, Guinness Poured—Can SPX Deliver a Perfect Finish?Markets Open, Guinness Poured—Can SPX Deliver a Perfect Finish? | SPX Analysis 17 Mar 2025 SPX feels like it’s stuck on a broken record—a little up, a little down, an occasional intraday yo-yo… and then back to square one. But this time, history might repeat itself—again. 📌 A bullish breakout isn’t off the table, but it needs to clear 5650. 📌 Until then, I’m riding the bear swing lower, watching for a final push. 📌 Friday’s rally took us to the upper range, but futures are hinting at weakness. I’ve rolled some experimental GEX trades since I’ll be away from the desk Monday, checking in from St. Paddy’s Day festivities. And if we get one last bearish flush while I’m raising a pint anf splitting the G? Even better. 🍻 Let’s break it down… --- Deeper Dive Analysis: At this point, the market feels like a Netflix show that’s dragging out an episode—we know something big is coming, but when? 📌 The Setup – A Familiar Pattern, A Familiar Plan We’ve seen this before. SPX is back in the same range, teasing another bearish repeat. Friday’s rally was nice, but futures are already softening. ADD is at its bullish extreme—suggesting a drop or more sideways churn. The question is whether this is just a rerun or the start of something new. 📌 The Trade Plan – Patience Pays… and So Does my Guinness I’m favouring the bearish move for now because: ✅ I still have an open bear swing that’s in play. ✅ I’ve rolled some Friday GEX trades to extend my duration. ✅ A move lower to 5550/5500 would be ideal for exits. As for the bullish swing, if it plays out: ✅ I won’t need to take action until Tuesday. ✅ 5650 needs to break, and a clear pullback entry to confirm. 📌 Looking Ahead – Let the Market Come to Me For now, I’m happy letting the market do its thing while I enjoy my long weekend. If SPX pushes lower, I’ll cash out and move on. If it grinds sideways, my positions stay in place. And if it rallies, I’ll reassess on Tuesday. Either way, my trades are set, my strategy is solid, and my Guinness is cold. 🍀🍻 --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? The New York Stock Exchange was once closed every St. Patrick’s Day—until 1953, when they decided traders probably shouldn’t get an official day off for drinking. 💡 The Lesson? Markets may evolve, but traders will always find a reason to take a break when they can. 🍻
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 17–21, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📉 Anticipated Federal Reserve Rate Decision 📉: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, March 19. Markets widely expect the Fed to maintain the current rates between 4.25% and 4.5%, following favorable inflation data. Investors will closely analyze the Fed's quarterly economic projections and Chair Jerome Powell's remarks for insights into future monetary policy. 🇨🇳📈 China's Economic Stimulus Measures 📈: China has announced plans to implement measures aimed at reviving domestic consumption. This initiative is expected to bolster global markets, including the U.S., as increased Chinese consumption can lead to higher demand for international goods and services. ​ 🇯🇵🏦 Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy Decision 🏦: The Bank of Japan is set to announce its interest rate decision on March 20. While specific expectations are not detailed, any changes or guidance provided could have implications for global financial markets, including currency and equity markets. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Monday, March 17: 🛒 Retail Sales (8:30 AM ET) 🛒:This report measures the total receipts of retail stores, providing insight into consumer spending trends. Forecast: +0.2% month-over-month​ Previous: +0.3% month-over-month​ 📅 Wednesday, March 19: 🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠:This data indicates the annualized number of previously constructed homes sold during the previous month, reflecting housing market conditions. Forecast: 5.50 million annualized units​ Previous: 5.47 million annualized units​ 📅 Thursday, March 20: 🏦 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (2:00 PM ET) 🏦:The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces its decision on short-term interest rates, influencing borrowing costs and economic activity. Forecast: No change, maintaining rates at 4.25%–4.50% Previous: 4.25%–4.50% ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
$QQQ WARNING! April Fool's Market a Joke this year at SUB $400Is this happening? I'm going to have to bet my money on yes. I have been doing this for a long time. Pattern Chart Trading . This has a high probability of happening imo. Is it absolute? Of course not. Is it better to be prepared? Absolutely. Now for the technicals of it.. I'm trying to do better with this... If we take a bearish perspective on the fib from the previous high in December , and the most previous lower low mid January , we have ourselves at the 1.61 Golden Pocket below. I have a Bullish perspective if we hold here and move above the 1.00 Fib Level, mid January Lows at $499.70 . Last defense would be a 50% retracement to the .786 FIB at the $508 area. Currently, I expect a rally to the 50 day SMA for a retest, then a SLAM to $380s in April . This is the possibility. Take it with a Grain of Salt. The possibility is there. I have one Bullish outlook.. I will post after this...
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by TazmanianTrader