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Omicron fear?A thanksgiving not exactly calm, that of 2021, ruined by a really black Friday on the financial markets. Omicron, the name of the new variant, is frightening. We know that markets are driven by two main feelings, fear and euphoria. A nd it is my, our job, as traders, to stay away from both of these feelings, which do nothing but make us lose money and do the exact opposite of what should be done. Those who know me know that I am absolutely a realistic person, I try to analyze the situation, without ever panicking at the moment, so I brilliantly overcome the coronavirus crisis, buying when everyone was selling and enduring even important drawdowns, only to be repaid. Now, I’m certainly not saying that we are dealing with another V shape from -30% as in 2020, also because, those who have a bit of intelligence know that, given that we are talking about viruses, we will always have in front of us. of mutations, is its nature. We must accept that we will have to live with it, using the weapons that science provides us. Consequently, next week, considering that while I am writing to you news continues to arrive on the appearance of the variant in every European state, it is very likely that fear will continue to prevail, causing further declines, which by the way, as I have been writing for a while of time, they would be healthy. All right but, when to buy? And above all what? The crux of the matter is the tightness of the vaccines to t he Omicron variant. If, as has happened with the variants that have appeared so far, the protection is solid, then we could see a correction that could not go beyond 10-15% creating buying opportunities for a short Christmas rally. If, on the other hand, vaccines should prove ineffective, rest assured that volatility will rise and the correction will be more marked. Never as in these moments, you have to be calm and wait for the news. As for the markets, I believe we will see a sudden rotation in tech stocks, digital payments, and video games. As well as obviously social networks and e-commerce. Beware of pharmaceuticals, because they are already very inflated, except perhaps Moderna, which has just returned from an important pull-bak, and Novavax which is in the pipeline with a new vaccine. Those who follow me know that I am already positioned on companies such as Activision, Visa, Square, Amazon and Facebook (Meta). Accumulations could arrive on these stocks if they suffer a decline caused by a general sell-off. If we talk about accumulation for the long term, it is precisely the companies that work in tourism and which are related to oil, those that could suffer the greatest discounts and consequently the best purchasing opportunities. I’m talking about Airbnb, a company I strongly believe in, where I have an excellent average purchase price, and I will certainly buy more shares. Attention also to airlines such as Delta and American Airlines and obviously attention to ETCs on oil because a significant drop would create further buying opportunities on a commodity that has given me (and I hope you too) 100% earnings in 2021. Possible increases in gold in the medium to long term, both from seasonality and obviously as a safe haven asset, even if during the first appearance of the covid, this was not exactly the case. The resilience of cryptocurrencies should also be verified. Absent extremely volatile, absolutely not to be considered a safe-haven asset, has the undoubted advantage of being decorrelated from the numerous problems that can afflict traditional financial markets. There may also be a quick rotation here which could cause significant rises. I greet you and I wish you a happy Sunday, quoting Warren Buffett because it is the wise men that we must look at in moments of emotion: “Be greedy when others are afraid and be afraid when others are greedy” Happy trading and stay safe. Lazy Bull DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor nor a CPA. These posts, videos, and any other contents are for educational and entertainment purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.
AMEX:SPY
by LazyBull5
7
Square, 22 Nov. Levels to WatchSQ declines further in a wave (v) with decreasing volume, so that we can look at two specific levels if bulls step back in. Elliott: We can count a wave (v) in blue. In the most optimistic long-term EW count, the end of this wave could potentially complete the entire ABC correction since 5 August. The idea is to build long exposure, just in case this EW count is correct. Geometry: The .65 fib is marked with the blue box. The 1.618 extension of wave (i) is located here, as well as the 222 Gann level. The pitchfork support is located lower towards 210. Gann: Support: 222 and 193 Resistance: 253 How I trade it: A move above the pitchfork median at 234 would indicate that bulls try to be back in control. An entry above the pitchfork median keeps a potential re-accumulation chop below us, and we protect ourselves from a premature entry that could go wrong.
NYSE:SQ
by UnknownUnicorn12250317
Are Markets Overvaluing These 3 Stocks? LULU, NFLX, SQTwo recent stock events have called into question how markets are pricing stocks. The first event is the OG meme stock, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), hitting a one trillion-dollar market cap. And the second event is EV newcomer Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN), surpassing the valuation of Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) after listing on the NASDAQ. One way to gauge how overvalued a stock may be is to find its multiple (aka, Price-To-Earnings ratio). In the case of Tesla, it’s multiple, as of writing, is ~350. In the case of Rivian, it doesn’t have any sales to speak of, so a multiple for this Company is not discernible (as reported by Bloomberg; “Rivian is now the biggest US company with no sales”). Investors can be concerned about high multiples if the Company in question is unlikely to grow its profitability to a level that better reflects the stock’s current price. Tesla and Rivian are just two companies that analysts (incl. Tesla’s CEO Elon Musk) commonly point out as overvalued. Keep reading to learn what other 3 stocks market analysts commonly categorise as overvalued. Are Markets Overvaluing These 3 Stocks? LULU, NFLX, SQ Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU) Several outlets, including Forbes, noted the athleisure wear company to be overvalued in the first half of 2021. Yet, difficult to discourage, investors have continued to support the Company and further bumped up the stock’s price. LULU is currently trading at an 15% premium above its first-half peak price (US $404 vs US $465). Its current valuation places its multiple at ~74x earnings. The momentum behind the stock is driven by its consistent earnings report beats and ambitious sales targets set by management, which are being hit or surpassed with surprising frequency. The Company’s outlook is buoyed by a growing (and incredibly loyal) customer base and higher margins. In this way, Lululemon stock may well be within a fair valuation if it continues to ride the growth momentum in which it is currently swept up. Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) Numerous Analysts were calling Netflix overvalued in 2020, even as the streaming giant reported subscriber growth beats during quarantine lockdowns and beyond. Bearish comments would call attention to the cash-burn needed by Netflix for the foreseeable future to maintain its industry leadership and satisfy its growing user base. Bullish sentiment could counter this argument by pointing to the Company improving operating margins (e.g., Netflix has improved its operating margin from 16% to 23.5% YTD). However, Netflix does not include content generation spending as an operating cost. Instead, it is considered a fixed cost for the business. Yet, suppose Netflix is going to be burning cash producing content for the foreseeable future. In that case, the improving operating margin might be considered no more an accounting trick than a meaningful metric. As of writing, Netflix shares are trading at US ~$690, indicating a multiple of approximately ~62 earnings. Square (NYSE: SQ) The digital payment provider Square appears to be firmly in the camp of overvalued tech stock. At least, according to Morningstar analysts, SQ is trading at more than double its “fair value estimate” (US ~$230 vs. $112) with a Price-To-Earnings value of ~240. SQ shares have not traded at US $112.00 or below since July 13, 2020. While SQ does deliver on growth, it still has a very long way to go to justify its ~240x multiple. Square’s dubious long-term outlook is compounded by the increasingly tense competition from PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) and Fiserv’s (NASDAQ: FISV) Clover application. While younger than Square’s payment solution, the latter is already processing more payments across the US, and importantly, growing at a faster pace.
CAPITALCOM:LULU
by BlackBull_Markets
Square Analysis 16.11.2021Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
NYSE:SQ
by basictradingtv
10
SQ may give an opportunity to go longI believe for the next month or so, SQ has the ability to get to my TP at $274.95 . My entry however will be based on: 1. if price closes above the red trend line in the near future I already have 3 waves down on price and the yellow static line in RSI was broken If the final condition is met, I will likely place an entry, a month out, to see if SQ can hit my TP. If I am triggered in but the trade goes against me, my exit would be at $214.35 Happy trading!
NYSE:SQLong
by The77CycleTrader
Pending setup on ARKK based on Historical BehaviourToday we will share a pending setup we have on The ARKK Innovation ETF managed by Cathie Wood. Another great asset in terms of technical behavior. What's the key idea of this setup? -Once we have a CLEAR correction, EXAMPLE: a formation with more than 150 days or a significant drop in the price like 2020. We draw the MOST external trendline using Higher lows; the idea is that any candlestick must not be visible above that line. Ok, once the price makes the first breakout of that line, we wait for a small corrective pattern, which can be something like 3 days or more than 15 days. IF that happens, we trade above that correction with a stop loss below it and a take profit level at 2.5 Risk to Reward ratio. In the following picture, you can see the historical result of this strategy, EVEN in situations that we should NOT have entered. (we use a stop loss of 150USD as an example on every setup) Alright, so is this setup going to be a take-profit? I DONT F@%#ING now. And honestly, I don't care about the specific result of it. The only thing I know is that I'm executing a setup under a strategy that I have a clear edge over, so I don't know the result of the next setup. However, I'm certain that the result of the next 10 setups will have a positive edge. The risk I will be taking on this setup is 2% of my capital on the stop loss. That means that if everything goes wrong, I will lose 2% of my capital. The duration of this setup can be between 20 to 45 days. Thanks for reading! Feel free to add any comment or idea.
AMEX:ARKKLong
by ThinkingAntsOk
2
Square Analysis 10.11.2021Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
NYSE:SQ
by basictradingtv
2
SQ looks bullish with Aspen Trading Support & Resistance LevelsSQ has bounced back from support @ 249.5 using Aspen Trading Support & Resistance Levels. It seems poised to go up all the way up to 265. Another tailwind might be the positive earnings today. Please like, share and follow if you agree with the analysis. Note - Aspen Trading S/R levels are invite only. They can be accessed through my profile information. Disclaimer: This analysis is for information purpose only and does not constitute any investment advice.
FX:SQLong
by tradingswift
Square stock is trading inside the box. SQ analysisHi everyone, Today we are taking a look at NYSE:SQ perfomance. As always, I've put the stock inside my boxes. NYSE:SQ has been trading with high volatility inside 190-280 range for almost a year now. Key demand areas: 191-197 222-230 Key supply area: 281-288 My outlook: To go for ATH we have to break 290 and consolidate above. To start a position look for the entry inside the demand zones. I think the company has a great long-term potential in fintech space with crypto adoption, so I am long . Trade wisely and good luck! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer!!! This is not financial advise.
NYSE:SQLong
by AyBe_Invest