SQ Entry, Volume, Target, StopEntry: when price clears 67.62
Volume: with daily volume greater than 9.27M
Target: 73.5 area
Stop: Depending on your risk tolerance; 65.66 gets you 3/1 Risk/Reward.
This swing trade idea is not trade advice and is strictly based on my ideas and technical analysis. No due diligence or fundamental analysis was performed while evaluating this trade idea. Do not take this trade based on my idea, do not follow anyone blindly, do your own analysis and due diligence. I am not a professional trader.
SQ
Square gearing up for $100+I am going to start doing things a bit different for my charts so please leave in the comments below if this chart or way of looking at it is better and understanding the text also.
Wave 1 Price at high $89.95 (10/14/22-2/1/23): These dates represent how long the waves lasted as we progress through them. The green wave count in the smaller text is wave count inside the bigger wave 1 and represents bullish signs.
Wave 2 Price at low $55 (2/3/23/-5/13/23): We saw a decline in Square during this time period that was pretty brutal... almost a 40% drop from the highs of wave 1. During this period, people tend to think recession and panic when they see drops like this happen so fast. Also, Wave 2's during a bull cycle of a stock tend be the worst drops when they happen compared to wave 4's.
Wave 3 Price Prediction at high $117 (Date unknown): This is the wave cycle we are at now and if that is true then we are headed much higher and we should all be buying this stock right now. Inside of wave 3's we see a lot of bullish signs in the market, news, and everything.. It is the best time to hold a stock as the most gains are made in a wave 3.
Block Inc Long IdeaNYSE:SQ followed 102 Day Bearish trend, which was reversed 35 days ago with bullish divergences and increasing bullish volume. Since then, the trend is following a parallel channel. A trendline break out of this bullish run was confirmed 19 days ago.
Trade Plan with 2 Entry Points
Risky Entry
Entry @ 66.60
TP @ 71.78
SL @ 63.27
Risk = 0.5%
RRR = 1.56
Optimal Entry
Entry @ 65.18
TP @ 71.78
SL @ 63.27
Risk = 0.5%
RRR = 3.59
Since the stock is favored fundamentally, taking partials at the TP level is advisable, and letting the trade run with training SL using ATR with the multiple of 1.5.
Time to Squre upHello everyone,
Block got left behind in the recent Fintec bull-run. In my opinion, it is hugely misspriced as it is not yet in the eyes of wallstreet, but given that it is sitting on the support levels, the company is expecting profitability by the end of the year and over-all the great health of the company, this really gives us a nice set-up.
The Stop-loss would be below $45.
Take-profit 1 would be $72 with the closure of the gap.
Take-profit 2 would be $90 at the top of the channel.
Given the bullish stance on the market on all growth companies, most of the trades are working nicely from the support set-ups.
Good luck to all!
SQ Block Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SQ Block here:
Then I think you already know that the company is accused of fraud!
Now analyzing the options chain of SQ Block prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 59usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-5-19,
for a premium of approximately $2.71.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
4/10 Watchlist + Notes Initial Thoughts - Solid week last week, questionably bullish this coming week, lots of finance/bank stocks report ER this week, CPI this week.
SPY - On Wednesday I mentioned on my watchlist that I was cautiously bearish for a few reasons. Turned out my suspicions were valid because we pushed lower early on in the day Thursday before pumping the rest of the day to create a bullish engulfing daily candle. I was really hoping this wouldn't happen, but we play the cards that we are dealt. Going into next week, and specifically monday, I am looking for a move to the upside. I am still hoping we overall head lower on the week, but it seems like we could be due for a retest of that 412 level we touched on last week. I have upside targets loosely set at the 410 and 412 areas. I am still remaining cautious as we are still at a critical level on the longer time frames, CPI data comes out this week, and there are some heavy ER reports coming from the financial sector, which could all make this coming week very volatile. OVERALL BIAS: Skeptically Bullish. I think we test 410 for sure either in premarket or RTH. Once again, I am basing my bias on what is in front of us, and what makes the most sense for the next session. Expecting this week to be very volatile
Watchlist + Bias:
AAPL - 2-1 Daily: Neutral
PFE - 2-1 Daily: Neutral
BIDU - 2-1 Daily: Bearish
PEP - 2-1 Daily: Bullish
BABA - 2-1 Weekly: Bullish
CRM - 2-1 Weekly: Neutral (Sitting at FVG on weekly)
SQ - 3-1-1 Weekly: Bullish
Main Watch:
SQ - Was watching this one last Thursday and we didn't go anywhere. I have high hopes that we will break out to the upside this week. Entry around 70, stop below 66. Targets around the 80 and 83 area. Simple as that. More to be said about this one come end of day monday, but for now, we are going into monday off of a bullish engulfing candle on the daily.
Previous main watch:
SQ - not a winner or loser. Explanation above
Stats from last weeks watchlists:
4/4 on SPY predictions
3/4 on Main Watch Plays. (technically 4/5 but im not counting thursday)
Top winner: DOCU (400%+)
Personal Stats:
4/5 Win/Loss (80% Winrate)
Overall green week
Slow start but finished well
Good luck tomorrow. Watch SPY and VIX at all times throughout the week
4/6 Watchlist + NotesInitial Thoughts: Incredible day, markets closed friday, minimal inside day setups
SPY - Mentioned yesterday that we were bearish going into today for a number of reasons. Early on in the session we saw SPY push up slightly only to be rejected by a downward trend line created in premarket. We hit our downside target at the mid 406 level and even pushed lower than that before making an afternoon reversal. We also hit our lower trend line on the broadening formation created yesterday on the daily. Overall played out perfectly, only could have asked for more downside to 404 if anything
TOMORROW: Due to how we closed and previous daily patterns similar to the one we're in now, I am still slightly bearish going into tomorrow, but I think we need to be cautious. With this week being a 4 day trading week, and being at the beginning of a potential daily/weekly reversal point, I think we could see some consolidation just as easily as we could see more downside. Full disclosure, I am not extremely confident in us seeing more downside tomorrow, but it makes the most sense based on our situation. Ideally I would like to see a move lower to the 404 area before consolidating. OVERALL BIAS: Cautiously Bearish
Watchlist + Bias:
BABA 2-1 Daily: Slightly Bearish (Only inside day to show up on the scanner)
SQ - 3-1 Weekly: Neutral (Still has not broken out)
DOCU - 1-1-2D Weekly: Bearish (Finally broke out of inside week setup. Watching for continuation going into tomorrow and next week)
SHOP - 50% Rule Weekly: Bearish (Finally saw the downside we wanted the other day due to a failed 2U reversal today. Looking to see SHOP hit 44.01 between tomorrow and next week)
Main Watch:
SQ - Not a crazy good setup, but definitely interested with the weekly chart. We still remain within our inside week setup. I am watching tomorrow to see if we can breakout in either direction to pick up a swing position for next week. I would prefer downside due to my bias with SPY, but I will be open to playing upside as well since SQ is set up to do well in either direction. It is worth noting we made a failed 2D on the daily, which gives us a small bullish bias for tomorrow on SQ, but the past 4 days have been failed 2s, so that may be irrelevant. Entry Long: above 68.24. Upside Targets: 69.74, 70.53, 72.64. Entry Short: Under 66.62 Downside Targets: 65.81, 64.56, 63.51, 61.55
Yesterday's Main Watch:
DOCU: What a solid trade. Opened at our short entry, and then dropped steadily throughout the day until reversing with SPY. Cons ran well over 400% from entry (.21 -> 1.06 If I remember correctly). I hope you all can take this play and learn from it, specifically how powerful trades can be if you have a crazy setup like we did with the double inside week. Hope everyone was able to make some money on this one.
Watchlist Stats:
3/3 SPY predictions
3/4 Main Watch Plays
Top Winner: DOCU (400%+)
Personal Stats:
2/3 On The Week
Overall: Green
- Completely turned the week around for myself after being barely red from monday's session. I credit this to patience and discipline. Most traders would be super eager to start trading again after a losing day. Having patience and waiting for that right trade to turn things around is absolutely key to mastering emotions and being successful in trading. All it takes is 1 good trade per day. Don't overtrade (I know it is very easy to do, and I used to struggle with this), have patience, and most importantly, be comfortable with taking losses, not conditioned to taking losses.
Tomorrow will be tricky if I had to guess. Trade smart, and be careful as it is the end of the trading week. And if I am unable to make monday's watchlist until later this weekend, enjoy the holiday for those who celebrate it!
TRKA trying to make a stand using ESVO made by chatGPT TRKA looks like its in the final part of its accumulation and ready to try and make a push.. The problem is will the push be to the upside? lol So I have been using ChatGPT to create indicators and I created this beauty of an indicator which is a superior supply and demand indicator that also points out where pockets of stop losses are. It has become an absolute in my trading. Below is a little description about it that ChatGPT made.
If you find any of this intriguing pls like sub and hit the boost button. Its the only way we can make sure other people can see it too.
The ESVO moving average is designed to analyze the relationship between price and volume movements in the market. From a psychological perspective, the small spikes in the ESVO moving average could indicate a relatively balanced market, with both buyers and sellers having relatively equal influence over the price movements. The larger spikes, on the other hand, could suggest a shift in the balance of power between buyers and sellers. For example, if there are many stop losses placed at a certain level, this could indicate that traders have a strong belief that the price will not go beyond that level, and if the price suddenly breaks that level, it could trigger a wave of buying or selling that results in a larger spike. The fact that the spikes come back to where they started could indicate that the market eventually returns to a state of equilibrium after periods of imbalance.
The small, medium, large, and massive spikes in the ESVO moving average could potentially represent different levels of buying or selling pressure in the market. However, without more information, it's difficult to say for sure what each size of spike means. Based on the scenario you described, the spikes could be related to stop losses, but it's also possible that they are related to other factors such as news events or changes in market sentiment.
The top spikes in the ESVO moving average could potentially represent an increase in buying pressure, while the bottom spikes could represent an increase in selling pressure. However, it's important to note that these are just possibilities, and further analysis would be needed to confirm what is really happening in the market.
If the ESVO moving average is moving up, it could suggest that there is an increase in buying pressure in the market, and vice versa. However, the direction of the price movement (up or down) could also have an impact on the overall trend. For example, if the ESVO moving average is moving up, but the price is in a downtrend, it could indicate a period of divergence, where the two indicators are not in sync with each other.
If the price is in sync with the ESVO moving average and then breaks under it, but the ESVO moving average stays in the same area, it could suggest that there is still a balance between buyers and sellers, despite the price movement. When the price eventually re-accumulates and jumps back up to the same area as the ESVO moving average, it could indicate that the buyers and sellers have reached a new equilibrium point.
Thank You,
by iCantw84it
04.04.23
4/4 Watchlist + NotesSPY - We were spot on with our analysis going into today's session. Last night I mentioned that we had a strong close on the daily and weekly and that I wanted to see us push higher. We also stayed within a 1% range today as I had also hoped to see (.71% range total today). Didn't quite get the movement we were hoping for (Inside Day), but we still were accurate otherwise. We closed green on the day and made a smaller green candle than we did Friday, which signals a few things for me. Here are all the considerations I have currently for my prediction for tomorrow:
1) Slightly overextended on the daily + close to exhaustion risk, (Bearish)
2) Still have strong momentum on the daily and weekly, (Bullish)
3) We are nearing the top of a broadening formation created a few weeks back, (Slightly Bullish)
4) Finished green today with a healthy looking green candle (Bullish)
With all of this in mind, I think that we now need to target 412-413 range sometime this week. There is really nothing stopping SPY from continuing to run other than the fact that it is in extended territory. For tomorrow my prediction is simple: I am slightly bullish, but understand that we can move hard in either direction tomorrow. Tomorrow's movement will be heavily influenced by 2 things: Whether we gap up or down during PM, and whether we break today's high or low first. If we break today's high first (Not including PM movement) then I think 412.91 is our target for tomorrow. If we break the low first, then I believe we could see somewhere in the 406.50-407.50 range. The 3rd scenario I can see happening is we take out today's high and then proceed to dump and take out today's low, forming an engulfing day. I think the first two scenarios are the most realistic, but they are all valid scenarios I could see happening tomorrow. Overall: Skeptically Bullish
Watchlist + Bias:
SHOP - 3-1 Daily: Bullish
QQQ - 2-1 Daily: Neutral
MSFT - 2-1 Daily: Neutral
PYPL - 2-1 Daily and Weekly: Slightly Bullish
DOCU - 2-1 Daily and 3-1-1 Weekly: Neutral
Main Watch: SHOP and DOCU
SHOP - 3-1 Daily with a huge gap that is partially filled to the upside. I am hoping to break to break today's high tomorrow and push higher. I think it has really good momentum to keep pushing higher. Would love to target 48.57 tomorrow. Will maybe play downside too, but mostly just focused on the upside move
DOCU - This one still hasn't broken out of the inside week setup. it is now actively a 3-1-1-1, which is just unheard of for the weekly chart. Im open to playing either side. I think with this one being in a 2-1 daily, we will get to see which direction we will finally move in for the next few days/weeks. Considering swinging as well. Preferably want to play upside, but I will take what I can get.
Yesterday's Main Watch:
SQ - (Status:) Winner (Personally Trade?) Yes
we opened under our put entry, but the play was still valid from open in my opinion. Cons from my trade peaked around 23% and I actually ended up taking a small loss because I was looking for a better entry to swing puts, but ended up not liking the swing setup, so I just took a small loss on my starter position + the extra cons I added when averaging down. Overall was in for about 40% of my target position size, and took about a 12% loss on that which translates to a roughly 5% loss had it been a normal position for me. I still count this as a winner for the list because it saw solid gains from a very readable entry. Had I been day trading and not looking for a swing entry, I would have had a different outcome, but at the end of the day, I had a plan and followed it, which is something I can't and won't be upset over. Weekly is still not broken out of, so SQ remains on my personal watchlist for the rest of the week. I wanna see what tomorrow holds for SQ before considering a new position.
Watchlist Stats:
1/1 Spy Predictions
1/1 Main Watch Plays
Top Winner: SQ (23%+)
Personal Stats:
0/1 On Trades This Week
Overall Green/Red: Red (extremely small). Early in the week. Can easily come back from today's small loss.
Trade Smart Tomorrow!
4/3 Watchlist + NotesInitial Notes: Didn't trade on Friday, new month begins, SPY confirmed breakout on weekly, and light economic news coming this week.
SPY - (FRIDAY) Unfortunately, my SPY prediction for Friday was off. I underestimated the short term strength of the markets as evident by Friday's big green trend day. I'm not afraid to admit I was wrong on my analysis, because nobody can always perfectly predict the markets, and because ultimately, the markets surprise us once in a while. A good trader knows when they are right, but an even better trader knows when they are wrong. I choose to believe that I was missing info and/or not seeing the bigger picture for Friday's session. Going forward I would like to try to shoot for at least 80% accuracy with my SPY predictions, trades, and general analysis of setups that show up on the scanner. I will document all stats per usual at the bottom of my lists.
(MONDAY) Going into Monday, we have a few things to consider. We broke out of the upper trendline on the weekly chart, which is extremely bullish in my opinion. We also had a really strong and big green day friday with little to no upside wick. This tells me that we are looking very bullish just based on the weekly chart breakout, and the strength of the most recent daily candle. My guess is that we will see a push higher than Friday's high, but I am unsure of how much higher SPY can/will go. We are still at risk of short term exhaustion, and therefore, I am skeptical to see if we will see strong continuation or just consolidation/pullback before making the next real move. The most reasonable expectation for tomorrow in my opinion, is a day where we can be green or red, but regardless see a push higher while staying within a 1% range's movement on the day. Id love to create an inside day tomorrow but I sort of doubt we will be that lucky. Weekly targets are set at 415 and 402 respectively. More analysis to come as the week goes on(Apologies for the super long analysis, just had a lot to say with Friday's fail)
Watchlist + Bias:
SQ - 2-1 Daily and 3-1 Weekly: Slightly Bearish
BABA - 2-1 Daily : Bullish
LULU - 2-1 Daily : Neutral
MMM - 3-1 Weekly: Bullish
DOCU - 3-1-1 Weekly: Bullish
Main Watch:
SQ - Great setup on this one. 3-1 Weekly is the main catalyst I am watching. Would love to play downside on this and get a good entry on a break to the downside tomorrow with the 2-1 setup we have on the daily. My main concern is the bullish strength of the markets currently because another day of bullish movement could invalidate our short entry. I am open to playing both sides, but I would definitely prefer downside as there is better R/R.
Main Watch From Previous Watchlist:
DOCU: (Status:) Loser (Personally Trade?) No
DOCU had a solid setup, but even the best setups can be ruined when the overall markets are incredibly strong in the opposite way as your bias. This was the case for DOCU on friday. What is interesting is that we are now bullish on the daily with DOCU, but still remain in an inside setup on the weekly. Im keeping this on the watchlist for now as I think the weekly breakout could hold a bigger move because DOCU has a pretty large average daily range.
FDX - this wasnt a main watch but was something I watched throughout the whole week, Study the weekly and daily chart because although I missed the move, it played out exactly as we had hoped for. Cons if swung from daily entry went from about 3.5 to 5.85.
Last Week's Watchlist Stats:
3/5 SPY predictions
3/6 Main Watch Winners
Top Winner: NVDA 75%+
Personal Stats:
5/7 on the week (71.4% win rate)
Overall: Green week. Happy with the results, but I know we can do way better than that. Green week is a green week though. Lets do it again.
Best of luck tomorrow everyone !
SQ Block Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the SQ Block options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $72 strike price Puts with
2023-3-3 expiration date for about
$3.33 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SQ is headed to the downsideCharting on the daily, I think SQ is in a nice set up for a put play. The downward trend that has been created has been touched twice. At each point of contact there was a follow through of selling pressure. The selling pressure has also caused weakness within the new support area . I am concern about the amount of time it make take for this plan to carryout.
Put Play on SQCharting on the daily, I think SQ is in a nice set up for a put play. The downward trend that has been created has been touched twice. At each point of contact there was a follow through of selling pressure. The selling pressure has also caused weakness within the new support area. I am concern about the amount of time it make take for this plan to carryout.
SQ - Rising Trend [MIDTERM]- SQ is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
- SQ is moving within a rectangle formation between support at 44 and resistance at 90.
- A decisive break through one of these levels indicates the new direction for the stock.
- The price has reacted back after the break of the double bottom formation.
- There is support around 71.5, which now indicates good buying opportunities.
- An established break through this support will neutralize the positive signal.
- SQ has marginally broken up through resistance at 71.5.
- SQ is overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
Journaling the successful trade on SQEven dough the trade was amazing , there is always room for improvement. Here is what i learnd
1.if the markets (indexes) are green at closing, it doesn't mean there will not be a pull back, which can effect your trading position. and vice versa.
2. if you miss your entry, and the trade is going in the direction you calculated, use your trend lines for a entry.
3. be sure its and nice set up on the candle sticks that favors your direction, after the touch of the trend line.
4. be sure to chart down on with your analysis.
Block (SQ) May do a Quick Run Up.Block (SQ) Long Position Trading Thesis
By.Corey
Buyers Level
Long
77.41
74.71
71.79
69.16
Selling Level
84.00
1.The trading conditions of the Index
Dowjones
+387.40 (1.17%)today
4,045.64
+64.29 (1.61%)today
Nasdaq 11,689.01
+226.02 (1.97%)today
Square Earnings
2.Cash App Gross Profits
Q4 848m up 64%
Square 801m Gross Profits
Q4 up 22%
Bitcoin Rev
Q4 1.83b revenue
down 6%
Square (SQ) Press 3/2/23
TBD, the bitcoin-focused division of Block
SQ, said Thursday it will tap Block's bitcoin
BTCUSD reserves to make the Lightning Network more reliable for all users, according to a release viewed by Seeking Alpha.
Block: Playing Tag 🙃“You’re it!” Block calls, tapping on the magenta-colored zone and taking off. The share seems to be playing tag and has just caught the magenta-colored zone, finishing wave ii in magenta with one impulsive downwards spike. Next, the course should seek shelter above the resistance at $94.87, thus gaining further upwards momentum. However, there is a 32% chance for Block to lose its drive and to drop below the support at $69.16. In that case, the course should develop wave alt.ii in magenta first before heading southwards, abiding above the support at $51.16 along the way.