🔥 Stable coin Landscape Changed Drastically In 2023In this analysis I want to shed some lights on the top 3 biggest stable coins and how their relationships changed in 2023.
First of all, it's natural for stable coin marketcaps to decrease during bear markets. Investors are leaving the space and exchange their stables for fiat. This is something we've seen for the better part of 2022.
However, things changed in 2023.
- 13th of Feb: Binance and PAXOS (the issuer of BUSD) got hit by the SEC (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission), which led to no more BUSD being minted. In turn, this has led to BUSD holders to convert their stables to both USDT and USDC, which saw a significant up tick in their marketcap. Basically, BUSD is a dead coin at the moment and will inevitably go to a marketcap of zero.
- 10th of March: USDC depegged from HKEX:1 during the depths of the banking crisis because it had funds in SVB. USDC quickly repegged, but trust has been damaged to such an extent that investors dumped their USDC and moved to USDT.
In the end, I think that USDT is the big 'winner' of the stables. It was the first, the biggest and apparently the safest. In my eyes, there's little reason to have any other stable than USDT, since it has clearly shown resilience over other big stables. In addition, I think that the market will gradually move towards having only 1 stable coin, it being USDT.
What is your preferred stable coin, and why? Share your thoughts 🙏
Stablecoin
USDD Strablecoin DepeggingAs i warned you in the past article, TRX is about to collapse because of USDD:
According to their website, USDD is secured by the over-collateralization of multiple mainstream digital assets (e.g. TRX , BTC , and USDT). The total value of collateralized assets is significantly higher than that of USDD in circulation with the collateral ratio set at 120%.
This is the USDD collateral:
TRX 10,929,535,279
BTC 14,040.6 = about $313Mil
USDT 29,964,253
USDC 39,719,839
so besides TRX , the total amount of other collateral is $383Mil for a stablecoin that has a mk cap of $724Mil.
Now let`s say TRX drops to the Covid level of $0.0072, which is not unrealistic in my opinion.
Then the TRX collateral of 10,929,535,279 coin will be worth $78,692,654.
Assuming that BTC won`t go lower, then still the liquid collateral of USDD will be around $462Mil for a mk cap now of $724Mil, which will result in a huge depegging od the "stablecoin".
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TRX Tron the next to fall?I think TRX Tron is the next to fall after BNB Binance Coin.
The reason is their stablecoin, USDD.
According to their website, USDD is secured by the over-collateralization of multiple mainstream digital assets (e.g. TRX, BTC, and USDT). The total value of collateralized assets is significantly higher than that of USDD in circulation with the collateral ratio set at 120%.
This is the USDD collateral:
TRX 10,929,535,279
BTC 14,040.6 = about $313Mil
USDT 29,964,253
USDC 39,719,839
so besides TRX, the total amount of other collateral is $383Mil for a stablecoin that has a mk cap of $724Mil.
Now let`s say TRX drops to the Covid level of $0.0072, which is not unrealistic in my opinion.
Then the TRX collateral of 10,929,535,279 coin will be worth $78,692,654.
Assuming that BTC won`t go lower, then still the liquid collateral of USDD will be around $462Mil for a mk cap now of $724Mil, which will result in a huge depegging od the "stablecoin".
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SVB, Silvergate, Signature: 2008 Again?Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Ev here, committed to keep you updated on the latest major event that's taking the world by storm: The recent collapse of three major banks: Silicon Valley Bank $SIVB , Silvergate Capital Corporation $SI and now Signature Bank $SBNY .
It has since came to light that many cryptocurrency companies had vested interest in thee bank including Coinbase, Circle and Ripple. Furthermore, over a dozen Chinese-based firms confirmed their exposure to SVB. Many other companies have since confirmed exposure including Roku ($487 million) , Etsy $ETSY , BlockFi and more.
Most recently:
🛑 HSBC agreed to acquires UK branch of SVB for 1 pound . Yes, yes you read that correctly.
🛑 Just a few hours ago, signature Bank, a New York financial institution with a big real estate lending business that had recently made a play to win cryptocurrency deposits, closed its doors Sunday after regulators said that keeping the bank open could threaten the stability of the entire financial system.
🛑 It comes to light that SVB executives sold large portions of their shares earlier in February:
- CEO George B. sells 11% on 27 Feb
- General Counsil Michael Z. sells 19% 5 Feb
- CFO Daniel B. sells 32% 27 Feb
- CMO Michelle D. sells 25% 1 Feb
Are we seeing some shocking similarities to the 2008 market crash? The global financial crisis of 2008 was caused by a complex interplay of factors, including the collapse of several major banks. Some of the notable banks that collapsed or were bailed out during the crisis:
1) Lehman Brothers: This investment bank filed for bankruptcy on September 15, 2008, after it became clear that it was heavily exposed to toxic mortgage-backed securities.
2) Bear Stearns: This investment bank was acquired by JPMorgan Chase in a government-backed bailout in March 2008, after it became clear that it was struggling to meet its financial obligations.
3) Washington Mutual: This savings and loan bank was seized by federal regulators in September 2008 and its assets were sold to JPMorgan Chase.
4) Merrill Lynch: This investment bank was acquired by Bank of America in a government-brokered deal in September 2008, after it became clear that it was heavily exposed to mortgage-backed securities.
5) Wachovia: This commercial bank was acquired by Wells Fargo in a government-brokered deal in October 2008, after it became clear that it was heavily exposed to risky mortgage assets.
These are just a few of the banks that experienced significant financial difficulties during the crisis. The collapse of these institutions had a profound impact on the global economy, leading to widespread job losses, foreclosures, and economic turmoil.
In case you missed the earlier updates and important facts:
In the past few weeks, there have been two significant bank failures in the United States that have sent shockwaves throughout the financial world. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank has sparked concerns about the stability of the banking system and the future of the crypto industry. The failure of these banks highlights the fragility of the financial system and the challenges faced by institutions that operate in high-risk sectors like tech and crypto.
Silicon Valley Bank ( SVB ) was closed by the FDIC on March 9 due to its heavy losses caused by the downturn in technology stocks and the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive plan to increase interest rates.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is an independent agency created by the US Congress in 1933 to maintain stability and public confidence in the nation's financial system. The FDIC provides deposit insurance that guarantees the safety of deposits in member banks, up to a certain limit. In the event that a member bank fails, the FDIC will step in to insure deposits, provide assistance to depositors, and liquidate the failed bank's assets. The FDIC also regulates and supervises member banks, as well as conducts research and analysis on the banking industry.
Silicon Valley Bank bought bonds using customers' deposits, but the value of those investments fell as interest rates rose. This is usually not a problem for banks, but Silicon Valley Bank's customers were largely startups that needed cash. Venture capital funding was drying up, and companies were tapping their existing funds deposited with Silicon Valley Bank, which was at the center of the tech startup universe. In response to this liquidity crisis, SVB sold a $21bn bond portfolio at a loss of $1.8 billion. The bank attempted to fill the solvency hole with a combined equity offering of $2.25bn on March 8, but the attempt failed. This is the largest failure of a financial institution in the United States since Washington Mutual collapsed more than a decade ago. The closure of SVB had an immediate effect on some startups that had ties to the bank, as they scrambled to pay their workers and feared having to pause projects or lay off employees until they could access their funds. SVB , the 16th largest bank in the US, had assets of $209 billion, with more than 50% of its investments tied up in long-term securities, including exposure to the Silicon Valley tech and health startup world. The bank's sudden collapse has raised questions about its risk management practices, and the impact of its closure on its clients, who are largely startups and wealthy tech workers. The bank's large uninsured deposits and exposure to high-risk sectors like tech and crypto contributed to its downfall.
But SVB isn't the only one... Silvergate Bank, which has been a significant player in the crypto world, has announced that it is closing and returning deposits. The bank's holding company, Silvergate Capital Corporation, stated that the decision was made "in light of recent industry and regulatory developments." The closure follows the loss of one billion dollars in a quarter after customers withdrew $8.1 billion, and a subsequent filing in March revealing even worse financials. The closure of Silvergate Bank is concerning for the crypto industry, as it may lead to companies turning to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier. Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Paxos have already started moving away from the bank. The collapse of the bank will likely draw scrutiny from lawmakers who are concerned about the crypto contagion affecting the traditional financial sector. The Silvergate Exchange Network, which allowed crypto exchanges like Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken to move money between themselves and other institutions, has also been shut down. The bank's financial struggles have been ongoing for some time, with some of its high-profile clients like FTX and Genesis also experiencing challenges. Silvergate's collapse raises concerns about the future of the crypto industry, as companies may turn to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier for everyone involved. The bank's failure is also likely to draw scrutiny from lawmakers concerned about the potential contagion of the crypto industry on the traditional financial sector.
Late Friday night Coinbase, a popular cryptocurrency exchange, announced that it would suspend conversions for the USDC stablecoin. This led to a rush of people trying to sell their USDC holdings, causing it to depeg from its value of $1 and trade as low as $0.87 before recovering to $0.92. Another stablecoin, Dai, also depegged and experienced a high volume of trading. Stablecoins are important in the cryptocurrency market as they provide a way for traders to move funds between different exchanges or cryptocurrencies without having to convert back to fiat currency. They are also used as a store of value by some cryptocurrency investors who prefer a more stable asset compared to the volatility of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. If stablecoins depeg permanently, it could lead to a loss of confidence in their stability and reliability. This could potentially cause a sell-off of stablecoins and a shift towards other assets perceived as more stable, such as traditional fiat currencies.
But before we panic too hard and FUD out, it's important to note that the impact of this crisis on cryptocurrencies such as alts and Bitcoin would depend on the severity and duration of the stablecoin depegging event, as well as other market factors such as investor sentiment and regulatory actions. In the past, there have been instances of stablecoins temporarily depegging from their underlying assets without significant impact on the broader cryptocurrency market. One notable example of a stablecoin depegging in the past is the case of Tether (USDT) in 2018. Tether is a stablecoin that is pegged to the value of the US dollar , with each USDT token representing one US dollar . In October 2018, Tether's price dropped below the $1 peg on several cryptocurrency exchanges, leading to concerns about the stability of the stablecoin. The depegging was attributed to a variety of factors, including regulatory pressures, concerns about Tether's reserves, and a general market downturn. The depegging led to a sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin ( USDC ) and TrueUSD (TUSD), which saw increased demand as traders and investors sought more reliable alternatives. Despite the depegging of Tether, the broader cryptocurrency market did not experience a significant impact, with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies largely unaffected. However, the incident highlighted the potential risks and uncertainties associated with stablecoins and their reliance on centralized institutions to maintain their pegs.
In terms of price action for the immediate term, the Tether (USDT) depegging event in 2018 did have some impact on the cryptocurrency market prices, although the impact was relatively limited and short-lived. Following the depegging of USDT, there was a brief sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin ( USDC ) and TrueUSD (TUSD). This led to increased demand for these stablecoins, which helped to maintain their pegs to the US dollar . However, the broader cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin , was largely unaffected by the Tether depegging. While there was some initial volatility and uncertainty, the market quickly stabilized and resumed its upward trend.
💭 Share your thoughts in the comment section and stay tuned!
_______________________
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We thank you for your support !
CryptoCheck
SVB, Silvergate Collapse & Affect on CryptomarketHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
In a twist of events, an incident that happened within the banking realm created chaos for the crypto realm. I bet you didn't have that on your bingo cards for 2023...
In the past few weeks, there have been two significant bank failures in the United States that have sent shockwaves throughout the financial world. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank has sparked concerns about the stability of the banking system and the future of the crypto industry. The failure of these banks highlights the fragility of the financial system and the challenges faced by institutions that operate in high-risk sectors like tech and crypto.
Silicon Valley Bank ( SVB ) was closed by the FDIC on March 9 due to its heavy losses caused by the downturn in technology stocks and the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive plan to increase interest rates.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is an independent agency created by the US Congress in 1933 to maintain stability and public confidence in the nation's financial system. The FDIC provides deposit insurance that guarantees the safety of deposits in member banks, up to a certain limit. In the event that a member bank fails, the FDIC will step in to insure deposits, provide assistance to depositors, and liquidate the failed bank's assets. The FDIC also regulates and supervises member banks, as well as conducts research and analysis on the banking industry.
Silicon Valley Bank bought bonds using customers' deposits, but the value of those investments fell as interest rates rose. This is usually not a problem for banks, but Silicon Valley Bank's customers were largely startups that needed cash. Venture capital funding was drying up, and companies were tapping their existing funds deposited with Silicon Valley Bank, which was at the center of the tech startup universe. In response to this liquidity crisis, SVB sold a $21bn bond portfolio at a loss of $1.8 billion. The bank attempted to fill the solvency hole with a combined equity offering of $2.25bn on March 8, but the attempt failed. This is the largest failure of a financial institution in the United States since Washington Mutual collapsed more than a decade ago. The closure of SVB had an immediate effect on some startups that had ties to the bank, as they scrambled to pay their workers and feared having to pause projects or lay off employees until they could access their funds. SVB , the 16th largest bank in the US, had assets of $209 billion, with more than 50% of its investments tied up in long-term securities, including exposure to the Silicon Valley tech and health startup world. The bank's sudden collapse has raised questions about its risk management practices, and the impact of its closure on its clients, who are largely startups and wealthy tech workers. The bank's large uninsured deposits and exposure to high-risk sectors like tech and crypto contributed to its downfall.
But SVB isn't the only one... Silvergate Bank, which has been a significant player in the crypto world, has announced that it is closing and returning deposits. The bank's holding company, Silvergate Capital Corporation, stated that the decision was made "in light of recent industry and regulatory developments." The closure follows the loss of one billion dollars in a quarter after customers withdrew $8.1 billion, and a subsequent filing in March revealing even worse financials. The closure of Silvergate Bank is concerning for the crypto industry, as it may lead to companies turning to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier. Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Paxos have already started moving away from the bank. The collapse of the bank will likely draw scrutiny from lawmakers who are concerned about the crypto contagion affecting the traditional financial sector. The Silvergate Exchange Network, which allowed crypto exchanges like Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken to move money between themselves and other institutions, has also been shut down. The bank's financial struggles have been ongoing for some time, with some of its high-profile clients like FTX and Genesis also experiencing challenges. Silvergate's collapse raises concerns about the future of the crypto industry, as companies may turn to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier for everyone involved. The bank's failure is also likely to draw scrutiny from lawmakers concerned about the potential contagion of the crypto industry on the traditional financial sector.
Late Friday night Coinbase, a popular cryptocurrency exchange, announced that it would suspend conversions for the USDC stablecoin. This led to a rush of people trying to sell their USDC holdings, causing it to depeg from its value of $1 and trade as low as $0.87 before recovering to $0.92. Another stablecoin, Dai, also depegged and experienced a high volume of trading. Stablecoins are important in the cryptocurrency market as they provide a way for traders to move funds between different exchanges or cryptocurrencies without having to convert back to fiat currency. They are also used as a store of value by some cryptocurrency investors who prefer a more stable asset compared to the volatility of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. If stablecoins depeg permanently, it could lead to a loss of confidence in their stability and reliability. This could potentially cause a sell-off of stablecoins and a shift towards other assets perceived as more stable, such as traditional fiat currencies.
But before we panic too hard and FUD out, it's important to note that the impact of this crisis on cryptocurrencies such as alts and Bitcoin would depend on the severity and duration of the stablecoin depegging event, as well as other market factors such as investor sentiment and regulatory actions. In the past, there have been instances of stablecoins temporarily depegging from their underlying assets without significant impact on the broader cryptocurrency market. One notable example of a stablecoin depegging in the past is the case of Tether (USDT) in 2018. Tether is a stablecoin that is pegged to the value of the US dollar , with each USDT token representing one US dollar . In October 2018, Tether's price dropped below the $1 peg on several cryptocurrency exchanges, leading to concerns about the stability of the stablecoin. The depegging was attributed to a variety of factors, including regulatory pressures, concerns about Tether's reserves, and a general market downturn. The depegging led to a sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin ( USDC ) and TrueUSD (TUSD), which saw increased demand as traders and investors sought more reliable alternatives. Despite the depegging of Tether, the broader cryptocurrency market did not experience a significant impact, with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies largely unaffected. However, the incident highlighted the potential risks and uncertainties associated with stablecoins and their reliance on centralized institutions to maintain their pegs.
In terms of price action for the immediate term, the Tether (USDT) depegging event in 2018 did have some impact on the cryptocurrency market prices, although the impact was relatively limited and short-lived. Following the depegging of USDT, there was a brief sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin ( USDC ) and TrueUSD (TUSD). This led to increased demand for these stablecoins, which helped to maintain their pegs to the US dollar . However, the broader cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin , was largely unaffected by the Tether depegging. While there was some initial volatility and uncertainty, the market quickly stabilized and resumed its upward trend.
💭The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank is the second-largest bank default in U.S. history and puts the golden trifecta rule of banking (liquidity, solvency, and profitability) into review. This failure reminds us of the unintended consequences of unorthodox monetary policies, pandemic remediation measures, excessive leverage, and democracy eroding rulings. SVB had significant exposure to long-term securities and the Silicon Valley tech and health startup world. The bank's uninsured deposits pose a problem but insured deposits will be available as soon as Monday.
The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank underscores the need for stricter regulatory frameworks and tighter risk management practices in the financial industry. The failures also highlight the importance of diversification and risk mitigation strategies for banks and their clients. As the financial industry continues to evolve, it is essential that institutions keep pace with the changes and adapt their practices to ensure their stability and resilience in the face of future challenges.
_______________________
📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍
We thank you for your support !
CryptoCheck
Stablecoins Depeg: Twist of Events, Banking CrisisHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year.
In a twist of events, an incident that happened within the banking realm created chaos for the crypto realm. I bet you didn't have that on your bingo cards for 2023...
In the past few weeks, there have been two significant bank failures in the United States that have sent shockwaves throughout the financial world. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank has sparked concerns about the stability of the banking system and the future of the crypto industry. The failure of these banks highlights the fragility of the financial system and the challenges faced by institutions that operate in high-risk sectors like tech and crypto.
Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) was closed by the FDIC on March 9 due to its heavy losses caused by the downturn in technology stocks and the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive plan to increase interest rates.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is an independent agency created by the US Congress in 1933 to maintain stability and public confidence in the nation's financial system. The FDIC provides deposit insurance that guarantees the safety of deposits in member banks, up to a certain limit. In the event that a member bank fails, the FDIC will step in to insure deposits, provide assistance to depositors, and liquidate the failed bank's assets. The FDIC also regulates and supervises member banks, as well as conducts research and analysis on the banking industry.
Silicon Valley Bank bought bonds using customers' deposits, but the value of those investments fell as interest rates rose. This is usually not a problem for banks, but Silicon Valley Bank's customers were largely startups that needed cash. Venture capital funding was drying up, and companies were tapping their existing funds deposited with Silicon Valley Bank, which was at the center of the tech startup universe. In response to this liquidity crisis, SVB sold a $21bn bond portfolio at a loss of $1.8 billion . The bank attempted to fill the solvency hole with a combined equity offering of $2.25bn on March 8, but the attempt failed. This is the largest failure of a financial institution in the United States since Washington Mutual collapsed more than a decade ago. The closure of SVB had an immediate effect on some startups that had ties to the bank, as they scrambled to pay their workers and feared having to pause projects or lay off employees until they could access their funds. SVB, the 16th largest bank in the US, had assets of $209 billion, with more than 50% of its investments tied up in long-term securities, including exposure to the Silicon Valley tech and health startup world. The bank's sudden collapse has raised questions about its risk management practices, and the impact of its closure on its clients, who are largely startups and wealthy tech workers. The bank's large uninsured deposits and exposure to high-risk sectors like tech and crypto contributed to its downfall.
But SVB isn't the only one... Silvergate Bank, which has been a significant player in the crypto world, has announced that it is closing and returning deposits. The bank's holding company, Silvergate Capital Corporation, stated that the decision was made "in light of recent industry and regulatory developments." The closure follows the loss of one billion dollars in a quarter after customers withdrew $8.1 billion, and a subsequent filing in March revealing even worse financials. The closure of Silvergate Bank is concerning for the crypto industry, as it may lead to companies turning to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier. Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Paxos have already started moving away from the bank. The collapse of the bank will likely draw scrutiny from lawmakers who are concerned about the crypto contagion affecting the traditional financial sector. The Silvergate Exchange Network, which allowed crypto exchanges like Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken to move money between themselves and other institutions, has also been shut down. The bank's financial struggles have been ongoing for some time, with some of its high-profile clients like FTX and Genesis also experiencing challenges. Silvergate's collapse raises concerns about the future of the crypto industry, as companies may turn to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier for everyone involved. The bank's failure is also likely to draw scrutiny from lawmakers concerned about the potential contagion of the crypto industry on the traditional financial sector.
Late Friday night Coinbase, a popular cryptocurrency exchange, announced that it would suspend conversions for the USDC stablecoin. This led to a rush of people trying to sell their USDC holdings, causing it to depeg from its value of $1 and trade as low as $0.87 before recovering to $0.92. Another stablecoin, Dai, also depegged and experienced a high volume of trading. Stablecoins are important in the cryptocurrency market as they provide a way for traders to move funds between different exchanges or cryptocurrencies without having to convert back to fiat currency. They are also used as a store of value by some cryptocurrency investors who prefer a more stable asset compared to the volatility of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. If stablecoins depeg permanently, it could lead to a loss of confidence in their stability and reliability. This could potentially cause a sell-off of stablecoins and a shift towards other assets perceived as more stable, such as traditional fiat currencies.
But before we panic too hard and FUD out, it's important to note that the impact of this crisis on cryptocurrencies such as alts and Bitcoin would depend on the severity and duration of the stablecoin depegging event, as well as other market factors such as investor sentiment and regulatory actions. In the past, there have been instances of stablecoins temporarily depegging from their underlying assets without significant impact on the broader cryptocurrency market. One notable example of a stablecoin depegging in the past is the case of Tether (USDT) in 2018. Tether is a stablecoin that is pegged to the value of the US dollar, with each USDT token representing one US dollar. In October 2018, Tether's price dropped below the $1 peg on several cryptocurrency exchanges, leading to concerns about the stability of the stablecoin. The depegging was attributed to a variety of factors, including regulatory pressures, concerns about Tether's reserves, and a general market downturn. The depegging led to a sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin (USDC) and TrueUSD (TUSD), which saw increased demand as traders and investors sought more reliable alternatives. Despite the depegging of Tether, the broader cryptocurrency market did not experience a significant impact, with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies largely unaffected. However, the incident highlighted the potential risks and uncertainties associated with stablecoins and their reliance on centralized institutions to maintain their pegs.
In terms of price action for the immediate term, the Tether (USDT) depegging event in 2018 did have some impact on the cryptocurrency market prices, although the impact was relatively limited and short-lived. Following the depegging of USDT, there was a brief sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin (USDC) and TrueUSD (TUSD). This led to increased demand for these stablecoins, which helped to maintain their pegs to the US dollar. However, the broader cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin, was largely unaffected by the Tether depegging. While there was some initial volatility and uncertainty, the market quickly stabilized and resumed its upward trend.
💭The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank is the second-largest bank default in U.S. history and puts the golden trifecta rule of banking (liquidity, solvency, and profitability) into review. This failure reminds us of the unintended consequences of unorthodox monetary policies, pandemic remediation measures, excessive leverage, and democracy eroding rulings. SVB had significant exposure to long-term securities and the Silicon Valley tech and health startup world. The bank's uninsured deposits pose a problem but insured deposits will be available as soon as Monday.
The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank underscores the need for stricter regulatory frameworks and tighter risk management practices in the financial industry. The failures also highlight the importance of diversification and risk mitigation strategies for banks and their clients. As the financial industry continues to evolve, it is essential that institutions keep pace with the changes and adapt their practices to ensure their stability and resilience in the face of future challenges.
_______________________
📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍
We thank you for your support !
CryptoCheck
Binance introduces USDC/USDT pair to help Circle CollapseAfter Luna`s stablecoin collapse, UST:
Now Binance, the biggest crypto exchange, recently introduced the USDC/USDT pair, and now it`s users are able to transform their USDC into Tether.
And let`s be honest, who wouldn`t to that amid this market uncertainty?!
On Saturday, the USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin experienced a drop in value below its dollar peg and reached a historical low.
However, it later recuperated most of the losses after Circle, the company in charge of it, provided reassurance to investors that they would uphold the peg despite their connection to the struggling Silicon Valley Bank.
Circle stated in a tweet on Friday that $3.3 billion of their $40 billion in USDC reserves are held in Silicon Valley Bank!!
I think CZ listed this USDC/USDT pair on purpose, to generate a bank run out of its rival Circle, while they don`t have access to the full USDC liquidity.
Watch out for those Top 5 investors in Circle as well:
1. Goldman Sachs: Goldman Sachs was one of the earliest investors in Circle, participating in a $50 million funding round for the company back in 2015. Since then, the investment bank has continued to support Circle, participating in subsequent funding rounds and helping to promote the adoption of Circle's products.
2. Digital Currency Group: Digital Currency Group is a venture capital firm focused on investing in companies in the cryptocurrency and blockchain space. The firm has invested in numerous companies in the industry, including Circle. Digital Currency Group participated in a $110 million funding round for Circle in 2018, and has continued to support the company since then.
3. Breyer Capital: Breyer Capital is a venture capital firm founded by Jim Breyer, a prominent investor in the technology industry. Breyer Capital has invested in a number of successful technology companies, including Facebook and Spotify. The firm participated in a $50 million funding round for Circle in 2015.
4. Accel: Accel is a global venture capital firm that has invested in numerous successful technology companies over the years, including Facebook, Dropbox, and Slack. Accel participated in a $60 million funding round for Circle in 2016.
5. Pantera Capital: Pantera Capital is a hedge fund focused on investing in cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. The firm has invested in numerous companies in the industry, including Circle. Pantera Capital participated in a $50 million funding round for Circle in 2015, and has continued to support the company since then.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
USDC De-peg could Crash DAI, USDD, & FraxI want to share my thoughts on the current situation with stablecoins, specifically USDC, DAI, and FRAX. It is my belief that if USDC were to collapse, DAI and FRAX would follow suit, causing a significant crash in the entire crypto market.
Recent developments support this concern. Binance has paused the automatic conversion of USDC to BUSD due to high inflows and the increasing burden of conversion support. Additionally, Circle has burned over $1.6 billion USDC in cash over the past few hours, resulting in a decrease in the total supply of USDC from 43.55 billion to 42.3 billion, down $1.2 billion in just a few hours. Up to 25% of all USDC is uninsured in the SiVB (Silicon Valley Bank) collapse, only $250,000 is guaranteed recoverable. FDIC assumed receivership of the banks $197 BN remaining assets. 50% of all start ups in the US are said to have some exposure to SiVB, either directly or indirectly. Circle group is facing potential bankruptcy if the run on USDC is not staved off....
Furthermore, only Tether is currently above a dollar, with only five of the 13 stablecoins trading at 99 cents USD. Even FRAX, which is backed by USDC, is currently trading at 0.92 USD.
The general concern for all stablecoins may prompt investors to move their funds into BTC/ETH, causing a significant shift in the market.
As always, it is important to stay informed and monitor the situation closely. Stay safe and make informed decisions.
WAVES appealing Risk Reward from $1.40its an Ethereum killer generation 1. So as risk concerns increase related to the ETH PoS merge coin unlock selling. Alt-Ethereum networks will regain interest.
Waves is well-known and has demonstrated strong pumpamentals in the past. Buy soon and remain patient, take profit whenever the pump happens.
Cardano stablecoins: USDA and DjedCardano stablecoins: USDA and Djed
Introduction
In recent years, stablecoins have come under increased scrutiny of regulators. The main concerns are the principles of operation of algorithmic stablecoins, the transparency of reserves, and the adequacy of the centralized stablecoins provision.
Incredibly often, the problems were discussed after the collapse of one of the most significant algorithmic stablecoins – TerraUSD (UST) that caused the fall of the entire cryptocurrency market. As a result, many stablecoins faced a temporary rate unpeg.
But the issue of reserves remains the main subject of discussion of their reliability. And the key concern here is that most of the reserves of centralized stablecoins are a complex mixture of stocks, secured loans, corporate bonds, precious metals, and other assets. And most typically, companies are criticized for the lack of proper audits to confirm reserves. In addition, these issuers need to be appropriately regulated, which increases the risks for investors.
Cardano is currently working on releasing two new stablecoins, which are tasked with solving critical issues inherent in most stablecoins.
The Cardano development team plans to release the first fully regulated stablecoin, USDA, backed by fiat and pegged to the US dollar in 2023. As well as an over-collateralized algorithmic stablecoin issued by the COTI platform called Djed.
The principle of operation of centralized and algorithmic stablecoins is different, and in this article, we will briefly describe the features of each of them.
USDA
On November 18, 2022, in Singapore, Emurgo announced the launch of a new stablecoin on the Cardano blockchain – USDA. This stablecoin will be fully regulated, backed by the US dollar, and pegged 1 to 1.
Emurgo is one of the co-founders of the Cardano project. Its mission is to develop and support businesses and help integrate businesses into the Cardano ecosystem.
One of the Cardano’s global goals is to provide access to banking products to every person in the world. The company has been successfully developing its products for a long time in the markets of Africa and Asia. People there have no access to banking services, and the country's national currency is depreciating too quickly to act as a store of value.
To achieve this goal, the Cardano developers are introducing a set of products called “Anzens”, designed to connect traditional financial services to cryptocurrency. USDA will be the first product to help bridge the gap between TradFi (traditional finance) and DeFi (decentralized finance).
“The Cardano ecosystem was built on the ethos of bringing real world applications to crypto and creating the foundation to build the economy of the future. The introduction of a fully fiat-backed, regulatory compliant stablecoin is the next step in realizing the future for our community. This stablecoin not only offers stability to investors conducting financial transactions on the blockchain but advances a path forward for the Cardano ecosystem to address a problem we are uniquely positioned to solve — banking the underbanked,” says EMURGO Fintech Managing Director Vineeth Bhuvanagiri.
Users can tokenize their USD to USDA via credit cards, wire transfers, direct deposits or payments, and native ADA token conversion. USDA is scheduled to launch in the first quarter of 2023 on the Anzens platform. It will be followed by implementing plans to provide a secure and convenient conversion of other stablecoins to USDA (for example, USDC and USDT), as well as cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and others.
To fully comply with regulatory requirements and ensure compliance with oversight rules, Emurgo has partnered up with an as-yet-unnamed regulated US financial services company to act as the banking partner responsible for issuing USDA tokens and holding deposits.
By relying on regulation and the provision of tangible assets, the USDA can guarantee reliable long-term price stability, ultimately opening more global financial services to the Cardano ecosystem.
Djed
Unlike fiat-backed stablecoins, algorithmic stablecoins are regulated by specific algorithms that manage the balance between supply and demand, thus ensuring exchange rate stability.
Djed is an algorithmic, overcollateralized stablecoin backed by the Cardano (ADA) token and SHEN.
Algorithmic stablecoins, backed by a single currency, have some vulnerabilities. To solve this problem, Djed has a reserve asset – the SHEN token.
The concept of “over-collateralization” means that the stablecoin is backed by excess collateral in the form of a cryptocurrency held in reserve. And, if ADA falls too quickly, the underlying smart contracts include a reserve SHEN token that will be used to balance price fluctuations, helping to ensure a 400% to 800% over collateral level.
This stablecoin has been developed for more than two years in partnership with the COTI platform and IOG (please see the document describing all the technological features and operation of the stablecoin)
COTI is a first-level blockchain payment network that provides a throughput of up to 100,000 transactions per second through the Proof-of-Trust consensus mechanism. COTI provides the infrastructure needed to create and issue stablecoins that are highly secure, scalable, and have low transaction fees.
Input Output Global is an engineering and technology company engaged in cryptocurrency development and research activities.
On January 31, 2023, after completing a series of audits and stress tests, the developers of the COTI blockchain platform, in collaboration with Input Output, announced that Djed had successfully launched on the Cardano mainnet.
During the Cardano Summit in November, COTI CEO Shahaf Bar-Geffen stated, “Recent market events have proven again that we need a safe haven from volatility, and Djed will serve as this safe haven in the Cardano network. Not only do we need a stablecoin, but we need one that is decentralized, and has on chain proof of reserves.”
Conclusion:
The primary mission of Cardano is to bring blockchain technologies into real life and provide access to them to anyone in the world. It is much work from a technological point of view, but the Cardano team is making good progress in this direction.
Providing economic identification is a crucial component in countries where people do not have an identity card or access to the banking sector. For example, in developing countries in Africa and Asia, digital services and decentralized identity will give people access to education, banking services, and the employment market. And Cardano is already addressing some of these issues by developing projects like Atala Scan, Atala Trace, and Atala Prism.
Cardano-powered stablecoins that share these values will help bring stability to the broader ecosystem and restore trust by acting as a trusted channel between TradFi and DeFi. It can bring cryptocurrencies closer to their original goals: provide access to digital financial for every person and ensure independence from centralized issuers.
Spot vs Ampl
Will be interesting to see how these two will attract towards same price over time.
Current target price is CPI $1.14 for both $ampl and $spot
#Stable Dominance , Dump will Continue, Here's Why!Once this pennant breaks below BTC is likely to hit $22.5k+.
Is it likely? I think Yes.
Lower support is around 4.14%
Once this level hits expect some correction in the market.
The charts show the possibility of the continuation of this uptrend.
Invalidation:- Break and close above 4.85%
Let me know what. you think.
Please hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section.
Stay safe
#PEACE
📈 Tether Dominance Weekly | July 2022 RepeatThe weekly candle is full bearish for USDT.D and we have some interesting data to analyze.
Tether Dominance is staying right above support in the form of a 0.618 Fib. retracement level.
The weekly candle closes in about 30 hours.
Looking back at July 2022, this exact same level was tested. As USDT.D broke below it, what followed were four red weekly candles (28 days) that ended up testing the 1 Fib. retracement.
We have the same scenario now.
The weekly session is about to close right above support, this happened last time but only to be followed by strong bearish action.
The RSI is in scuba diving mode and we have a volume breakout on the bearish side.
A bounce can happen at support, this is normal... But the signals are pointing lower, clear and strong.
The next targets are 6.45% and 5.65% which would mean a Bitcoin price of $23,000 to $25,000.
Namaste.
Exploring the Near-Term Risks for the Tether (USDT) PegTether isn't looking too hot right now. I haven't calibrated Cycles to work with stablecoins, but I'd assume that the seasonal current (purple) crossing the yearly current (fuchsia) is... problematic.
Maybe don't keep all your funds in $USDT.
The clustering of energy confirmations is also a very poor sign for $USDT. (Not enough historical data to say what comes after, though.)
#USDT Dominance looking strong#USDT Dominance looking strong
#USDT DOMINANCE
Keep an eye here as we are in a very bullish pattern atm. Just a reminder that this is very bearish for BTC is USDT dominance increases and even more so for ALT's.
That being said it does mean if there is not a decrease in overall market cap then money is remaining in Crypto so essentially there will be a sentiment of waiting to buy the dip and not complete exodus from the Crypto market.
So this usually means short term pain, long term gain when it pumps.
Key Factors:
- Bullish descending wedge
- Testing upper trendline line
- Can argue a cup and handle formation appearing
Tether Dominance Aims Down At 7.12% (10% Drop)Yesterday Tether Dominance (USDT.D) closed below EMA10 and today we have a full bearish candle.
The drop is about to speed up.
We see EMA50 as the next support line at 7.94%, but looking back this line is always pierced and MA200 has been the main support.
MA200 is sitting at 7.12%, this is where we think stands the first/main support.
As Tether Dominance goes down, Bitcoin goes up.
We can see at least 1 week bearish, 7 days, to start...
As this move develop, we can gain more data and figure out for how much longer this correction will go.
Namaste.
MarketCap of Cryptocurrencies except stable coins (TOTAL-USD)ℹ️ This is the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies, excluding major stable coins (USDT, USDC, BUSD, DAI, GUSD, PAX, SUSD, USDK, EURS).
🟢The chart indicates a possible bear trap.
However, to be confirmed, the index needs to break through the resistance shown in the blue region above to have an upward confirmation.
If that happens, the LS Volatility Index is expected to drop to zero, indicating an approximation to the 21 moving average.
🔴In a bad scenario, the marketcap can reach new lows, possibly reaching the next Fibonacci level.
In that case, the LS Volatility Index would rise to 100, indicating an even greater deviation from the 21 average.
Peg of Stable CoinsStablecoins are cryptocurrencies whose value is pegged, or tied, to that of another currency, commodity, or financial instrument.
Stablecoins aim to provide an alternative to the high volatility of the most popular cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC), which has made crypto investments less suitable for common transactions.
(Investopedia)
This graph shows the pegged value of the main stable coins.
Ideally, the value should be 1:1.
In this crash scenario, I will stay alert on these values.
Stable Coins: Amount of Assets Held by WhalesThis graph shows the ranking of stable coins, according to the Amount of Assets Held by Whales (some stable coins don't have this information here).
Since May 02, 2022, BUSD has surpassed USDC in this indicator.
USDT remains relatively stable, and DAI was below $2 billion.
The PEG of these stable coins can be seen in this other analysis:
🔥THIS PATTERN INDICATES THE BULL MARKET WITH 99% PROBABILITY!🔥 Hi friends! I think not a lot of experts told you about this pattern, so support this educational idea with your BOOST🚀 to make it more visible for many traders!
Today I explain you the VERY USEFUL method, which help you to identify the beginning of the bull market with the 99% probability. There is the point where you can open the biggest long trades and get the BIGGEST profit without much effort.
✅HOW TO IDENTIFY THE BULL MARKET BEGINNING WITH 99% PROBABILITY?
📊 The instrtuments that we need:
1. Tether (USDT) capitalization growth after the accumulation.
2. Bitcoin price with new Higher Highs (HH).
Look at the USDT cycles. As a rule, the growth of its capitalization coincides with the beginning of a STRONG growth of BTC.
The fall of Bitocoin and entire crypto market coincides with the consolidation of the USDT capitalization.
🚩 The simple formulas:
1. growth of USDT cap = growth of Bitcoin
2. consolidation of the USDT cap = Bitcoin fall
Additionally, I recommend you to wait until the BTC price make Higher highs (yellow line):
1. $4000 - 2019
2. $10200 - 2020
3. $24200 - 2022-2023(?)
As you can see, the most strongest growth beginning with the new HH on BTC chart.
So now you have TWO clear preconditions to open a long trade on BTC and any other crypto.
✅WHY IS THIS PATTERN SO SUCCESSFUL?
🔥 First of all , large players who have cash and do not have crypto want to quickly enter the market, but need a large number of stablecoins. The largest in terms of capitalization and the most liquid of all stablecoins is still Tether, so large players apply to this company and make an exchange from their cash to new printed USDT.
🔥 Secondly , a large number of beginners come to the market at the moments of growth, which also have a large amount of cash, but do not have crypto dollars.
These 2 cases force Tether to "print" more stablecoins.
🚩 The growth of Tether's capitalization stops at the very BTC ATH, when the demand for stablecoins falls. Despite the fact that the majority of altcoins will gain 300-400% for some time, there is no longer a need for new stablecoins. The bear market begins.
✅ HOW TO USE THIS PATTERN IN YOU TRADING STRATEGY?
LONG. With the update of Bicoin's local highs (now 24-25 thousand dollars) and the growth of Tether's capitalization, there is a chance to buy the crypto before the start of the "parabolic growth".
The further decision is up to you:
🔥 buy altcoins with a possible profit of up to 500-2000%, but with a higher risk
🔥 buy Bitcoin with a possible profit of 200-500%, but with less risk
🔥 or at least close your short trades :)
SHORT. The most dangerous signal for crypto is when the USDT cap not grow. You can use this "signal" with others to confirm your short ideas. For example, false breakout of the ATH at 69k back at 2021. After this, the price of BTC fall for -70-75%.
✅ Traders, Let me know if this idea was useful for you! Is it worth continuing to write such educational ideas? It is very important for me!
💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.