XLM Surges After MoneyGram Takeover Rumour
Stellar Lumens surged by a strong 12% today as it surges to $0.25.
The push higher allowed XLM to climb above the 20-day MA and break a long-term falling trend line.
Against Bitcoin, XLM also pushed higher to 774 SAT and is back above the 20-day MA for the first time since May.
XLM surged a strong 12% today after rebounding from support at $0.2 earlier in the week. The push higher has allowed XLM to break a falling resistance trend line that was established at the end of May. It also allowed XLM to break back above the 20-day MA for the first time since mid-May (providing today’s candle closes around $0.25.
The surge occurred after the news circulated that the Stellar Foundation is planning on executing a takeover of MoneyGram. The acquisition was reported by Bloomberg, and it states that the money transmitter business would be bought by The Stellar Foundation in a partnership with Advent International.
MoneyGram, established in 1940, previously had an investment from Ripple after they acquired around 10% from a $50 million investment. However, the partnership was dissolved after the US SEC launched litigation against Ripple.
Stellar Lumens is now ranked in the 17th position with a market cap value of $5.78 billion.
Stellar Coin Price Analysis
What has been going on?
Taking a look at the daily chart above, we can see that XLM dropped beneath the 200-day MA at the start of June and established a solid downtrend from there. It had previously dropped from above $0.75 to reach $0.35 during the mid-May market capitulation that the entire industry experienced.
XLM dropped as low as $0.2 during June and rebounded from there toward the end of the month. However, it was unable to overcome the 20-day MA and continued to drop lower in the first half of July.
During this week’s BTC price drop beneath $30K, XLM fell lower to $0.2. However, the daily candles did not close beneath $0.212, where it found support at a .786 Fib Retracement level.
XLM rebounded from $0.212 yesterday and the 12% price hike today allowed XLM to break above a long-term falling trend line that was established toward the end of May. Additionally, XLM also managed to break above the 20-day MA. If today’s candle can close above the 20-day MA, this would be the first candle closing above it since mid-May, before the market capitulation.
Stellar price short term prediction: NEUTRAL
XLM is neutral right now, but a drop beneath $0.2 would certainly turn the market bearish. On the other side, it would possibly have to rise above $0.4 (200-day MA) to be considered bullish in the short term. However, a break above $0.3 would signal the first move of a short-term bullish rebound.
Looking ahead, the first support lies at $0.24 (20-day MA). This is followed by $0.212 (.786 Fib Retracement) and $0.2.
If the bears continue to drive XLM beneath $0.2, added support lies at 40.176 (downside 1.272 Fib Extension), $0.163 (downside 1.414 Fib Extension), $0.15, and $0.144 (downside 1.618 Fib Extnesion).
Where Is The Resistance Toward The Upside?
On the other side, the first resistance lies at $0.25. This is followed by $0.28, the 50-day MA, $0.285, and $0.3.
Beyond $0.3, additional resistance is expected at $0.339 (bearish .236 Fib Retracement), $0.35, $0.4 (200-day MA & 100-day MA), and $0.426 (bearish .382 Fib Retracement).
STELLAR
XLMUSD - Wave E Looks Complete - Heading For The Highs...In this video I give a quick update on this move which has been hanging around the same levels for the last month.
The count has been adjusted to include the latest price action.
Not your usual 5-Wave move to the downside in part due to the skewed alternation towards the lows.
This type of choppiness at the lows is typical of a Wave E but only serves as a clue as to what the whole pattern is.
Aside from the count not much has changed because AriasWave is focused on the larger pattern.
Small degree moves are effectively just noise unless you are trying to learn the waves.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Each video idea I post builds on the previous idea as I use AriasWave to try and navigate the waves in Crypto Markets.
XLM Cup & Handle Target On the 1 month chart The XLM Cup & Handle Minimum Target hits the 0.61 Trend based fib extension exactly with a measurement taken from solid candle to solid candle from the base of the cup to the neck of the top of the cup.
The 1 month chart has RSI hidden bullish divergence, the candle closes in 10 days.
Major support level of 0.23 FIB level holding as of now after being rejected from the 0.32 FIB level
A clear indicator that the Trend based fib extension levels are being respected.
Thanks for looking!
🆓Stellar (XLM) July-16 #XLM $XLMThe selling still exists at the $0.24 zone and if XLM can't break through this zone, it will fall to the $0.20 or even $0.15 zone. But the $0.2 area is a very reliable support to buy in for the target at $0.32 and $0.4 in August after conquering the $0.24 zone.
📈BUY
🔴Buy : 0.195-0.205$. SL if B
🔴Buy : 0.235-0.245$ if A. SL if B
📉SELL
🔴Sell : 0.235-0.245$ if B. SL if A
🔴Sell : 0.235-0.245$. SL if A
🔴Sell : 0.315-0.325$. SL if A
🔵Sell : 0.39-0.41$. SL if A
♻️BACK-UP
🔵Buy : 0.235-0.245$ if A. SL if B
🔵Sell : 0.315-0.325$. SL if A
🔵Sell : 0.195-0.205$ if B. SL if A
🔵Buy : 0.146-0.154$. SL if B
❓Details
🕯Timeframe : 1 Day
📈Red Arrow : Main Direction as BUY and SELL section
📉Blue Arrow : Back-Up Direction as BACK-UP section
🟩Green zone : Support zone as BUY section
🟥Red zone : Resistance zone as SELL section
🅰️A : The Close price of candlestick is Above the zone
🅱️B : The Close price of candlestick is Below the zone
XLMUSD UPDATE: Wave 2 Looks Complete, Let's Get Down To BusinessIn this video I explain what I have been doing during this last week in the lead up to this upcoming move.
The mid-term view has changed to indicate that the move up since March 2020 is not quite over yet...
Something bigger is coming.
If you haven't yet taken the time to learn the waves then once this next move happens you may want to begin...
There is so much more coming in these markets over the next few months that will really hit hard if you are not careful.
Knowledge is power because when it's all said and done you don't want to be left holding the bag.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
Each video idea I post builds on the previous idea as I use AriasWave to try and navigate the waves in Crypto Markets.
Stellar (XLM) - July 15Good morning?
Welcome, traders.
By "following", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Like".
Have a good day.
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(XLMUSD 1W Chart)
If the price is maintained above the 0.23438790-0.292616 range, it is expected to create a new wave.
If it declines from the 0.16420803 point, there is a possibility of entering the mid- to long-term investment area, so careful trading is required.
(1D chart)
If it finds support in the 0.20794233-0.26657249 section and rises above the 0.26657249 point to maintain the price, it is expected to turn into an uptrend and move up.
In particular, you should watch for any signs of an uptrend along the uptrend line.
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(XLMBTC 1W chart)
Looking at the big picture, it is expected that it will create a new wave when it rises in the 428 Satoshi-1288 Satoshi section, which is the bottom box section.
In particular, you need to break out of the downtrend line.
(1D chart)
We need to see if we can get support and rise by climbing to the 737 Satoshi-825 Satoshi section.
If the price is maintained above the 825 Satoshi point, it is expected to turn into an uptrend and rise.
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We recommend that you trade with your average unit price.
This is because, if the price is below your average unit price, whether it is in an uptrend or in a downtrend, there is a high possibility that you will not be able to get a big profit due to psychological burden.
The center of all trading starts with the average unit price at which you start trading.
If you ignore this, you may be trading in the wrong direction.
Therefore, it is important to find a way to lower the average unit price and adjust the proportion of the investment, ultimately allowing the funds corresponding to the profits to regenerate themselves.
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** All indicators are lagging indicators.
Therefore, it is important to be aware that the indicator moves accordingly with the movement of price and volume.
However, for the sake of convenience, we are talking in reverse for the interpretation of the indicator.
** The wRSI_SR indicator is an indicator created by adding settings and options to the existing Stochastic RSI indicator.
Therefore, the interpretation is the same as the traditional Stochastic RSI indicator. (K, D line -> R, S line)
** The OBV indicator was re-created by applying a formula to the DepthHouse Trading indicator, an indicator disclosed by oh92. (Thanks for this.)
** See support, resistance, and abbreviation points.
** Support or resistance is based on the closing price of the 1D chart.
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee a profit or loss in investment.
Explanation of abbreviations displayed in the chart
R: A point or section of resistance that requires a response to preserve profits.
S-L: Stop Loss point or section
S: A point or section where you can buy to make a profit as a support point or section.
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit and loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made through split trading. It is a short-term investment perspective.)
GAP refers to the difference in prices that occurred when the stock market, CME, and BAKKT exchanges were closed because they are not traded 24 hours a day.
G1 : Closing price when closed
G2: Opening price
(Example) Gap (G1-G2)
Stellar Channelling Lower Towards June 2021 LowsDisclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. At the time publishing, I have a position in Stellar (XLM) .
Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hour chart. XLM has been channeling lower in the short term with lower highs of 0.295 and 0.268 and lower lows of 0.2515 and 0.232. At the time of publishing XLM is trading near the middle of the lower trend channel.
Technical Indicators
XLM is trading below its short (25-SMA), medium (75-SMA) and fractal moving averages and its RSI is heading into oversold territory. Moreover, the KST confirmed a bearish move with a negative crossover.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go short at market. At the time of publishing XLM is trading around 0.2372. The medium-term target price is observed around the 0.197 price level. A stop loss is set at 0.266. This produces a risk reward ratio of 1.31.
Stellar Lumens XLM a big setupThe SMAs:
After the powerful bull run, the price action of Stellar dropped very hard and broke down the uptrend line support. This trend line was working as a long-term market structure for the price line of XLM. After breaking down this trendline support the price action moved at the weekly 50 simple moving average an at the moment it is moving around this SMA. After the 50 simple moving average, there are also 100 and 200 simple moving averages below the price line.
Support and resistance:
The price action of Stellar has a very strong support zone starting from $0.28 to $0.22. If this support zone will be broken down then the price action can move to $0.12 because there is no significant resistance and support between $0.22 to $0.12. Therefore, for the price reversal, it is very important for XLM to save this supports zone.
Bullish harmonic Cypher move:
On the 2-week time frame chart, the price action of XLM has formed a big bullish Cypher pattern. There is also 25 SMA support in the buying zone. As per the Fibonacci sequence the buying and sell targets of this Cypher pattern can be as:
Buy between: $0.3474 to $0.2248
Sell between: $0.4439 to $0.6757
The maximum extent of potential reversal zone $0.2248 can be used as stop loss. As per the above targets, this trade has a big profit possibility of 200%, and the high loss possibility is 36%, however at this time the risk is low as the price action is already close to the end of the buying zone.
XLMUSD QUICK UPDATE - Moon Slingshot In Progress...In this video I give you a quick update "THE WAVES"
It''s no joke, this thing has PO tential.
So let's all gather round and observe with an open mouth, how far north it could go when most thought it would go south.
Please check out my previous related ideas linked below.
...and if you find this analysis worthwhile and entertaining, you know what to do.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
Each video idea I post builds on the previous idea as I use AriasWave to try and navigate the waves in Crypto Markets.
XLMUSD UPDATE - Wave 2 Looks Complete. Time For A Move Higher.In this video I cover the latest pattern in XLMUSD which to me indicates that a bottom is forming.
I walk through a few levels that should be broken in an impulsive manner for confirmation purposes.
I also cut over to US Dollar and briefly talk about how I expect this pattern to unfold.
Using all manners of analysis I have compiled a list of reasons why I believe we are only half way through the move that began in March 2020.
There is no getting it confused at this point, you are either a bull or a bear. You are either in or you are out.
The decision you make today will reflect your knowledge in the months to come.
Are you ready?
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
Each video idea I post builds on the previous idea as I use AriasWave to try and navigate the waves in Crypto Markets.
XLMUSD UPDATE - Wave 2 Still Progress - Looking Clearer Now...In this video I explain the process of elimination that is required in order to filter out incorrectly identified waves.
If it's not one thing it's another because there can only every be one true count.
In the process of finding the true count you start to see a clearer picture as more of the waves occur.
Patience is an important factor because it helps you free up some of the processes in your mind so you can focus on learning the waves.
This move will likely drag out a bit longer due to the complex choppy pattern that is currently in progress.
See previously related ideas down below.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial advisor, I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
Each video idea I post builds on the previous idea as I use AriasWave to try and navigate the waves in Crypto Markets.
Stellar - 0.618 Inverse RelationshipStellar during its downtrend, within the fib wedge, can be seen to trend briefly along 0.618 fib circle line, then dump through the 0.618 fib wedge
Inversely during Stellar's current uptrend, a move upward can be seen through 0.618 of the Fibonacci wedge
Hence the relationship
XLMUSDCOINBASE:XLMUSD is neutral-bearish. As long as we remain above the blue uptrend line there is a potential for more upside.
Steps to take:
1) Buy at blue uptrend area OR multiple buy signals OR at .308 support area
2) Sell if candle open/close below .308 support area
Can also buy with candle open/close above resistance at .361 area
XLM moving in an Ascending Bear Triangle. Huge DIP comingXLM is moving in an ascending triangle and the pattern looks bearish to me.
I has already touched point D of ABCDE pattern and I think it should meet point E at around 0.31 zone. Post this there should be a major DIP.
How far it can drop we need to wait and watch.
If you like my analysis then do drop a LIKE and a COMMENT. Also do SHARE it with your friends.
Also don't forget to smash that FOLLOW button to get daily analysis of multiple crypto currencies and sometime ASX stocks.
Note - These are my personal notes and in no way a financial advice. Do your own research and Trade wisely
Huge Buying Opportunity SOONSorry for the mess friends.
I have been watching this run up the whole time as its been forming and the continued price action has only confirmed what I've thought the whole time.
IF I'm correct and we finish wave ii (circled) with an expanding flat formation, following a leading diagonal...BIG IMPLICATIONS.
I'm hanging my hat on the belief that the big green box is a leading diagonal, meaning we will be entering a wave 3 of a 3 of a 3. That's the same wave that took BTC to 20k for the first time.
If we break down below the $0.20 to $0.22 range, I'd say this count is invalid.
If we hold it though, we're likely going to do 100x(+) long term from here.
(Not financial advise. Just what I see)