SPY I Pullback and more growth to comeWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**SPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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$14,600 Profit on TQQQ Swing Trade, What to look for next week. A deep technical analysis as to why I took profit on my 8000 shares of TQQQ and some mistakes I made on my trade that I could of done better.
- Also what to look for on Monday, Monday is likely a buying the dip opportunity day for the next move up on SPY and QQQ, i explained what we should be looking for to be buying in again.
- the weekly higher low is set and i will be playing off of it
- bulls are still in a weekly uptrend and now we have to change 4h and daily trend back to the bulls.
HOW TO RIDE Your Profits FULLY - 12 EMA BULL TRENDING $QQQ $SPYYesterday I talked about how bears had no follow though at market open and bulls took over after we broke above resistance and that we will very likely get another bull move today higher.
- Both SPY & QQQ were trending on the 12 EMA super strong and did not break below it at all
- bull 100% comfortable holding their positions throughout the entire day with zero signs of any red flags so far
- likely due for a 4h consolidation i'm looking for a 5m or 15m oversold bounce play Monday/Tuesday and ride continue to ride the bull move up until price action tells me otherwise.
- took some profit off my TQQQ position at 23.38, still holding some shares will likely add them back on a consolidation for another move up.
Spy could ripSup baby,
This story will be told using the weekly time frame, colourful pasta, made up lines, and a positive outlook.
If we look back some time, using the 20(yellow), 50(Orange), 100(Blue), and 200(Red) squiggles. You’ll notice we haven’t crossed the Orange, or the Blue without recovering and taking off afterwards. In fact we haven’t since 2008.
If this fails, we also know the Red pasta is bouncy! If the Red pasta fails you, just keep buying calls and eat ramen. You’ll be just fine.
Interestingly enough, the market sentiment online is rather bearish. It has been for a few months now. The rate hikes are doing a good job screwing people, how much it’s helped inflation though.. couldn’t tell ya. Point being, it’s the first time this many investors are present online and taking in all the recession crap 24/7. I honestly think there’s enough bullshit out there to cover up a good market rip.
This is pulling back to retest an old downtrend that held the market back (4 times) during this “mild recession”. AND it’s hitting a tested diagonal trend line that’s kept the recent rallies in check. The Yellow pasta could breakout , this could be nice.
Hope you enjoyed reading this! If not, buy puts what do I care.
Not investment advice
Cheers
Spy Supply/Demand Zones with Support/Resistance.AMEX:SPY
Here shown are the current S/D and S/R levels on Spy. There is also an imbalance area in the middle of the chart that can be used as a support/resistance zone however, this seems to be more of a resistance level given the candles and wicks and how they set up right below this level. The candles are seemingly setting up for an aggressive leg up as that is the only way they can break this resistance and make it become a support again. Hope this chart helps you traders and remember me when you get your first AP. Remember the AP doesn't lie...
SPY WATCHLIST FEBRUARY 13TH- 17THCPI data, jobless claims, housing starts! The Economic Calendar has a full week ahead and I believe this will be one of the deciding factors into what the market will do in this pullback.
Broke an important supply zone around 408/409 and pulled back Thursday and closed on it on Friday.
This week my eye is on data and if we break above 408.85 to take profit at 410, 411.56, 415. And if we break below 404 to take profit at 402.15, 500, 398.50!
📈 Mapping The Next SPX500 Targets | 4060 Followed By...Allow 3.3 minutes of your time to read this article.
It should be quick...
We looked at the chart signals recently for the SPX.
I would like to turn our focus now to the next resistance levels/potential targets... Please, join in!
4027 is the next relevant level based on fib. extension but I saw 4060 in a dream. That's the first target.
The next target looks very optimistic but it would only match what we've been seeing develop in the past several months.
It would match every single bullish signal we got from crypto, stocks and other indexes.
4305 is the main target for the current move that is starting to develop.
I am at the edge of my sit... Will it truly develop or will we have a surprise turn?
My bet is up! 👆
What bout yours?
Comments below... 👇
Namaste.
SPX TOP!! Final leg to 6100 by July 22nd 2024This just lines up so perfect for me. A measured move from the March 2020 lows would be 6100 in July 22nd ish 2024. That would line up with the tops from 1929 and 2001, oh man. At that point I'm selling it all and running for the hills cuz it could get REAL nasty.
Powell's Power!As of recently we have been in a small bull run. Bulls have been pumping on bad news, being dumb and relentlessly rallying. This is normal for bulls though so what can we expect? Bulls gonna do what bulls gonna do! We are at a strong resistance/supply level however, the bulls have been very violent and are out for blood as they aim to plow through this resistance/supply zone. In a few days we get the new interest rate numbers and if the FED decides to pause the rate hike then the bulls will go crazy and pump spy even higher. A rate hike will most likely drag spy down a bit and put us into lower 400s or higher 390s but, lately bulls have been pumping on bad numbers so we cannot accurately determine their next move. The bulls are at the end of a tunnel and they see the light so they will not stop at any costs, join the rally or get stomped shorting. I'm not a bull or a bear but the trend is your friend, that is if you can spot it.
Time For Bears To Feast? $SPY Heading to $385 By Feb. 10th.It seems like it's following the same pattern as the past two rallies. If you look closely, each time it rallied, the volume was declining and same is happening with the current rally as well. The first rally hit the bottom trendline in 36 days, the second rally hit the bottom trendline in 18 days (in exactly half the amount of days it took the first one to touch the trendline) and if the algos are following similar pattern we should see $385 by second week of Feb. Close above $405 invalidates this probability for me.
SPY $ Target 2023we got rejected for the 5th time at our bearish channel, if we don't clear that channel above the 400$, is means we going to have a test first for the support above the 355$ then to the bottom price around the (320$/340$) .
on the other hand if we broke that channel , is means that will be the first sign for bullish reversal , and the second signal which is the most strongest one is breaking the 430$ resistant .
SPY - Price Targets & Stop Loss📈 What’s up investors! 📉
Welcome back to another one of
💡“Mike’s Ideas”.💡
I post as I find signals… these signals are based on the personal rules I have built and follow in order to make up what I call the “SST Strategy”. Follow for more ideas in the future!!
I have 4 levels marked and colour coded on the Chart.
These levels are:
⚪ White = Entry Point
🔴 Red = Stop Loss
🟢 Green = 1.2:1 Risk Reward Ratio
🟡 Yellow = 1.5:1 Risk Reward Ratio
🔵 Blue = 2:1 Risk Reward Ratio
👀 So what are we looking at today…!!!
🚨( SPY ) SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust🚨
The Trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the "Portfolio"), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.
40 Bar Cycle Chart - S&P 500 SPY SPX - Updated 011423Leading up to the December Inflation CPI Report that was released this last week (Thursday), markets (at a macro level) have been rallying into this last Friday — which also was coincidently the start of earnings season as banks such as J.P. Morgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Citi (C), Wells Fargo (WFC), BlackRock (BLK), & others.
Now that the Inflation (CPI) Report is out of the way & earnings season is full steam ahead, markets look to the next big event(s) which include the Federal Reserve February Interest Rate Decision coming our way on February 1st, 2023.
That said, here's what is happening in the charts with the S&P 500 SPY SPX ES1! as it relates to our "40-Bar Cycle" 📊:
📉 *CHART NOTES* 📈
As I mentioned above, we did break out of the sloppy trading/consolidation range that the S&P 500 SPY SPX ES1! was kept in throughout the holidays, & into the new year. Now that we've broken out of that & reached back above the 50-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA50 = Red Line) on the daily chart, SPY is sitting just below the 200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA200 = Green Line). Also note that we did close above the SMA200 ($397.21) to finish up the week at ($398.50) on SPY. Now that we are above this key level (on a daily close), question is will we re-test this level & drift higher into the February Federal Reserve Meeting? OR, are markets setting up for a further (or short-term) pull-back using the timing & levels included in the "40-Bar Cycle" 📊 ?
Keep in mind too that we did get a positive MACD crossover (buy signal) on the daily chart, as featured below. However, looking at the charts (including 4-hour MACD) I would conclude that this is likely an invalid buy signal — based in-part on other factors including January Options Expiration (OpEx) next week, 'VIX Compression', & also Federal Reserve 'Net Liquidity', which is still "risk-off" on a macro level as the Federal Reserve looks to keep a lid on asset prices, & of course Inflation (CPI).
Chart #1-2: SPY Consolidation Breakout (Daily, w/ & w/o Falling Wedge Pattern)
Chart #3: SPY Consolidation Breakout (4-Hour)
Chart #4: SPY Consolidation Breakout (1-Hour)
Chart #5: SPY 40-Bar Cycle (Daily, note that we are now clearly above the 50SMA are converging on major resistance of the 2022 downtrend & the 200SMA ).
Chart #6: SPY 40-Bar Cycle (4-Hour, note the 50SMA did not cross below the 200SMA)
Chart #7: SPY 40-Bar Cycle (1-Hour, note the 50SMA vs. 200SMA buy-signal & upward regression channel)
What are your predictions for the rest of January 23'?
Camp A: We are short-term overbought & a pull-back is in order, before we re-test & break out of this $380-390-400 range on the back of better than expected earnings, less than hawkish Federal Reserve, & more "resilient" macro data.
Camp B: We may continue to short-term rally, however market liquidity is still too strong & the Federal Reserve is likely to continue with .25% — in addition to maintaining their hawkish tone so that excess market liquidity does not run away from them with higher asset prices. Macro data will continue to be mixed, if not trend-downward, & earnings will start to come in softer than people expect as forward outlooks raise the red flags for investors.
Let me know your prediction in the comments below! 👇🏼