QQQ reversal soon?www.tradingview.com [/urlOk so with the divergence on the 4 hr it is very possible wave 5 is complete, But we have a zigzag formation that has not been completed yet, C will mark the spot at 100% extension, if we were to reverse here these are some levels to watch. I know most people are bearish and so am i BUT the market has never tanked when people expected it too, that's the only thing keeping me a little bullish, also a lot of people are shorting the market so it would be a perfect time to make a big squeeze,
SQQQ
WARNING POSSIBLE BULL TRAP QQQ I'm not going to bore you with economic data, we all know the fed will continue to raise rates until the economy shows signs of weakening. The fed WILL pivot and we will see the market turn. So a weakening economy should be bullish for the market.. sounds crazy but bad is good now.. Please if your expert at Elliot wave I www.tradingview.com would love to hear your opinion on my TA. Feel free to ask any question
1HR TIME FRAME: (GREEN)
WAVE 4 : $280 range
WAVE 5: $242 range
WAVE A: $280 range
4HR (YELLOW)
WAVE 3: $242 range
WAVE 4: $280 range
WAVE 5: $226 range
Daily (Pink)
WAVE 3: $229 range
WAVE 4: $294 range
WAVE 5: $209 range
VTI massive monthly Head and Shoulders VTI has a monthly bearish divergence in RSI. There is massive head and shoulders forming. Headlines coming about how money is flowing in. I believe they just want money to flow in so they can have liquidity to dump into. The market has had the most orderly decline this year that I know of. I still believe massive downside is in store for ETF's, blue chips that haven't fallen yet (AHEM $AAPL) and oil as well after the fantastic year it just had. We have been goin straight up since GFC and now it's time to give some back. Hopefully not too much. First price target is green ray.
BULL OR BEAR? I'm gonna keep this short,
1. Extended wave 3 at 262% fib ex, @ $267
2. Shallow wave 4 retracement due to the extended wave 3 @ $284.16
3. Wave 5 is the same length of wave 1. @$261
4. Forming a descending wedge, waiting on a break out confirmation
5. Looking for WAVE A RETRACMENT BACK TO THE 50% FIB LEVEL @ $300
Extreme volatility in the AM
DGSTACC: VIX MACRO ANALYSIS / CONFIRMED CHANNELS & RESISTANCEIn the chart above I have provided the following:
1. Channel confirmation on the daily timeframe.
2. Current downtrend channel in VIX that appears to be coming to an end that should definitely expire by January 24th.
3. Resistance marker at 25 from previous tests can indicate strong support for SPY in return as it can force VIX to stay in demand zone.
SQQQ long @ $40.00 I am adding onto my position in SQQQ, my last buy in point was $41.85 with the FOMC about to happen over the next 2 days, this is going to be my hedge against any drops in the market.
We're well underneath the Keltner Channel and I expect to either trade sideways for the time being or move our way back into the channel as the next 2 days go on.
We're sitting right under a major area of resistance, we will retest this over the rest of the week.
Depending on what happens with the FOMC meeting, we may see a huge rebound in this. As you may know, asset classes of all types typically jump in price before these meetings.
I may continue to add onto this position as I believe 2023 will be an absolutely s*** show with a global recession / potentially depression incoming.
$SPY - The market might flash crash big time real soonAll because of this shocking discovery: imgur.com
I've never seen any stock go parabolic in stock hedging loans. Usually when a stock's heding loans spike, there can be a sudden rise or drop in price, it all depends on the situation and each case needs to be looked at differently.
The point is, i've never seen any stock's hedging loans go parabolic like this. I would be expecting that the market would be mooning from this at least in the short term as this thing rises. There have been instances where these spikes only cause the underlying to move once they've topped and whilst they're dropping, but not whilst moving upwards.
My point is that this is an anomaly, if the anomaly tops and then starts to drop, the market is going to move BIG time in either way and i don't see how any of this can be bullish especially with Covid being at an all time high in China, Rates being what they are and the supposed recession. So if i had to guess, yeah, this is a really really big move in hedging, like HUGE. Notice how even 2020 on the chart was not even comparable on what's going on here.
Second Example:
Here's a second example to see how other stocks move vs TQQQ and how even on the Log Scale Chart TQQQ has gone parabolic which is nuts.
imgur.com
So yeah, unless the next bull run is here, things are looking very grim for those people talking about optimistic Xmas rally one-sidedly to convince themselves that "market go up". I think market go down, big time and quite soon. I think there could be something setup for this just a bit after the 6'th of December, maybe on the week of the 13'th of Dec or generally in the next 15 days... SPY Dividends that usually cause everything to drop are coming really soon and we've just topped out on the absolute top resistance at $410... We're only going up if we do break $410... otherwise it's $385 minimum imo.
TLDR: Market maybe go down.
Obviously depending on the timing this happens with, other long plays will get destroyed along with a market move down. I'm thinking either next week during what should've been a short lived rally or the week after at most.
In truth i only know for sure that this is BIG. I've seen smaller spikes cause crashes or rallies... All i know for sure is that it's BIG and probably DOWN.
QQQ setting up ReversalQQQ has been downtrending however-
it broke through the mid-Fib levels which are now resistance
the Momentum Oscillator shows bearish momentum decreasing to nearly zero
the red dot on the center line suggests a squeeze is underway
recent candles are small range and nearly Doji
candles on the RSI Ichimoku are wide range and volatile
in general relative strength is rising in bullish divergence
Accordingly I will close the put options and open call options
with 48 hours of time to expiration at a strike 1% above current price.
SPY Reversal ShortSPY has retracted to the fib level of the mid August to mid October downtrend.
IT has stalled at the .618 Fib level while the MACD and RSI indicators are
showing bearish divergence. All in all this foresees an end to the bear market
rally. This seems to be a good entry for put options with near term expirations.
Stop loss of 5 and targetting the Fib Levels of the retracement down from
the uptrend that followed Covid in April 2020 through 12/25/21.
QQQ has Bearish Bias ? Santa Claus Rally this year ?AS shown on the chart, the recent head and shoulders pattern, the immediate double top as
well as the Point of Control black line on the volume profile all form heavy resistance to any
uptrend. The RSI has dropped below 50. All in all, a bearish bias.
I will trade this with put options with a strike of $286 with two days of expiration time.
QQQ Sustained Uptrend representing a retracement down to the Fib 0.382 level from the top one week ago
on the 30 minute time frame. Double bottom at the fib level. Additional confluence
from the anchored VWAP -3 stand deviations as well as now a gain today into the
price of the POC line of the local volume profile confluence into the VWAP.
Apparently, there are now buyers who will need to pause for the holiday.
This appears to be a rally of sorts for this index fund and a decent long setup.
The call options with Friday's expiration did quite well.
Nasdaq short ideaugly waves but can see the pattern throgh it. good chance of going down to 11600 by tomorrow.
but RISKY. why?
1- this week is option expieries of the month so huge volatility expected.
2- in the big picture we needed a bit upward rest and the huge momentom that happend proved it. still in that momentum and big wales started to ad based on their Q3 reports.
then why short?
well I see the chart and big stocks need to cool down a bit to get the momentum needs for possible one more up. and technically I see the order blocks and fib levels, so I see the opportunity.
then how to short but low risk? simple! position sizing and TP, SL based on your strategy.
Good luck
WARNING WARNING WARNING TQQQAlot to cover here but this is what i'm seeing
1. Remember we are still in a downtrend on higher time frames so be careful.
2. We talked about a potential bounce in my last post and we got it.
3. As of right now we are in a wave 4 which usually has the longest lasting pullback, we are forming a bullish channel or bear flag and if we break this bottom channel the target puts us at the exact wave 5 target we talked about 2 weeks ago
4. On the 4 hr we are creating a inverse head and shoulders that is pretty obvious, if we can maintain this bullish channel up to the neck line and break our target would be $28.50, (61% fib retracement )if this occurs that would mostly like mean our wave 3 could be a wave 5 where we would get that deeper retracement.
5. Indicators ADX is telling me this long push up has lacked momentum we are below 25, (bearish) PVT has gone flat while price continued to move up (bearish)
Thanks
god bless
Soxs is the ticket out of povertyDefended support, on high volume, trendline support,
Capitulation already took place, inverse head and shoulders break, semis are overpriced and garbage again after 40% rally. Come with me as we milk this one last time into vix 45
If this market keeps going up slowly or continues consolidating I will keep adding
3month and 10 year yields are inverted like hell and people are buying 2000 pe stocks into a recession god help us all
The fact that Bitcoin still has buyers sickens me
40% SPY Collapse by Sept/2023We are comparing price action in the charts of GOLD and SPY, just before the 08 global financial crisis. I see many similarities. I think the chart speaks for itself, if you have any questions let me know.
Will 'deflation' play a part in the next bear-cycle?
Are equities a bubble as Dr. Burry states?
What sector will get hit the hardest?
What sectors can we rely on? (think crime & punishment)
SQQQHELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT SQQQ is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this LONG position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again..
UP TREND + Resistance from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade..
IF you like my work please like share and follow thanks
TURTLE TRADER 🐢
SQQQ is still looking strong, while the world markets are weakI've had more than a few people message or comment on my charts asking for an update on this. Here you go.
We could potentially see a double top by the end of this week. If we do get one by the end of the week, we'll most likely get rejected around 68 and then start our move down.
I'm sure my usual subscribers know I take profits early on all my trades to make sure I realize profits. This trend may not be over, but it's definitely well into it's movement.
What are your thoughts?