US30: Day 3, coiling underneath yesterday HODHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
Monday day 1 broke higher the previous HOW, failing the breakout, dumping down and closing as a first red red day.
Tuesday day 2, the market consolidated almost all the day at the current LOW placed by the Monday high low, performing a nice pump at the end of the day.
Today Wednesday day 3, the market is in consolidation above the yesterday closing price and previous HOD, a particular situation that often lead to an explosive move. However, indexes open at 9:30 NYT and CPI red news on calendar at 8:30am.
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
Both Asia and London session consolidated between the CP and HOD, nothing really happened yet.
THESIS :
As always, I do not predict any market direction, because predicting/guessing is just a 50:50 method. However, for a long thesis I would target the previous HOW considering the 3 days dump and pump scenario, but I wouldn't exclude a bigger short scenario back at least to the LOW or breakout traders of Thursday.
SETUP :
Long: consolidation at CP till news release or NYO 9:30am
Short: lower low in place, pump into CP for a dump, eventually also pump into previous HOD for a short setup.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
Staceyburketrading
GOLD: First red day!Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
The last Thursday and Friday we saw gold performing a good pump, failing the breakout on Monday, triggering short breakout traders in the market and closing out of balance and as a first red day. Remember that a market out of balance can stay out of balance and expanding itself indefinitely!
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
The market is still inside the previous high low range, although we have shorts in the market, no OTF have been triggered yet, but news will definitely change many things.
THESIS :
I have either a long and short thesis for gold today, depending on the setup we are gonna get:
1. Short thesis: FRD signal, if the market pumps up till Friday closing price or previous HOD, consolidating at that level, I will be looking for a short trade, potentially even back to the previous LOW.
2. Long thesis: noting that since Friday the market has been dumping and consolidating around the current LOW, I could be looking for a scalping long if price dumps into the yesterday closing price.
SETUP :
Short: pump into Friday CP or previous HOD
Long: dump into yesterday CP or yesterday LOD
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
GBPUSD: Coiling for a potential major moveHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
Since the beginning of the previous, the market dumped down for three days, failing a low of week level on Thursday, confirming the failed breakout during the day itself, triggering long traders breakout and closing the day out of balance.
Friday the market mostly consolidated, not big move happened and today, Monday and opening range of the week, I can see an interesting coiling above the Friday closing price.
We are on the backside of the movement, a long view could be a really lucrative opportunity.
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
In the day itself, the market did not move much, but it triggered the previous HOD, other time frames are in the market.
THESIS :
Accordingly with my backtest and experience, this market can setup for a long trade back to the previous HOW (money are there and short traders are still in profit).
However, in the scenario of a short setup, it could be a little scalp.
Major red news on calendar tomorrow, no big move expected today!
SETUP :
Dump and pump at least above previous HOD or CP (closing price)
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni