Get started

Statistics

Analyze financial data and develop financial modelsFinancial Toolbox™ provides functions for mathematical modeling and statistical analysis of financial data. You can optimize portfolios of financial instruments, optionally taking into account turnover and transaction costs. The toolbox enables you to estimate risk, analyze interest rate levels, price equity and interest rate derivatives, and measure investment performance. Time series analysis functions and an app let you perform transformations or regressions with missing data and convert between different trading calendars and day-count conventions.
TVC:USOILLong
by giacomo.gigliarelli
TRYRUB @ -17.30% one of (1482) best performer (4th Quarter) !Take care & analyzed it again - it`s always your decision ... (for a bigger picture zoom the chart) This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!! Next week i`ll confirm or change my opinion about this SetUp :) Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ... 1482 Cross-Rates (4th Quarter Statistics) @ drive.google.com 39 Currencies (4th Quarter Statistics) @ drive.google.com Best regards Aaron
by Devise2Day
EURGBN @ 0,00 % lowest performer (4th Quarter) of 1842 !Take care & analyzed it again - it`s always your decision ... (for a bigger picture zoom the chart) This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!! Next week i`ll confirm or change my opinion about this SetUp :) Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ... 1482 Cross-Rates (4th Quarter Statistics) @ drive.google.com 39 Currencies (4th Quarter Statistics) @ drive.google.com Best regards Aaron
by Devise2Day
Random Trader - enter randomly long or short This script implements a linear congruental generator and gives us a pesudo random number between 1 and zwro. This script provides the basis for statistical modeling of results versus random results which can be very useful for statistical studies or for testing backtested results. This script was useful in the development of LOLA which is trading silver with real money and real results. Please enjoy. This language lacks a random number function so here you have it. Peace. Tarzan
COMEX:SI1!
by tarzan
1
LONG GOLD - STRAT TRADE: 99.7% PROBABILITY OF REVERSALLong XAUUSD: 1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) XAUUSD has a cumulative probability of a =>7th day lower at 0.3%, hence there is a implied 99.7% chance of reversal on the daily. 2. Technically there is also some nice structure about the 1250 level. 3. Fundamentally I think risk is priced very cheaply here, although risk-off assets on the year are still heavily bid up some 20% even at these levels thus a pull back may be justified - nonetheless for this particular strat trade this is less relevant given the tactical nature Trading Strategy: 1. Sell XAUUSD at market in 1xlot, and add 2x on each daily close higher from here. Start in VERY small lots to reduce risk and ensure you can add on adverse moves lower (it could be several days). TP is the next/ First daily close higher. Any questions please ask - also see performance attached of recent trades using the same stats
FX:XAUUSDLong
by QuantumLogicTrading
4
LONG GOLD - STRAT TRADE: 99.7% PROBABILITY OF REVERSALLong XAUUSD: 1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) XAUUSD has a cumulative probability of a =>7th day lower at 0.3%, hence there is a implied 99.7% chance of reversal on the daily. 2. Technically there is also some nice structure about the 1250 level. 3. Fundamentally I think risk is priced very cheaply here, although risk-off assets on the year are still heavily bid up some 20% even at these levels thus a pull back may be justified - nonetheless for this particular strat trade this is less relevant given the tactical nature Trading Strategy: 1. Sell XAUUSD at market in 1xlot, and add 2x on each daily close higher from here. Start in VERY small lots to reduce risk and ensure you can add on adverse moves lower (it could be several days). TP is the next/ First daily close higher. Any questions please ask - also see performance attached of recent trades using the same stats
FX:XAUUSDLong
by QuantumLogicTrading
5
LONG EURAUD - STRAT TRADE: 99.13% PROBABILITY OF REVERSALLong EURAUD: 1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) EURAUD has a cumulative probability of a =>6th day lower at 0.87%, hence there is a implied 99.13% chance of reversal on the daily. Trading Strategy: 1. Buy EURAUD at market in 1xlot, and add 2x on each daily close lower from here. Start in VERY small lots to reduce risk and ensure you can add on adverse moves lower. TP is the next daily close higher. Any questions please ask - also see performance attached of recent trades using the same stats
Long
by QuantumLogicTrading
LONG EURNZD: STRAT TRADE - 99.49% PROBABILITY OF REVERSALLong EURNZD: 1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) EURNZD has a cumulative probability of a =>6th day lower at 0.5%, hence there is a implied 99.5% chance of reversal on the daily. 2. Also we see the Z-Score for, Monthly, 3m and 2wk all above 1SD. 3. Fundamentally I also like being long EUR given the ECBs new more neutral stance where monpol easing looks to be coming to an end. Trading Strategy: 1. Buy EURNZD at market in 1xlot, and add 2x on each daily close lower from here. Start in small lots to reduce risk and ensure you can add on adverse moves lower. TP is the next daily close higher.
Long
by QuantumLogicTrading
6
LONG GBPNZD - STRAT TRADE: 99.01% PROBABILITY OF REVERSALLong GBPNZD: 1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) GBPNZD has a cumulative probability of a =>6th day lower at 0.99%, hence there is a implied 99% chance of reversal on the daily. 2. Also we see the Z-Score for, Monthly, 3m and 2wk all above 1.5SD - with 1m heavily over sold at -2SD. 3. Fundamentally Sterling looks a little over-offered, with the reason for the aggressive move lower uncertain at best imo - whilst today we saw the kiwi/ GDT Price index trade much softer than recent months which is a positive to be short kiwi tactically. Trading Strategy: 1. Buy GBPNZD at market in 1xlot, and add 2x on each daily close lower from here. Start in small lots to reduce risk and ensure you can add on adverse moves lower. TP is the next daily close higher. Any questions please ask!
Long
by QuantumLogicTrading
1
LONG EURNZD: STRAT TRADE - 99.49% PROBABILITY OF REVERSAL *Long EURNZD: 1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) EURNZD has a cumulative probability of a =>6th day lower at 0.5%, hence there is a implied 99.5% chance of reversal on the daily. 2. Also we see the Z-Score for, Monthly, 3m and 2wk all above 1SD. 3. Fundamentally I also like being long EUR given the ECBs new more neutral stance where monpol easing looks to be coming to an end. 4. Technically there is also some nice structure about the 1.52 level, though not quite yearly lows (as in GBPNZD) but still a firm level which is more likely than not to attract some bids. Trading Strategy: 1. Buy EURNZD at market in 1xlot, and add 2x on each daily close lower from here. Start in small lots to reduce risk and ensure you can add on adverse moves lower. TP is the next daily close higher.
Long
by QuantumLogicTrading
2
LONG GOLD XAUUSD: RISK-OFF ASSETS TRADING CHEAP ON US STOCK DIPGold Positioning - Buy @ Market; 1350TP1 1370TP2 - 1 lot (small) and add double every daily close lower - 1lot, 2lots tomorrow, 4lots the next day: 1. Risk sentiment looks to be turning south, particularly in US equities which have seen monthly lows which is consistent with the broad equity valuation correction lower that i have been expecting for the past few weeks. - However the highly correlated safe haven assets look to be showing some divergence/ value by also trading lower. Given im a risk-sentiment bear, I back this view with short SPX and long Gold/ YEN. 2. Also Fed unlikely to hike means USD demand is likely to be parred which puts less pressure on gold, but either way, a hike increases risk-off and will drive gold/ haven demand so it is a win win situation. 3. Statistically gold is also a long after trading lower 5 days in a row which for the past 16yrs of data is a 1/100 chance of having a bullish day for the next day (today). Also on the weekly we are 1.3 deviations lower, with the monthly and quaterly at 0.9sd and 0.7sd lower. 4. Risk here looks to be to the 1300 pivot with topside at 1350, 1370 and 1400 - i personally feel we can see gold bid to 1370 on a SPX to 2000 backdrop, a fed hike would have my bets moving SPX well through 2000.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by QuantumLogicTrading
3