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SPY S&P 500 ETF Price PredictionOn March 7th we have the Fed Chair Powell Testimony, that could reveal that the FOMC is going to hike the interest rates for a longer period of time, and maybe give us a clue if it`s the case for a 50bps increase after the next meeting. On March 10th we have the Non Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate that could also fuel a potential 50bps hike if they come better than expected. In this context, my price target for SPY is $386 by Mid-April. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
AMEX:SPYShort
by TopgOptions
$SPY PUTS If we held above $400 it would signal a larger move up. Likelihood of that happening is quite low in my opinion. With a big week of low expected earnings, possible negative news coming from Powell, and many companies looking lacklustre with weak guidance, I expect that we can see a strong rejection of the $400 level. Closed one put already from $399 to $396 and will gradually re-open a few Puts for March/April expiration between $397-$399 Looking for a TP level around $370 or at the .618 fib line. Not because it would be a bottom, but a good level to take profit as we approach expiration and where we might see a possible bounce. Stop loss would be $400 as I don't expect us to head back above this level. However, if we do, the risk/reward ratio is worth it. Good luck everyone.
AMEX:SPYShort
by bishopknight
2
SPY - Price Targets & Stop Loss📈 What’s up investors! 📉 Welcome back to another one of 💡“Mike’s Ideas”.💡 I post as I find signals… these signals are based on the personal rules I have built and follow in order to make up what I call the “SST Strategy”. Follow for more ideas in the future!! I have 4 levels marked and colour coded on the Chart. These levels are: ⚪ White = Entry Point 🔴 Red = Stop Loss 🟢 Green = 1.2:1 Risk Reward Ratio 🟡 Yellow = 1.5:1 Risk Reward Ratio 🔵 Blue = 2:1 Risk Reward Ratio 👀 So what are we looking at today…!!! 🚨( SPY ) SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust🚨 The Trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the "Portfolio"), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.
AMEX:SPYLong
by sststrategy
2
SPY S&P 500 ETF Options Ahead of the CPI ReportIf you haven`t shorted the Bearish Flag Chart Pattern: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release Consumer Price Index ( CPI ) data for the month of November 2022 on December 13, 2022, at 8.30am ET. The rate of inflation is the most important data that will impact the Fed’s coming rate hike decision. Now looking at the SPY options chain Ahead of the CPI Report, i would buy the $387 strike price Puts with 2023-1-20 expiration date for about $8.96 premium. If the options turn out to be profitable Before the CPI Report, i would sell at least 50%. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
AMEX:SPYShort
by TopgOptions
4
SP500 Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 SP500 Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 2.64%, down from 2.82% last week according to VIX data With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 56th percentile, while according to VIX, we are on 25th percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between: Bullish: 2.87% movement Bearish: 2.55% movement At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset, meaning that there is a 24.3% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel: TOP: 4188 BOT: 3960 Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is : 78% probability we are going to touch previous high of 4110 26% probability we are going to touch previous low of 3942 Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from Weekly timeframe indicates 53% bullish trend Daily timeframe indicates 80% bullish trend 4H timeframe indicates 53.3% bullish trend
CME_MINI:ES1!
by exlux
3 StrikesIn a downward channel, there's been 3 solid attempts to break pattern. A market reaction to a stronger Democratic result will test a low again, then there could be a Santa Claus rally as, perhaps, prices come down to offload inventory? Perhaps. Then at the beginning of the year,which have started poorly the last few years, could follow suit as well. This would give the markets the "cleansing" it needs to, in my opinion, psychologically push back up. Balance sheets and true growth will matter again, so that will be nice.
SP:SPX
by EvolveWM
SPY 52 WEEK LOW INCOMING?With the fed set to continue raising rates through 2022 I do not see a bottom in sight. Presented above I map out the two most possible scenarios in my opinion. The December fed meeting is the most important meeting coming post midterms. The November meeting this week will answer a few short term questions but the real question is do we begin slowing in December? If I had to answer the question above today the answer would be no! Based off the data we have received this month inflation is not slowing and unemployment is still low. The dollar has began to cool off, bonds & equities are getting some relief which provides more liquidity to the downside. The next week may become volatile or even a bit ranged bound as we wait on new data but I believe the end story is all the same. Spy breaking above the bear trend and 200ma invalidates my thesis. Fed rate slow also invalidates my thesis.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Ericc100k
3