SBUX - Bearish Weekly RSII have been seeing this Descending RSI pattern that leads to a break upward followed by a down correction back to the descending trend line
This is showing again on this RSI for SBUX, I have used the dotted green line to show how I estimate the RSI movement to occur.
Last time this dump happened it dropped 75%. Assuming the same drop of 75% this leaves us with a bearish Weekly chart.
Starbucks
QUICK STARBUCKS WATCH THIS ONE REAL ESTATE PROBABLY Why are all the ema's in alignment for a bullish push, when long term rsi suggests down, and how much upside is there really, vs downside.
When it looks like a cookie jar, maybe even with honey.
Sugar?
coffee.
It's always one you forget about, but oh well.
Idk, what I'm saying, but also I'm sure it's because mcdonalds saw a big attack against it, and nobody even talks about starbucks.
Starbucks: Home stretch!We now see the Starbucks stock in the final stage of the magenta-colored wave (1). Primarily, we still grant this movement some room to the upside, but from a technical perspective, the high of September 12 could already have marked the top. This alternative scenario (35% likely) will come into play on a drop below the support at $90.18 and would see a dive into our magenta Target Zone (between $85.52 and $77.52).
Starbucks stock (NASDAQ:SBUX) Down in Monday's Premarket TradingStarbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX), the global coffee powerhouse, is navigating turbulent waters as its leadership changes hands amidst growing concerns about its mobile ordering system. The app, once hailed as a game-changer, is now being criticized as the company’s “Achilles heel,” posing significant challenges to both operations and customer satisfaction. With former Chipotle CEO Brian Niccol set to take the helm, the question looms: can Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) turn this liability into an asset?
The Mobile Ordering Dilemma
Mobile orders account for nearly a third of Starbucks’ sales, a figure that highlights the importance of the app to the company’s business model. However, the complexity of these orders, often laden with customizations like extra foam or flavored syrups, has led to operational bottlenecks. Baristas are finding themselves overwhelmed, with the added time required for these customizations leading to longer wait times and frustrated customers.
Former CEO Howard Schultz, who recently discussed the issue on the Acquired podcast, did not mince words, calling the mobile app Starbucks’ biggest Achilles heel. Schultz’s concerns are echoed by industry experts, including Robert Byrne, senior director of consumer research at Technomic. Byrne emphasized that the problem isn’t just theoretical; it’s a tangible issue felt in stores nationwide.
The Leadership Transition
As Brian Niccol prepares to take over as CEO, he inherits a company facing significant operational challenges. Niccol, known for his successful turnaround of Chipotle, has a reputation for steering companies through tough times. His appointment has been met with cautious optimism, with industry analysts praising his background in the food industry, particularly his experience leading companies through challenging economic conditions.
Greg Zakowicz, a senior eCommerce expert at Omnisend, noted that Niccol’s experience could be exactly what Starbucks needs. With consumers becoming more price-conscious, especially in non-essential categories like specialty coffee, Niccol’s ability to appeal to cost-sensitive customers could prove invaluable.
Legal Troubles on the Horizon
Adding to Starbucks’ woes is a fresh legal battle that threatens to further tarnish its reputation. The coffee giant is being sued for the third time by Balmuccino LLC, a Los Angeles-based company that claims Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) stole its concept for coffee-flavored lip balms. The lawsuit alleges that Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) used proprietary information shared during a 2018 meeting to develop and launch its “S’mores Frappuccino Sip Kit,” which included coffee-flavored lip glosses.
Balmuccino’s leaders, including a sister-in-law of TV doctor Mehmet Oz, argue that Starbucks did not compensate them for the idea, despite the company’s apparent success with the product. The case has been plagued by procedural issues, with previous versions of the lawsuit being dismissed on technical grounds. However, Balmuccino is pressing forward, seeking compensatory and punitive damages.
The Road Ahead
Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) finds itself at a critical juncture. The company’s ability to address the operational issues linked to its mobile app will be a significant test for Niccol’s leadership. At the same time, the ongoing legal battle with Balmuccino could have lasting implications, both financially and in terms of public perception.
As Starbucks charts its course under new leadership, the stakes have never been higher. Niccol’s success—or failure—will likely hinge on his ability to resolve these challenges while steering the company toward continued growth in an increasingly competitive market.
Technical Outlook
Starbucks stock (NASDAQ:SBUX) is down 0.34% in Monday's premarket trading, presenting a challenging start to the trading day. Despite showing a gap up pattern, the company's looming lawsuit over allegedly copying a coffee-flavored lipstick concept suggests a strong bearish reversal may be on the horizon. The daily price chart closed with a bearish harami candlestick pattern after Friday's after-hours trading, indicating a potential fill of the previous gap up.
Conclusion
The upcoming months will be crucial for Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX). With a new CEO taking the reins and ongoing legal disputes, the coffee giant must navigate these challenges carefully to maintain its position as a leader in the industry. All eyes will be on Niccol as he works to transform Starbucks’ Achilles heel into a strength, while also addressing the company’s legal and operational hurdles.
Starbucks Appoints New CEO: Brian Niccol Takes the Helm Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SBUX ), a global leader in coffee retail, has made a significant leadership change by appointing Brian Niccol, former CEO of Chipotle Mexican Grill, as its new Chairman and CEO. This decision, announced on September 9, 2024, has already sparked considerable investor interest, with Starbucks shares surging 24% on the news. However, while the market reacts positively, some caution may be warranted as the journey ahead could be challenging.
Leadership Change and Market Reaction
The appointment of Brian Niccol is a bold move by Starbucks, aiming to revitalize the company's growth strategy. Niccol is widely recognized for his transformative leadership at Chipotle, where he nearly doubled the company’s revenue and achieved an 800% increase in its stock value during his tenure. His success in driving digital transformation, menu innovation, and expanding brand benefits positions him as a promising leader for Starbucks at a crucial time.
Niccol is set to succeed Laxman Narasimhan, who is stepping down after a brief 17-month tenure. During his time as CEO, Narasimhan focused on enhancing partner experience and store operations, but the company faced several challenges, including declining sales, rising competition in China, and changing consumer spending patterns due to economic pressures.
What This Means for Starbucks
The appointment of Niccol signals Starbucks' commitment to reinvigorating its growth and adapting to the evolving market landscape. His track record at Chipotle suggests that Niccol could introduce significant changes to Starbucks' operational and digital strategies. However, investors should be mindful that such transformations take time to materialize and that the initial market exuberance may be premature.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
From a technical perspective, Starbucks’ stock has confirmed a double bottom pattern, a bullish indicator that suggests a potential reversal from its recent downtrend. The stock surged above its 200-day moving average with a trading volume of over 150 million shares, the highest since June 2000. This level of activity indicates strong interest from institutional investors, which could bode well for the stock’s future performance.
The daily price chart shows a gap up, a strong bullish reversal pattern where a stock's opening price exceeds the previous day's closing price. Conversely, a gap down occurs when the opening price is lower. A gap up indicates bullish sentiment and strong buying interest.
However, the stock’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently above the 70 threshold, indicating overbought conditions. This could lead to short-term profit-taking, so investors should monitor key support and resistance levels closely.
- Support Levels: Starbucks shares may find support around $86, a level that aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels. If the stock pulls back further, it could test the $83 level, where the double bottom’s neckline is located.
- Resistance Levels: On the upside, the stock could face resistance near $98, with a more bullish move potentially targeting the $107.50 area, where a trendline connects multiple peaks from the past year.
Conclusion: A Cautious Optimism
While the market has responded enthusiastically to Niccol’s appointment, it’s essential to approach this transition with cautious optimism. Niccol's proven leadership could drive significant growth for Starbucks, but the challenges he inherits from his predecessor will require time and strategic execution to overcome. Investors should keep a close eye on how these developments unfold and consider their risk tolerance before making any decisions. The potential is there, but as always in the stock market, nothing is guaranteed.
Starbucks: Brewing Long-Term Success Amid Short-Term ChallengesTrading at 23.4% below our estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 9.78% per year
Earnings have grown 10.8% per year over the past 5 years
Pays a reliable dividend of 3.04%
Starbucks Corporation's recent earnings report might have raised some concerns, but there are several reasons to remain optimistic about SBUX stock.
Despite a challenging quarter, Starbucks is strategically investing in digital innovation and expanding its global footprint, positioning itself for long-term gains.
The company's focus on sustainability and enhancing customer experience highlights its commitment to quality. Moreover, Starbucks' diverse product offerings and loyalty programs provide a solid foundation for future growth.
With strategic cost-cutting measures and a strong financial position, Starbucks is poised to rebound and deliver value to its investors.
SBUX Starbucks Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought SBUX before the previous rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SBUX Starbucks Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 77usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-2,
for a premium of approximately $1.97.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Starbucks partners with Grubhub to expand delivery servicesStarbucks Corp., a global coffee shop giant, has embarked on a new delivery service through a partnership with Grubhub. This strategic move aims to broaden Starbucks' customer base, potentially boosting sales despite the high delivery costs.
The timing of this collaboration is strategic, as Starbucks faces challenges in increasing store traffic and sales, particularly in shopping centres and high streets where many of its coffee shops are situated. This challenge is compounded by reduced consumer spending in certain segments due to inflation. However, Starbucks could see an uplift in service appeal since Grubhub+ subscribers will enjoy the benefit of no delivery fees on their coffee orders. The impact of this delivery integration on Starbucks' overall profitability is currently under evaluation.
Let's analyse the stock chart of Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ: SBUX) for potential trading opportunities:
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, Starbucks' stock has identified a resistance level at 81.45 USD and support at 76.85 USD. The stock has been in an uptrend since early May 2024. Should a downtrend emerge, the price could drop to 73.00 USD.
If the uptrend persists and the stock breaches the resistance at 81.45 USD, there could be a buying opportunity with a short-term target of 90.00 USD. In the medium term, if the upward momentum continues, the stock price might rise to 98.00 USD.
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Starbucks: Wide Awake?Starbucks has recently completed its dark green wave in our Target Zone (between $86.38 and $68.39) and should now be wide awake and ready for renewed rises above $89.73. The price has already worked its way upward step by step. However, we consider it 37% likely that SBUX will breach the bottom of our Zone to head for another corrective low.
Fill The Gap Into $SBUX Short Setup, RR of 1:4Understanding My Investment and Trading Strategy
I focus my charting on three key elements:
1. Price Action via Engulfing Patterns: I look for larger bullish or bearish candlesticks.
2. Price Gaps After Earnings Announcements or News Catalysts: These gaps can indicate significant price movements.
3. Volume Spikes: These confirm increased buying or selling pressure.
These elements help me identify demand and supply zones (support and resistance).
Trade Example
Long Trade:
Entry: $73.06 from the first demand zone (starting May 1st for 5 days).
Stop Loss: A close below $68.
Target: $85.
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2.4.
My Trade Idea
Short Trade:
Entry: $87 when the gap is filled.
Stop Loss: $90, due to significant selling pressure from the recent earnings report.
First Take Profit: $75, with a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:4, just before the $73.06 demand zone (which is likely to fail if tested again).
Second Take Profit: $61, anticipating that $60 might be a psychological barrier for investors with buy limits, and it's close to the demand zone at $57.23.
For Long-Term Investors Interested in Starbucks
Price Target for Buying: $57.23, which corresponds to a Price/Earnings (PE) Ratio of 16.
Dividend Yield Target: $56.25, offering a 4% dividend yield. Considering a 5-year dividend growth rate of 9.24%, this results in a 13.24% Rate of Return (RoR).
Not So Little Brother ? NYSE:BROS +3.85%on 05/06/24 is a powerful contender for Starbucks customers. Living in southern California, I've started seeing DutchBros popping up around town (are they any good?). One thing for sure they've gotten right is their amplified focus on delivering the best customer experience. One thing that the NASDAQ:SBUX Starbucks former CEO Howard Schultz asked his former company to refocus on. It's so good that Tiktokers started making videos poking fun at the friendly nature of the Dutchbros employees.
With all of that being said, it's working for them and very well. They've opened 159 new shops in 2023, and according to Placer.AI, "While the growth of Starbucks' foot traffic has been shrinking since last year, Dutch Bros' growth in traffic has been accelerating." also, Earnest Analytics reports, Dutch Bros. accounted for 6% of U.S. consumer spending on coffee and other premium drinks. Up from 4% at the end of 2020. Last year's revenue was up about 31%
This is my Strategy:
Using Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci Retracement, we see increased trade volume and volatility as the price rises above the SMA and towards the upper band. The price is currently $28.34. We can expect it to reach a price target of $31.16 (test strategy here) before retracement or reversal, as the shares may be near overbought status.
This will give us a $2.82 profit per share. If sold
Enter at price targets: $27.33 (low) and $29.92 (max)
Hold for the price to cross $32.90 for uptrend confirmation.
(FYI, analyst target maintains $33.00/share)
It is one of my favorite stocks, and I'll watch its performance closely this year.
Starbucks: Deeper! 🐳
Starbucks recently moved lower into our Target Zone (between $86.38 and $68.39), where we anticipate the low for wave (B) in dark green. In the short term, the only thing missing here should be the completion of the subordinate wave (c) in magenta. So, we still grant the stock the space to head closer to the 100.00% Fibonacci. However, it is also 35% likely that our Zone will be undercut. In this case, we would anticipate the low of the alternative wave alt. (B) a little lower in the chart. In any case, as soon as the $89.73 mark is crossed, that will be an important confirmation for a successful bottom formation.
Something Brewing?
NASDAQ:SBUX Has had a tough week (dropping -17.7%), topped with a demand from the former CEO Howard Schultz to shift focus from the current data-driven business model to a customer-centric business.
With the above being said, I believe the coffee giant will recover amid rising competition from Dtchbros $NYSE: BROS and Dunkin Donuts $FINRA: DNKN_SHORT_VOLUME.
This is my strategy:
Using Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci Retracement, we see a large trade volume and volatility increase as the price drops below the SMA and lower band. The price is currently $73.11. We can expect it to reach a price target of $84.68 (test strategy here) before retracement or reversal, as the shares may be near overbought status.
This will give us a nice $11.50 profit per share.
Enter at price targets: $70.31 and $72.92
Hold for the price to cross $87.46 for uptrend confirmation.
Starbucks Joins Forces with Podback for Coffee Pod RecyclingIn a significant stride towards environmental sustainability, Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) has announced a groundbreaking partnership with Podback, a leading coffee pod recycling initiative in the UK. This innovative collaboration aims to revolutionize the way coffee lovers dispose of their used pods, making recycling effortless and accessible to all.
With coffee pod usage on the rise, environmental concerns regarding their disposal have been escalating. Recognizing this pressing issue, Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) has taken proactive steps to address it. Through this partnership, Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) At Home customers can now easily recycle their used coffee pods by simply picking up free Podback recycling bags at any of Starbucks' 1,250 coffee shops across the UK.
Once filled with used pods, these bags can be conveniently dropped off at any of the 6,500 Yodel drop-off locations nationwide. Additionally, Podback offers kerbside collection services for 1.5 million households in 21 UK local authorities, further enhancing accessibility to recycling facilities.
This initiative sheds light on Starbucks' commitment to sustainability. Jacqui Wetherly, Sustainability Director at Starbucks UK, emphasizes, "We are committed to our continued journey of reducing the environmental impact of all of our coffee products, from the beans to the milks we use and the way it is served." By partnering with Podback, Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) is not only making recycling more convenient for its customers but also significantly reducing its environmental footprint.
Rick Hindley, Executive Director at Podback, lauds the collaboration, stating, "Partnering with one of the world’s best-known coffee brands is a sign of the considerable progress that Podback has made towards establishing a convenient and simple way for people to recycle used pods." This partnership exemplifies the collective effort of both Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) and Podback in promoting sustainability and responsible consumption.
Furthermore, all coffee pods collected by Podback are recycled within the UK, contributing to the circular economy. Aluminum pods are repurposed into beverage cans, while plastic pods are transformed into various products, including supermarket crates and building materials. Even the leftover coffee grounds undergo anaerobic digestion, generating biogas and serving as a soil improver, completing the recycling loop.
This collaboration between Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) and Podback marks a significant milestone in the journey towards a greener future. By providing a seamless recycling solution for coffee pod users, they are not only mitigating environmental impact but also inspiring other companies to adopt similar initiatives. As consumers become increasingly conscious of their environmental footprint, partnerships like these play a crucial role in fostering a more sustainable society.
Technical Outlook
Despite the collaboration with Podback, NASDAQ:SBUX stock is down 2% trading below the 200, 100, and 50-day Moving Averages (MA). NASDAQ:SBUX trades in the oversold region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 16.99
SBUX Starbucks Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on SBUX:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SBUX Starbucks Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 90usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Starbucks: Ready for the descent? 🧗🏽♀️The Starbucks share price has fallen again in recent weeks and has now approached the important support level of $89.28. Primarily, we expect the turquoise-colored wave B to continue its corrective rise before starting its final descent to the green target zone between $86.38 and $68.39. Alternatively, however, it could already be working on this descent should it slide directly below support (40% likely).
Fast Food and Dining Stocks: Macro Fib SchematicsThese Fast Food Giants consist of McDonalds, Starbucks, YUM! Brands, Restaurant Brands Inc, Chipotle, Wendys, Darden Restaurants, Brinker International...
All Fibonacci Clusters are placed correctly. The 1 Month timeframe makes these charts realistic.
SBUX Starbucks Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on SBUX:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SBUX Starbucks Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 96usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-2,
for a premium of approximately $1.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
The Big 4 Earnings Yesterday - THE RESULTThe Big 4 Earnings today - THE RESULT
✅Google
✅Microsoft
❌Starbucks
✅AMD
See the chart for reported vs estimated and how the price finished up today
▫️ NASDAQ:MSFT a clear leader
▫️ NASDAQ:SBUX missed expectations on both fronts
▫️ NASDAQ:GOOGL & NASDAQ:AMD try to hold ATH
Starbucks to 98 Plus After Earnings !!Financial Performance: In 2023, Starbucks’s revenue was $35.98 billion, an increase of 11.55% compared to the previous year’s $32.25 billion. Earnings were $4.12 billion, an increase of 25.69%2.
Analyst Forecast: According to 21 analysts, the average rating for SBUX stock is “Buy.” The 12-month stock price forecast is $114.35, which is an increase of 23.22% from the latest price2.
Dividend Yield: Starbucks has a dividend yield of 2.4569%1, which could be attractive to income-focused investors.
Growth Estimates: The growth estimate for the next 5 years (per annum) is 16.63%3
TP 98
Why Starbucks is a great investment opportunityStarbucks, the renowned coffeehouse chain, has become a household name for many people across the globe. With over 30,000 stores in more than 80 countries, Starbucks has established itself as one of the leading players in the restaurant industry. Its strong financial performance and impressive growth potential have made it a hot pick for investors looking to invest in this sector. In this section, I will analyse Starbucks’ weekly timeframe by wearing the supply and demand imbalances glasses. As supply and demand traders, we do not need to understand the company’s forecasts and financial performance to analyze its growth potential. We only need to know where the imbalances in price are on a price chart.
The stock is currently trading at $96 per share. It’s very close to a strong demand imbalance sitting at $94.19. We expect the stock to rally to $104 and much higher.
STARBUCKS It isn't time for coffee yet..The Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) has been declining aggressively since early May 2023 as fundamentals failed to keep the mid-2022 rally going. Now there are heavy technicals for the stock to consider as last month (chart on the right) it closed the 1M candle below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 11 months. On the weekly (chart on the left), it is already below both the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The long term pattern since the March 2020 COVID crash is a Triangle and the current Support is its Higher Lows trend-line. The 1W RSI also has a Higher Lows trend-line to consider, so we will wait for a test and clear rebound on the former. On the 1M time-frame, it's the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) that was touched during the previous two Higher Lows and provided a strong rebound and bullish reversal as it rose and left a big candle wick behind, emphatically indicating the presence of long-term investors. Similarly the 1M RSI has a Support Zone to consider. We think it is possible for both the 1W and 1M RSI to touch its respective Support levels sideways as the price's drop decelerates near the Higher Lows.
In conclusion our Buy Zone is within the Higher Lows trend-line and the 1M MA100. The target will be the Lower Highs trend-line at $105.00.
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