Stellarlumens
BIG PictureJune 1st, 2023 is the 1:1 time extension from wave A. That means that around that date, we may be at a very good price to buy. It doesn't need to do a full extension, but harmonics usually like these things to line up in some relative fashion. This is why we use the fibonacci sequence. I've noted some relative buy zones in the green boxes. Laddering buys is usually recommended by professionals.
Alright now let me first say that I think Stellar is the real deal, and for good reason. They are one of the only projects completely focused on developing their regulatory compliance while innovating on the network and encouraging new developers to work with them. The "Clawback" (Transaction Reversal) technology is next level, and not something that other blockchains are capable of doing right now. This is a big step in maintaining compliance and being able to actually integrate with conventional regulatory backdrops. Stellar is the dark horse in crypto.
Now, that being said, Biden just released his executive order on crypto.
We are seeing more headwinds than tailwinds right now, so I expect there to be more price declines as exchanges leave and projects shut down that cannot comply with regulatory requirements*. I will note that we are already seeing announcements of projects (YFI/USDT) shutting down 25 apps/projects with seemingly no notice or good reasoning besides the fact that the developers just got bored! That's Not Good! It seems the fakes and non-committed projects are going to start cracking and running away so be careful out there.
The stock market and bond markets are beginning crashing. This first leg down the bias has still been positive, but now the "buy the dip" mentally is fading and prices at the grocery stores and pump are going up!
The market bias is now starting to flip bearish which will drive the major indices tumbling as the Fed starts raising rates. This all will drive crypto lower as liquidity leaves the systems. I expect you will all see prices you never thought you would see again, but I can't guarantee that.
My advice to any holders is HODL, as long as you're not using leverage or loans or anything. Like I said, prices could fall extremely dramatically because the levels of liquidity via margin debt and leverage that is in the system right now is unprecedented. You need to remember though that if you're a long term holder, this is not a project you should be selling ever IMO. I expect XLM to go to $30 over the next 10 years, so this is gonna be a ride of a lifetime if you can hold on throughout.
This is not trading or financial advice. I'm not telling you to sell any XLM or buy any. I am saying that it could go to 8 cents or maybe even 4 or 5 cents and if it does...I would borrow and invest Heavily at that point.
Final Moments To Catch Stellar Lumens XLM At This SupportHi friends, hope you are well, and welcome to the new update on XLM.
Falling wedge:
On a daily time frame, XLM is bounced from the support of falling wedge pattern with bullish divergence.
Broke out broadening wedge and a re-test:
On a 4-hr time frame, Stellar broke out the resistance of a broadening wedge. Now the priceline is testing the resistance of this wedge as support. There is also a 50 simple moving average support as well.
Tested strong support:
On a weekly time frame, XLM has already tested the $0.18 support and is also likely to form a double bottom as well. Once the priceline will be able to breakout the resistance of the falling wedge
which is formed on a daily time frame then it can reach the big resistance of $0.44.
Conclusion:
If XLM successfully re-tests the resistance of broadening wedge as support and starts a bullish reversal move from here, then there will be a high probability for the breakout from the falling wedge as well.
Stellar Lumens XLM Big Double Bottom With Bullish DivergenceHi friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new update on XLM.
Broadening wedge:
On a 4-hr time frame,XLM has reached the resistance of broadening wedge:
Falling wedge and bullish divergence:
On a daily time frame, Stellar has bounced from the support of a falling wedge. There is also bullish divergence flashed, as the priceline is forming lower low and RSI is setting higher low.
Double bottom formation:
The priceline is also forming a double bottom at $0.18 support.
Conclusion:
If the priceline of XLM breaks out broadening wedge, on a 4-hr time frame, then there will be a high probability for the breakout from the bigger falling wedge pattern.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade
Stellar (XLM) Foldback Pattern suggest a major price spike is inFoldback Patterns are a theory that price action repeats the same swing structure as the past. In the case of XLM, the Foldback Pattern with the combination of a 180-day Gann Cycle suggests that a big price spike for XLM is likely to occur very soon.
XLMUSD Accumulation almost over. Look for a 1D MA200 break.Stellar got rejected at the end of December on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and that stopped the rebound from developing into a full rally sequence. That is the Resistance to beat if XLM wants to see a new bullish phase. Practically the pattern from late June until now seems like a giant Accumulation Phase and both in price action and 1D RSI terms is similar with that of April - November 2020.
It was a 1D Death Cross (MA50 crossing below the MA200) that started the Accumulation Phase and another that priced its bottom and ended it. The Golden Cross (MA50 crossing above the MA200) was formed on the peak of the first price rally, so it just confirmed it. Right now XLMUSD is coming off that second Death Cross, so we can argue that the bottom may already be priced in. The confirmation however will come in my opinion once the 1D MA200 breaks, so if you don't want to risk buying now, then buy upon a break-out.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
XLM CUP(date) ON THE HANDLE - THE NEW(est) ANGLEXLM CUP(date) ON THE HANDLE - THE NEW(est) ANGLE
An update to my CUP & HANDLE ideas for XLM
These are just my angles on the pattern...
By no means the final survey
Sorry to spam the idea so much, i mess up alot before posting... i think i handle arc right now..jeesh
XLM long term target for bullsXLMUSD analysis based on fib levels.
We expect XLM to hit 2 $ in 2022.
However, if the price breaks below critical support, it may get ugly for bulls.
XLM is one of those coins that didn´t do much in comparison to new coins such as Solana, AVAX, CRV and many more.
We believe that older coins such as XLM , BCH , EOS, XRP will shine soon. They say: Every dog has its day.
XLM bright days are coming
Good luck
Drop a comment if you find this analysis useful
No financial advice!
XLM Forecast Daily TimeframeGood day ladies and gentleman today lets take a look at Stellar Lumen also known as XLM, with every other digital asset in the space that hit the sky in 1st Quarter of 2021 XLM hit its new ATH of $0.75 in May 2021 and then dropped to our support of $0.17 and ever since then its been trading side ways and today its trading at $0.25.
Therefore if XLM continues to hold that support and continues to trend up our trendline we see XLM breaking the $0.50 resistance before going ape and creating new ATHs following the BLUE path arrow to our target of $1.40-1.50 BUT if it breaks our support and trendline and retests and flips our support to resistance for confirmation of a down trend we could be looking into new lows for XLM following the RED path arrow.
Looking at the market and fundamentals we are still bullish for XLM longterm
XLM Maintains Upside Setup Despite Breaking Immediate SupportStellar Lumens (XLMUSD) looked like it had a nested 1-2,i-ii bullish setup in place but broke that convincingly when it broke the 0.25-level, which marked the bottom of what WAS the wave-ii. Thus, our previous primary PURPLE pattern has invalidated.
However, while many cryptos broke-down so fiercely that they've completely reset their larger 5th wave rally setups by completing the 4th wave correction that started in May 2021. XLM like LTC, DASH, SOL and LINK maintains the larger 1-2 setup, and this will remain valid as long as it holds 0.199 support, which is identified as the new GREEN pattern. If XLM breaks below this, it, too, is following the bearish alternate RED pattern with lows that could drop as far down as 0.11!
While I have begun to advise against buying large amounts of most cryptos since we were supposedly in the middle of our larger 3rd wave rally, XLM has pulled back enough that if this is indeed the bottom of our subwave (ii), this would be a solid BUY opportunity. With that being said, I recommend dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to continue growing your positions as the rally continues in order to reduce risk (buying a little bit on a regular basis instead of dumping a lump sum of cash all at once). There is no telling if we'll see a slightly lower-low (which would NOT invalidate the current setup) or the worst-case bearish red alt pattern.
While our overall top projects somewhere between 0.97 and 1.16, 1here is a strong resistance at the 0.618 extension of our larger rally that topped this last spring, which projects to 1.71! The 0.618 extension is a common 5th wave target off of a larger 3-4, and there are multiple confluences at that price level.
This larger Wave 1 top (common to most altcoins) should coincide with the Major Wave 5 top for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Therefore, the coming rally top may be a good time to take profits and reallocate across other securities outside of cryptocurrency or even Stablecoins. While BTC and ETH may see a colossal crash for the ages perhaps spanning many months or years, XLM (and other altcoins) may give us a STELLAR buy opportunity for the longer-term, which would very likely get us to those amazing targets in the $9+ range.
But as always, we must allow the pattern to develop as the market chooses. It is still a good time to buy before we see any form of 3rd wave take-off. Please size your buys commensurate to your overall risk tolerance!
I use Elliott Wave analysis to project price levels for different assets and asset classes. EW is a form a technical analysis that is absolutely NOT based on fundamentals. Please be aware that this video is not intended to act as financial advice. I am not a trained or certified financial professional. You may invest based on a strategy tailored to your own skill and risk-tolerance levels.
#stellar #xlm #bitcoin #ethereum #litecoin #blockchain #ripple