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Rising wedge on SPY - Melt up? or Next leg down? Immediate Bias (Tomorrow): Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Low Probability unless there's a macro catalyst): Breaks above ~$596–$598 cleanly Retests that zone as support (watch 595.50 intraday) Then targets: 600 psychological 604–608 upper resistance channel Possible end-of-month blow-off top: 612–618 Scenario 2 – Pullback / Rejection (More Probable Setup): Rejected at ~596–597 zone (which aligns with upper wedge resistance) Breakdown below $590 intraday Then targets: 587.80 EMA cluster (20/50) If lost → 576.44 next EMA + demand level Followed by major support at 565.87 / 563.43 🔥 Week Ahead Trade Plan (May 20–24) ✅ Bullish Possibility: If NVDA earnings, FOMC minutes, or macro data surprise to the upside Watch for breakout above the red wedge and hold above 600 Target range: 604 → 612 max upside 🚨 Bearish Scenario: Wedge breakdown below ~$590 Momentum cracks down to: 587 576 (watch for bounce) If panic selling → 565–563 (larger time frame buying zone) Volume divergence and overbought EMAs support a potential cool-off. 📅 Monthly Projection (End of May): If wedge breaks down → consolidation range between 563 – 587 If wedge breaks out → blow-off rally up to 612–620, but likely to fade quickly Fed commentary and NVDA earnings on May 22 will be major catalysts 📌 Key Levels Type Price Notes Resistance (R3) 612–618 Final upside blow-off zone (channel top) Resistance (R2) 604 Overhead channel line Resistance (R1) 595–598 Wedge top + major resistance Support (S1) 587 EMA cluster + strong local demand Support (S2) 576 Clean structure + prior breakout Support (S3) 565–563 Confluence of long-term EMAs + trendline 🎯 Trade Setups 📉 Bearish (Favored if no breakout tomorrow): Short 595–597 with stop above 600 Targets: 587 → 576 Optional: Add below wedge break (~590) 📈 Bullish (Confirmation-based): Break + retest of 597–600 Target: 604, then scale out at 612 Avoid front-running long unless you see volume + price close outside wedge
AMEX:SPY
by wesu7gcs
2
SPY Breakout Watch: Triangle Pressure Builds Above 590SPY has surged in a strong V-shaped recovery from the March low of ~480 to testing major resistance around 595–600. The daily chart shows sustained higher highs and higher lows, but price now stalls at a key supply zone with multiple doji candles—signaling indecision. A rising trendline provides strong support near 570. Zooming into the 60-minute chart, SPY forms an ascending triangle with flat resistance at 590 and rising support from 584. Volume contraction suggests accumulation, priming a potential breakout. A 60-min close above 590 targets 596, with a stop under 588. On the 15-minute timeframe, bull-flags form frequently after morning gaps, with breakouts typically launching 4–5 points higher. VWAP and the 20-MA converge near 588.5, making it an ideal pullback entry zone. Strategy for May 19–23: Long on a clean breakout above 590 (target: 594–596) Stop under 587.5–588 Caution if daily closes below 570 Expect early-week upside tests of 590–594, followed by a potential breakout toward 595–600. If a high-volume rejection occurs near that zone, a quick scalp-short may be in play.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BlackCandleTrader
SPY Technical Outlook – Bullish Continuation Favored Above $584SPY remains in a strong uptrend, confirmed by a bull flag breakout on the daily chart, with price currently testing the $588–590 resistance zone. A rising channel on the hourly chart has guided price since early May, with repeated bounces off the lower trendline around $578–582. Recent volume expansion on breakouts reinforces bullish conviction. On the 15-minute chart, a breakout and retest setup around $585–586 suggests a low-risk intraday long opportunity. The intraday VWAP and moving averages support this level, with momentum favoring a push toward $590. A failure to hold $584 could open downside to $582 or $578. The near-term trading bias remains bullish above $584, with targets of $590–592. Short-term traders should look to buy defined pullbacks with tight risk, while watching for volume to confirm continuation. If $590 breaks with strength, swing targets extend to $595–600. Conversely, a breakdown of the hourly channel would favor quick shorts targeting support zones below.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BlackCandleTrader
S&P 500 Index Most Bullish Signal In 15 YearsThis is why it is very clear, certain, that the stock market, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is set to grow in the coming months. Last week produced the highest volume session, on the bullish side, since April/May 2010, that's 15 years. Back then, when this signal showed up, this index went to grow for years non-stop. The SPX also produced the strongest weekly session in several decades, maybe the strongest week ever, and a bounce happened (support found) exactly at the 0.618 retracement Fib. This is all we need to know. When the bulls enter the market and do so with force, it is because the market is set to grow. The correction produced decline of 21%. This is pretty standard. The fact that the correction happened really fast, it means that it will also have a fast end. The low is in. The correction is over. The S&P 500 Index is set to grow. You can be certain. If you have any doubts, just ask the chart. Namaste.
SP:SPXLong
by MasterAnanda
9
SPY in Focus: Tactical Day Trading Amid a Bullish RecoveryAs of early May, SPY consolidates around $560–$570, testing former support-turned-resistance. On the daily chart, the market is pausing after a rapid rally, with $610 as major resistance and $540–$485 as key support. The 1-hour chart reflects a solid uptrend with recent consolidation between $555–$568, while the 15-minute chart shows intraday weakness with critical support at $560. Three trading strategies emerge: (1) Bullish breakout, buying above $564–$568 with targets up to $580; (2) Bearish breakdown, shorting below $560 with downside to $545; and (3) Range trading, buying/selling within $558–$568 using tight stops. Confirmation via volume and candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing or hammer) is essential. Short-term bias is bullish, but with caution—if SPY holds $560, it could retest $570 or break higher. A drop below $556 invalidates the bullish outlook.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BlackCandleTrader
Opportunity Beneath the Fear: SPY's Reversal SetupIn the Shadow of Headlines: SPY’s Drop Could Be 2025’s Big Opportunity As markets react sharply to renewed tariff fears and Trump-related headlines, SPY continues its descent. Panic is setting in—but behind the noise, a strategic opportunity may be quietly forming. While many rush to exit, others are beginning to position for the bounce. A well-structured entry strategy could be key to turning uncertainty into gains. Entry Zone (Staggered): 🔹 543: First watch level—look for signs of slowing momentum. 🔹 515: Deeper entry point as the selloff extends. 🔹 <500 (TBD): Stay flexible—if panic accelerates, this could mark a generational setup. Profit Targets: ✅ 570: Initial rebound target. ✅ 590: Mid-range level if recovery builds. ✅ 610+: Full recovery potential—rewarding those with patience and vision. Remember: Headlines fade, but price action and preparation stay. This selloff may continue—but it might also be laying the foundation for 2025’s most powerful move. The key? Enter with discipline, protect your capital, and let the market come to you. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
SPX Fractal Expansion: New Highs Ahead Despite FearAs of April 14, 2025, the CBOE:SPX is exhibiting a clear fractal expansion, suggesting the beginning of a new bullish leg. The recent correction, which caused widespread panic, appears to have completed a fractal cycle reset, with price respecting historical support near 4704 and forming a new fractal edge around 5300. Despite the fear-driven selloff, momentum indicators like RSI and MACD show signs of bottoming, and volume surged on rebound days, confirming strong institutional buying. The price is now testing temporary resistance at 5878, with a path open to reclaim all-time highs (6100+). Global & Technical Tailwinds Technical momentum is recovering across timeframes, with positive divergence on stochastic oscillators. Breadth is improving: More stocks are participating in the rally, reflecting internal strength. Sentiment has flipped: The VIX has cooled from panic levels (above 45), and investor fear is easing. Macro support: Inflation is declining, and central banks are signaling potential rate cuts by late 2025. Earnings outlook remains solid, and analysts forecast SPX to end 2025 around 6500–7100. 🔍Conclusion The SPX is carving out a fractal mirror of past bullish reversals, reinforced by strong macro and technical context. Barring unexpected shocks, the index is likely to break above resistance and push toward new highs, even as residual fear lingers. The setup favors buying dips within this emerging structure.
SP:SPXLong
by insidermike
SPY Technical Outlook - Will Buyers Step In?AMEX:SPY is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This rejection led to increased selling pressure, bringing price back to the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers may step in to defend the trendline support. If the price holds at this dynamic support level, a bullish reaction could send AMEX:SPY toward the midline of the channel, with the next target around 607.00. Holding above this level would reinforce the bullish trend structure and increase the probability of continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel. However, a breakdown below the trendline support would weaken the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside. Monitoring price action, volume, and confirmation signals will be crucial in determining the next move.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendDiva
28
SPY: Deep Pullback or the Opportunity of the Year?The market has spoken, and SPY has taken a deeper dive, breaking key levels and raising the big question: Will it keep dropping, or are we looking at the best opportunity of 2025? Seasoned traders know that sharp declines aren’t just moments of panic—they are moments of opportunity. With SPY reaching 558, 545, and even 525, this could be the perfect setup for a strategic, tiered entry ahead of a potential rebound. Key Recovery Levels: 🔹 570: First profit target, capturing an initial bounce. 🔹 590: A second take-profit zone if the momentum continues upward. 🔹 607: If recovery gains traction, this could be the level where many look to lock in gains. The market may continue to dip, but every drop presents a potential golden opportunity. What looks risky today could turn into the trade of the year tomorrow. As always, risk management and disciplined execution are key. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risks, and each investor should conduct their own analysis and manage risk responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
S&P500 is OVERSOLD!CME_MINI:ES1! NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:COIN BUY OPPORTUNITY on CME_MINI:ES1! The chart shows a strong bullish setup. A well-defined wave structure is visible along with a key Fibonacci retracement level marking the pullback. A divergence in momentum has been noted, and the price action has bounced off the 52-week EMA, suggesting that buyers are stepping in. Fundamentally, the outlook remains positive. Recent macroeconomic data points to solid consumer spending and steady industrial production, while bank earnings and statements from major financial institutions have added to market confidence. These positive signals help support the S&P 500’s broader resilience, reinforcing the potential for further gains. That said, caution is advised. Uncertainties such as shifting monetary policy, potential geopolitical tensions, and any unforeseen changes in economic data could introduce volatility. Traders should consider tight risk management and stop-loss strategies to mitigate downside risks. Not Financial Advice
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by FairValueBuffet
NEW BULL MOVE IS NEAR Wave 4 cycle low SETUPI am coming into the major and minor spiral cycle Low is has been due into 3/8 3/13 focus on the 10th for sometime . But the Crash cycle is in day 10 today and over the last 112 years data back to 1902 the crash cycle has been from 8 to 12 days long we are in day 10 Now .I have taken up a 75 % long deep in the money Calls into this morning drop I this give the market a chance of 30 % to drop to the lower target of 5644 But Put Call models are bell ringing now .I will move to 100 % long calls at 5723/5713 and move to 110 % long at 5644 MIT . after the low print and we break above 5909 on a close I have a confirmed LOW and we short see a major 5th wave blow off it should take 26 TD and the target min is 6183 and max to 6430 with 6235 being focus in the math In the QQQ 552 is a focus with 545 as the min max based on the Math 564 Tight range for the QQQ as it should be The DJI will see a minor new new above 45040 best of trades WAVETIMER
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
7
$MES1! Charting to Purchase $SPY 1-DTE Call Option, 15-min TFContract: AMEX:SPY 27 FEB 25 598c Entry: $2.03 on 1:09pm Exit: $1.26 on 1:58pm (-$77, -38%) So after seeing price decrease 0.75%, 45 pints, 179 pips in 2 hours from $6,023.75 to $5,980 (support area), I decided to purchase a call expiring today on Feb 27, 2025. On the 15min and 5min I noticed price bounced around the $5,980 area and thought price would reverse to the upside. 1) Yesterday on Feb 26 @ 1:09pm, I entered AMEX:SPY 27 FEB 25 598c @$2.03 because of the drop and potential reversal. On the 5min: - candle had made a higher low - became an inside (1) candle #thestrat - began consolidating & hit support around 5,980. 2) When placing my stop loss, I mistakenly set up my option call to sell when AMEX:SPY (the stock) touched or went above $3.05 instead of programming the option call to sell when the specific option call ( AMEX:SPY 27 FEB 25 598c) touched or went above $3.05. You live and you learn. On to the next play.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by Brandonthrives
Following up SPYEntry Strategy Entry Levels: 599: Initiate your first position here. 593: Consider adding to your position if the price pulls back. 585: Evaluate a further entry during a deeper retracement. Profit Targets: 607: Aim for an initial profit target at this level. 611: A secondary target to capture additional gains. 615: The final target where you may exit for optimal returns. Remember to use proper risk management, including stop-loss orders, and ensure your risk/reward ratio meets your trading criteria. Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
Bullish Cypher - SPY spotted a bullish Cypher pattern on SPY’s daily chart, and it looks promising. Entry: Current Market Price Stop Loss: 575.50, just under the D-point, to give the trade some breathing room. Targets: All time high Ideas and Inputs are welcome. Thank you for dropping by. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Krut4rth7
7
SPY Gap Filled - Local Bottom - More SendTrading Fam, I am not overlooking the small H&S pattern seen on this chart. I am simply presenting alternative data. What if that H&S pattern fails? It can happen. Even if we do drop further, our target down is that pink horizontal trendline. Will we get there before more buying ensues? Possibly. But this market is still bullish. The larger bull trend is still very much in tact. Additionally, we can see that an important gap has been filled. Therefore, it is very possible that the small H&S pattern we see here will not reach its target down. If that is the case, we'll turn up again, continue through my Target #2 which was already hit, and proceed onward and upward to my final Target #3 (670-700) until that is reached sometime in 2025. Therefore, you are not wrong to start DCA'ing in at this point. ✌️ Stew
AMEX:SPYLong
by stewdamus
5
Pre-Market Update: SPY - 01092025 - $586-$586.50 Support RetestWatching the SPY going into Premarket, it lost support at the $588.62 Levels, so we're looking for that $586-586.50 to gauge if the Markets will lose steam and pullback even more (providing better buying opportunities on our other Trade Analysis). The question is always, "How far are really pulling back though?" Today's Economic Calendar: Event Type Date Time Description Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Industrial Production Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Merchandise Trade Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Industrial Production Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Merchandise Trade Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 04:00 AM Retail Sales Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 04:00 AM Retail Sales Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM Challenger Job-Cut Report Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM ECB Minutes Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM Challenger Job-Cut Report Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM ECB Minutes Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 07:30 AM Jobless Claims Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 07:30 AM Jobless Claims Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 09:00 AM Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary) Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 09:00 AM Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary) Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 3-Month Bill Announcement Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 6-Month Bill Announcement Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 3-Month Bill Announcement Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 6-Month Bill Announcement Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:30 AM 4-Week Bill Auction Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:30 AM 4-Week Bill Auction Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 03:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 03:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 05:30 PM Household Spending Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 05:30 PM Household Spending Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 11:00 PM Equity Settlements Stay tuned by connecting with us below to discover more at @MyMI Wallet!
AMEX:SPYLong
by MyMIWallet
Market Open Update: ES Buy Zone Here? APEX Trade of the DayHere's our APEX Trade of the Day! The ES provided us with a healthy pullback providing a re-buy zone around the $5975 - $5982. We can use this as an overall market gauge to see some pushes higher in our trades that we have shared! If you have seen them yet, be sure to follow for more as we can analyze the Market and finding what's available as to get positions in as we move forward into 2025! Connect with us to stay tuned for more at @MyMIWallet #MyMIWallet
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MyMIWallet
SPY Ascending Triangle pattern AND Rising WedgeAMEX:SPY Printing a nice ascending triangle pattern along a rising wedge. Could go either way as marked out but considering last weeks action the time for the rally of santa is here as we head into the day of the great Turkey. Some fat wall street bankers have to cover and generate returns they keep pushing people out of positions just to buy them up. Very likely we set a new ATH on SPY this week. We just as easily could reverse as rising wedges tend to be bearish signals.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Paul_Hodls