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Market (Sectors) Performance OutlookSince November 6th, we’ve witnessed a seismic shift in the market landscape, with crypto breaking through and outperforming the broader market. 📈 The sectors leading the charge against the S&P 500 are XLY, XLE, XLF, XLC, and XLK. Notably, the MAG 7 have also been outpacing the market since November 7th. 💪 Smart money seems to be flowing into crypto, contributing to the sell-off in the S&P 500. From a macroeconomic perspective, XLK and XLC have been market leaders for the past few months. However, it might be time to pivot towards the Energy sector, especially after a stellar earnings season where major E&P companies smashed their earnings estimates. ⚡️ Stay tuned and ready to capitalize on these dynamic market movements! 📊💼
NASDAQ:MAGS
by MESHANL
SPY S&P 500 ETF End of the Year Price Target If you haven`t bought the recent dip on SPY: Now with Goldman Sachs lowering U.S. recession odds from 20% to 15% and raising their 2024 year-end S&P 500 target to 6000 from 5600, the outlook for the market appears increasingly optimistic. The reduced recession risk suggests stronger economic stability, and the upward revision in the S&P target points to continued growth potential. Given these factors, I agree that a year-end price target of 600 on SPY is achievable.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TopgOptions
1
SPY I Bullish rally and more continued growthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** SPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
SP:SPXLong
by BKTradingAcademy
3
SPX 7-Minute Chart Analysis: Identifying Bullish MomentumThis SPX (S&P 500 Index) 7-minute chart provides a look into intraday bullish momentum using Heikin Ashi candles and moving averages. Here’s a breakdown of the key points and signals observed on this chart: Key Indicators and Signals: Call Signals: The chart shows multiple “Call Signal” indicators (in green) along the trend, which highlight points where buying momentum is potentially entering the market. Each of these signals aligns closely with support areas or pullbacks within the uptrend, offering opportunities for entries in line with the prevailing trend. Moving Averages (Orange and Blue Lines): Orange Line (VWAP): The orange line tracks closer to price action and appears to act as a dynamic support level, with prices bouncing off it several times as the trend progresses upward. This moving average helps confirm the short-term bullish trend. Blue Line (50 EMA or SMA): The blue moving average is further from the price but shows the overall upward trend. The price remains above this line, further confirming that bullish momentum is intact. Heikin Ashi Candles: The Heikin Ashi candles show consistent bullish candles (yellow) with few lower wicks, which indicates strong buying pressure. The limited presence of red candles reflects minor pullbacks rather than trend reversals, which is typical in a sustained uptrend. Gray Support Zone(ORB): There’s a gray support zone below the price AKA the opening range breakout, which was tested but held successfully. This area marks a key support level, as each time the price neared this zone, it bounced back, showing that buyers are defending this level strongly. Analysis and Outlook: Bullish Trend Confirmation: The consistent uptrend in SPX, supported by both moving averages and the strong Heikin Ashi candles, suggests that bullish momentum is likely to continue. The multiple “Call Signals” give confidence in the trend’s strength, indicating potential for further upside. Entry and Exit Opportunities: You could use the pullbacks to the orange moving average or gray support zone as potential entry points, aligning with the overall uptrend. Watch for continued “Call Signal” alerts near these areas for high-probability entries. Key Levels to Watch: Support: Gray zone around 5,719 - 5,720 and the orange moving average. Resistance: Look for any signs of resistance at psychological levels like 5,740 and 5,750, where some profit-taking might occur.
AMEX:IWM
by Deno_Trading
Are we setting up for a 5-10% pullback pre-election?AMEX:SPY looks exhausted here and everyone is extremely bullish at the highs. Sentiment is at extremes and we have demark combo 13s that triggered at the end of last week. On top of that, we've been moving up in a rising wedge that looks set to break down. Also, if we look at the chart, there's an imbalance in price action as we have largely gone straight up since the August 5th low and the area I've highlighted hasn't been retested at support. All this leads me to believe that we should see a 5-10% pullback in the next couple of weeks prior to the election. Why in the next two weeks? From a candlestick perspective, we're starting a new 2D, 3D, 2W, 3W candle today which leaves the possibility open of a trend change to start today. I expect the move to play out before the election. I'm playing this idea solely through volatility calls which I averaged into Wednesday-Friday last week. Let's see if it plays out.
AMEX:SPYShort
by benjihyam
BS Secured Lending Fund [BXSL] vs S&P500 [SPY] as ETF-InvestHello folks, investment pot : 🔴 🟡 🟢 <<== Long-Term (over 1-5 years) ; Retirement/Savings thesis: "There are good alternatives to the SP500" instrument: The Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (NYSE: BXSL) is a Business Development Company (BDC) that primarily invests in the 'first lien senior secured debt*' of private U.S. companies. As a subsidiary of Blackstone, the world's largest alternative asset manager, BXSL provides financing solutions to companies in need of credit. With a market cap of over $5.9 billion, BXSL is one of the largest BDCs in the US. idea: The chart shows BSXL divided by the SP500 (SPY): As we can see, it outperforms the SP500 by approx. 10 percentage points. Additionally, it is building further upside-potential against the Index. Investors seeking a decent value pick as long-term savings/retirement hold, this Fund could be an interesting alternative. Assuming further dropping of interest rates in Q4/2024, this credit intensive business could profit from easing access to liquidity. technical: Ascending Triangle in comparison to the SPY500-ETF. fundamentals: 💰Strong Dividend Yield : BXSL offers an attractive dividend yield of around 10.2% , making it an appealing option for income-focused investors. 🚀 Solid Financial Performance : BXSL has demonstrated consistent financial performance with a market cap of over $5.9 billion and a net income of $708.24 million over the last 2 years. 🧠 Experienced Management : As a subsidiary of Blackstone, one of the world's largest asset managers, BXSL benefits from experienced management and a robust infrastructure, ensuring effective oversight and strategic decision-making. --- *footnotes: First lien senior secured debt is a type of loan that has the highest priority in being repaid, secured by the borrower's assets as collateral.
NYSE:BXSLLong
by OiconomiX_io
Coffee Is Brewing!!!I don't know folks... again, I ain't nothing but a tier below an amateur beginning options player. There is a lot of learning still to do but I'm ready to be transparent with my thoughts and what I see a bit more often. So here with go with a previous fan favorite of Coffee Is Brewing! Coffee Is Brewing Idea #2 NASDAQ:GOOGL has earnings coming up 10/22 and has had a little bit of price action these past few weeks with a niiiiiiiiiiice Pogo Stick bounce this past Friday and closed above the previous week... all which are bullish signals, to me! Again, from my perspective I've seen Bullish action for the past few weeks. As evidenced by my NASDAQ:GOOGL 165C options exp 10/18 that I picked up at about 1.65 that ran up just shy of 6.00 and the NASDAQ:GOOGL 170C options exp 10/18, that I'm still holding. That's enough about what I had and have in play... let's talk about what I see. That right there folks looks like a cup and handle, which ultimately gets a Coffee Is Brewing tag! The bonus green drawn lines I added, some might consider a Bull Flag is starting to be established. I see another couple weeks of good runs with this AMEX:SPY small fry playa that's part of The Mag 7! I don't know about what y'all see but if you see something else, please drop a comment. If you like what you see, give ya boy a BOOST, a Follow, or a comment. I appreciate y'all for taking the time to look and we'll talk soon.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by FliCityOptions
1
One More Dump Coming We’ve got an interesting setup here! Price just closed in a 4-hour supply zone, but I’m not jumping in yet. No solid buy signal has popped up, which makes me think we could see another dip. There’s a gap lurking below that still needs filling, and I have a feeling we might head down to take care of that first. What I'm Watching: This week, my eyes are on the 555.6 level. If we stays below this with some good momentum, it could be game on for shorts. Im looking for a BoS tomorrow after open. If we get that, I’ll be ready to pounce on a short setup. Key Levels: 4-Hour Supply Zone: Price showing some hesitation here—could be a signal. Wait for a reversal. GapsBelow: 2 Gaps like to get filled, and I’m thinking this might be next. My Game Plan: Keep an eye on price action below 555.6. Wait for confirmation before diving into a short. Make sure to manage risk. No trade is worth blowing up an account!
AMEX:SPYShort
by Big_Bull21
SPY 10-Minute Chart Analysis - September 3, 2024AMEX:SPY The SPY has been trading in a well-defined range over the past few sessions, bouncing between support and resistance levels like a pinball. Right now, we’re seeing a key moment where SPY is testing the lower boundary of its trading range. Current Setup: Resistance Zone: The upper boundary around 5,641 has consistently acted as a ceiling for SPY. Every time the price reaches this level, it gets knocked back down, indicating strong selling pressure. Support Zone: On the other end, the support around 5,560 has held up well, with buyers stepping in to defend this level each time it’s been tested. SPY is currently hovering just above this support zone, which could be a critical area to watch. What’s Happening Now: SPY is testing the lower end of the range, around 5,573.91, after a sharp drop from the resistance. The price is attempting to bounce, but the question is whether this support will hold, or if we’re looking at a potential breakdown. Key Levels to Watch: Break Above: If SPY can gather enough momentum to push back towards the 5,641 resistance and break through it, we could see a significant move to the upside. This would signal that buyers have regained control. Break Below: On the flip side, if SPY fails to hold above the 5,560 support, we might see a more extended decline, potentially opening the door to lower levels. Summary: SPY is at a crucial juncture. The battle between buyers and sellers is heating up as the price hovers near the lower support of the range. Traders should keep a close eye on these levels, as a break in either direction could dictate the next significant move for SPY. Stay alert and be ready to act depending on how the market reacts in the coming sessions.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Deno_Trading
2
Why ORB and VWAP Have a High Success Rate - Part 2Previously in the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) and the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). In Part 1, we dove into the basics and all the important aspects of the ORB, but now let's explore why these strategies often lead to high win rates. The Psychology Behind ORB The ORB is powerful because it captures the market's initial reaction to overnight news and pre-market sentiment. Think of it like the opening scene of a movie: it sets the tone for what’s to come. When the market breaks above or below this range, it’s like the plot thickening—traders jump in, driving momentum in that direction. This momentum is often self-reinforcing, leading to sustained moves that traders can capitalize on. VWAP: The Institutional Trader’s Compass VWAP, on the other hand, is not just another line on the chart. It's the line in the sand for many institutional traders. It represents the average price weighted by volume, and it’s where big players often aim to execute their trades to ensure they’re getting a fair deal. When the price is above VWAP, it’s a sign of strength; below, it signals weakness. This makes VWAP an anchor point for many strategies, creating natural support and resistance levels. The Power of Combining ORB and VWAP Now, let’s bring it all together. When you combine ORB and VWAP, you’re essentially stacking two powerful tools that capture both the early market sentiment and the equilibrium price level that institutional traders care about. For instance, if the price breaks out of the opening range and stays above VWAP, it’s like a green light signalling that the bulls are in control. On the other hand, if the price breaks down and stays below VWAP, the bears likely have the upper hand. The chart you're seeing is a perfect example of this dynamic. Notice how the price respects the VWAP and reacts strongly around the opening range levels. These reactions are not random—they’re the market’s way of telling us where the big players are positioning themselves. To Recap All These The high success rate of ORB and VWAP strategies isn’t just about the numbers; it’s about understanding market psychology and where the big money is flowing. By incorporating these tools into your trading, you’re aligning yourself with the natural rhythm of the market, increasing your chances of being on the winning side of the trade. This combination gives traders a structured approach to navigate the chaos of the markets, and when used consistently, it can lead to more reliable and profitable trades.
AMEX:SPY
by Deno_Trading