SQ displaying sign of reversalHaving drop 40% from the peak, I'm seeking a sign of reversal of SQ. Checking the 1H chart, the last 3 local minimums are only 5% different. 1H chart SMA20 already crossed SMA60, and tallying with oversold RSI from 15 Dec to 20 Dec. Price trend up since then.
Buy @ 167
Stop loss @ 158
Profit @ 192
Profit to loss ratio 2.9
Square
SQ (SQUARE) Big Shorting opportunity aheadToday were taking a look at SQ (SQUARE)
So SQ made a big move down for earnings around the $225 level.
This level is widely being considered as a "buy the dip" opportunity which very well may be. However obviously we are offering a different perspective and heres why:
Reason 1:
We spend more than 3x the effort (activity) on August 2nd than we did on February 16th to make the same level highs. (relatively, weekly outlook)
So if we have more participants and cant breach a new level we have to consider that perhaps long isnt the direction.
Reason 2: 235-240 zone was a big area that held as support for nearly 5 months. We finally broke down and closed from that level. So for Operators to immediately reclaim that level is just a less than probable event.
Reason 3: Although not very clear it appears we have completed the B corrective wave and are well into our C distribution wave. We are referencing Elliot waves here. A modest 1:1 ration gets us to the 200-208 destination. Note: 1.5x and 2x distribution waves are no stranger.
There are a few more things happening here that are subjective that I will leave off such as harmonic patterns and the overall type of bearish structure we are in. In this case I dont think we need to add that to the confluence. Theres enough to suggest a lower price is more likely than not going to be realized.
As stated I like the 235 to 240 maybe even 242 area for shorts/puts to be initiated.
If you were to go into a lower time frame like the 4hr or the hourly you can find a much more precise entry point with a more favorable risk profile if not this would be a 1:1 trade short.
WHERE IS SQUARE HEADING ?Determine the next target for $SQ is not an easy task.
But the least I can say about is SQ heavily depends on $SPY direction. And with cases of Omicron spotted in muliples states, FED tapering, 30-Yr Treasury yields leaping,
things can get ugly for $SPY if it crosses down 450 line.
As the context is set, Let us look at the daily chart:
- $SQ has already crossed a major support (190) before bouncing to 192
- RSI actually bottomed to 26 which is almost the lowest level after March 20 Krach (8)
- as per the 2 last dips, $SQ bounced by $15 in average, imo $SQ should go back to 200 which is also a big support/ resistance before plunging again if $SPY goes down
- Also, tomorrow is Friday (12/3/2021) and today, $SPY knew a big increase from 452 to 456, a pump which is likely to be ensued by a "friday selloff" conveyed with increasing cases of Omicron
In conclusion, 200-185 is a neutral zone. If we break 185, then $SQ will head to 170s, If things are going better, then $SQ will certainly heads to upper 200s levels
Inside the current correction on SQToday, we will take a look at Square INC.
The main context for the price is the previous corrective structure (white lines). In August, the price apparently made a breakout which then got back into the structure once again, creating a secondary structure (yellow lines)
We always work with the idea that the price moves between zones of the same degree, so, in this case, we expect the price to reach the lower zone of the current structure (support level)
IF that happens, we want to observe a breakout of the inner trendline (white line inside the yellow structure). IF that happens, we will wait for a small retest, and then we expect a bullish movement towards the higher zone of the current correction (shared area between the primary and secondary corrective patterns.)
The filters we are using to validate our view are:
a) Contact with the support level
b) Breakout of the inner descending trendline
c) retest
IF all the previous items are true, then:
d) Wait for a bullish impulse towards the higher zone of the correction if we observe a clear breakout of the small retest we are looking for.
Thanks for reading! Feel free to add your view/chart or any comment about this. ;)
Twitter $TWTR Crash - Bye Bye Jack - BUY Volatility $VIXYADVERTISING MODEL PLATFORMS CRASH!!!! The old 2digit tickers they try to run and hide from. Gross. THAT'S WHAT DECENTRALIZATION FIXES. *ADVERTISING*.
Notice Jack is out when $FB zuck changes their business name to META. WE ARE LAUGHING. Never would I ever!!
Everybody has their own coinage at this point. Sorry Jack. Sorry Zuck. No chance. Both have got to stick with #simpcoin & $SQ until the Digi Dollar puts it to rest. They're all echochamber FEE VULTURES. They don't care which crypto you pass around. They take fees from the system. Ponzi Poggers. Storytellers. NOT INVESTMENT WORTHY.
ETHEREUM IS JUST AS GREAT AT $100. OH MY. $10????
#cryptocrash
Go Gary G!!
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Buy $VIXY VOLATILITY
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SQ short idea $220pI've got $220 puts for $SQ expiring in 3 weeks, I think $SQ could break here. Once it breaks $225. So far the $227.4 level is being defended with some volume but seems weak here. I think $220 can trade and even continue to fall into that tiny gap around $160 in a few more weeks. Time will tell. Size accordingly. A bear put spread play is also not a bad idea selling the $215p and buying $220 puts to lower risk.
Square, 22 Nov. Levels to WatchSQ declines further in a wave (v) with decreasing volume, so that we can look at two specific levels if bulls step back in.
Elliott:
We can count a wave (v) in blue. In the most optimistic long-term EW count, the end of this wave could potentially complete the entire ABC correction since 5 August. The idea is to build long exposure, just in case this EW count is correct.
Geometry:
The .65 fib is marked with the blue box. The 1.618 extension of wave (i) is located here, as well as the 222 Gann level. The pitchfork support is located lower towards 210.
Gann:
Support: 222 and 193
Resistance: 253
How I trade it:
A move above the pitchfork median at 234 would indicate that bulls try to be back in control. An entry above the pitchfork median keeps a potential re-accumulation chop below us, and we protect ourselves from a premature entry that could go wrong.
Are Markets Overvaluing These 3 Stocks? LULU, NFLX, SQTwo recent stock events have called into question how markets are pricing stocks. The first event is the OG meme stock, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), hitting a one trillion-dollar market cap. And the second event is EV newcomer Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN), surpassing the valuation of Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) after listing on the NASDAQ.
One way to gauge how overvalued a stock may be is to find its multiple (aka, Price-To-Earnings ratio). In the case of Tesla, it’s multiple, as of writing, is ~350. In the case of Rivian, it doesn’t have any sales to speak of, so a multiple for this Company is not discernible (as reported by Bloomberg; “Rivian is now the biggest US company with no sales”). Investors can be concerned about high multiples if the Company in question is unlikely to grow its profitability to a level that better reflects the stock’s current price. Tesla and Rivian are just two companies that analysts (incl. Tesla’s CEO Elon Musk) commonly point out as overvalued.
Keep reading to learn what other 3 stocks market analysts commonly categorise as overvalued.
Are Markets Overvaluing These 3 Stocks? LULU, NFLX, SQ
Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU)
Several outlets, including Forbes, noted the athleisure wear company to be overvalued in the first half of 2021. Yet, difficult to discourage, investors have continued to support the Company and further bumped up the stock’s price. LULU is currently trading at an 15% premium above its first-half peak price (US $404 vs US $465). Its current valuation places its multiple at ~74x earnings.
The momentum behind the stock is driven by its consistent earnings report beats and ambitious sales targets set by management, which are being hit or surpassed with surprising frequency. The Company’s outlook is buoyed by a growing (and incredibly loyal) customer base and higher margins. In this way, Lululemon stock may well be within a fair valuation if it continues to ride the growth momentum in which it is currently swept up.
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX)
Numerous Analysts were calling Netflix overvalued in 2020, even as the streaming giant reported subscriber growth beats during quarantine lockdowns and beyond. Bearish comments would call attention to the cash-burn needed by Netflix for the foreseeable future to maintain its industry leadership and satisfy its growing user base.
Bullish sentiment could counter this argument by pointing to the Company improving operating margins (e.g., Netflix has improved its operating margin from 16% to 23.5% YTD). However, Netflix does not include content generation spending as an operating cost. Instead, it is considered a fixed cost for the business. Yet, suppose Netflix is going to be burning cash producing content for the foreseeable future. In that case, the improving operating margin might be considered no more an accounting trick than a meaningful metric.
As of writing, Netflix shares are trading at US ~$690, indicating a multiple of approximately ~62 earnings.
Square (NYSE: SQ)
The digital payment provider Square appears to be firmly in the camp of overvalued tech stock. At least, according to Morningstar analysts, SQ is trading at more than double its “fair value estimate” (US ~$230 vs. $112) with a Price-To-Earnings value of ~240. SQ shares have not traded at US $112.00 or below since July 13, 2020.
While SQ does deliver on growth, it still has a very long way to go to justify its ~240x multiple. Square’s dubious long-term outlook is compounded by the increasingly tense competition from PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) and Fiserv’s (NASDAQ: FISV) Clover application. While younger than Square’s payment solution, the latter is already processing more payments across the US, and importantly, growing at a faster pace.
SQ may give an opportunity to go longI believe for the next month or so, SQ has the ability to get to my TP at $274.95 . My entry however will be based on:
1. if price closes above the red trend line in the near future
I already have 3 waves down on price and the yellow static line in RSI was broken
If the final condition is met, I will likely place an entry, a month out, to see if SQ can hit my TP. If I am triggered in but the trade goes against me, my exit would be at $214.35
Happy trading!
Square Ponzied - Jack Pump - Silicon Valley Sham - BTC No NeedThe network effect & stablecoins thrown into an #echochamber of advertising. Nasty. Profits over people with #shadowbanking & #feevultures. Buy now pay later bla bla. Show me a fiduciary please. JPow already said that Bitcoin is "not needed". Therefor, no need for the middleman to take percentage of moving it!!! Just need a personal wallet to send & receive #CBDC!!! bye bye middlemen payment platforms!!!!! $FB Libra Anyone?? nasty. META? nice try Zuck!! We remember.
Go Gary G!
Thanks for #digidollar #CBDC JPow & company. lol
The #metaverse is real. Go Brave Browser!!! $BATX
#cannabisreform #thegem Jobs & Justice
Akerna $KERN has the COMPLIANCE DATA SOFTWARE!!
GL
SQ looks bullish with Aspen Trading Support & Resistance LevelsSQ has bounced back from support @ 249.5 using Aspen Trading Support & Resistance Levels.
It seems poised to go up all the way up to 265. Another tailwind might be the positive earnings today.
Please like, share and follow if you agree with the analysis.
Note - Aspen Trading S/R levels are invite only. They can be accessed through my profile information.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for information purpose only and does not constitute any investment advice.
SQ LONG $260+NYSE:SQ is trading within a Bullish Flag. It held the bottom trend line of the flag today. If this holds tomorrow it should bounce back up to $257 -> $262 -> $264 considering the Earnings coming up in Nov. NOTE: Since SQ is invested in Bitcoin, should always keep an eye on Bitcoin price movements.
Square stock is trading inside the box. SQ analysisHi everyone,
Today we are taking a look at NYSE:SQ perfomance.
As always, I've put the stock inside my boxes.
NYSE:SQ has been trading with high volatility inside 190-280 range for almost a year now.
Key demand areas:
191-197
222-230
Key supply area:
281-288
My outlook:
To go for ATH we have to break 290 and consolidate above.
To start a position look for the entry inside the demand zones.
I think the company has a great long-term potential in fintech space with crypto adoption, so I am long .
Trade wisely and good luck!
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
Can we expect a new bullish impulse on SQ? Today we will take a look at Square Inc. Jack Dorsey's company. In case you don't know who Jack Dorsey is, he is the founder of Twitter inc. In case you don't know what Twitter is... (I'm just joking)
Let's go back to Technical Analysis:
I can see two clear structures here:
*The previous impulse (which is a sequence of higher highs and higher lows) + The current major correction is a sequence of movements inside a constrained range. Ok, what is so special about that? Using Elliott Wave Theory, we can see the relationships between these two movements; one is a correction of the other one. And what Elliott concluded is that the next bullish impulse (IF it comes) will have kind of a relationship in terms of proportions with the previous impulse. That's why we use Fibonacci Extensions to define targets. Key Take away of this bullet point: The targets for a possible bullish movement are: 350 / 400 / 440
* Now let's take a look into the current major correction: After 170 days below the previous high, we saw the breakout in August, after that the price has been correcting on edge (which is pretty standard, after the breakout of structures of this size) This minor correction has been on its range for almost 80 days.
* Conclusions: IF (capital letters, conditional sentence) the price makes a new ATH, we will consider that as an activation level for the bullish view. Targets are the levels we mentioned before. Invalidation level will be below the minor correction at 218.00/ IF not the analysis is not valid (that simple)
*The expected duration for a movement like this can go between 100 to 150 days
Thanks for reading guys! Remember to add any ideas or thoughts to the comment. Protect your capital!!!
Square, 11 OCT - Elliott waves | Gann | Astrology $SQDespite Bitcoin strength and an Analyst upgrade, Square stalled and got rejected precisely at 251 Gann level, slightly above the 50-60% retracement zone.
Our idea then was to build short exposure, as we can count a complete wave (b), expecting further downside.
Price is back at the volume node low today. Should price turn and make a higher high, the count needs to be adjusted because we then have 5 waves up (green count) and can expect the entire correction to be complete.
Correlations:
Bitcoin appears to have completed its bullish wave but is struggling to correct. Buying pressure is still strong, but volume hints at retail/FOMO buying. QQQ closed weak on FRI and a follow-through on MON would be the usual procedure.
12 OCT venus conjuncts natal Saturn, potentially a bearish aspect.
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In my analyses I combine Elliott waves, Gann theory, and planetary aspects to identify turning points in the markets & derive high-probability trading ideas. The strategy is to build leveraged exposure when markets are likely to expand, and to use options premium decay for consistent income when markets may contract and range.
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