$SPY MARKET BREAKDOWN - (June 13)SPY Market Breakdown - Weekend of June 13th
Keeping this chart clean and simple, with the only technicals being simple S&R levels as well as my own Easy Loot indicator I created yesterday
With the impending second wave of beer virus, the stonks markets are looking for another decent correction
This being said, the marked out accumulation zone (green) on my chart at 272 - 286 is my buy zone AFTER I see clear indication of a trend reversal
Right now it wouldn't be smart to go long, although it does seem like market is holding out at our known accumulation zone of 302 -308
What to expect on Monday?
Scenario 1
Price continues holding at 302 - 308 right along the higher accumulation zone and stays flat going into next week
Scenario 2
Price starts to fall and sell targets are placed going short , 1st TP @ 294, 2nd TP @ 286
From there we will re-evaluate the market and decide on our next entry either long or short, who knows? corona could come back all of a sudden and our bias completely changes
Don't trade against the patterns of the market, you're going to get humbled.
As always please do your own research, I am not a financial advisor.
Spyshort
Support is at 280 ish SPY SPXThe 14% pullback projection seen in the above is derived from the ratio of change seen in 2018.
This thesis is based on the following: If 2018 was the beginning of a megaphone type corrective move, then the % change will be of greater magnitude; however, the ratio's expressed as % change should be statistically similar.
During the corrective moves in 2018, we saw; first, a 20% decline followed by a 25% rally followed by a 7% retracement.
Today, we have experienced a 35% decline, followed by a 47.5% rally.
Is there going to be a Pull Back? Yes, we have seen that this week.
How large of a pullback from recent highs will it be? My expectation; 14%.
20% to 35% is a ratio of 1.75, while 25% to 47.5% is a ratio of 1.85. So, if this corrective move is in similar terms to what happened in 2018 in terms of MATH, then I expect a total pullback of around 13.7% - 14.85% from recent highs.
Will we retest lows? No, I do not believe so.
14% off of recent highs is around 282 - 280. Coincidentally, this is right near the 700sma red line.
Please note this will probably happen after quadruple witching next week.
*Just some guy/girl/they 's thoughts*
Cheers
-Andimolz
//Logic Reference
slow_sma = sma(src, 700)
fast_sma = sma(src, 14)
standard_sma = sma(src, 90)
//slow_ema = ema(src, 700)
//fast_ema = ema(src, 14)
standard_ema = ema(src, 90)
Is the S&P 500 Just a Broadening Wedge? - My Thoughts on Why.All,
I think the demand zone pops, distribution levels and levels make sense to back this. The reason I bring it up is that it makes the SPX/SPY slight more predictable in my opinion. I think we had broken the wedge at the top, coming back down for retest and the market / virus happened. Don't get me wrong saying the market would need to correct. I just don't know it would have been then. Thoughts?
$ES, $SPY, $SPX headed to 2500. Q2 Earnings Pending,First, consider a fib retracement. We bounced back to the top fib retracement .236, and thats where we topped with a heavy head and shoulders patterned that crashed markets today. We might see a bounce and recovery soon, but I think this kicks of wave C of the correction wave, heading down now until the end of q2, where we start to see recovery happen in q3 and q4. This is a prediction and anything can happen. I expect Spy to hit 2500 or the .786 Retracement level.
Spy about to DRILL !Spy graph analysis 6/9/2020
Spy could reach 325 before dropping again...
If spy breaks 325 then we could see it go to the moon.
Overall i am bearish on SPY i think its going to drill.
Daddy powell and his big money printer could say otherwise though.
I may consider calls as the FED is pumping! if spy cant breakout of 325 then ill be dumping.
GL trading
SPY down just for correction According situation in US, now is the only and right time for correction.
Coronavirus pandemic will continue its rally as mass protests rejecting social distance and anti-epidemic actions.
There is no view why investors should continue to buy assets. Hope? Right now it's not so serious case for keeping their positions
SPY levels Black lines - represent last week high and low
Blue lines - respresent previous day high and low
purple line- represents supports and resistance
yellow lines- represents last month high and low
The red indicator represents anchor vwap from previous lows and high. this also works as a potential support to watch
The key thing tomorrow is if the SPY remains below or reclaim 303.16.
July 2020 Market PullbackCorrelation between moneyflow and RSI.
When RSI is nearing overbought 66 and moneyflow is increasing in the short term, but decreasing in the long term, There's a pullback probability of 85% within 5 days. Represented by the green flags and the upper Bollinger band being tested and correcting.
This suggests a pullback in July 2020
$SPY
SPY 297.50 target$SPY to possibly breathe to 297.50 to rope in shorts (and squeeze bulls).
Green niner on both the daily and $ES.
The previous green niner on $SPY allowed us to retrace ~5%- if this were to happen again it would place the $SPY at 286- however I see this highly unlikely given the major psychological level at 300 and recent 200-day MA break.
Could be wrong of course, *not investment advice.
From there will look to go long.
SPY MAJOR RESISTANCE LINE SPY is unstoppable, for whatever reason it may be. However, a major resistance level has been reached, and one might try their luck at shorting spy here.
No directional trades, options only. Be careful and measure your risk reward.
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Wish you all best of luck in your trading!