TESLA has no resistance until 155, SHORT SQUEEZEIf you look at the VRVP analysis you can see clearly (the yellow) that no buyers filled the gap between 120-155, meaning this was a straight fall shorted by hedge funds. They are trying to fill out their shorts at this 107 price level, it's just a question of time at this point, they can't keep this suppressed with such a large gap, it would initiate momentum to the upside and with no sellers left at that level, it would fly up, margin calling shorts, and only further accelerating the price level to potentially 180.
Squeeze
Wedgepattern breakout in a Squeeze
Setup: The Squeeze Breakout(wedge pattern
Trade rating: 4/5
Reward: risk: 2.32:1
Market conditions: slower holiday season
I love this pattern technically. my only concern is the christmas slow down its not the best market conditions for breakouts although I have still seen some decent moves this week in the forex market so lets hope it continues!
POLISUSD 'D' - Being Squeezed, Break Up or Down?There's not much time left in 2022 now, and there's an equally short amount of time left in this POLIS squeeze.
Historically the price has been higher but does that actually mean the price would break upward and revert to these higher prices? Or are we looking at a downward push to the recent lows? Crypto Tipster v2 has given us a good Short signal based on a combination of nearly 20 different technical analysis indicators working simultaneously. Time will tell..
TSLA due for squeezeDepending on if it can break above 147 12/20 or 12/21, it will make a run to the 0.5 retracement around 163 (resistance around 158) by 12/23 earliest (playing 12/30 calls to give it time)
Depending on environment/Elon's noise it can continue after small pullback to the 0.618 around 176 by early Jan.
Severely oversold and heavily shorted. Squeeze the FUD
I was eyeing the 138-142 range to complete a larger retracement off the highs. This can very well be the low for TSLA - but we'll see.
💥Ethereum 4H Simple Outlook💥BINANCE:ETHUSDT
COINBASE:ETHUSD
Hello again✌
If the price falls and reaches the TP1 level, you can risk-free the position.
TP1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8 are on the chart.
The optimum stop-loss is above the determined area.
Please share ideas and leave a comment,
let me know what's your idea.
CrazyS✌
Where are all the shares Kenny? Wow how absolutely wrong I was, looking back at all of this time, effort and money... I've been having a hard time swallowing the truth of this squeeze play being a nothing burger for the past 2 years so far.
With that said, my conviction on this play has not changed whatsoever. No, that is not supposed to be an inspiring statement at all for us shareholders (we have been railed so far) it is just the purest truth. I am not giving up nor will stop buying shares, I will continue accumulating over the time that passes by, there has been too much DD and investigation of the fraud currently taking place in the market and especially on this ticker to roll over. I'm calling this bad call as it is, being wrong, but this play WILL eventually come to fruition and squeeze from the massive amounts of short shares floating around in this oblivion we call a "Market". They have not covered, that's the only thing that matters to me.
GME will either crash down to 10$ here or start its run back to test that 35$ area then 50$ etc. I still have every call I've purchased so far this journey (leaps), along with every share, I have not sold a thing.
To all the people/bears telling me that I was wrong, well yes, that seems to be true at the moment. Lets just remember though before you have your victory lap... it hasn't ended yet. Tread carefully...
Happy Holidays.
Ethereum Ranges on 4hrtfEth bounced from the mid range as shown in the chart.
1)Our long trigger from mid range and i will take profit at 1340 zone.
2) I will open a short position at 1348 high range will take profit at mid range. If ETH respects the high range.
3) Do The Risk Management.
DYOR.
I'm bearish in higher Time frames. And buy ranges are 400-800$.
Update to TTT’s relation to GMEShort and sweet is what we all love.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICe, I AM A DEGEN
TTT is reclaiming base support, following my thesis, if this continues, GME will begin to absolutely ROCKETTTTTTT
My original thesis claims TTT is being utilized for GME swaps. As TTT remains parabolic (upwards), GME will continue to tank. As TTT falls through floors and tanks, GME should rocket.
Please check out my previous posts if this type of critical thinking interests you. I have been covering this topic personally since 2020.
Remember Direct Registration of your Shares, or DRS, is the best way to purchase direct stock under your legal name. Doesn’t it make sense to actually own shares you purchase? Forget the advantage of booting short sellers, it’s time to own what you purchase. Screw street name.
Much love,
~Chem <3
BTC: Don't Catch a Falling CoinPrimary Chart: BTC's Right-Angled Triangle
"Don't catch a falling knife" is an oft-quoted aphorism among traders and investors. At its core, it's a warning about the dangers of buying into a downtrend or sharp drop before price has shown evidence of a bottom. Of course, there are profitable trading moves around buying dips in uptrends , and this cautionary phrase is not meant to address that situation. And some expert traders frequently do attempt to catch falling knifes at key supports, with tight stops, and with smaller position size, while acknowledging the low-probability nature of the obvious countertrend play.
BTCUSD has experienced a severe ten-month downtrend since its all-time high. Experts have debated far and wide whether cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH and others have put in a lasting bottom or whether new lows are ahead.
To attempt to catch the bottom in BTC now is as risky as it was back at the end of March 2022 after BTC's first bear-market rally. To buy BTC now, especially blindly and without a trading or investing strategy, is a lower probability bet than waiting in cash (for investors) or positioning on the short side (for traders). This is a time when the saying "don't catch a falling knife" applies. The author acknowledges, however, that fundamentally oriented investors may have reasons apart from technical charts to buy BTC for the very long term that may indeed remain valid. But even some well-known fundamentally driven professional money managers in this decade do not just ignore what the technicals and price trends shown on the charts are saying.
BTC's Established Downtrend Since November 10, 2022
BTC has remained in a severe downtrend since November 2021 when it made an all-time high at $69,000. The Primary Chart shows a basic downward trendline where each bear rally has found resistance. Note also how this downward trendline rejected price repeatedly several times in late March and early April 2022.
Once again this week, just when many wondered whether BTC was about to prove that its June 2022 low was a lasting one, BTC reversed right at this trendline. This trendline is also shown by the zero line of the Fibonacci channel, drawn on the chart below
Supplementary Chart A: Fibonacci Channel for BTC
The Primary Chart also shows that price has held above key support at June 2022 lows in recent months, which causes BTC's price action to form a sizeable right-angled triangle . Unlike symmetrical triangles, right-angled triangles imply a breakout direction. Martin Pring, a well-known technical expert, writes: "The symmetrical triangle does not given an indication of the direction in which it is ultimately likely to break. The right-angled triangle does, with its implied slanting level of support or resistance." But one cautionary point Pring makes is that triangle breakouts experience retracement moves frequently. If the original breakout is missed, some savvy traders often move in to catch a backtest if one occurs.
Recent Confirmation of BTC's Downtrend
BTC has confirmed its downtrend remains viable this week. Price tried to break above the downward trendline shown on the Primary Chart above. But it failed right at this resistance level.
BTC has also tried to break and hold above three anchored VWAPs from the past several months. Each VWAP is placed at a key level of support / resistance at a recent swing high or low. The first is the anchored VWAP from May 31, 2022. The second is the VWAP anchored to the June 2022 low., the third is the VWAP anchored to the mid-August 2022 high. Below, Supplementary Chart B shows these three anchored VWAPs.
More importantly, BTC's chart shows three failed breakout attempts above the May 31, 2022, VWAP. It shows five failed breakout attempts above the VWAP anchored to the June 2022 low. It shows one failed breakout attempt as to the VWAP anchored to the mid-August 2022 peak.
Supplementary Chart B: Three Anchored VWAPS
The most recent breakout attempt during the first week of September 2022 was notable for its speed and force. Within a mere six days, BTC's price rose 22.87 percent from the low to high of that swing. Considering that swing, however, most of the gains have been lost in the 3-4 days since its peak on September 13, 2022.
BTC has also lost all its key retracements of this 22.87% six-day rally, except for the .786 retracement. Losing the .50 and .618 retracements of this rally, combined with the multiple failed breakouts above the May, June and August anchored VWAPS, provides further evidence to support the downtrend's continuation in the near term.
Supplementary Chart C: Fibonacci Retracements of 22.87% Rally in Early September
Further, the slope of the 8-day EMA provides a useful gauge of near term trends and momentum. Since the 22.87% rally ending September 13, 2022, the 8-day EMA has decisively begun to slope down again. Price has also crossed below it and found resistance into it. The 8-day EMA has also crossed below the 21-day EMA, a more intermediate-term trend gauge that also has turned down.
Supplementary Chart D: Slope of 8-day and 21-day EMAs
Attempting to guess where the bottom is and blindly buying, hoping that the price will rise, can sometimes work very well. But it fails more often than it works. A more strategic and prudent approach might be to evaluate some of the most simple trend gauges. Tuning out all the news and other noise about potential bottoms, one could consider the 8 and 21 EMAs on this chart, together with the other technical evidence. They have signaled along with the anchored VWAPs that the path of least resistance is lower for now.
Further Evidence from Recent Peak in Momentum
The 22.87% six-day rally in early September was impressive. Without seeing the downward trendline, one might suspect that BTC might be attempting to prove its June 2022 lows were final lows. But not only did price peak right at the downward trendline as one might expect, RSI momentum peaked just below the resistance level formed over BTC's entire summer rally since June 2022 lows. Note how RSI peaked at approximately 61.34 on September 12, 2022, the day before price hit the trendline and reversed lower. This is a common spot where RSI can reach during valid downtrends. In other words, RSI in a downtrend can find resistance at an upper range of 50-65.
Supplementary Chart E: RSI Peak at Resistance on September 12, 2022
The Fibonacci Channel's Dynamic Support Levels
The Fibonacci channel not only provides a clear trend gauge with its zero line, it also provides dynamic levels of support and resistance that run parallel to the predominant trend. The chart below shows the Fibonacci channels parallel lines with annotations pointing to areas of dynamic support where price may reach in the coming weeks. First, the teal line is the .236 retracement, a line immediately below this Fibonacci channel's zero line that runs parallel to it at a .236 proportion of the entire channel. Each of these Fibonacci channel supports are dynamic, which means that they change as time progresses. The teal .236 line would be the first multi-week support to consider around $14,700-$16,500. If this line does not hold, then the next line down, the .382 line (purple) offers support at approximately $10,000 to $13,000 in late September and early October 2022.
Supplementary Chart F: Fibonacci Channel Intermediate-Term Support Levels
Violation of Short-Term Levels Before the Next Trend Move
Before the next downtrend move can occur, however, the June 2022 lows must break. The June 2022 lows lie at $17,592-$17,930. Another key level must also be broken before concluding that June 2022 lows will be tested. This level is $19,223, which is .786 retracement of the entire summery rally for BTC. This 19,223 level also coincides with the other Fibonacci .786 retracement of the early September rally at $19,447.57 (shown in Supplementary Chart C above).
Supplementary Chart G: Fibonacci Retracements for Entire Summer Rally in BTC
Volatility Compression Suggests Directional Move Ahead
Lastly, volatility typically runs in cycles. Volatility compression leads to volatility expansion, and volatility expansion tends to lead to volatility compression. One way to gauge when the next directional move is nearing is to examine volatility. The Bollinger Bands help traders do so. The Bollinger Bands plot a line at a given number of standard deviations above and below a mean. The Bollinger Bands on BTC's chart below are plotted at the default of two standard deviations above and below the mean.
The Bollinger Bands on the daily chart of BTC show volatility has compressed despite the 22.87% move in early September and the sharp selloff since. This suggests a significant trend move is approaching rather than completing. Given evidence of BTC's downtrend being well established, consider that the probabilities favor a downward trend move in the coming weeks associated with the end of the volatility-compression and the start of its expansion.
Supplementary Chart H: Bollinger Bands and Volatility Compression
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Please note that this technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success.
Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
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