SSW
UPDATE: Sibanye drops another 23% almost at targetYes we made a probability prediction on this large move down.
It's close to the target of R16.89.
But it's never good betting or hoping for a stock to crash and burn.
There is no scrip to short, so the only good thing about this analysis is brining awareness to investors who think it's cheap to buy and then they wake up 23% down...
This is a reminder that when markets are dropping, they are dropping for a reason. They aren't falling to go back up - They aren't roller coasters...
So don't think you've caught the bottom when the bottom is still a while away.
We can expect more downside and with Sibanye-Stillwater launching a US$500 million senior unsecured guaranteed convertible bonds coming in 2028.
We can expect more turbulence. Be careful out there. It's a moshpit for those who aren't risk averse.
#SSW #JSE #SIBANYE selling showing signs of exhaustion?Keep an eye on SIbanye, multiple bullish divergence on stochastics and RSI reclaiming S1 Pivot. Ultimate test to turn the structure here is a close above R32.00 but signs are showing slowing momentum to the downside and a possible run coming up for Sibanye.
UPDATE: Sibanye Medium term short trade still going to R16.89Sibanye has been on a smooth downtrend since 23 May 2023...
I posted the Inverse cup and Handle which the price broke below the brim.
Then the price made another Inv Cup and handle which broke below that brim.
And now the price is following the downward trajectory line. I'm happy with this type of medium term short trade..
You're earning interest daily while short and it's a great hedge in the gold market.
The target reamins at R16.89.
UPDATE Sibanye Stillwater is about to waterfall down to R16.89Since the last update, Sibanye is heading to the first target.
We have a long way to go, so you can see the update here.
There has been an Inverse Cup and Handle form on Daily.
This is definitely deemed a medium term trade. But luckily with shorts, we earn interest income.
200>21>7 - Bearish
RSI<50
Target R16.89
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Sibanye Stillwater is a South African mining company that specializes in precious metals mining, particularly gold and platinum group metals (PGMs).
The company was formed in 2013 as a result of a merger between Sibanye Gold and Stillwater Mining Company, an American PGM mining company.
Sibanye Stillwater is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa, and has operations both in South Africa and the United States.
The company operates several mines in South Africa, including the Driefontein, Kloof, and Beatrix mines, which are all located in the Witwatersrand Basin.
Sibanye Stillwater's PGM operations in the United States are centered around the Stillwater and East Boulder mines in Montana. These mines are known for their production of palladium and platinum.
Sibanye Stillwater is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) in South Africa and also has a secondary listing on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Sibanye could have a MAJOR bounce from here to R45This is definitely not my usual type of trade setup.
I don't like predicting market reversals.
I don't like catching the bottom and the top
I don't like trading without a solid chart pattern
So I am not taking this trade, but showing a major observation.
There has been a solid support forming over the last few months. Every time, Smart Money brings the price to this level it bounces up and hard.
So we can expect Buying again from Smart Money as they buy into the Sell SIde Liquidity from retail traders.
Then once we get it back to R45.00 and it breaks above there, then we'll really see some serious upside.
The risk is low and the reward is high, so if you like these kinds of trades - this is one for the books.
SSW - Sibanye Stillwater breaking upGlobal Gold shares have started the year on the bang so i thought i'd look at some of the local counters on the JSE. Sibanye Stillwater has carved a lovely rounding bottom since May last year and it finally has broken above the horizontal resistance around the R50 area. This should move to approximately R63 which would be the target of the rounding bottom. You don't want to see it slip below R50 again so the stop could be relatively tight
SSWSSW made a fake out of the descending channel buying came in at 460, now a pullback back to 512 region will provide nice opportunity to go long
@Miwealth, we make use of a wide arrange of strategies tools and reports to predict market movement, we are in nature attempting to trade the impulsive moves or larger correction in price, we therefore make use of fundamental analysis mainly using COT report analysis and overall market conditions such as market structure and Wave analysis. We use Wyatt's pivots on MT4/5 to find market support and resistance zones that's calculated on a yearly, monthly, weekly and daily basis. Overall, our strategy also combines price action.
We are not sniper traders, and we trade weekly and monthly swing traders.
We don't provide signals but provide a journey to getting funded to make consistent long term returns that are in excess of 3-5% pm.
The above analysis incorporates all our trading experience and therefore we only provide entry SL and TP levels.
MiWealth in terms of South African law is not a registered financial service company, and thus we do not provide financial advice, all ideas shared on trading view is our view and not necessarily in line with yours therefore you carry your own risk on your trading decisions
SSW Bullish reversal (LONG)On the SSW chart, I noted a Support at 4402 which may mark the end of the regression channel.
With reference to Platinum there is a long term trend forming with the latest bounce of the support.
P/E ratio at 2.93
Forward P/E ratio 3.78
RSI in the 50's
DMI showing some change to the upside
(Not financial advice)
Please comment with advice/expertise/constructive critisicm
Bullish PlatinumPlatinum corrected to pre-pandemic Trend and is following in this pattern.
3 strong pullbacks displayd with regression trends before breakouts.
Accumulated the last month for change of direction to follow trend.
Waiting on EMA to confirm Bullish action.
From a political standpoint it's inevitabe that the price should increase due to vaccine rollouts, increased production of EV's, back to normal production of vehicles and increases in tech demand.
Long term investment opportunity
Bullish on SSWConsolidation period in short term last 2 months due to Production decrease in Motor vehicle industry. Recovery of industry is a given in future.
Compared to Platinum price the Support is strong and holding.
Strong support at 5443, resistance at 7430
Falling wedge shows that the trend is moving to a point where a change in direction is inevitable.
Strong balance sheet, good dividends, no brainer.
SSWFundamentals
Sibanye is highly correlated to the USD, we expect a reversal in the USD to come soon, but the current trend is to the upside and could impact commodities more, So we expect more downside on ZAR, NZD, AUD, CAD.
US Holidays are over, and we should see some profit taking and big funds to starts positioning their portfolios for the new seasonality coming up. With rates moving higher in in the USD and some potential risks with Covid looming in emerging markets that would push gold higher, however Platinum is SSW biggest holding on resources.
A 40% increase in 4E Platinum group metals (PGM) Mineral Reserves at the SA PGM operations to 39.5M 4Eoz, primarily due to the inclusion of the Marikana K4 project (12.7 M 4Eoz) and the Klipfontein opencast project (0.1M 4Eoz) following detailed feasibility studies.
Platinum
Platinum futures traded below $1,000 per troy ounce, hovering at levels not seen since last November, amid a downbeat demand outlook, following output cut announcements by major players in the auto industry amid a global semiconductor shortage. Volkswagen stated its plant in Wolfsburg, the world’s largest, planned to restart production with only one shift, while its subsidiary Audi decided to extend the summer break by one week. Earlier, Toyota had already announced the suspension of operations at 14 of its Japanese factories in September. The metal used in catalytic converters had been already under pressure, due to a spike in COVID-19 cases across the globe and as US Fed officials talked of removing stimulus as soon as this year.
Platinum is expected to trade at 1030.27 USD/t oz. by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts’ expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1197.07 in 12 months’ time.
Mining Production in South Africa is expected to be -3.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts’ expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Mining Production in South Africa to stand at 2.50 in 12 months’ time. In the long-term, the South Africa Mining Production is projected to trend around 2.00 percent in 2022 and 3.00 percent in 2023, according to our econometric models.
Exports in South Africa is expected to be 155000.00 ZAR Million by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts’ expectations. In the long-term, the South Africa Exports is projected to trend around 140000.00 ZAR Million in 2022 and 130000.00 ZAR Million in 2023, according to our econometric models.
Technicals
the Stock price made a strong bullish impulse on the monthly from 1500, and profit taking occurred at 7650, on the monthly time frame we are now in a Bullish correction and should expect buyers to come back in between 3820-5200
Market Condition on the weekly is bearish on the MACD, So wont be putting looking for buys as yet
LONG TERM when Global economy and Supply bottle necks stops and Automotive vehicle production is at full tilt this could be a great buy as they expect demand to increase, at the moment it’s a HOLD/BUY
SSWoThoughts on SSW 4.62% . A great Location to buy would be at $9 if it doesn't quite make it, look for reversal signals around 9.70, it has had a nice run since March, look to Buy the dip on this one.
SSW 4.62% has a P/B ratio of 0.65 and a P/E of 10.97, 50% insider Ownership and EPS 0.36% starting to grow year on year.
This tells me that the stock is Undervalued.
Here is my thoughts on how this stock will trade over the next 6 months or so.
SSWThoughts on SSW. A great Location to buy would be at $9 if it doesn't quite make it, look for reversal signals around 9.70, it has had a nice run since March, look to Buy the dip on this one.
SSW has a P/B ratio of 0.65 and a P/E of 10.97, 50% insider Ownership and EPS starting to grow year on year.
This tells me that the stock is Undervalued.
Here is my thoughts on how this stock will trade over the next 6 months or so.
SSW | D | GANN GEOThis super bounce rally is loosing steam. First, price will hit the down 1x1 line then a bit of overshoot is expected to finally stop dead in the yellow curve.
Cheers,
Keops
SSW- Quick Long from$934 to $10.33 SSW seems forming a fallen angel pattern. It looks strong as it crossed above EMA lines & 20 day moving average.
We think it will easily hit 10.3 area.
Trade Criteria
Entry Target Criteria- Break of $9.34
Exit Target Criteria- $10.33
Stop Loss Criteria- $8.83
You can check our detailed analysis on SSW in the trading room/Executive summary link here-
www.youtube.com
Time Span- 8:15"
Trade Status: Pending