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Spy500

Whenever this occurs, it signals the bottom of the market.Whenever this occurs, it signals the bottom of the market. In this weekly chart, the blue line represents the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the black line represents the 100 SMA. As we can see the 50 has inverted the 100. Whenever the 50 crosses below the 100 on the weekly chart and then price moves above the 50, the market doesn't set a new low until a new high is established this has happened 13 times in the past (now the 14th time). The only exception to this was in March of 2002, where the market failed to hold three consecutive weeks above the 50 SMA. If you are wondering, last weeks close marked three consecutive weeks above the 50 SMA, which now means we have a greater than 92% chance that the market has indeed bottomed. To summarize This has happened 13 times in the recorded chart data we have and 12 out of those times the market had bottomed. 12 times out of the 12 times we had closed above the 50 for three consecutive weeks the market had bottomed. Right now we are in the 14th time and we have closed 3 consecutive weeks above the 50SMA. If we set a new low before a new high, this will be the first time ever after closing three weeks above the 50 SMA I have presented the information for all the times this has happened in history, and you can also verify it. In one of my previous ideas, I mentioned we were back testing a Bullish Megaphone pattern and that we should hold there, which we have done since then (see the link below)." Please like if you find it useful Please note this is not a financial advice.
SP:SPX
by BlackisKing
58
Value Investing: STOCKS to watch in 2024Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉 Welcome to 2024🥂🥳 After great feedback from the altcoin list, I'll be doing a series on top stocks to watch for 2024, all in one post for your convenience! Stocks I'll focus on include: 📢 Undervalued stocks 📢 Stocks with great upside potential 📢 New stocks to watch I'll keep adding/updating one by one to the bottom of this post, so make sure you bookmark and follow! 1) AMEX:PSIL The AdvisorShares Psychedelics ETF (NYSE ticker: PSIL) invests in the emerging psychedelic drugs sector, offering exposure to those biotechnology, pharmaceutical and life sciences companies we see as leading the way in this nascent industry.
AMEX:PSILLong
by CryptoCheck-
2
SPY leg higher?I think it's worth taking some risk here as the chart looks set up for a leg higher. Using the fib tools I'm targeting $482 - $486 / 1.618 It's already made a 50% retracement nearly to the dollar and tried to for an all time high. I believe SPY price will break that level and make another ATH. Volume is increasing although there is a lot of trading activity in the current range. It may not go straight to $482 but I think $475 will hold as support. If not then $472 will be in the cards and a sell-off could ensue. Past bull markets have gained 200% so it's not unreasonable for SPY to touch $500, especially while we have this momentum. If it doesn't happen now then I think there is less and less of a chance it happens in the first half of the year. I think we'll see $500 or $5000 SPX by February of this year.
AMEX:SPYLong
by DontSlamTheDoor
Friendly Reminder You Don't Own Enough Bitcoin. The Dawn of the Final ETF Approval Week - Everything will change. Bitcoin will obliterate Apple returns Bitcoin will obliterate SPY returns Bitcoin will obliterate Gold returns Bitcoin will obliterate Silver Returns Anything plugged into Bitcoin related or touching bitcoin will be rocket launched into an entire new global standard. I have come to the conclusion that smart money will enter this first being convinced of a new turning of the way we will live life in the next century meaning they will move first. At the $200,000 mark many will sell calling the top (you will know they're wrong due to zero on chain data proving this top) I suspect after $300,000 appears in a short period the first batch of doubters will start to enter the market. After $600,000 is breached there will be motions moving and outrage to shut Bitcoin down calling it the next "2009" the next Mortgage backed securities" (This will cause major short interest and major Puts following the consensus that this is a bubble and not a supply shock) Reaching the $1,500,000 people short and call writers will be entering margin call territory. Remember the hard critics of Bitcoin who will give in around the $1,500,000 - $2,500,000 mark over the next years, this will mark the start of the extended bear market. So the question is do you own enough Bitcoin?
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FederalXBT
1
SPY S&P 500 ETF Price Prediction for 2024This was my article about the SPY S&P 500 ETF price target for 2023:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/l6U1M9dJ-SPY-S-P-500-ETF-2023-Forecast-CPI-Report-Prediction/ I was bullish, but not enough! In the July 2023 meeting, the FOMC opted to raise interest rates to a range of 5.25%–5.50%, marking the 11th rate hike in the current cycle aimed at curbing elevated inflation. The prevailing consensus among market experts hints at a potential shift in strategy, suggesting that the Fed might commence rate cuts later in 2024 as inflation gradually aligns with the Fed's 2% target. Statistically, historical data indicates that approximately 11 months after the cessation of interest rate increases, a recession tends to manifest. This pattern places us around June 2024, aligning with my prediction of a dip in the SPY to approximately $430. Given that 2024 is an election year, there's an additional layer of complexity in predicting market behavior. Despite the anticipated mid-year dip, my inclination is that the SPY will conclude the year on a bullish note. This optimistic outlook hints at the onset of a 3-5 year AI bubble cycle, with the SPY boasting a year-end price target of $540. The integration of artificial intelligence into various sectors is expected to catalyze market growth and innovation, propelling the SPY to new heights by the close of 2024.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TopgOptions
⬆️ EURGBP) BULLISH) analysis) ⬆️⬆️hello trader’s what do you think about Eurgbp)? The pound rose slightly on Friday as the dollar slipped while investors waited for data on the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation. Sterling GBPUSD was up 0.36% at $1.2736 and was set for a weekly gain of 0.45%. The euro EURUSD was down 0.26% against the pound at 86.55 pence. The pound has risen for five of the last six weeks against the dollar as investors have ramped up bets that the Fed will cut interest rates sharply next year after consumer price index inflation slowed to 3.1% in November. The November personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index, the Fed's favoured measure of price pressures, is due at 1330 GMT on Friday. Data on Friday showed the UK economy shrank 0.1% in the third quarter of the year. Yet FX investors may have been paying more attention to separate figures that showed British retail sales jumped 1.3% in November, more than expected. "Today’s release provided some festive cheer for retailers," said Alex Kerr, assistant economist at Capital Economics. "But with higher interest rates still percolating throughout the economy, we doubt that there will be a continued rise in sales volumes early next year." In their 2024 outlooks, many strategists tipped the pound for a solid year on the basis the Bank of England would not be able to cut interest rates as much as the Fed or European Central Bank, making British bond yields more attractive. That idea was called into question earlier this week when data showed that UK inflation slowed to 3.9% in November, more than expected, from 4.6% in October. Investors think the BoE is likely to cut rates by 140 basis points next year, according to pricing in derivatives markets, up from about 120 bps at the start of the week. The dollar index DXY , which tracks the currency against six major peers, was last down 0.22% on Friday at 101.55.
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
⤵️ EURAUD) ifberakout) bearish) analysis)⤵️⤵️hello trader’s what do you think about Euraud)? The Australian and New Zealand dollars rested near five-month peaks on Friday and bonds extended their blistering rally as a surprisingly soft reading on U.S. inflation stoked wagers for rapid-fire rate cuts globally next year. The Aussie crested at $0.6803 AUDUSD , having climbed 1% the previous session to clear the $0.6800 barrier for the first time since late July. The break opened the way to the next bull target at the double top of $0.6895/6900. The kiwi dollar reached $0.6298 NZDUSD after rising 0.7% on Thursday, taking it closer to the July top of $0.6412. Risk appetite was whetted by an unexpected downward revision to the U.S. third-quarter core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index to an annualised 2.0%, matching the Federal Reserve's target. That stirred speculation the November reading of core PCE inflation due later Friday would also surprise on the downside, leading futures to imply an 82% chance the Fed would cut rates as soon as March. (FEDWATCH) Markets, in turn, ramped up expectations for local easing with futures now fully priced for a June rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), even though the central bank still has a tightening bias. (0#RBAWATCH) The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is now seen certain to ease in May, when it recently warned that no cuts were possible until 2025. (0#RBNZWATCH) Australia's November consumer price measure is not due until the end of January but again analysts see risks to the downside. "We expect annual growth in the monthly CPI indicator to slow to 4.1% y/y in November from 4.9% y/y in October," said Catherine Birch, a senior economist at ANZ. "This would be the weakest annual inflation on the monthly measure since January 2022." "We expect inflation, on a quarter-on-quarter basis, to be annualising within the RBA's 2-3% target band in the second half of 2024." Bond markets are acting like all this is a done deal and have taken three-year yields (AU3YT=RR) down to its lowest since early June at 3.667%. That breached a major chart barrier at 3.69% and was a world away from a 4.48% top hit in November. Yields on 10-year bonds AU10Y fell to a four-month trough of 4.04%, down from its November peak of 4.999%. In New Zealand, the key two-year swap rate (NZDSM3NB2Y=) hit its lowest since February at 4.680%, opening a huge gap to the overnight cash rate of 5.5%.
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
BTC Stalls at $44K: Eyeing a Dip to $39K-$35KBitcoin's recent attempts to breach the $44K mark seem to be losing steam, hinting at a possible downturn. The inability to break this key resistance level could signal a shift in market sentiment, leading to a retracement. Key levels to monitor: Immediate Resistance: $44K Potential Downward Targets: 39K - $35K If BTC fails to sustain above $43K, we might witness a move towards the 39K -$35K zone. This range could act as a crucial support area, offering opportunities for accumulation or re-entry for those on the sidelines. Traders should watch for: Volume changes as BTC approaches these levels. Market sentiment indicators that might suggest a shift. Key technical patterns that could confirm the downward trajectory. While the broader market context remains bullish with the upcoming ETF decision, short-term movements could be dominated by these technical barriers. A cautious approach is advised, with a keen eye on how BTC interacts with these pivotal price points.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by AI-signals