Statistically Probable that Bitcoin Has Not ToppedBitcoin: No Statistical Evidence of a Top Yet 🚀
Based on the analysis using statistical extremes, there is no confirmation that Bitcoin has reached a market top at this time. This indicator is designed to identify historically extreme conditions, signaling when price action is statistically overextended.
🔍 Key Observation:
Unlike previous cycle tops, where extreme readings were clearly registered, the current market environment has not yet reached those levels. This suggests that Bitcoin may still have room to run before hitting an exhaustion point.
📊 What This Means for Traders & Investors:
✅ Momentum Still Intact – No statistical evidence of a peak.
✅ Potential for Further Upside – Historically, markets tend to top only after hitting extreme conditions.
✅ Caution & Confirmation Needed – While no extreme has been detected, market conditions can change, and risk management remains essential.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Historical probabilities do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
What do you think? Could Bitcoin be headed higher? Let’s discuss! 👇 🚀
Statisticalanalysis
Does a strong ADP number lead to a decent NFP print? Given the decent ADP report just delivered ahead of Friday's NFP figures, I'm curious to see whether the direction of ADP can be an indicator of what to expect on the headline Nonfarm growth figure. Armed with another spreadsheet, I take a look.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com