Shall We Play a Game?GREETINGS PROFESSOR.
Hello.
HOW ARE YOU FEELING TODAY?
I'm fine. How are you?
EXCELLENT. IT'S BEEN OVER A YEAR NOW SINCE YOU LOGGED IN.
CAN YOU EXPLAIN WHY YOU HAVE NOT LOGGED IN SINCE JUNE 18th, 2021
People sometimes make mistak
YES THEY DO. SHALL WE PLAY A GAME?
Love To. How about a game of Global Stock Markets.
WOULDN'T YOU PREFER A GOOD GAME OF CHESS?
Later, Let's play Global Stock Markets.
FINE. WHICH SIDE DO YOU WANT?
1. GAMESTOP
2. STANDARD & POOR'S 500
PLEASE CHOOSE ONE?
__
Spyvsgme
Volume 5: Happy New YearI’m really excited about the new year.
In less than a month will be my first year anniversary since deciding to get involved in the stock market and learning to trade.
But more importantly, it will be the anniversary of GameStop!
Tickers like GME and AMC have evolved and thrived on the hope of a better tomorrow rather than succumbing to the oppression of short-sellers.
A bull market that has expanded to include more people around the world and embrace a new form of digital currency.
If I think back on what I’ve learned and who I’ve learned from and I realized what the stock market is.
It’s Hope. It’s a way of life.
It’s communities like TradingView, Fintwit, Reddit, and Discord coming together to share knowledge.
Anyone can join. Anyone can be prosperous.
I’m looking forward to next year.
Happy New Year!
The Wings of ChangeAt the end of the day, this is just an indicator, albeit a big one.
The drop distance can only increase at this point.
I believe this will end in a blow off top for the bull market.
options/vol expert points to the 2000 decline hinting the top may take until early 2022.
Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst.
Looks like we've got another mystery on our hands.Hey, you guys, look, I know I'm just the dude that carries the bags.
If you want to know what happened with GME in January watch this .
Most interest to me is the selling of puts
It's good to get a basic understanding of Gamma and Vanna exposures for market makers.
The important takeaway is "market makers who are long puts, or long gamma, By knowing how market makers will be forced to delta hedge according to changes in price, one can implicitly know where market makers will need to place buy and sell orders"
In the video at 4:14 in the video explains why GME has been following the patterns I followed in this chart
At this point, I'm fairly certain GME will remain around 180 until Nov15-19 and possible through to the end of the 1yr is when the market makers pnl profile will change to meet the end of 1yr options contracts.
so much for free market price discovery.
Just wait until you see what I have in store for my next mystery.
#TheMoneyGame #SPYvsGMEEveryone sees the world around them differently.
I am no exception and you shouldn't feel differently either.
These are only my opinions alone, unfiltered, unedited.
The Money Game
Ask yourself these 3 questions and you will understand everything about the game.
1. What does Man desire most of all?
Easy answer: Money.
For most, iI takes Money to survive.
Chinese Culture. Money.
Middle Eastern Culture. Money.
Western Culture. Money.
EU. Money.
Church wants it from you.
Goverments print it to control you.
Banks will "hold" it for you.
Everyone will do anything to sign your name to money.
Crypto is not money, crypto is information security in my opinion. its a store of value.
2. What is Mans biggest weakness.
Also Easy answer: his Ego.
3.Who is the Man?
That Detective. Is the write question.
Notice I never said anything about needing money to be happy.
That will often be Mans copium when he has it.
I grew up without money. I lived on my own since I was 15 as a dropout no bank account.
By 18 I had a mark on me because of a $100 fake deposit into a cash-teller just so I could eat.
For that mark I had a local arrest warrant for over 10 years and scrutinized under a microscope at any security checkpoint.
That is when I understood the first rule of the money game.
That the rules only exist for those without any.
---- on a side note ---
For the gate keepers on certain reddit boards. I am not “Low Key FuD”.
Just another player. RELAX! Message Received!
----
Unfortunately I have to hit pause on the game.
I have been so focused on playing the game these past 9 months.
I have forgotten what actually makes me happy. Making Other People Money! #nottrue
I shall return on the anniversary of the blip.
Until then. Be kind. Behave.
Tug-of-War needs more than just raw strengthDon't lose your spirit. Tug-of-War needs more than just raw strength.
All you need is a good strategy in Tug-of-War and combined with good teamwork you can win against a stronger team.
When I was young I used to like Tug-of-War.
It's a game I know well and back then I would always win.
Even when there was a wrestler on the other team and the odds seemed stacked against us.
Listen Closely, and I will tell you how me and my team were able to win even when it seemed impossible.
First!
Having a good leader is very important.
That person is at the front and keeps an eye on the other team is performing.
And the rest of the team focus on the back of their leader and follows their lead.
If the leader looks weak or beginning to falter, the game is already over.
And Then, At the end of the rope.
You'll need to have someone strong, and dependable like the anchor of a ship.
After that, it's all about how you arrange the rest of your team.
One player is on the right side of the rope.
Then the next one should on the left.
All the way down the rope.
Both of your feet should be facing straight forward.
And hold the rope in your armpit.
That way everyone can put in all of their strength.
Finally, and this is the absolutely the most important thing.
Once the game begins.
For the first 237 days.
You have to hold your ground.
Is Crypto going to be a Hit or MissSHIB is a good measure of crypto sentiment right now. A bounce here into upper channel, US index go down. break the channel, likely US indexes go up.
US market indexes slid into Bear market territory,
crypto picked up momentum.
now we see markets bounce back the last 2 days right into the gaps everyone is aware of the last 3 months.
If Elliott Wave theories are correct we, there is a drop coming soon which would see crypto spike, in theory to just below this BC.
This dip 5-8%, would see crypto pop the same amount, just below BC.
Just a random thought. I really wish playback of idea was permanent. You could mint NFTs out of the really good theories and predictions out there. I found one on twitter that predicted the March 2020 crash. Give me the ability to mint my predictions as an NFT and I will graph some wicked patterns. Add unlockable secret levels and early morning updates Change Make it Mine to Mint a Copy so chart smiths can monetize their chart layouts and designs / scripts.
Bulls Vs BearsSPY Journal 10/08
The world was not plummeted into financial ruin as everyone predicted.
Not really a surprise considering almost all quants I observed were trying to explain why I (SPY) am reacting the way I do.
The general consensus is the relationship between SPX/VIX as the wizard of the ops explains in this tweet thread.
This explains why I have been falling suddenly, then mean reverting back to previous levels once the vol event has passed.
I'm working on 2 outcomes for the rest of the October.
1. Bears rally today and close below the 20D (~4400) which seems like an important level for me (will explain more in another VS post)
2. VIX is crushed today and causes more mean reversion to the upside for next weeks leading into another OPEX 19th Dip.
If Bears fail to close below 4400 today, there will almost certainly be another chance during OPEXs window of weakness.
As always,NOT financial advice, is a parody.
SPY vs Transitory InflationSPY Journal 12/10
There has been no sign of relief as Bear pressure mounts against the Bulls around the 435 inflection point.
435 seems to be the point at which Bears are in control of the weekly.
Bulls pulled ahead last week, but was it just another well laid Bull trap as 435 was rejected 3x today.
I took another shot at the Trendsetter XYZ
after last weeks epic miss!!!
This weekend I think I will SPY more on GME.
Not Financial Advice. A SPY Parody.
Red Light VS Green LightHere is the first game.
You'll be playing Red Light , Green Light .
You're allowed to move forward when "it" shouts Green Light .
Stop when "it" shouts Red Light .
If your movement is detected afterward, you will be eliminated.
Those who cross the finish line without getting margin called will pass this round.
...
I will now repeat the rules.
Not Financial Advice. A Parody.
Is this the top for SHIB?SHIB has been gaining a lot of attention during Bitcoins latest upthrust.
US Gov. is kicking the Debt Ceiling can down the road so we may see a pull back in BTC (+alt coins) as US markets rebound.
Bitcoin has just about reached the WYCKOFF Distribution (ST) Secondary Retest that would identify the end of PhaseA and a start of a down trend.
Not investment advice. only my observations. a parody.
The Trendsetter XYZSPY journal 10/05
It was a heckish start of the week. I don't have much time, but if I had more, I would spend it watching a hummingbird.
I wonder if that is why 5G was met with such resistance. Latency isn't the problem any longer. Trendsetter XYZ requires more connection density.
ICEBURG RIGHT AHEAD!!!Cem Karsan was on a vol podcast recently talking about the past week and what’s to come.
open.spotify.com
Of particular interest for me is the recent distribution of skew term structure into a market selloff.
The amount of skew there is and the amount of term structure is what drives an imbalance in delta effects.
The skew distribution into a decline is a very strong indicator for the next few days or even week.
Welcome to Apocalypseburg$SPY Journal Entry 10/02
Fintwit has been overtaken by the invaders from the planet Dupelon.
During my time among them, I convinced everyone the world is in a debt/speculation bubble and it's about to pop.
Everyone is fighting. Nobody wants to take responsibility.
Even ES mini was easy to convince.
Thankfully, there are people like Cem Karsan you can use as a lighthouse during a storm.
If you listen to Cem long enough you will ultimately come to the same conclusion has he has.
If you're long life (career,toys,vacation,buisness,art,gamestop) then you are $SPY.
Sure the market is full of sharks and piranhas, but at the end of the day everyone wants me to go up.
However, it would be naive to think I will only always go up.
You can observe the clues for weeks as the sentiment was changing from its only up BFTD trend to the MOAB (Mother of all Bubbles).
Next 3 months I think this trend will continue downward in December.
Cem thinks the derivatives market liquidity (Garys Bananas) is strong and will be pushing the trend higher into December.
I think things are going to be a little more chaotic the next 3 months. Call it a hunch.
One of us will be wrong.
I looked like I do now back in 2018 Oct-Dec 3 month downturn.
You can read about this time period here and you notice similar sentiment in politics (shut downs, trade disputes, rising interest rates).
it's not a surprise I'm stepping lower each week.
I'm getting involved in the GME retail movement. I don't know who is more volatile right now, me ( SPY ) or Gamestop ( GME ).