MTF killer zoneThis MTF Killer Zone, its drawn when yesterday or the last period closes, it so powerful .
The way I use it is buying and selling as a support and resistance zone (but its not support and resistance analysis) or at a retest when it break, and if its not touched by the price today or in the current period ... than the zone will be still valid for any time in the near future (3 to 4 days or periods in this example).
You can use it as a target if you already have an open position in the market, or using a time frame for entry and another for target.
I can send for you on request different time frame the MTFkillerzone, such as weekly and monthly also good for yearly.
I recommend to use it only major pairs, also any other financial instrument ( Commodities , indices, bonds, and equities) .
Enjoy the setup please! :)
Spy500
SPY Holding Up During Holidays? Happy Holidays! After seeing the AMEX:SPY hit ATH last week, some wonder if the flame has just been lit or if it's being put out. Will the market hold strong into the New Years' or will it start a correction as Biden makes his way into office.
Right off the bat, I see a few key levels to watch starting with $363.22 as Monthly support and $365.73 as weekly. We should also watch $369.84 and $371.05 as weekly resistance.
As the vaccine is distributed nationally and globally, we could aim to expect a continuation up that is unless we see negative news about this pandemic or vaccine. We also need to remember that Biden will be making his transition into the White House on January 20th, 2021.
God Bless America
S&P500 - Better Buy Prices on Deck possibly this weekMinor dip, and what appears to be a lower high unless prices move higher in the last couple of hours. Minor bearish divergence detected on the RSI. Ultimately I am long, got the shorting out of my system at the beginning of the year. Just looking to invest at better prices. We are overdue for a little bit of pain as well as illustrated by my previous idea which did play out.
Also price keeps hovering near the 3666 number, I'm sure it's pure coincidence, it always is...
Would be aiming for a test of 3612 if I were shorting from today's highs. 4 More days after today and then I would hope to not be staring at charts the next week, save for possibly cryptocurrencies and to have all available cash invested for this year.
Possible Cup and Handle on ES1!A possible cup and handle has been building on es1! for about a month now. Looking for a breakout or rejection moving into the week.
We haven't broken out yet.
Pretty interesting lunar week as well, with a total lunar eclipse on the 14th and some wild times with strange planetary positioning. Honestly, I don't trade-off astronomy but there's no doubt that it has an effect on the volatility of human nature. Be aware of geometry.
US Market Technicals Ahead (14 Dec – 18 Dec 2020) $SPXThe S&P 500 ($SPX) wrapped up a losing week, as the outlook for additional fiscal stimulus remained uncertain.
The benchmark index declined -0.82% (-30.3 points), with an establishment of an all time high session at 3,715 level during the week. The minor sell off during the week has the volatility of the index at it’s 10 weeks, with price volatility range at an average of +/- 50 points per daily market session.
As highlighted during the previous week, S&P 500 remains trading within a very tight 3% trend channel range established since 10th November. The closing of Friday’s session established $SPY a Bullish Reversal Hammer (highlighted), indicating a potential short term rally for the upcoming week.
The immediate support to watch is 3,588 classical support level, with SPY poised to recapture its all time high at 3,715 level this upcoming week.
Top 3 things to watch this week:
1. Stimulus deadlock
Investors are anxious to hear if more fiscal stimulus is coming as surging virus cases lead to fresh containment measures and business closures in many U.S. states.
But Congress missed another deadline on Friday to deliver a new fiscal aid package to help revive the economy. The Senate instead passed a stop-gap extension of government funding to allow more time for lawmakers to work out a larger spending package, including coronavirus relief.
A deal remains elusive after a months-long standoff between Republicans and Democrats over the size of the potential package. Over 13 million people are due to lose unemployment benefits on Dec. 26 without quick action by Congress.
2. U.S. COVID vaccine campaign gets underway
The first doses of the vaccine developed by Pfizer ($PFE) and German partner BioNTech SE ($BNTX) will be delivered to 145 locations around the United States on Monday, marking a turning point in the pandemic that has killed more than 295,000 Americans.
Millions of Americans could begin getting vaccinated this month, especially if a second vaccine from Moderna ($MRNA) is approved rapidly. Other companies with vaccines in advanced development include AstraZeneca ($AZN) with Oxford University, and Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ).
3. Fed meeting
The Fed is to hold its final monetary policy meeting of 2020 against the background of a faltering economic recovery.
The U.S. jobs report for November pointed to a loss of momentum in the labor market and the latest jobless claims data hit the highest since September amid fresh containment measures to curb the spread of the virus.
That may prompt policymakers to debate making changes to the bank’s asset purchase program or alter its forward guidance for future purchases, particularly as Congress continues to remain deadlocked over additional fiscal stimulus.
New all-time highs on the way / a Recap of the last 2 monthsToday we will speak about the Huge corrective structure that has been broken on US500
a) After all-time highs of September 2020, we had two months of sideways movement and the presidential election in the middle of all that. Then, Pfizer came saying "we have the vaccine" and a new all-time Highs came.
b) After that, we saw a new corrective movement, with more vaccine news, Moderna and AstraZeneca.
c) The trigger that broke the white pennant was Donald Trump accepting to start cooperating with the incoming government.
d) Now we have a small corrective structure (yellow pattern) and from a technical perspective, we think we will keep observing bullish behavior towards our Short-Term target at 3725
e) This movement on the Index is also being backed by sell-off on GOLD (as a safe haven asset) and optimism on the Crude oil market as well
Interesting theory on SPY: possible ST short?Bear case (just a theory): If we take a look at time and space on this daily chart, 25 bars (35 days) for the trough-peak-trough before the election. If we take the FDA talk on the vaccine for the same whatever reason, I believe there is a possible downside of ~9% until Dec 9th, a trough-peak-trough total of 29 bars (36 days).
- Yellow trend line act as support.
- Volume has been a downtrend.
- The two overheard white trendlines represent a strong resistance on the daily and weekly charts. (candles move easier towards less resistance direction)
- Technically only tested bottom support twice (red shadow or yellow trendline), possibly the third time?
- Small rsi divergence on weekly.
Bull case: Priced in. Spy looking to break overheard trendlines or move closely with it.
- Tested the overhead trendlines three times with the last retest completed, possibly going higher. (green arrow)
- Options pricing in more downward risks but not so much upside risk. (this is normal due to the nature of hedging) pasteboard.co
- For educational purpose: www.tastytrade.com
- Some of the macros: 10yr yield steady uptrend, low vix, gold downtrend, dollar going for new low since march.
Just a theory, will keep my longs on, may just short with an option contract or two to defend downside risk.
SP500- up, up, up!After US election, SP500 has started to rise and now is trading more than 10% up since the recent low and just under all-time high.
Although I don't see any fundamental reason for this rise the market always knows better.
From the technical point of view, the index broke above the trendline resistance of a symmetrical triangle and we can see a new all-time high and a run to 4k zone.
Dips should be bought for SP
SPY - S&P500Just as feared, SPY did not break the resistance. Will need a bigger push to break that resistance. Back to 351 - 352 range tomorrow @EMA55. 1.2 billion was out from the market later in the afternoon today which made SPY go down. Since cases are rising and lock downs are initiating by some states, it is unlikely that onshore and offshore investors will invest, infact they will be taking their profits out given with all the uncertainty. Afterhours is red @8:05PM CST
Please do your own Due Diligence!
RSI and Trend line indicate a pull back imminently RSI is starting to fall after hitting overbought level and while vaccines signals a change in fundamental and returning back to normalcy will happen, SPY is actually 10% up year to year and has little upside to continue. As Covid cases rise and soft lock down happen across the country, the better play will be short the next 2 weeks or until SPY find supports possibly at 340 level. Full disclosure, I bought puts right at the end of today's closing bell when SPY reach 362.
$SPY 11/16 Daily Levels | Covid Cases RiseDaily Technical Analysis on $SPY, watch these levels.
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Cases rise across US with over 11 million cases and 248k deaths in the USA alone, over 1 million deaths world-wide.
Levels To Watch:
- Support(s): $361, $358.86
- Resistance(s): $362.9
DotcomJack | Daily SPY
SPY Bull Cases For Me If Secular Uptrend ContinuesHere’s some arguments and trend levels for SPY if this market continues. You can see from the pink lines where we ultimately traded sideways for a number of years before starting this bull market. As it continues, if it does not end before 2022, here are my levels
$SPY DOUBLE BOTTOM OFF PREVIOUS RESISTANCE, WHATS NEXT?Breaking down $SPY and what 11/16 could look like. Tune in! If you like this content, hit subscribe or smash the like button. Any request can be left in the comments and ill get do my best to provide a solid breakdown. YES I KNOW I LOOK LIKE HARRY POTTER.
Potential Market Top, Biggest Correction of a GenerationAfter looking at the macro conditions and the current Elliott Wave count, I believe these is a huge risk of downside coming.
Cases for market top:
• Elliott Wave count, with perfect ET triangle in Wave 4 marking the start of Wave 5
• 1.0 Wave 1 extension to project Wave 5 end
• Market Euphoria, large participation by retail
• Blow off tops in tech stocks and others
• Some traditionals have already corrected 80-90%, others look to be flagging
• US 2 year bond and US 10 year bond show we still have a long way to go to reach recovery
• We're at zero interest rates and negative interests rates in many markets around the world - all late cycle behavior
• Debt has only been increasing over the last few decades
Where we go from here:
• We could go higher and see a larger blow off top or reverse here from this current projection
• We will be correcting price behavior over the greater part of the last century
• A lot of the projections and studies look at the 2000, 2008, 2018 crash as distinct events. In fact, these crashes are linked. The correction we're seeing is not just correcting the last 10 years of a bull market, but everything since 1930s. The duration may take more than 36 months