XLM Explodes +132% — Is the Party Over or Just Starting?XLM has been one of the top movers, sweeping the January 2025 swing high at $0.515 before stalling and moving sideways for the past 4 days.
Is XLM gearing up for another push toward the highs, or is a correction imminent?
Let’s dive into the details.
🧩 Market Structure & Fractal Pattern
XLM skyrocketed +132% in just 13 days, mirroring the explosive move seen back in November 2024.
If we apply the November fractal, the current price action suggests we could be setting up for an ABC corrective move.
📉 Key Levels & Confluences
FVG Zone: ~$0.49–$0.50 — likely to be swept before any major move down.
Monthly Support: $0.4142
Key Level / Liquidity Pool: $0.4056 — likely cluster of stop-losses.
Anchored VWAP (from $0.2228 start of trend): currently near $0.4056, adding strong confluence.
1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension (ABC projection): If price pushes to ~$0.49 to complete wave B, the projected 1.0 TBFE for wave C lands right on the $0.4056 key level + VWAP, creating a perfect confluence zone.
➡️ Conclusion: The $0.4142–$0.4056 zone is a critical support and liquidity area with multiple confluences lining up.
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup:
Entry zone: $0.48–$0.50 (ladder in)
Stop-loss: Above $0.5166 (prior high)
Take-profit: $0.4142–$0.4056 zone
R:R ≈ 1:3
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry zone: $0.4142–$0.4056 (preferably near VWAP)
Stop-loss: Below $0.395
Take-profit: $0.44
⚡ Final Thoughts
Watch for a potential final push toward $0.49–$0.50 before a corrective wave unfolds.
The confluence at the $0.4142–$0.4056 zone — including monthly/weekly levels, VWAP, liquidity pool, and the 1.0 TBFE target — makes it a key area for decision-making.
Stay patient and wait for confirmation at these levels. Will post an update as things unfold!
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STELLAR
XLM - Resistance/Consolidation of 8 Years- Finally after 8 years of consolidation and getting rejected by the resistance at the same level around 0.65, XLM is preparing to break out from the almost decade old resistance
- A clear breakout from this resistance will phenomenal
- The price surge after the breakout will be unlike anything you've ever seen.
- I'm planning to enter after a confirmed breakout, entry before the breakout will be risky in case if the price gets rejected again.
Entry Price: Candle closeAbove 0.65
Stop Loss: Below 0.41
TP1: 0.88574
TP2: 1.21012
TP3: 1.92545
TP4: 2.68849
TP5: 4.27772
Don't forget to keep stoploss
Cheers
GreenCrypto
XLMUSD Nearing Breakout After 3,000-Day Triangle FormationXLM has been consolidating inside a massive symmetrical triangle for over 3,000 days. This long-term pattern on the monthly chart dates back to 2017. The price is now approaching the upper resistance trendline of the triangle. A breakout from this structure could ignite a major bullish rally.
The current monthly candle shows strong momentum with over 100% gains. A confirmed breakout above resistance could mark the start of a macro uptrend. This triangle is one of the most significant technical setups in XLM’s history.
Target 1: $1.00
Target 2: $2.50
Target 3: $5.00
XLM Coiling at the Highs After Holding Support PerfectlyStellar broke out, then printed the cleanest support range you’ll find.
Wicks into demand, fast rejections, and now it’s compressing just under resistance.
If it breaks from here, there’s room to stretch.
But don’t forget — the longer it coils, the harder it snaps.
#XLM #StellarLumens #XLMUSD #SupportAndResistance #BreakoutSetup #CryptoCharts #TradingView #QuantTradingPro #BacktestEverything
Stellar (XLM) Makes History Amid 78% Price Surge This WeekBINANCE:XLMUSDT is currently trading at $0.46, up 78.5% over the past week . However, the altcoin faces resistance at $0.47, a level it has struggled to breach in recent days. The ability to break this resistance is crucial for continued growth, as it will determine whether XLM can push higher.
BINANCE:XLMUSDT futures market activity has also surged, with Futures Open Interest hitting an all-time high of $520 million in the last 24 hours. This indicates that traders are increasingly interested in the asset's derivatives, which are capitalizing on its rise.
Given the strong sentiment from futures traders and the technical indicators, it is likely that BINANCE:XLMUSDT will push past the $0.47 resistance and target $0.50 in the coming days . A successful breakthrough could lead XLM toward its next target at $0.56, marking an eight-month high. This would signify continued strength for the asset.
However, if the broader market sentiment shifts or investors begin to sell their holdings, BINANCE:XLMUSDT could face a significant pullback. If the price falls below the key support levels of $0.43 and $0.41 , it could slide further to $0.35, which would invalidate the current bullish outlook.
Stellar XLM price analysisToday, the price of CRYPTOCAP:XLM rose quite dramatically, doing so at a critically important moment, but trading volumes are slightly insufficient for final confirmation.
Now let's look at what we wrote for the OKX:XLMUSDT chart four months ago: “It would be ‘right’ to test $0.19-0.20 before the start of strong growth.”
👆
The minimum was $0.19976 — do we "check" and "done" that?
📈 If so, then the price of #XLM should not fall below $0.226 anymore.
And ahead lies only growth in the price of the #Stellar token to at least $0.50, or even $0.60.
🏆 Well, and about the global goal for #XLMUSD we wrote in the previous idea — read, analyze, and turn information into profit!
_____________________
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Stellar (XLM) Rejected Hard—Brace for $0.25 Next?On the daily chart of XLM/USDT, price has made a steep, parabolic rise, pushing directly into a well-established resistance zone around $0.5155. This level has historically capped price moves, evident from several prior swing highs clustering near this area. The rally itself unfolded rapidly, without significant consolidation, leaving a series of untested supports in its wake.
This combination—a near-vertical climb into resistance—often signals buyer exhaustion. Indeed, the rejection candle formed right at the $0.5155 ceiling, which strengthens the bearish argument.
Below the current price action, there is a broad support zone between $0.3347 and $0.3504. This area previously acted as resistance earlier in the year and is likely to attract some buying interest if price pulls back decisively. Beneath it lie deeper supports around $0.2500, $0.2268, and $0.2000—levels that remain untested during this move up.
While the chart does not display volume bars, the sheer steepness of the final leg suggests momentum was likely unsustainable. Often, such aggressive spikes without healthy consolidation result in a retracement of 30–50% or more.
One critical factor to watch is whether price manages to reclaim and hold above $0.5155. Failure to do so implies that sellers remain in control, raising the probability of a broader pullback toward the mid-$0.30s or lower.
________________________________________
📉 Why This Setup Leans Bearish
This chart structure supports a bearish thesis because:
• Price is reacting strongly to historical resistance.
• The rally was parabolic, making it prone to sharp corrections.
• There is no clear consolidation base above the breakout point.
• Several untested support levels remain below current price, which the market may revisit.
If this move is indeed an exhaustion spike, the next phase is typically a retest of the last major consolidation area around $0.3504–$0.3347.
________________________________________
📊 Potential Bearish Trading Setup
Here is a structured trading idea to consider:
Short Entry Zone:
• Retest of the $0.5155–$0.5200 resistance area.
• Look for confirmation by way of bearish candlestick patterns (shooting star, bearish engulfing, or consecutive rejection wicks).
Stop Loss:
• Conservative stop above $0.6374 to allow for volatility.
• Alternatively, a tighter stop just above $0.5200 if using smaller size.
Targets:
• First target: $0.3504 (major support).
• Second target: $0.2500.
• Third target: $0.2000–$0.2268 (deeper retracement zone).
Here's Why XLM is on the Verge of a Massive breakoutThe next 10 years of success for the Stellar Network (XLM) are being shaped by decisions, developments, and trends happening right now (2024–2025). Here’s a breakdown of the long-term shaping factors currently in motion that will influence Stellar's trajectory through 2035:
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🌍 1. Real-World Use Cases Being Built Now
Stellar is not waiting for hypothetical adoption — it’s already deploying use cases that are foundational to its future success.
Examples:
MoneyGram Access gives real people the ability to cash in/out of crypto in over 180 countries.
USDC on Stellar enables stablecoin remittances with instant settlement and low fees.
Stellar Aid Assist provides governments and NGOs a working model for humanitarian digital cash aid.
Long-Term Impact: Building trust and infrastructure in the real world now means exponential network effects later — especially in emerging markets where crypto utility > speculation.
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🛠️ 2. Soroban (Smart Contracts) Rollout
Stellar is rolling out Soroban, a Rust-based smart contract platform that will transform the network into a programmable blockchain.
Why Soroban is Important:
Enables DeFi, lending, NFTs, on-chain identity, and DAOs.
Designed for predictable gas fees, making it ideal for finance and compliance.
Makes Stellar more competitive with Ethereum, Solana, Avalanche, etc.
Long-Term Impact: Soroban turns Stellar into a platform where real, decentralized applications can live — critical for long-term value capture and developer retention.
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🌐 3. Laying Global Payment Infrastructure
Stellar is quietly building global payment rails through partnerships with:
Fintechs (MoneyGram, Leaf, Settle, Cowrie)
Stablecoin issuers (Circle for USDC, Novatti for AUDC)
Payment aggregators in Africa, Latin America, Southeast Asia
Long-Term Impact: By 2030, these partnerships could evolve into a globally interconnected network of on/off ramps, anchors, and stablecoins. This gives Stellar real utility far beyond speculation.
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🏛️ 4. Regulatory Alignment & Compliance Tooling
The Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) is heavily involved in regulatory dialogue, including:
Working with the BIS Innovation Hub and IMF working groups
Building on-chain compliance tools (e.g. KYC/AML anchor guidelines)
Developing the Stellar Disbursement Platform, which complies with aid distribution requirements
Long-Term Impact: As crypto becomes more regulated, networks that built with compliance in mind will thrive. Stellar is positioning itself as a compliant blockchain for finance, especially for governments and NGOs.
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💸 5. Tokenization of Real-World Assets (RWAs)
The future of blockchain is heading toward tokenizing everything — and Stellar is already positioning itself at the front of that movement.
Franklin Templeton tokenized a U.S. mutual fund on Stellar.
Stablecoins like USDC and native fiat tokens are in active use.
Discussions are ongoing around CBDC pilots and tokenized bonds.
Long-Term Impact: The network that supports the most trusted tokenized assets — from CBDCs to real estate to securities — will gain enormous value from volume and liquidity. Stellar is in that conversation now.
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🧠 6. Mission-Aligned Ecosystem Funding
The Stellar Development Foundation holds billions of dollars in XLM and is using it to:
Fund early-stage startups building on Stellar
Run accelerator programs and hackathons
Expand into new regional markets (Africa, Asia, LATAM)
Long-Term Impact: Unlike many ecosystems that fizzle due to lack of funding or misaligned VC interests, Stellar has long-term strategic capital to guide the network toward its mission of financial access.
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🔐 7. Security, Speed, and Simplicity
From day one, Stellar has prioritized:
Fast block finality (~5 seconds)
Very low fees (< $0.001)
Energy-efficient consensus (SCP – Stellar Consensus Protocol)
These strengths are especially important for high-volume, low-margin applications like:
Micropayments
Remittances
Real-time settlements
Tokenized wages and aid
Long-Term Impact: As the blockchain infrastructure layer for finance matures, efficient networks will dominate. Stellar’s technical foundation makes it a sustainable long-term option.
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🧭 8. Stellar’s Focused, Long-Term Vision
SDF’s mission isn’t to be “just another smart contract chain” — it’s to improve access to equitable financial services, especially in underbanked regions.
That vision is:
Clear
Consistent
Attractive to partners, governments, and NGOs
Long-Term Impact: Clarity of mission = better talent, partners, funding, and resilience during market cycles.
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XLMBTC To Enter Its Biggest Bull Market Ever · 4,855% In 2017Stellar. No bull market vs Bitcoin in 2021. You know what this means? We are due an ultra-strong bull market for XLMBTC in 2025 (and beyond).
The 2017 bull market lasted 308 days. Total growth reached 4,855% within this period. The bear market that followed was brutal. From January 2018 until November 2024. A total of 2,499 days of bearish action.
A bottom was hit 4-November 2024 and the proceeding week we saw a major advance. This was a 400% bullish wave. Now this wave is over with a correction and the correction ended in a classic higher low. This week we have a new bullish breakout and this is the continuation of the uptrend, the first time XLMBTC goes bullish since 2017. It seems this pair will continue bullish even after Bitcoin peaks. Who knows, maybe even years going up.
The chart is solid and supports additional growth. We are due a strong rise, the biggest ever for this pair.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Stellar Lumens Looks Ready for Blast-Off!There is a very similar trend happening with the technology of the internet and computing as what we’re seeing now with AI and crypto. The early accumulation cycle for Nvidia would have shaken out many investors simply because of how long it took before going parabolic. Stellar Lumens is showing the same pattern—but the wait could be over. I see a large parabolic run coming for Stellar Lumens very soon, one that could take us to new all-time highs and spark a mass adoption cycle similar to what happened with internet and computing technology.
As always, stay profitable.
- Dalin Anderson
Is The Bottom In For XLM?Stellar Lumens (XLM) is exhibiting strong bullish momentum supported by favorable technical indicators, resilient support zones, and growing investor sentiment around utility-driven altcoins. The recent rebound off the $0.24 support level marks a significant higher low on the daily chart, reinforcing the continuation of the medium-term uptrend that began in Q2 2025. This rebound occurred with increasing trading volume, signaling renewed accumulation and a potential shift in market structure from consolidation to expansion.
I firmly believe the bottom is in, and the next leg up is upon us.
Phemex Analysis #95: Pro Tips for Trading Stellar (XLM)Stellar ( PHEMEX:XLMUSDT.P ) is an open-source, decentralized blockchain platform specializing in fast, affordable cross-border transactions aimed at enhancing global financial inclusion. Its native cryptocurrency, Lumens (XLM), serves as a bridge for currency exchanges and is used to pay transaction fees on the network. Founded in 2014 by Jed McCaleb, Stellar connects banks, payment systems, and individuals worldwide, providing seamless and cost-effective financial interactions.
Recently, Stellar has shown positive market momentum, including a notable 5% price surge coupled with increased transaction volumes. A key catalyst for this optimism is PayPal’s upcoming integration of its stablecoin PYUSD onto the Stellar blockchain, significantly expanding Stellar's real-world use case and accessibility across more than 170 countries.
Given these promising developments, let’s explore several possible trading scenarios to help traders strategically approach XLM.
Possible Scenarios
1. Breakout Rise to $0.28 and Above (Bullish Scenario)
On the daily chart, XLM recently formed a clear "cup and handle" pattern, with the handle emerging around June 22. This classic bullish indicator signals accumulation of buying momentum. If XLM decisively breaks out above the critical resistance level at $0.257, particularly with strong trading volume, it could confirm a bullish continuation, potentially targeting resistance zones around $0.28, $0.312, and even the significant resistance at $0.43.
Pro Tips:
Entry Point: Consider entering positions after confirming the breakout above $0.257, ideally with significant volume confirmation.
Profit-Taking Levels: Aim to take partial profits at key resistance levels: $0.28, $0.312, and $0.43.
2. Rejection by Key Resistance Levels (Neutral Scenario)
While the immediate resistance at $0.28 is relatively weak and likely to be overcome easily, subsequent resistance at $0.312 and particularly at $0.43 could present strong selling pressure, potentially rejecting XLM’s first attempt.
If rejection occurs, the price will likely retrace to retest support zones, such as around $0.25, consolidating before attempting another bullish move.
Pro Tips:
Cautious Entries: If initial rejections occur at higher resistance zones ($0.312 or $0.43), consider waiting for price stabilization around lower support areas ($0.25) before re-entering.
Volume Check: Closely monitor trading volumes during retracements—declining volume often indicates a healthy pullback rather than a significant reversal.
3. All Things Go South (Bearish Scenario)
If broader market sentiment suddenly turns sharply negative—particularly driven by a significant decline in Bitcoin—XLM could face substantial selling pressure. A sharp drop below key support at $0.216 with high volume, accompanied by broader market downturns, would signal serious bearish momentum.
Pro Tips:
Market Observation: Stay cautious and consider stepping aside until clear stabilization occurs at lower support levels.
Accumulation Opportunities: Long-term holders should watch closely for stabilization at critical historical supports, including $0.20, $0.18, $0.12, and $0.09, which could offer attractive entry points for gradual accumulation.
Conclusion
Stellar (XLM) currently stands at a pivotal juncture driven by significant fundamental catalysts and compelling technical signals. By closely monitoring the outlined bullish, neutral, and bearish scenarios, traders can strategically position themselves for profitable trades while effectively managing risks. Always remain alert, employ disciplined risk management strategies, and stay informed on broader market movements to successfully navigate XLM’s market dynamics.
🔥 Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Stellar 2025 Bull Market, ATH Targets, Price Action & MoreA very interesting chart. What is interesting here is how obvious it is that the correction is over. Stellar produced a massive bullish breakout in November 2024, more than 700% growth. After a strong move, there is always a correction. After the correction ends, we get the resumption of the initial move, in this case a bullish wave.
The 0.786 Fib. retracement level worked as support. 7-April. There is an interesting dynamic around this level. Back in July 2023 as XLMUSDT was rising resistance was found around 0.2000. Very close to this level. We then had the late 2024 bullish wave and the correction that ended in early April this year. Support was found exactly at the 0.786 Fib retracement level and this level matches 0.2000. This is the purple line on the chart. Resistance turned support.
After this support zone was hit and confirmed Stellar moved to produce an initial breakout and on the 16-June week, 22-June, we get a higher low. This higher low signals the start of the next bullish wave with a target around 0.9100. This is the next target for the current move but not necessarily where the bull market cycle will end. Can be but not necessarily, the action can move higher.
Growth potential from current price to our target goes to 257%. Coming from the August 2024 low, this same target would give a total of 1,099%. Seeing how strong the first jump was, it is likely that Stellar will go higher in this 2025 bull market.
We have another target between $1.25 and $1.35.
Let's focus on the market and the bigger picture.
Stellar has already proven that it will be a top performer in this cycle. Back in late 2024 XLM outperformed many projects, we can expect the same pattern to repeat in this bullish continuation.
The fact that there are no new lows also signals strength. We saw many pairs hitting new all-time lows in April and June, this is not the case here. And this is also good.
This is a proven project so it is easy to go in big.
Last time the meat of the move unraveled in just two weeks. Something also to keep in mind. Something similar would allow us to profit from the entire XLM wave and then browse the market for new opportunities.
Remember, the market is set to grow for 6 months in the least or it can extend and grow for years. While some pairs go down, others will be going up. When some pairs stop going up, others being down will recover and grow. The market will cycle between this and that, here and there; in the end, everything grows; that's the definition of a bull market. A rising wave lifts all boats.
Notice the long-term consolidation phase, it lasted more than 900 days and then we had a very strong bullish breakout. The longer the consolidation phase, the stronger the move that follows. This is only the beginning, there will be more.
Thank you for reading and for your continued support.
Namaste.
XLMUSD Huge breakout may happen any moment.Stellar / XLMUSD is testing the 6 month Falling Resistance again, while trading inside a Channel Up.
The 1day RSI is in strong support of this move and may force a 1day candle closing above the Resistance finally.
If it happens, go lonh and target 0.3650 (+32.79%).
Previous chart:
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Stellar (XLM) Update, By Request (New ATH 2025)Definitely bullish, everything points up.
Let's start with the good news. The next wave, the 2025 bull market bullish wave, will be awesome. Why? Because the 2024 initial bullish breakout was really strong, super strong. More than 600% and it reveals what is coming.
Naturally, this breakout is corrected into a higher low. Here with a classic rounded bottom pattern (orange).
This higher low will soon transform into a new bullish wave leading to a new high, higher high and new All-Time High. The new All-Time High can then go crazy and reach even higher, new heights. You will need to scroll up to find the higher targets on the chart.
I am again keeping it simple as I don't see any need to complicate things. Stellar is set to grow. Right now prices are good for trading trading spot and focusing on the long-term. Leverage traders have many other factors to consider, a closer look is needed.
Namaste.
Stellar (XLM) Falling Wedge + Inverse Head & ShouldersBINANCE:XLMUSDT has recently broken out of two major bullish patterns:
• Falling Wedge: The breakout above the descending resistance (orange) confirms the wedge setup, with a measured target around $0.70.
• Inverse Head & Shoulders: Breakout confirmed with a measured target around $0.40.
Key Levels to Watch
• $0.30 – 0.618 Fib level. IH&S neckline and current support. A break below it would invalidate the IH&S setup and potentially lead to a retest of the wedge's resistance as support.
• $0.36 – 0.5 Fib level and previous S/R.
• $0.40 – IH&S measured move target.
• $0.50 – 0.236 Fib level and previous resistance / swing high.
• $0.70 – Wedge measured move target.
Volume Analysis
Breakout volume is not as strong as expected, suggesting the need for further confirmation. A continuation with increasing volume would strengthen the bullish case.
XLMUSD: Aggressive surge expected to at least 0.5500Stellar (XLMUSD) just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.377, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 37.056), extending the rebound on its 1W MA50. The long term pattern is a Triangle so for the medium term the upside is limited to 0.55000. Since however the structure from mid 2024 resembles late 2016 onwards (price rising then pulling back to the 0.5 Fib), we expect a rise to the 1.618 Fib (TP = 2.5000) if the price crosses above the LH trendline.
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XLM/USDT – 3D Long Signal Active 📅 April 29, 2025
The system triggered a long entry at the last 3D bar close.
Currently, the price remains around the same levels.
✅ System conditions for a long are fully met:
MLR > SMA > BB Center > PSAR
Price is trading above the 200 MA on the 3D timeframe.
⚠️ Caution:
On the 1D timeframe, price is still below the 200 MA, which suggests some lingering weakness. Proceed carefully.
📍 Strategy Plan:
Consider entering long at today’s daily close or at the next 3D bar close.
Suggested stop-loss: below the latest PSAR dot for system integrity.
🔔 Keep an eye on updates and thank you for reading! 📈📊
XLM/USD Main trend. Timeframe 1 week. Channel. Radiant Star of 2218) One of the most “silent” cryptocurrencies. Unlike its fellow clone, pumped up by the community on the ears of pseudo-esoterics (although 589 is not going anywhere, which is, that is, it is not price))))....
Note that past secondary trend reversals are shrinking after significant dips. We are now in the lower zone of the channel, but not at the lowest potential values. Never “catch” the lows and highs, but work most of your position near those values, and you will be happy and relaxed.
I advise you to combine pyramiding (up) + martingale (down), and you won't care where the price goes, because you'll be happy with either direction. It is also rational to protect your profits with stops, but not near intraday volatility.
It is also natural for your peace of mind to forget about two things if you have a mind:
1) Forget margin trading. Work only on spot.
2) Forget the 1 “world's most reliable exchange” (diversification of trading and storage).
Coinmarket: XLM
About the enlightenment: .
1) Instant (less than 3 sec) transactions,
2) Conditionally free transactions $0.000001 (0.00001 XLM micro payments),
3) No network congestion (30 sec refund in case of failed transaction (not to be confused with exchange),
4) Smart contacts and NFT (2022),
5) "Transaction rollback" (this is an advantage, not a disadvantage for real use, not speculation),
6) Support for multi-currency transactions.
7) Interest in XLM blockchain by states.
And much more...
Roughly speaking, all the best worked out solutions from thousands of temporary “faith cryptocurrencies” over the last 10+ years.
Incidentally, many states will be making “transitional” fiat currencies on this blockchain. For example, the long-suffering Ukraine. But then when there will be “total sadness”. Creating a problem—presenting a ready-made solution.
Here's what this important zone looks like on the 1-day timeframe. Key reversal or trend continuation zone.
Breakout of the local symmetrical triangle +10% to the mirror resistance level of 0.2022.
Sorry StellarI think price movements will continue in this way between parallel lines.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.