The LAST WAVE UP ????? 5071 /5091 MAYBEI covered all puts as the vix printed the high this morning and have taken a small 25% net long on the view that this morning low was a minor wave 4 within the 5th wave diagonal . the dow came within 25 points of the min the target was 38950 to as high as 39200 focus on 39100 . today drop is the first of the cracks in the bubble phase . 10 20 and 5 day put/call are ringing of a major top and now have a new Hindenburg sell forming. . Best of trades WAVETIMER
Spy500
$SPY All Time Closing HighAMEX:SPY All Time Closing High Proprietary AlgoTradeAlert Momentum Indicator For Daily Chart, A momentum indicator is a technical analysis tool used to measure the speed or strength of price movements in a financial market. It helps traders identify the strength of a trend by comparing current prices to historical prices over a specific time period. Momentum indicators are often displayed as oscillators or lines on a chart, providing visual cues about whether a trend is gaining or losing momentum. Common examples of momentum indicators include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Stochastic Oscillator. Traders use these indicators to make informed decisions about buying, selling, or holding assets based on the strength of the market trend.
A low volatility tends to precede high volatilityThe major U.S. stock market indices are trading in the negative territory ahead of the release of inflation data and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). A hotter-than-expected print is likely to produce a pop in volatility and convince central bankers in Washington to keep monetary conditions tight during the upcoming meeting in March. Consequently, we pay close attention to the VIX index, which has been testing the resistance at $14.49 since the start of the year. In addition to that, we watch a concerning relationship between the declining volume and the increasing price.
Illustration 1.01
The image above shows a concerning relationship between the rising price and the declining volume.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily graph of the VIX. The yellow arrow indicates yesterday’s opening gap. One notable thing about the VIX is that it has been trading below $15.50 for 92 trading sessions. To find a similar low-volatility period, one would have to go back to late 2017/early 2018 (shortly before the massive spike in volatility and market selloff).
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Bullish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
"SPY Peaks: Signs Point to Market Reaching Pinnacle"SPY ETF Approaching Critical Resistance Amid Bearish Signals
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) has been a focal point for investors seeking exposure to the broader equity market. However, recent indicators suggest a potential shift in sentiment as the ETF nears significant resistance levels, hinting at a looming bearish turn.
As of late, SPY has been on a notable uptrend, consistently climbing towards one-year high resistance levels. This trajectory has garnered attention from investors eyeing the possibility of continued gains. Yet, caution flags are waving as the ETF approaches the $500 to $520 range, projected to materialize by March or April of 2024.
Market analysts and technicians are closely monitoring this critical juncture, as historical data indicates a propensity for price rejection and subsequent correction around such resistance zones. While past performance is not indicative of future results, the confluence of technical factors underscores the significance of this price range.
One factor contributing to the bearish sentiment is the overextension of the current rally. With the market experiencing an extended period of growth, there is growing concern about unsustainable valuations and the potential for a market pullback. Additionally, macroeconomic uncertainties, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions, further amplify the apprehension among investors.
Moreover, sentiment indicators such as the fear and greed index are signaling heightened investor optimism, often considered a contrarian indicator suggesting potential market reversals. As greed eclipses fear, complacency may set in, leaving the market vulnerable to downside risks.
Investor psychology plays a crucial role in market dynamics, particularly during pivotal moments such as approaching resistance levels. The psychological barrier of reaching a milestone price range can trigger profit-taking among investors, leading to selling pressure and downward price momentum.
Institutional investors, who often have the firepower to influence market movements, may also opt to rebalance their portfolios in anticipation of market headwinds. As such, increased selling activity from institutional players could exacerbate the downward pressure on SPY and the broader market indices.
While the outlook remains uncertain, prudent investors are advised to exercise caution and closely monitor developments in the coming weeks. Key technical levels and market indicators will offer valuable insights into the potential direction of SPY and the broader market.
In conclusion, as the SPY ETF approaches critical resistance levels amidst bearish signals, investors brace for a possible shift in market sentiment. With the $500 to $520 range looming ahead, caution is warranted as historical precedents and technical indicators point to the potential for a corrective phase. Vigilance and adaptability will be essential for navigating the evolving market landscape in the months ahead.
Whenever this occurs, it signals the bottom of the market.Whenever this occurs, it signals the bottom of the market.
In this weekly chart, the blue line represents the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the black line represents the 100 SMA. As we can see the 50 has inverted the 100. Whenever the 50 crosses below the 100 on the weekly chart and then price moves above the 50, the market doesn't set a new low until a new high is established this has happened 13 times in the past (now the 14th time). The only exception to this was in March of 2002, where the market failed to hold three consecutive weeks above the 50 SMA. If you are wondering, last weeks close marked three consecutive weeks above the 50 SMA, which now means we have a greater than 92% chance that the market has indeed bottomed.
To summarize
This has happened 13 times in the recorded chart data we have and 12 out of those times the market had bottomed.
12 times out of the 12 times we had closed above the 50 for three consecutive weeks the market had bottomed.
Right now we are in the 14th time and we have closed 3 consecutive weeks above the 50SMA. If we set a new low before a new high, this will be the first time ever after closing three weeks above the 50 SMA
I have presented the information for all the times this has happened in history, and you can also verify it. In one of my previous ideas, I mentioned we were back testing a Bullish Megaphone pattern and that we should hold there, which we have done since then (see the link below)."
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Please note this is not a financial advice.
Value Investing: STOCKS to watch in 2024Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
Welcome to 2024🥂🥳
After great feedback from the altcoin list, I'll be doing a series on top stocks to watch for 2024, all in one post for your convenience!
Stocks I'll focus on include:
📢 Undervalued stocks
📢 Stocks with great upside potential
📢 New stocks to watch
I'll keep adding/updating one by one to the bottom of this post, so make sure you bookmark and follow!
1) AMEX:PSIL
The AdvisorShares Psychedelics ETF (NYSE ticker: PSIL) invests in the emerging psychedelic drugs sector, offering exposure to those biotechnology, pharmaceutical and life sciences companies we see as leading the way in this nascent industry.
Pivotal week for SPXThe SPX is getting close to a major resistance that has rejected it several times since we got under it. Those who have seen my other ideas know that I am bullish on the market and I do expect us to break the resistance to the upside. If you want to know why I am bullish, see the ideas linked below. Obviously it would be bearish if we get rejected here again.
Please do your DD as this is not a financial advice.
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SPY leg higher?I think it's worth taking some risk here as the chart looks set up for a leg higher.
Using the fib tools I'm targeting $482 - $486 / 1.618
It's already made a 50% retracement nearly to the dollar and tried to for an all time high.
I believe SPY price will break that level and make another ATH.
Volume is increasing although there is a lot of trading activity in the current range. It may not go straight to $482 but I think $475 will hold as support. If not then $472 will be in the cards and a sell-off could ensue. Past bull markets have gained 200% so it's not unreasonable for SPY to touch $500, especially while we have this momentum. If it doesn't happen now then I think there is less and less of a chance it happens in the first half of the year. I think we'll see $500 or $5000 SPX by February of this year.
Friendly Reminder You Don't Own Enough Bitcoin.
The Dawn of the Final ETF Approval Week - Everything will change.
Bitcoin will obliterate Apple returns
Bitcoin will obliterate SPY returns
Bitcoin will obliterate Gold returns
Bitcoin will obliterate Silver Returns
Anything plugged into Bitcoin related or touching bitcoin will be rocket launched into an entire new global standard.
I have come to the conclusion that smart money will enter this first being convinced of a new turning of the way we will live life in the next century meaning they will move first.
At the $200,000 mark many will sell calling the top
(you will know they're wrong due to zero on chain data proving this top)
I suspect after $300,000 appears in a short period the first batch of doubters will start to enter the market.
After $600,000 is breached there will be motions moving and outrage to shut Bitcoin down calling it the next "2009" the next Mortgage backed securities"
(This will cause major short interest and major Puts following the consensus that this is a bubble and not a supply shock)
Reaching the $1,500,000 people short and call writers will be entering margin call territory.
Remember the hard critics of Bitcoin who will give in around the $1,500,000 - $2,500,000 mark over the next years, this will mark the start of the extended bear market.
So the question is do you own enough Bitcoin?