Attempt To Make The Most Accurate Forecast In TV HistoryPurpose of this post: to make the most accurate near-term forecast in TradingView History
- Expectation is that SPY trades along the BLACK arrow/path over the next couple days
- Banking on a big gap up Monday 1/29/2024
Summary:
* Initial Target = 492 by Tuesday Jan 30th
** Goal Target 494-495 by Wed. Jan 31st
In order to avoid the need for anyone to post a slick comment about the lines on this chart (Ha Ha Ha) I'm posting my exact forecast (below). I use these lines to draw the forecast, they are systematic and necessary. Refer to the following:
1/26 9:30am EST - gap to 491 (it will hit 491 within the first 15 minutes of trading)
1/26 10:15am EST - drop to 489
1/26 10:30am EST - bounce to 490
1/26 11:30am EST pullback to 489.65
1/26 12:00pm EST - bounce to 490.91. From here we will see continuation higher to the following levels:
1/26 1:15pm EST - Hit initial target = 492
1/26 3:30pm EST - Hit Goal Target = 494
~ 492 will hit 1/29 with high probability. If 494 doesn't hit yet on 1/29, it will hit on 1/30.
SPY can extend slightly above 494-495 range to around 497, but there will be sellers in this range. After targets are hit this will pullback to test the gap level around 491 by 2/2/2024. I'll send an update at that point.
I'm currently in the following calls that I bought before the bell Friday 12/16:
Jan 29 490 calls (cost = 0.28)
Jan 29 492 calls (cost = 0.07)
Jan 30 492 calls (cost = 0.31)
Jan 31 494 calls (cost = 0.45)
After hitting initial target of 492 I'll be taking profits on half my total position. I'll take profits on the rest when this hits 494-495 (will keep a few calls open to see if it can wick 497).
Spyder
SPY analysisSpy report for Monday
Pushing or opening above 391.49 will go to 394.73 if the price closes above 394.73 prices will shoot to 402.79
breaking 385.26 prices will shoot to 379.58 and closing below 379.58 prices can reach 368.29
closing under 363.94 market will collapse that is IF WE DO
then we are looking @ 290 to 295 on SPY for Final Target.
$SPY on 1 hour Double Top$SPY on 1 hour Double Top
"What Is a Double Top?
A double top is an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern that forms after an asset reaches a high price two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs. It is confirmed once the asset's price falls below a support level equal to the low between the two prior highs."
I charted this yesterday for support and resistance and resistance broke as seen on the chart today.
New levels I will be watching today are:
1st resistance: $396.50
1st support: $393.44
Please note potential reversal headed towards1st resistance of $396.50.
Wait for confirmation. Not financial advice.
What are your thoughts?
Thanks,
Kelly :)
$SPY on 1HR 12/21 Analysis$SPY on 1HR 12/21 Analysis
For SPY i am expecting a morning pump.
This pump could potentially run to the 50 day SMA on the hourly chart of $384.44 and retrace.
As for pullback, looking at the stochastic, it shows there needs to be a pullback. It currently way too high imo.
I expect the rest of the day for spy to be relatively red or a sideway if it consolidates there after.
SPY:
1st Resistance: $382.56
1st Support: $378.19
What are your thoughts?
Thanks,
Kelly :)
$SPY on 1hour Pullback NOTE:QUAD WITCHING DAY$SPY on 1hour Pullback NOTE:QUAD WITCHING DAY
Quadruple (Quad) Witching:
The term quadruple witching refers to the simultaneous expiration four times a year of stock options, index futures , and index futures options derivatives contracts.
The fourth type of contract involved in quadruple witching, single-stock futures , hasn't traded in the U.S. since 2020 and was never a major contributor to equity trading volumes
Today is Quadruple witching day. My indicator shows a incoming downturn for SPY .
"Quadruple witching day is a bearish day, quadruple witching week is bullish , and that the last hour of quadruple watching day is bearish ."
What are your thoughts?
Thanks,
Kelly
$SPY on 1hr Expected PULLBACK$SPY on 1hr Expected PULLBACK
Even with the FOMC meeting. According to my analysis in the next hour or two there will be a pull back before the meeting even though the trend shows that SPY is trying to go
up overall on the hourly as seen by my trend line. Possible pullback near support of $402
FOMC Meeting at 2PM est.
What are your thoughts?
Thanks,
Kelly
SPY - Expecting Local GrowthCorrectional movement failed to break the local support, we expect resumption of buying to resistance.
If you like the idea, mark it. This is the best "Thank you!" for the author 😊
P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profits in installments. Withdraw profits in fiat and make yourself and your loved ones happy.
$SPY_What is next for $SPY? With today's candle closing below June and July's support line. Spy will have to beat the previous support line and close above before September ends. If the new resistance (previous support) is unbeatable, SPY may most likely close the previous gap at the $377-380 range.
5/18/22 SPYDSPDR Series Trust High Dividend ETF ( AMEX:SPYD )
Sector: Miscellaneous (Investment Trusts/Mutual Funds)
Market Capitalization: $ --
Current Price: $43.04
Breakout price: $43.80
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $43.40-$42.40
Price Target: $44.20-$44.40 (1st), $46.20-$46.90 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 69-70d (1st), 142-150d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $SPYD 6/17/22 42c, $SPYD 9/16/22 42c
Trade price as of publish date: $2.50/contract, $2.95/contract
SPYSPY is trying hard to go up as it bounces back from the support and has seen the 405 level twice. This area should be considered in high demand for now. Looking at the futures right now, they are already down -0.50%.
Two more things to consider:
1. MACD is trying to cool off as well with RSI.
2. If we see a bounce back from here and break the downtrend, we might see a reversal, but if the 425-430 area gets destroyed.
I'm going to play with calls tomorrow because on May 11, there might be a sell-off considering the CPI report.
SPYToday, we saw a massive sell-off after yesterday's massive rally, but there was an enormous volume at the end of the 15 minutes of the trading session. I see two scenarios tomorrow.
Scenario 1- we might see a dump at the beginning and then upward correction in which the spy will touch the 417-418 area and then back down again.
Scenario 2- We might see a sideway trend as well. 417-418 area, then back down to 410-411 area.
I'm bearish here because the pump didn't last even for a day and nobody bought the dip today. I'm looking for a 340-360 area to go long.
$SPY on 4hr Analysis of a Bounce$SPY on 4hr Analysis of a Bounce
$SPY has been fluxuating today and retracing back to a $410 range.
From a previous date of an $410 range, on Feb.24th $SPY Bounced around $28 DOLLARS by next day, do you think that time is repeating itself for tomorrow?
$SPY today -May 2nd, already bounced $10 dollars to the upside from a low of $405.02
What are your thoughts?
Thanks,
Kelly
$SPY on 15min : Bullish Trajectory next week$SPY on 15min Trajectory upside next week
It has been an interesting week with spy fluctuating all over the place.
With today's red day, I anticipate #SPY to retrace back to 423s + after retesting if it can hold the 422s level.
Not financial advice. I see a bounce happening like it has happened as indicated several times before.
Get your further out calls ready IMO. :)
What are your thoughts?
Thanks,
Kelly
SP500 ! Negative background. The price is preparing to declineThe index forms a fairly long god range between the prices of 4537 and 4289. The borders are worked out quite well. The price tried to rewrite the resistance of the range, but the resistance level 4595 formed above did not allow it.
The macroeconomic situation on the market is not very good, I think.
Picture of technical analysis: a false breakdown of resistance was made and the price returned to the range. At the moment, local support was tested, there is no strong rollback and the index is forming a pre-breakout trade. I expect a decline against the backdrop of the overall picture. The first target is the level 4388, the second target is the lower boundary of the sideways range - support 4289
Sincerely, R. Linda