DISNEY, WILL WE SEE A THANOS SNAP ERASING 50% OF ALL GAINS?I have a lot to talk about with Disney.
1. Why is this company special?
I would likely say, high ticket marketing, collectables/toys, and Disney+. Out of those, I would say toys and collectables.. whatever. High ticket marketing for rich people at parks are always a money maker, minus a coming shutdown or another big virus.
2. More into Disney+, SPECIFICALLY MARVEL, I hear they are running out of content ideas.
The big money maker is 100% without a doubt not star wars, but marvel. I refuse to believe that any rumor of "running out of ideas" is true. First of all, I feel like I can think of hundreds.
If they are truly running out of content for Disney+ and want a cheap fix, they literally already created the perfect scenario to really pump out content. Basically, one of the best things you'll ever see in Cinema is the End Game battle. They created a moment where everyone suddenly appeared (Some 100+ characters) and started to battle against a bunch of other characters. Well, first of all, this scene can carry Disney for another 10 years if they wanted it to. In other words, there was a lot of things that happened off screen between the hulk snapping people back, and the teleportation into the battle. That is easy to create content, from the moment a character "wakes up" and gets pulled into a massive battle. Each character could get a 45 minute episode from their point of view waking up and walking through the teleport, and then make it a two-parter where we see their point of view in the battle. Want to save money, Make it first person film style. That way you really only need the characters voice, and whoever the story has them around before getting teleported into the battle. Creating the battle may be a little more difficult but in the end, most of the work should be done and now you're viewing a single characters viewpoint from the entire fight. That could create literally so much content to keep fans engaged rather than waste a ton of money on a lot of "meh" shows. I also wonder if this counts as them using a character and retaining the copy right. IT would be quite easy to keep up with every character and not have to dump them into the most random spots in random movies and shows.
Second part to how can Disney use Marvel to make more money. Well, it relates to the idea above, and involves VR. I'm willing to bet fans would pay crazy money for a game that allows them to battle along side their favorite avengers in the actual move scene. It would be more like a Disney ride in that the VR would be scripted to a degree (like moving down a track), but ultimately, they could use a lot of technology with videogames that makes the battle unique to the player jumping in. Here's the kicker, if you allow the "players" or viewer to buy custom "superhero" gear to wear during the battle, you get those sweet sweet microtransactions.
Even more so, I'm sure with AI or something, I bet you could literally rewrite each script and make it multiversal, unique to each player all the way though, allowing other players to play within their universe or one of their own. I'd imagine it's possible to have the scenarios lead to ultimately the same situations no matter the actions of the player, but the individual gameplay with vary and have different outcomes (similar to the Walking dead game, but hopefully way better and more realistic with real time choices).
Again, I refuse to believe the cash cow that is Marvel is tapped out of ideas.
Disney+, WHAT ELSE?
Cinematic Universe (Marvel, Star Wars, Mighty Ducks, Pixar, and so many more)
Why is a cinematic universe great. Well, it allows for usage of the popular titles, with crossover and guest spots. Marvel with the Multiverse almost allows for free creation. It allows them to kill off expensive characters and still potentially bring them back when their contract demands are less. It allow for the creation of so many different stories within the main story.
It allows people to feel nostalgia while also seeing new and engaging content. If you don't see where I'm going with everything I've said so far, THEY ARE CREATING A DIGITAL VERSION OF THEIR THEME PARKS. Which leads to the metaverse.
The Metaverse
Con, the headsets are big, bulky and expensive.
Well, what if a company like Disney, that has literally so much money, was able to design slim VR goggles that are basically sunglasses.
They could theoretically get the cost down cheap enough that they could eat a short term loss and give them out to the "people" nearly free and then make a huge amount of money from data and microtransactions/content in the long term.
Subscriptions are going to be a big model in the future, a lot of companies seem to be going this route for this reason.
There are only so many viewing hours per person, and each company will want them to use their online services. Similar to how google is the search engine and has created youtube to be the How To website. In other words, you use google to search, you stay on google to watch and google makes a lot of ad money and facebook doesn't because you were on google the whole time.
Theme Parks
Cool but expensive, imo Disney should sell the parks and keep the land. Tap into the Digital theme park world and go all in. Let a smaller company worry about the theme parks.
Gambling
Espn, sports, Disney, streaming. Going back to VR, imagine if Disney used ESPN to setup cameras all over the stadiums allowing VR users to pay for VR seats and watch a live game as if they were there. I really think Disney should go all in on the VR at home Cinematic universe experience rather than waste time on much else. But that is my opinion, all of this is my opinion so please note that. I think gambling could be quite big. Especially with Crypto. Disney is a big enough company to back the value of a token for their platforms. They takes cash, you get token, they spend cash, you spend token, you cash token in for cash, they likely used your cash for something but give you other cash. Ya know, banks or something like that..
TECHNICALS
Okay, so what about the chart.
well, to keep this quick because I tried to make the chart as simple as possible.
Trend A breaks to Trend B which breaks to Trend C, which is crazy strong. Both B and C are, which means, B will likely be the midterm trend that it could hit and slip under allowing a buy on a bounce to the upside.
If C breaks, it likely is a covid like crash scenario, and the price target of 29 springs the price quite high. So if that were to occur, I'd probably consider buying into the fear.
I included 29 and 200+ as the high potential and low potential targets in the long term. Personally, I like the rejection coming pretty soon around 111 which could retrace down to 83ish. Before seeing another move to the upside. However it's so hard to tell what it will do at time being. No earnings until MAY, meaning a covid like crash and recovery once people hear earnings in May fits the timeline fairly well. All stocks are showing a top, you have Bezos selling Amazon shares, you have multiple massive sport franchises being sold, huge companies being bought by even bigger companies.. The drop is coming, the big big big return bounce is coming and that can lead to a depression without question. Which then leads to crypto being king for awhile.
Alright, if you made it through that, congrats, and THANK YOU for following along, whether you agree or not.
Good luck!!
Starwars
May the Fourth Be With You - And your Stop losses!Star Wars has been around since 1977 which was written and directed by George Lucas.
During that time, there have been phenomenal quotes, lessons and adventures that have been shared.
Instead of telling you different lessons Star Wars can teach you about trading.
How about I share some quotes and how you can apply them?
Here are the ones I find are the most applicable.
#1: "I find your lack of faith disturbing."
Use this as a reminder to stay confident in your trades, even when the market is unpredictable. Have faith in your strategy. Have faith in your commitment. Have faith in your strong mindset.
#2: "Your focus determines your reality."
Stay focused on your trading goals and strategy. It’s not about what others see. It’s not about what others feel. It’s about you in your own work station, planning, preparing and executing accordingly.
#3: "Do or do not, there is no try."
Commit fully to your trades, rather than hesitating or second-guessing. When it’s lined up, ACTION.
When you see a trade setups, write them down and prepare for execution. Don’t try… DO!
#4: "Fear is the path to the dark side."
Stay level-headed and not let fear or panic drive your trading decisions. Fear doesn’t exist. Only danger does. We are fearful most times in our head when there is no apparent danger. Remember this when you feel fear.
#5: "In my experience, there's no such thing as luck."
Successful trading is based on skill, probabilities and strategy, not luck.
#"6: The Force will be with you, always."
Here’s a reminder that your skills and strategy will guide you through both good and bad trading times. In this case the force is your proven strategy, your will, your commitment and your strong mind.
#7: "You must unlearn what you have learned."
Be open-minded and flexible when it comes to adapting your trading strategy. We learn as sheeple to buy low sell high. While I have gone against the idea and instead BUY HIGH, SELL HIGHER.
Also, when everyone buys, is normally where the Smart Money offloads theirs. And when retail dumb money sells, that’s where Smart money BUYS.
Did you find these useful?
Which one resonated the most with you?
The Meridian trench approach - something completely different!So, in a galaxy far, far away.
Luke Skywalker is in his X-wing and he is approaching the Death Star. Lots of X-wings, A-wings, Y-wings, TIE fighters and TIE interceptors swerving around. The fight is on for some time now. He has to get to the Meridian trench. The Meridian trench is the only approach to the thermal exhaust port - if weaponry was fired into it, the exhaust port would cause the Death Star to under go a critical chain reaction. Luke Skywalker is in the Meridian trench as we speak, and three TIE interceptors follow him closely. One of these TIEs is flown by Darth Vader himself. Luke's shields are down, he transferred all of the X-wings energy into the engines, the laser guns are not working, R2D2 is beeping out something completely crazy, and he has only two proton torpedoes left for the thermal exhaust port.
So, back to the real crypto world, this bull run looks a lot like getting down to the Meridian trench. The ride is not easy. many bumps on the road. After some time, all technical analysis is just nonsense. Yes, many divergences on the road, many unfilled CME gaps, but at this point, down in the Meridian trench, all TA looks like a bunch of nonsense. It is also what experienced traders say - last third of the bull run is just non predictable.
The question is, are you Luke Skywalker?
Are you sitting out until the end of the Meridian trench, or you bailed out with the arrival of the first TIEs?
Maybe you skipped to the Dark side, and already placed some short orders on our beloved BTC!
I bailed out on 17,600, it was a nice ride, made some money, my rational brain told me it was a good place to put the stop loss. Now I feel, hmmm, normal again? I will sleep well again. It was a new experience for me also. A bit stressful I have to say. In the end, does a couple of hundreds or thousands more or less really count? Maybe what it counts is staying with it till the end. Making sure the torpedoes are in the thermal shaft. Maybe thats what this experience is about.
Im interested, are you still in, you bailed out? At what price? Where do you think it is going now?
If you are still reading up to this point, thank you for the attention.
To any Luke Skywalker out there, may the Force be with you!
"You must maneuver straight in down this shaft, level off in the trench, and skim the surface to this point. The target is only two meters across. It will take a precise hit at exactly ninety degrees to reach the reactor systematization. And only a direct hit will start the complete reaction."
―Rebel Alliance General Jan Dodonna
Disney Under 100 - Corona Virus Won't Kill Star Wars Disney PlusThe parks are closed and ESPN is running Rudy over and over again as most Major League sports are on hiatus .
People instead of looking for a pure cruise play rebound Like $RCL should probably gobble up the opportunity to own $DIS sub 100.
Disney has a more diversified business and assets here is a list .
#DisneyPlus and Marvel assets alone make $DIS very compelling here.
In short the Corona Virus wont kill Star Wars
en.wikipedia.org
Breakdown: Walt $DIS Company. +$150 EOY target based! $DISOne of the best holdings for 2019: Walt Disney Company
Disney this year:
- Disney+ announcement, which caused an 33% gain on the stock.
- Avengers Endgame who broke the box-office record, most $ gained from 1 movie all-time. Most $ in 2 weeks also. 2billion in 2weeks.
- Aladin movie coming out.
- Disney+ launch is set to Novembre, so Netflix is not going to have Disney/Marvel movies from then. Disney+ will get a $7/month for unlimited Disney movies and series. Also it will launch every year new movies and series from then on.
- Another Starwars-movie is ready to go on screen in Decembre. Also a big box-office gainer and merchandise $ gainer.
- Disney also stacked up their Hulu-stocks. Owns Hulu now fully 100%. Netflix competitor for the non-Disney movies.
- More news.
I think Q2 earnings will give a big boost to the stock, because of the movies who are pushing a lot of money in Disney. Avengers only 2billion box office, Aladin also set to be a big gainer. \u2028
Fundamental target EOY 2019: +150/share.
The dreaded Tie Fighter pattern: BBand Harbinger of DoomSpotted the first bearish Tie Fighter pattern on the 30m Bollinger prior to the real bloodbath commencing. I am devastated to see its return so soon, and when we need a bounce so badly. Can the market defeat this returning enemy or are we rekt yet again?
Bitcoin Wave IV: The Wrath of Space BearsWhile the bears have their wrath on Bitcoin lets have a detailed look at the wave 4 to see how exactly they did it. Wave 4 consists mostly of nested complex corrections WXY (basically all possible abc count is substituted with wxy, because abc count is based on 5 waves (which are non existent, making abc invalid) and wxy count is based on 3 waves, making it suitable for any correction. Both the abc count and the alt wxy count are provided in different colors side by side. Of course, counting waves is very subjective and is a matter of preference. Please, see my previous post on differences between abc and wxy. Shift click + drag on chart scales to enlarge.
The Star Destroyer sequence is of much interest on this particular chart. You would think that when the trend is invalidated after first 3 waves (wave 4 goes past the end of wave 1) the price will go down, but that's not necessarily the case. Instead, we've moved up to 10500 in an abc correction of a larger degree wave. That's something to remember.
_____________________________________________
There are rumors that some rebel space bears, some Ewoks, were dispatched for this important mission by Star Fleet Command, led by no one other than Chewie the Chewbacca himself. Yes, some fearsome brutal ruthless EWoks, those nasty cunning little creatures. They say, a shark bite is less painful than a bear hug by one of those. EWoks are known to be very territorial and aggressive especially when disturbed during winter. Those pesky little bears will attack their enemies in swarms and rip them apart with their tiny-tiny shiny claws until nothing remains. They're like little forest piranhas. And they love honey, they really do. They use primitive weapons and tools but still are very effective. They appear out of nowhere, take their enemies by surprise and viciously attack in hoards of large numbers leaving a path of destruction behind. And they've got an eye of a tiger dancing through the fire. That kind of pesky beasts they are. They're precise. They're unstoppable. They're deep forest legends! Their wrath is like Gods' wrath. I'm talking Big Flood. The bull stormtroopers of the Empire are no match for them but rather, some bull cannon fodder in walking AT-ST metal cans.
But, enough about the EWoks, you may ask: Why, is Chewie even a bear? Well, he growls like one, he smells like one and he's damn furry like a bear. And as you know, if something quacks like a duck, it probably is one. Maybe a distant bipedal relative. Could be. Sounds good enough for me. Now look at the damage they've done: Destroyed the Shield Generator and Communications Array in the forest of Endor, Blew up the Death Star, and smashed a Star Destroyer to pieces. The Galactic Trade Federation is estimating a 60% damage to the Empire after this crippling blow! They say, while Chewie has led the attack, he has not slept and eaten for three days! Not a single Porg! He did not have sex for three days! He did not even play any high stakes games! You know, being a hero is never easy. The history books will say that Chewbacca in the Millennium Falcon battled the Empire's forces and lead the attack on the battle station. And finally succeeded in restoring balance to the Force.
The rebel bears still suffered severe losses through the Death Star's superlaser, when the Empire launched a surprise wave 5 attack formation. But the bears quickly deflected, regrouped, and blew a massive Star Destroyer out of the sky. Dismantling the Empire one Destroyer at a time. Seems that with its leaders dead, the Empire began its long decline, with multiple bull warlords fighting for power. This courageous attack may mark the beginning of the end for the Empire. Makes you wonder, will the Empire ever recover after this deadly Ewoks' blow, build a new army, gather the forces of evil and go to distant moons to strike back and kill some rebel bear scum once again. Some say that this only may happen once in a Galaxy Far Far Away...
Bitcoins biggest correction to date? or a platform to 20k?Sorry about the deleted TA from earlier
as i published last one it blew thru a hole lol
So again the bulls and bears fight over which way Bitcoin is headed, we can see a clear bounce from a major support level around high 12000's
most probably see a retest of this, and if breaks down headed toward the lower area's of the Gann Fan
seems like the top of bounce peaked at 14500 if it moves up out of the lines will consider a more bullish stance, otherwise we on course for a HUGE correction, could be days, weeks, xmas will throw in extra mix this year with all new popularity and 24/7 markets
if it does break down use the gann fan levels for rebuy areas, if not hold onto your as 22k is on the Xmas cards list....
if bitcoin goes below 9200, it will be serious down trend and bring a lot of the market with it, could be a BCH play/switch too, im not ruling that out
and with that have a very festive and merry period wherever u are or pray too, peace n love innit mate! (personally this year is all about Star Wars)
Disney (DIS) already priced performance in. The 14.5% increase from the last earnings demonstrates that Disney has already priced in stellar performance. Holding over earnings may provide a small portfolio boost if you're lucky, but downside risks present kill make it just straight up gambling in my opinion.
Bearish MACD shows upward moment is getting exhausted.
Double Top On DisneyLooks like a double top in Disney. Fundamentals of the company are very solid, and with Star Wars release, I am not sure if this will play out. If not a double top, could be a good buying opportunity at the resistance. I will be buying some puts here and will consider going long on the stock itself if it holds support line and bounces back.
Skywalking to new highs w a close above 102.77Ignore the badly drawn cloud. I was bored :)
Premise:
I wanted to get into $GILD last week and it looks too exteneded today. So I found this $SWKS chart and it could make a similar move.
Breaking the trendline on a close above 99, making higher lows on the daily chart. Front running a breakout above of the March 23rd high at 102.77 MACD is trying to go higher. RSI trending higher. You don't need anything else to convince you a low risk long.
I bought a JULY 105 Call for $4.07 w 60 days til expiration (market maker was nice I put in a 4.20 limit offer)
Stop loss to get out with a close below 96.00 on the underlying price or a 30 day time stop which ever happens first.
Target is $106.72 on the underlying. It is the 1272 fib extension of the 3/23 swing high to 3/26 swing low.
Happy Monday.