SPY Technical Outlook - Will Buyers Step In?AMEX:SPY is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This rejection led to increased selling pressure, bringing price back to the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers may step in to defend the trendline support.
If the price holds at this dynamic support level, a bullish reaction could send AMEX:SPY toward the midline of the channel, with the next target around 607.00. Holding above this level would reinforce the bullish trend structure and increase the probability of continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel.
However, a breakdown below the trendline support would weaken the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside. Monitoring price action, volume, and confirmation signals will be crucial in determining the next move.
Spylong
SPY: Deep Pullback or the Opportunity of the Year?The market has spoken, and SPY has taken a deeper dive, breaking key levels and raising the big question: Will it keep dropping, or are we looking at the best opportunity of 2025?
Seasoned traders know that sharp declines aren’t just moments of panic—they are moments of opportunity. With SPY reaching 558, 545, and even 525, this could be the perfect setup for a strategic, tiered entry ahead of a potential rebound.
Key Recovery Levels:
🔹 570: First profit target, capturing an initial bounce.
🔹 590: A second take-profit zone if the momentum continues upward.
🔹 607: If recovery gains traction, this could be the level where many look to lock in gains.
The market may continue to dip, but every drop presents a potential golden opportunity. What looks risky today could turn into the trade of the year tomorrow. As always, risk management and disciplined execution are key.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risks, and each investor should conduct their own analysis and manage risk responsibly.
S&P500 is OVERSOLD!CME_MINI:ES1! NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:COIN
BUY OPPORTUNITY on CME_MINI:ES1!
The chart shows a strong bullish setup. A well-defined wave structure is visible along with a key Fibonacci retracement level marking the pullback. A divergence in momentum has been noted, and the price action has bounced off the 52-week EMA, suggesting that buyers are stepping in.
Fundamentally, the outlook remains positive. Recent macroeconomic data points to solid consumer spending and steady industrial production, while bank earnings and statements from major financial institutions have added to market confidence. These positive signals help support the S&P 500’s broader resilience, reinforcing the potential for further gains.
That said, caution is advised. Uncertainties such as shifting monetary policy, potential geopolitical tensions, and any unforeseen changes in economic data could introduce volatility. Traders should consider tight risk management and stop-loss strategies to mitigate downside risks.
Not Financial Advice
NEW BULL MOVE IS NEAR Wave 4 cycle low SETUPI am coming into the major and minor spiral cycle Low is has been due into 3/8 3/13 focus on the 10th for sometime . But the Crash cycle is in day 10 today and over the last 112 years data back to 1902 the crash cycle has been from 8 to 12 days long we are in day 10 Now .I have taken up a 75 % long deep in the money Calls into this morning drop I this give the market a chance of 30 % to drop to the lower target of 5644 But Put Call models are bell ringing now .I will move to 100 % long calls at 5723/5713 and move to 110 % long at 5644 MIT . after the low print and we break above 5909 on a close I have a confirmed LOW and we short see a major 5th wave blow off it should take 26 TD and the target min is 6183 and max to 6430 with 6235 being focus in the math In the QQQ 552 is a focus with 545 as the min max based on the Math 564 Tight range for the QQQ as it should be The DJI will see a minor new new above 45040 best of trades WAVETIMER
$MES1! Charting to Purchase $SPY 1-DTE Call Option, 15-min TFContract: AMEX:SPY 27 FEB 25 598c
Entry: $2.03 on 1:09pm
Exit: $1.26 on 1:58pm (-$77, -38%)
So after seeing price decrease 0.75%, 45 pints, 179 pips in 2 hours from $6,023.75 to $5,980 (support area), I decided to purchase a call expiring today on Feb 27, 2025.
On the 15min and 5min I noticed price bounced around the $5,980 area and thought price would reverse to the upside.
1) Yesterday on Feb 26 @ 1:09pm, I entered AMEX:SPY 27 FEB 25 598c @$2.03 because of the drop and potential reversal.
On the 5min:
- candle had made a higher low
- became an inside (1) candle #thestrat
- began consolidating & hit support around 5,980.
2) When placing my stop loss, I mistakenly set up my option call to sell when AMEX:SPY (the stock) touched or went above $3.05 instead of programming the option call to sell when the specific option call ( AMEX:SPY 27 FEB 25 598c) touched or went above $3.05.
You live and you learn.
On to the next play.
Following up SPYEntry Strategy
Entry Levels:
599: Initiate your first position here.
593: Consider adding to your position if the price pulls back.
585: Evaluate a further entry during a deeper retracement.
Profit Targets:
607: Aim for an initial profit target at this level.
611: A secondary target to capture additional gains.
615: The final target where you may exit for optimal returns.
Remember to use proper risk management, including stop-loss orders, and ensure your risk/reward ratio meets your trading criteria.
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Bullish Cypher - SPY spotted a bullish Cypher pattern on SPY’s daily chart, and it looks promising.
Entry: Current Market Price
Stop Loss: 575.50, just under the D-point, to give the trade some breathing room.
Targets: All time high
Ideas and Inputs are welcome.
Thank you for dropping by.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
SPY Gap Filled - Local Bottom - More SendTrading Fam,
I am not overlooking the small H&S pattern seen on this chart. I am simply presenting alternative data. What if that H&S pattern fails? It can happen. Even if we do drop further, our target down is that pink horizontal trendline. Will we get there before more buying ensues? Possibly. But this market is still bullish. The larger bull trend is still very much in tact.
Additionally, we can see that an important gap has been filled. Therefore, it is very possible that the small H&S pattern we see here will not reach its target down. If that is the case, we'll turn up again, continue through my Target #2 which was already hit, and proceed onward and upward to my final Target #3 (670-700) until that is reached sometime in 2025. Therefore, you are not wrong to start DCA'ing in at this point.
✌️ Stew
Pre-Market Update: SPY - 01092025 - $586-$586.50 Support RetestWatching the SPY going into Premarket, it lost support at the $588.62 Levels, so we're looking for that $586-586.50 to gauge if the Markets will lose steam and pullback even more (providing better buying opportunities on our other Trade Analysis). The question is always, "How far are really pulling back though?"
Today's Economic Calendar:
Event Type Date Time Description
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Industrial Production
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Merchandise Trade
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Industrial Production
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 01:00 AM Merchandise Trade
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 04:00 AM Retail Sales
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 04:00 AM Retail Sales
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM Challenger Job-Cut Report
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM ECB Minutes
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM Challenger Job-Cut Report
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 06:30 AM ECB Minutes
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 07:30 AM Jobless Claims
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 07:30 AM Jobless Claims
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 09:00 AM Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary)
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 09:00 AM Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary)
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 3-Month Bill Announcement
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 6-Month Bill Announcement
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 3-Month Bill Announcement
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:00 AM 6-Month Bill Announcement
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:30 AM 4-Week Bill Auction
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 10:30 AM 4-Week Bill Auction
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 03:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 03:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 05:30 PM Household Spending
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 05:30 PM Household Spending
Econoday event Jan 09, 2025 11:00 PM Equity Settlements
Stay tuned by connecting with us below to discover more at @MyMI Wallet!
Market Open Update: ES Buy Zone Here? APEX Trade of the DayHere's our APEX Trade of the Day!
The ES provided us with a healthy pullback providing a re-buy zone around the $5975 - $5982. We can use this as an overall market gauge to see some pushes higher in our trades that we have shared!
If you have seen them yet, be sure to follow for more as we can analyze the Market and finding what's available as to get positions in as we move forward into 2025!
Connect with us to stay tuned for more at @MyMIWallet #MyMIWallet
SPY Ascending Triangle pattern AND Rising WedgeAMEX:SPY Printing a nice ascending triangle pattern along a rising wedge. Could go either way as marked out but considering last weeks action the time for the rally of santa is here as we head into the day of the great Turkey. Some fat wall street bankers have to cover and generate returns they keep pushing people out of positions just to buy them up. Very likely we set a new ATH on SPY this week. We just as easily could reverse as rising wedges tend to be bearish signals.
SPY I Bullish rally and more continued growthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** SPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Comprehensive Technical Analysis: SPX 10-Minute ChartThis SPX 10-minute chart shows a clear intraday shift from a bearish to a bullish trend, accompanied by multiple technical signals. Let’s break down the analysis across different technical components:
1. Trend Analysis:
Initial Downtrend: The session started with bearish momentum as indicated by Put Signals and declining price action. The lower lows created a brief bearish trend that ended with a strong reversal.
Bullish Reversal: The reversal is confirmed by a series of Call Signals after a strong bullish breakout from the previous consolidation zone. The price broke above a significant resistance level around 5,731.94, leading to a steady uptrend.
2. Moving Averages:
Short-Term Moving Average (Orange Line):
This acts as immediate support during the bullish run. The price consistently stays above this line, indicating short-term bullish strength.
The slope of the moving average is steep, reflecting increasing bullish momentum.
Mid-Term Moving Average (Blue Line):
Positioned further below, the blue moving average provides a broader support level. This indicates that the medium-term trend remains supportive of the upward move, showing a well-established bullish context.
3. Heikin Ashi Candles:
Bullish Momentum: The Heikin Ashi candles display a strong bullish pattern with several consecutive yellow candles and minimal lower wicks, indicating reduced volatility on the downside.
Temporary Pullback: A few red candles appear, marking brief consolidation but not a trend reversal. The continuation of yellow candles afterward confirms sustained bullish pressure.
4. Key Signals and Levels:
Entry Long: A long entry signal is observed after the breakout around 5,731.94, which was an excellent point for entering the bullish trade.
Exit Long: The Exit Long signal near 5,776.76 suggests taking profits after the bullish move. This level now serves as short-term resistance.
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: 5,755.43 – A pullback to this level would still align with the bullish structure as long as it holds.
Major Support: 5,731.94 – This level marks the breakout point, acting as a strong floor for further bullish moves.
5. Volume and Momentum:
Although volume is not displayed, typically such strong moves (as indicated by Heikin Ashi and moving averages) are accompanied by rising volume.
Momentum: Bullish momentum remains high, supported by consistent upward price movement and the sustained hold above the moving averages.
6. Resistance and Future Outlook:
Immediate Resistance: The price is facing resistance at 5,776.76. A break above this could open the path to higher levels, potentially testing psychological levels like 5,800.
Continuation or Pullback: If the price breaks above 5,776, we can expect a continuation of the uptrend. However, a failure at this resistance might lead to a short-term pullback to 5,755 or even 5,731.
Conclusion:
The chart reflects a strong bullish reversal with clear signals of upward momentum. Traders should watch the 5,776 level for a breakout confirmation or potential pullback to the key support levels at 5,755 and 5,731. Maintaining the trend above the orange and blue moving averages will be crucial for sustained bullish movement.
SPY Pullback: Time to Consider New Swing Long Positions!While AMEX:SPY remains in a strong uptrend, today’s 0.5% decline offers a healthy retracement for swing traders looking to enter long positions at more favorable levels. I don’t expect this pullback to last long or be of significant magnitude, but the short-term weakness is evident, creating an attractive window to buy into the trend. Watch for upcoming signals, as this dip could present a fresh opportunity for the next upward move.
The technicals support this outlook:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 63.85 (Neutral), indicating the market isn’t oversold yet, leaving room for more downside before a potential rebound.
MACD Level: 5.77 (Buy), signaling positive momentum and supporting the overall bullish trend.
Momentum (10): 12.81 (Buy), confirming underlying strength in the uptrend.
Exponential Moving Averages (10, 20, 50, 100, 200): All in “Buy” territory, reinforcing that the uptrend remains intact despite today’s pullback.
However, Stochastic %K (90.36) and Commodity Channel Index (192.15) point to potential short-term exhaustion, suggesting this is a brief pause before the next leg higher. Swing traders should stay alert for a better entry point at any moment.
Action: Stay tuned for a buying opportunity and follow me to see when I make my next move into the trend!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risks, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.