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Spyshort

Bearish Continuation for the SPYIt was subtle but it happened. Lower high for the SPY with a higher high on the RSI. I project a breakout of the bottom end of this range next week. Bearish divergence continuation to kick off the new year? As mentioned in previous posts, it is perfectly fine to hold some trades to the upside, but I do not recommend going into the new year without a bias to the short side. More interest rate increases, negative economic data and slowing of the global economy incoming. I put a link below that helps traders understand the idea of a bearish divergence. Hope this helps and hope you all have a very great new year. AMEX:SPY
AMEX:SPYShort
by D1Finance
ROTATION FROM 'GROWTH' TO 'DEFENSIVE' OVER LAST 10 DAYSCHART DISPLAYS LAST 30 DAYS Utilities ($XLU) outperforming the broader market as represented by ($SPY) and growth oriented, tech based, sub-sector ($XLK) over the last 30 days. This has a correlation with an increased 'potential' for instances of heightened, near term (2 to 4 weeks) market volatility. During the recent selloff we can see that the 'bids' did not push the broader market as represented by ($SPY) or the S&P 500 tech sector ($XLK) back over its pre-selloff top. On the other hand, the market did buy the utilities (XLU) back up over its respective, pre-selloff top. (see yellow horizontal lines) So utilities stay bid while tech and the broader market begin to falter. In my opinion this is what a rotation out of 'growth' ($XLK) from the last 6 weeks and into 'defensives'($XLU) looks like from a price structure perspective. I would interpret this as an expression of 'risk off' market sentiment going into 2023. (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE)
AMEX:XLK
by Firewalker_Charts
40 Bar Cycle Chart - S&P 500 SPY SPX ES1! - Updated 122322With a key level of the $JPM Quarterly Options Collar sitting at $3,855 on SPX ES1!, markets seemed to have been "pinned" for the time being as market makers position for the close of business ahead of the Christmas holiday. Question now is are the bulls hopes of a Santa Rally into year-end wishful thinking? 🎅 🎄 Or, we see another attempt at a short-term relief rally within what is likely to be a continuation of the downward "40-Bar Cycle" that is projected to continue into the first few weeks of 23'? SPY Daily Chart Template www.tradingview.com Which camp are you in on the short-term (end of year into Q1/23') direction of markets? Camp A: We are likely we headed for new lows in Q1/23 (Fluctuating Inflation + Persistent Price/Wage Pressures + Hawkish FED + Downward Earnings Revisions/Misses). Camp B: We are likely to break the downtrend into the start of Q1/23' (Peak Inflation + Deflationary Forces + Dovish FED + Earnings "Resiliency"). Let me know your prediction in the comments below! 👇🏼
AMEX:SPYShort
by kylemusserco
Possible SPY Long opportunity from smart money Please read the chart text. Furthermore we are in a box that has proved there are lots of bulls at this area hence the previous rally at this zone. Could this be the Santa rally everyone is talking about to save spy? We can hope for smart money to re-enter longs here to boost spy back up towards the top of this range otherwise, I fear spy may drop slowly into 360's or lower. There is also a chance that spy just trends sideways and ranges more into the new year. What do you guys think is brewing?
AMEX:SPY
by MuhWhipski
$SPY on 1HR 12/21 Analysis$SPY on 1HR 12/21 Analysis For SPY i am expecting a morning pump. This pump could potentially run to the 50 day SMA on the hourly chart of $384.44 and retrace. As for pullback, looking at the stochastic, it shows there needs to be a pullback. It currently way too high imo. I expect the rest of the day for spy to be relatively red or a sideway if it consolidates there after. SPY: 1st Resistance: $382.56 1st Support: $378.19 What are your thoughts? Thanks, Kelly :)
AMEX:SPY
by angelbaetrades
2
SPX Model Trading Plans for MON. 12/19Next Support Level Being Tested The key support level identified in our trading plans published on Wed., 12/07 - and, reiterated on Thu., 12/15 - at 3900-3910 has been decisively broken down, and the index is now testing the next key support level around the 3825-3835 range. Our models are indicating a range-bound trading while the index is trading within the broader 3810-3830 range on a daily close basis. If you are short, you might want to take profits on a break out of this range. If you are itching to go long, you might want to wait until the range is broken out of to the upside. Positional Trading Models: Our positional trading models went short on Thursday, 12/15, on a break below 3895 (opened at 3893.51) with a 40-point trailing stop and a break-even hard stop in effect. Models are indicating instituting a hard stop at 3843 for today. If stopped out, models indicate staying flat for the rest of the session. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Intraday/Aggressive Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Trading Plans for MON. 12/19: Aggressive Intraday Models: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 3825, 3838, 3844, or 3852 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 3840, 3833 or 3820 with a 10-point trailing stop.  Models indicate long exits on a break below 3863, and short exits on a break above 3813. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:31 am ET or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please see for yourself how our published trading plans have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  ***** No Idle Analysis-paralysis here! Only actionable trading plans - every morning! And, transparent, verifiable results of each and every trading plan, every night! LET THE RESULTS SPEAK FOR OUR MODELS! See for yourself how our Morning Trading Plans have been doing for the last one month or one year or since started! ***** NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #fomc, #fed, #newhigh, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #powell, #interestrates, #rates, #earnings, #midterms, #elections, #cpi, #fedpivot, #shortsqueeze, #bulltrap TradingView Tags: spx500 spx spy es1! spx500usd spx500long spx500short es1 esmini
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
1
40 Bar Cycle Chart - S&P 500 SPY SPX ES1! - Updated 121722This last week, markets initially rallied on the release of the "cooler" than expected November CPI (Consumer Price Index) — only to be smacked back to reality on the comments via Federal Reserve Chairman J. Powell during the December Interest Rate Decision (FOMC) meeting this last Wednesday as "higher for longer" is the communicated pathway forward for the FED and financial markets. Whether this is all talk to put some intentional downward pressure on markets, as financial conditions have eased as of late — or this is the actual pathway forward and the bond markets are mis-pricing the projected Terminal FFR (Fed Funds Rate, now >5% into 23'), some indicators such as our (40-Bar Cycle Chart) 📉 are highlighting what is likely another leg down in financial assets as QT ramps up and higher interest rates take their toll on real economic activity. Keep in mind that behind the scenes, the FED in coordination with the U.S. Treasury are working their magic 🧙🏼‍♂️🔮 in terms of FED Net Liquidity to keep things "(dis)orderly". Here is the updated 40-Bar Cycle Chart for SPY ES1! SPX, which seems to be sitting on some major support. Given the structure of the markets after losing the $390 SPY / $3,900 ES1! SPX, along with J. Powell and other FED speaker comments post-FOMC on Friday, is the hopes for a year-end 🎅 🎄 rally wishful thinking? SPY Daily Chart Template www.tradingview.com Which camp are you in on the short-term (end of year into Q1/23') direction of markets? Camp A: We are likely we headed for new lows in Q1/23 (Fluctuating Inflation + Persistent Price/Wage Pressures + Hawkish FED). Camp B: We are likely to break the downtrend into the start of Q1/23' (Peak Inflation + Deflationary Forces + Dovish FED). Let me know your prediction in the comments below! 👇🏼
AMEX:SPYShort
by kylemusserco
SPY S&P 500 ETF Options Ahead of the CPI ReportIf you haven`t shorted the Bearish Flag Chart Pattern: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release Consumer Price Index ( CPI ) data for the month of November 2022 on December 13, 2022, at 8.30am ET. The rate of inflation is the most important data that will impact the Fed’s coming rate hike decision. Now looking at the SPY options chain Ahead of the CPI Report, i would buy the $387 strike price Puts with 2023-1-20 expiration date for about $8.96 premium. If the options turn out to be profitable Before the CPI Report, i would sell at least 50%. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
AMEX:SPYShort
by TopgOptions
4
$SPY on 1hour Pullback NOTE:QUAD WITCHING DAY$SPY on 1hour Pullback NOTE:QUAD WITCHING DAY Quadruple (Quad) Witching: The term quadruple witching refers to the simultaneous expiration four times a year of stock options, index futures , and index futures options derivatives contracts. The fourth type of contract involved in quadruple witching, single-stock futures , hasn't traded in the U.S. since 2020 and was never a major contributor to equity trading volumes Today is Quadruple witching day. My indicator shows a incoming downturn for SPY . "Quadruple witching day is a bearish day, quadruple witching week is bullish , and that the last hour of quadruple watching day is bearish ." What are your thoughts? Thanks, Kelly
AMEX:SPY
by angelbaetrades
spy liquidity grab attempt? smart money concept.We are currently at a pivot point where we could easily fall or skyrocket. In this chart I have labeled supply/demand zones as well as trends and support/resistance. Where I have text and a circle resembles a change of character and a liquidity grab attempt outside the bullish wedge pattern. It is likely we may see a move up as a attempt to move closer to 400 but if not we will fall below 390. We skyrocketed past this point with the help of the FED last time, will the FED come through and save spy once again?
AMEX:SPY
by MuhWhipski
The 4th Horseman of the Apocalypse"When the Lamb broke the fourth seal, I heard the voice of the fourth living creature saying, “Come.” I looked, and behold, an ashen horse; and he who sat on it had the name Death; and Hades was following with him. Authority was given to them over a fourth of the earth, to kill with sword and with famine and with pestilence and by the wild beasts of the earth." Congratulations. If you've been following my ideas then you've done very well for yourself this. Sadly, all good things must come to an end and we must bring this bull run to a close. However, not without some spectacular fireworks at the end to give everyone hope things are turning around. Overleveraged governments and companies will collapse within the next 3 months causing spillover across the globe, glorious. I'm scaling into puts as we've hit the peak of what should be expected (don't be surprised if we get 400) and am going all in on this play on the 24th. God speed to you all and I hope to see you alive in the apocalypse once the dust has settled. Previous posts:
AMEX:SPYShort
by PlayerNonZero
40 Bar Cycle Chart - S&P 500 SPY SPX ES - Updated 121022 Given that we are headed into the release of the November Consumer Price Index this upcoming (Tuesday, December 13th ) and also the December Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Wednesday, December 14th) , are markets set up for another short opportunity into the end of January (Q1)? SPY Daily Chart Template www.tradingview.com Which camp are you in on the short-term (end of year into Q1/23') direction of markets? Camp A: We are likely we headed for new lows in Q1/23 (Fluctuating Inflation + Persistent Price/Wage Pressures + Hawkish FED). Camp B: We are likely to break the downtrend into the start of Q1/23' (Peak Inflation + Deflationary Forces + Dovish FED). Let me know your prediction in the comments below!
AMEX:SPYShort
by kylemusserco