Spyshort
SPX looking weakAlthough the S&P 500 has been pushing hard for the last year, I think the omicron shakeout has brought a new short term correction.
I have laid out the wave count in the chart. This was the 5 wave cycles of the intermediate wave 5 of the primary wave 3 (not highlighted here). This is also been confirmed by the EW channel drawn in the chart. I expect S&P to finish this correction when it hits 4330. However before dip further there will be a relief bounce which will create a lower high at around 4700. Then after hitting the resistance we will have wave C which will bring extreme fear in the market to terminate at 4300. There the sentiment will be rock bottom, However, it will hide great opportunity for the grab pushing the S&P to new highs in q1 and 2 of 2022.
I drew two different scenarios for this.
Why do I care about S&P? Because it directly affects the crypto market.
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$SPY KEY POINTS-SPY has taken some hits as fear rises due to the new covid variant scare
-These past 2 weeks are strong Red candles which show the strength of the bears
-SPY bounced off the 9-day ema on the weekly chart clean this week we will see how it plays out next week
-fib levels indicate that we will retrace back to the sweetspot if we break this support we will see $444.30s very soon
TWO THINGS can happen here:
1) SPY can bounce from that $449 level we talked about since it is acting as strong support and didn't seem to make newer lows Friday. We can see if we make new highs and just bounce from here
2)We are looking to see how spy plays around that $448.96 level IF she decided to break through that pricepoint on monday then we shall see $444 then $426 easily. Fibs are also indicating that one level was hit but the .618 level is down at $444 so we shall see how it plays out
IN SUMMARY: SO here's the game plan If we put all in all together the chances of scenario 1 (BULLS) are slim and with the new variant just breaking out but we can only wait. SCENARIO 2 now is very convincing and we can see SPY pulling down a little more down to $444 levels.
**Key levels to break**
1) $448.96 Below this we can see $444 then $426
2)$461 NOW if we break this level we can go pretty green on this bad boy pretty quick.
Another Day of Selling: Using Volatility adjusted RSI I like this down-sloping resistance and believe this falling wedge is the most likely pattern. The day will start green and maybe even break-through the trendline due to the first of month inflows via mutual funds. However, this will be a false breakout and come back within. The hourly volatility adjusted rsi is overbought. See you down 2% either today or tomorrow.
$SPY GONNA BE RED NEXT WEEK!!!!-Make sure Y'all stay strapped with that BP ready to attack starter puts then she should bounce later on in the week
- As we notice here we broke below the 26-day ema now on the daily which isn't good at all
- We are looking to have a pretty red week But here we have some clear direction so I will be Playing puts on SPY all the way down to around $450
-Going to watch how Monday plays out SPY might go a little green for a bit but over all we gonna see some RED RED next week. Stay Strapped
Stocks Future will be based on 10 Y BondThe movements of the stock market and digital currencies will be dependent on the head and shoulders pattern on the US Treasury bond index, which gives an indication of the imminence of a major price explosion if it is broken upwards, which means without any doubt a significant decline in the stock market and digital currencies as well. also keep buying stocks as long as the resistance still hold , we need a real weekly break