Netflix is gearing up for an epic fallNetflix is sitting in the apex of a very large rising wedge. The rally is stalling here with a larger macro backdrop that may cause some selling pressure. If it breaks down from the rising wedge, we might witness some intense selling. The RSI is showing bearish divergence on multiple time frames. My target is circa $900.
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-27-25 : Blank PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is BLANK. This suggests the market will trend similarly to what we've seen over the past few days - likely melting upward.
A BLANK pattern is a price structure I have not identified as some type of price structure yet. I will check the data to see if I can find anything that correlates with this pattern throughout today.
Generally, we are rolling into a consolidation phase that may attempt to break higher or continue consolidating and roll downward.
Overall, the alignment with the Fibonacci trigger levels suggests the markets will continue to struggle near the ranges I've shown on my charts.
Gold and Silver are rolling downward - likely as a result of the EU tariff pause. That move to pause EU tariffs takes quite a bit of pressure off the metals markets.
I do believe the Gold/Silver will continue to try to rocket higher - but this week metals may stay somewhat flat and trend downward a bit.
BTCUSD is setting up a MASSIVE Excess Phase Peak pattern. This is a very big price rotation that could either INVALIDATE (upward) or CONFIRM (downward). If we get confirmation, BTCUSD could fall back below $75k very easily. If we get invalidation, the sky is the limit to the upside.
Ultimately, I believe the global markets need another 60-90+ days to settle with all the global trade/tariff and other issues before moving into a more bullish price trend.
We'll see if I'm right or not over the next 60-90+ days.
Get some.
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ES Futures Trading Signal - 2025-05-25ES Futures Analysis Summary (2025-05-25)
Comprehensive Summary of Each Model
Grok/xAI Report
Market context: Price $5,875 above 9-, 20-, 21-, 50-day MAs, just under 200-day SMA at $5,804.75; RSI ~59 neutral; price near upper Bollinger Band. Bias: Moderately Bullish, potential breakout above BB. Trade Plan: Long at 5,900; SL 5,840; TP 6,050; 1 contract; confidence 0.65.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Market context: Price above 20/50/200-day SMAs; RSI ~59; MACD histogram slightly negative; healthy pullback within uptrend. Bias: Moderately Bullish. Trade Plan: Long at 5,875; SL 5,825; TP 5,975; 1 contract; confidence 0.68.
Llama/Meta Report
Market context: Price above 20/50-day SMAs, just under 200-day SMA; RSI neutral; BB middle at 5,787.7. Bias: Moderately Bullish. Trade Plan: Long at 5,880; SL 5,810; TP 6,000; 1 contract; confidence 0.65.
Gemini/Google Report
Market context: Price above all key MAs (20/50/200, EMA9/21); RSI neutral; MACD lines above zero but slight bearish cross; recent 24h bounce after 5-day pullback; BB upper at 6,060.7. Bias: Moderately Bullish. Trade Plan: Long at 5,875; SL 5,845; TP 5,935; 1 contract; confidence 0.70.
DeepSeek Report
Market context: Same MAs and indicators, but emphasizes MACD bearish crossover, price rejection at upper BB, recent pullback. Bias: Moderately Bearish near-term. Trade Plan: Short at 5,875; SL 5,925; TP 5,800; 1 contract; confidence 0.65. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement:
All models note price trading above short- and medium-term MAs. RSI ~59 (neutral, room to run). BB upper band is resistance; MACD histogram negative. Consensus that recent 5-day pullback is either consolidation (bullish view) or warning sign (bearish view).
Disagreement:
Directional bias: Four models bullish vs. one moderately bearish. Entry levels: range 5,875–5,900. Stop-loss zones: 5,810–5,840. Take-profit zones: 5,935–6,050. Clear Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately Bullish Recommended Trade: Long ES futures
Entry Range: 5,870–5,880 (target 5,875) Stop Loss: 5,845 (30-point risk) Take Profit: 5,935 (60-point reward, 2:1 R:R) Position Size: 1 contract (adjust per account risk; ~1% equity) Entry Timing: Market Open Confidence Level: 70%
Key Risks and Considerations:
Short-term bearish MACD crossover may lead to choppy action or minor pullback. Volatility spike at market open can cause slippage. Negative macro or news catalysts can derail technical setup. ES is highly correlated with broader equity futures; cross-asset moves may amplify moves.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "ES", "direction": "long", "entry_price": 5875.00, "stop_loss": 5845.00, "take_profit": 5935.00, "size": 1, "confidence": 0.70, "entry_timing": "market_open" }
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: ES 📈 Direction: LONG 💰 Entry Price: 5875.0 🛑 Stop Loss: 5845.0 🎯 Take Profit: 5935.0 📊 Size: 1 💪 Confidence: 70% ⏰ Entry Timing: market_open
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
SPY Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-25SPY Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-25)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals: SPY at $579.11, below short-term EMAs (10/50 on 5-min), above 200-period EMA, RSI oversold on 5-min, MACD bearish. Daily chart neutral to slightly bearish. Sentiment: Rising VIX (22.29), max pain at $580. Trade: Buy 2025-05-30 577 put at $5.12, profit target ~3-point move, 20% stop loss, confidence 65%.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: 5-min and daily charts bearish but RSI oversold intraday. Volume selling peaked. Sentiment: Max pain $580, heavy OI at 575/570 puts, futures up. Trade: Buy 2025-05-30 581 calls at ~$4.91, profit targets 25–50%, 30% stop loss, confidence 65%.
Llama/Meta Report
Technicals: Moderately bearish on 5-min EMAs and MACD, daily neutral. Sentiment: Elevated VIX, max pain at $580. Trade: Buy 2025-05-30 579 put at $5.95, 20% profit target, 10% stop loss, confidence 70%.
DeepSeek Report
Technicals: Mixed signals—5-min oversold vs. daily bearish. Sentiment: Stuck between support $576.86 and max pain $580. Trade: No recommendation (confidence 45%).
Gemini/Google Report
Technicals: Daily and 5-min bearish, price under key EMAs. Futures suggest gap up to $581–581.50. Sentiment: Rising VIX, max pain at $580. Trade: Fade the open—buy 2025-05-30 578 puts at ~$2.20, target $3.00, stop ~$1.60, confidence 65%. Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
Short-term bearish bias: Most see SPY below intraday EMAs and bearish MACD. Elevated volatility: All cite VIX rising above 20 as a risk factor and opportunity. Max pain magnet: Models note $580 as a gravitational level.
Disagreement
Directional tilt: Claude is moderately bullish (buy calls), others lean bearish or neutral. Trade entry strike: Puts at 577, 578, 579 vs. calls at 581. Risk parameters: Profit targets and stop losses vary widely (10–50% of premium). Conclusion and Recommendation
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately Bearish. SPY is below key short-term EMAs, MACD on multiple timeframes is negative, and although oversold conditions could spark a bounce, the preponderance of models favors downside.
Recommended Trade
Strategy: Buy a single-leg naked put Instrument: SPY weekly put expiring 2025-05-30 Strike: 577.00 (ask $5.12) Premium: $5.12 Entry Timing: At market open, assuming SPY does not gap significantly below $579 or above $581. Profit Target: 40% gain (premium ~$7.17) Stop Loss: 25% premium loss (premium ~$3.84) Size: 1 contract Confidence Level: 65%
Key Risks and Considerations
SPY could bounce strongly from oversold levels or pre-market futures strength, invalidating the bearish setup. Theta decay accelerates late in the week; monitor time decay. VIX spikes could amplify premium and widen bid-ask spreads.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "SPY", "direction": "put", "strike": 577.0, "expiry": "2025-05-30", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 7.17, "stop_loss": 3.84, "size": 1, "entry_price": 5.12, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-25 21:27:17 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: SPY 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 577.00 💵 Entry Price: 5.12 🎯 Profit Target: 7.17 🛑 Stop Loss: 3.84 📅 Expiry: 2025-05-30 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 65% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-25 21:27:49 EDT
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
SPY at a CrossroadsUsing the Potterbox strategy on the 4 hour time frame I can see that we are at a huge level of support that is holding at $578, which I think will be crucial in deciding whether we break down or make an attempt to try and head to the upside.
$571 and then $568.50 are downside targets, if we end up breaking down below the $578 support.
Above us, there is a box where price consolidated that we retested the bottom of back on Friday. If we are able to hold support at $578, we are likely to retest and try and secure the floor at $581. With a $582.75 break, which is cost basis, or the median of the box, we are likely to head to the bottom of the next box above us at $588.
05-25-25 Risk Containment & Trading Strategy ExamplesSkilled Traders have learned to manage risk levels using techniques that allow them to preserve capital and move their assets towards future successful traders.
Some beginner traders get stuck trying to swing for the fences.
In this video, I try to share a common Fibonacci price/strategy technique where traders can attempt to limit risks while learning to identify efficient successful trade triggers.
Remember, taking a trade is the easy part. Protecting and growing your capital is much more difficult.
Please use the techniques in this video to learn how to protect and manage your capital.
Get some.
Happy Memorial Day.
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SPY LONG FROM SUPPORT
SPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 579.16
Target Level: 596.01
Stop Loss: 567.94
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Stock Markets, Gold, Silver: Run With The Bulls!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 25 - 31st.
The Stock Markets are bullish, so run with valid buy setups when they form.
Gold and Silver are relatively strong. With tensions in Gaza and Iran, this is expected. Valid buys should be taken.
Crude Oil is a tad bearish due to US inventories, so valid sells are warranted in the short term.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
YEN BOTTOMING Look for ABC up back to 144/145The us $ yen trade should now be setup to rally But I can allow one more minor low into,786 But we should begin the final rally up into June 9 to the 16th for support in the carry trade and in SP500 into a seasonal cycle peak . As I have posted the long term chart of a massive Head n shoulder TOP in yen trade . Best of trades WAVETIMER
Apple losing $3Trillion clubNASDAQ:AAPL lost a fair amount of market share this week.
Coming under pressure from comments by Trump and tarrif news.
Apple seems to be a target for the president despite him answering a call on live TV today using an Iphone...kinda ironic.
Apple could easily chop in this 9% range before it makes a definitive move.
I lean more bullish since we're testing the lows of the trade range.
If Apple holds here it could be forming a right shoulder for a very bul,ish inverse head and shoulder pattern.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update : Memorial Weekend RisksThis EOD update is to help you try to position for the risks associated with a further breakdown in price trends over the lone Memorial Day weekend.
I know this video will be posted late in the day - but I want you to learn how to hedge against risks and try to learn to take your profits when they are THERE.
This is a really quick video.
Stay safe this weekend and thank you to all our VETS for your service and sacrifices.
We honor you this weekend.
GET SOME.
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Repeat of Late Apr-May lows & rallyThe chart shows the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) on a 1-hour timeframe, with a pattern appearing to be repeating itself from late April/May(Liberation day announcements) dip and then boot and rally from trade announcements, all marked by colored lines.
The colored lines (blue, red, purple) highlight a recurring price action setup. Each set of lines seems to mark a sequence of movements:
Blue: Sharp drop, then gap up
Red: Consolidation at a lower higher from gap up, return to high, consolidation back lower at previous lower high
Purple: Breakout & reversal upward.
$DASH Ready to Breakout?NASDAQ:DASH looks like it is getting ready to break out. It is only $11 off, its 52-week high. Recent upgrades increased price targets to $235 and $240.
One could look at the chart pattern and say it is a complex reverse head and shoulders, and today’s bar found support right at the neckline. I have been in this name for about 2 weeks as it recovered the 50 DMA (red). I will be looking to add to my position if it can clearly break above the area of resistance at the horizontal line, around $207.
This is a trade I am already in, and it is my idea. If you like the thought, please make it your trade that fits your trading plan.
$KTOS Looks Ready to Breakout!NASDAQ:KTOS is a small cap stock with the potential for big gains. They are in the Defense and Security sector and could benefit from U.S. military spending. It is also very liquid with over a million shares traded daily.
This stock is sitting near all-time highs here and looks like it is ready to break out. But it could be a double top as well.
I have been in this trade for a few days and added yesterday when it looked to me to reverse the down day. It needs to clear $36.85 - $37.00 to be a clear breakout. Over that level everyone is in the money.
This is my idea and my trade. If you like the idea, please make it your own and honor your trading rules.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 5-23 : Carryover PatternLooking at the charts today, I want to say that it certainly looks like the SPY Cycle Patterns are blending into a consolidated CRUSH/BOTTOM pattern (see the weekend patterns) today and possibly "carrying over" into the early trading next week.
I have been warning of a pending rollover/breakdown in this uptrend for weeks. Today's breakdown seems a bit aggressive, but it is what it is.
If the patterns are consolidating/blending into a bigger breakdown over the Memorial Day weekend, then we could be looking at a very big downward/rotational move in the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin over the next 5+ trading days while Gold/Silver continue to rally.
Silver is lagging Gold right now, but I don't think that lasts. Once Gold gets back above $3400, I believe Silver will start to make a big move higher.
The big question in my mind is - how does this carry into Monday's holiday trading schedule and into Tuesday's OPEN?
I'll have to see how things play out today - but it certainly looks like I'll be adding some SPREADS to potentially catch any big move over this weekend.
GET SOME.
This could play out exceptionally well for skilled traders.
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Tesla (TSLA): Daily uptrend support and potential bull flagHey guys/gals,
Today, I am showing you the daily chart of Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), which provides an idea of where this stock may be heading next.
As you can see, the support trendline from the 21st April low is still well intact. Currently, Tesla is holding this line very well and over the past few days, it's clear that it has also been in consolidation mode. Taking a deeper look, the consolidation period seems to be forming a potential bull flag pattern. Minus the upper wick which could be a price anomaly due to a fake-out, a real actual breakout from the bull flag in combination with a bounce from the support trendline could help Tesla reach $365 as the next resistance point.
On the contrary, and it does depend strongly on what the broader market does next (as Tesla is a high beta stock), its flag pattern may not play out and a break below the support line could send the stock all the way to first support at £325.
This wholly depends on the wider market. On my other posts, I've made it clear that S&P 500 AMEX:SPY is also forming a flag pattern, with many other indices following suit.
Note: Not financial advice.
SPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SPY is trading in an uptrend
And the index made a retest
Of the key horizontal level
Of 579$ from where we are
Already seeing a bullish
Rebound so as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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S&P 500: Consolidating & forming bull flag on support trendlineSo, we all know that the market is taking a breather, and the past week has been mostly flat (kind of). There have been plenty of headlines, some good, some bad. Most notably, the news about the Moody's US credit downgrade. I woke up one morning, took a look at LinkedIn and saw all the CFA-certified investing experts expecting a massive game-changing moment, potentially a market crash.
Except, the market hasn't responded so negatively. In fact, I'd say that while long-term yields have been rising, the market has been doing its own thing .
For instance, taking a look at the daily chart of the S&P 500 paints a different picture of the doom and gloom that I've been hearing ALL weekend and ALL week long. As you can see, the index is currently sitting on the daily support trendline which goes back to the 7th April low.
On that trendline, taking a closer look, it seems the flat price action has been forming a bull flag. It's quite narrow and tight. But it certainly is a fine-looking bull flag. And a break above that would take the S&P 500 even higher.
This would also likely have a positive effect on other indices. Furthermore, it might be worth keeping an eye on the big S&P 500 stocks that are high-beta and like to follow the market.
So, to my point about how the market has been doing its own thing...seems that the Moody's downgrade could have possibly been already priced-in. I could be wrong, of course, as markets are still quite volatile and fragile to any sort of macro and global developments about trade and conflicts around the world.
Thank you for reading.
Note: not financial advice
$SPY – Bearish RSI Divergence + Gap Below = Risky Setup👀 The RSI divergence has been signaling weakness for several sessions — with lower highs on momentum while price made higher highs.
And now, we’re stalling right at a volume shelf (see VRVP) with a big unfilled gap looming just below.
⚠️ Things to watch:
Bearish RSI divergence ✔️
Price breakdown confirmation below $582
Gap fill target = ~$572
VRVP shows thin volume beneath current price
If momentum rolls over from here, this could accelerate fast into that gap zone.
$YOU – Wedging with Confluence of MA’s & AVWAPNYSE:YOU is a name I have “thought” could move higher. It is the Clear System at select airports. They continue to expand to other busy airports, and it is an IPO from 2021, so it has had time to squeeze out pure speculation.
To be sure this type of wedging pattern can resolve either way. It is more of a consolidation type pattern. I like the fact that it is above the shorter-term Moving Averages but is stuck just below the All Time High AVWAP and the 50 DMA which also coincides with the upper downtrend line (DTL) of the wedging pattern.
For me to take a trade it either needs to move up through the AVWAP, the 50 DMA and the DTL, in which case I will go long with a stop under the most recent higher low. If it breaks down, I will consider a short trade.
If you like this idea, make it your own and make sure it fits with your trading plan.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-22 : Inside Breakaway CountertrendToday's Inside Breakaway in Countertrend mode suggests the markets may attempt to move downward - away from the recent highs.
I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into a sideways/consolidation range over the next 3-5+ trading days before attempting to make any big moves. We have a holiday-shortened trading week next week, and I believe the markets are moving into the Summer doldrums.
Overall, I would ask traders to stay cautious of this transition in the markets over the next 5--10+ days and prepare for volatility to increase after June 1st.
You all know what I believe is the most likely outcome - a rollover topping pattern followed by a breakdown in price targeting the 525-535 level on the SPY. We'll see what happens going forward.
Gold and Silver pullback back overnight which suggests the metals markets were a bit overheated to the upside. I still believe Metals will continue to push higher.
BTCUSD is trading up above $111k. Here we go.
BTCUSD is moving up into the potential rejection level that I suggested in my 5-20 video as a MASSIVE WARNING setup.
This is where we'll see how BTCUSD plays out - if we continue to push higher or if we REJECT and move into a broad downtrend.
I didn't expect it to happen only TWO DAYS after my video - but here we are.
Time to get muddy and play what price puts in front of us.
Get some.
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