GBPJPY Short Setup - Daily Chart Unfortunately my GBPJPY long position was stopped out during Labour's speech, coupled with comments from Barnier around UK progress on key areas like citizen's rights.
On the daily time frame we have a perfect break, retest, followed by more bearish candles.
Theresa May is speaking today and she will be doing her best to cement her position as a stable leader and to drive home certainty around the UK economy. This may create some short term bids on £, but we will see!
Happy Friday...
Sterling
GBP/USD Cable Short- Brexit Causes Sterling Tumble or does USD?GBP/USD has Fallen Nearly 300+ pips Since Rejecting 1.4000. THis Pair has now seen quite a divergence between the moving Averages as the new Fed Chair Powell Preaches hawkish overtones about Fed Hikes and Market Exhuberance. WIll The Cable Fall Again to Post Brexit Levels Yet Again?
Looking at the chart techincally, we can see that the Weekly Ascneding Trendline is currently being tested as the pair consolidates around the weekly mid range level of 1.3750. A confirmed break below would indicate a potential short oppurtunity however lets not rule out any retracements as the pair has had a massive fall in the past few days!
Related Tickers AMEX:FXB TVC:DXY FX_IDC:GBPUSD
GBPJPY LongGBPJPY is heavily oversold. The pound has been heavily oversold and is reaching the trend line support on the weekly chart. And as you can see from the markup, bears will have to breach the 50MAV on a heavily oversold weekly chart to continue bearish momentum. With fundamental data coming out which is expected to be Pound favorable, I am long on the Sterling.
GBPCAD 4H Chart: Meets resistance Sterling has been guided by an ascending channel against its Canadian counterpart since late September 2017. The pair bounced off the lower boundary of a dominant channel on September 11 and has since rallied against the Loonie.
The currency pair has moved closer to the border of a medium-term pattern and could be set for a breakout. From a theoretical point of view, a retracement south is likely. However, this retracement could find a support cluster set by the weekly PP and the 55– hour SMA near 1.7550.
Technical indicators suggest that the exchange rate is likely to continue its bullish movement in the nearest future.
GBPCHF4H Chart: Full review The Pound Sterling has been constrained by a descending channel against the Swiss Franc after hitting the weekly pivot point near 1.3515. The upper boundary of a junior channel was reached on January 25.
The Sterling's inability to make a new wave up suggests that it might breach the dominant channel in the next few hours.
Technical indicators flash bearish signals during the following trading sessions; therefore, the currency exchange rate is likely to decline further until it finds support at the monthly and weekly PPs near the 1.2888 mark.
GBPAUD 4H Chart: Possible retracement The British Pound has been bound by an ascending channel against the Australian Dollar since the beginning of January. The lower boundary of the dominant channel was reached on January 11 and the pair has since remained trading along the channel.
Meanwhile, a breakout from the upper boundary of the dotted triangle pattern can be observed on the chart.
Everything being equal, the pair is likely to continue its rally until it finds resistance at the combination of the weekly and monthly PPs near 1.7891 mark.
GBPCAD 4H Chart: Ascending channel continues The Pound has been steered by an ascending channel against the Aussie since early January. The movement started when the pair touched the lower boundary of the daily dominant channel.
The Bull movement is likely to continue for a short period of time until it reaches the weekly and the monthly PPs near the 1.7803 mark.
The overall market sentiment is bullish and it is might likely to continue for the following week until it reaches the upper boundary If and when this happens, the GBP/CAD pair should retrace south for a brief period of time.
GBPJPY: Are we done pushing Higher?In this Analysis of "Sterling vs. Japanese Yen" I found the Fibonacci quite a useful tool, as you may have noticed. I found that the 50% Fibonacci level is quite powerful and after a bounce off this level can indicate further bullish moves as we have seen before. Also the 1.618% Fibonacci if achieved can also add confidence for a bull market. Notice on a 1H time frame we see 2 separate Fibonacci confluences which can easily sway anyone to consider a bull position. The question here lies in whether we will see a major or minor pullback. Perhaps even a rally off the bat. In any case a safe bet could be to buy at a test of the 50% Fibonacci level as indicated in the example. Sterling has been pounding away at making new recent highs, you can assume the strength will continue unless proven otherwise. Pullbacks are inevitable and unforeseen but as they say "Trend Is Your Friend" the only concern should be "where do I get on?"
GBPUSD Buy & HoldThis pair gaining the massive pressure thanks the healthy economy itself in U.K, plus interest rate just up and no reversal, plus U.S dollar plunging systematically, looks straight to 1.42200 thru 1.43353 and finally at 1.57000 thru 1.58000. However, keep an eye on lines, they are used to be accurate and you can follow them to go short and long.
Looking for levels (yellow lines) for entries.
Have a Good Trading Week
Cream Live Trading, Best Regards!
Similar movement, different asset biased by GBPUSDKey points for entries (yellow lines). After been knocked out in this pair, we assume exactly the same theory from GBPUSD which target seems to be so far away and that's the reason I'd be looking for a set up and buy and hold, because the RRR will be incredible if we are right. We can use yellow lines with arrows to take short and long position. Anyway we have to consider that if we have a war or a real threat there's absolutely nothing we can do with it.
Target 1: 161.456
Target 2: 178.974
Have a Good Trading Week
Cream Live Trading, Best Regards!
GBPUSDGoing to be shorting GBPUSD on Monday; it had some stong momentum after all the talk of a soft brexit but it is time for a bit of a retracement. There is a consolidated resistance level which can be seen on the chart. Furthermore, the RSI indicator by @ChrisMoody shows that the pound is heavily overbought. I'm setting the stop loss just above the resistance.
Regards,
Sven
Long GBPUSD - Step 3Please see related idea below. In step 1 we took some pips within the structure while we waited for it to break.
In step 2, we took more pips as price broke out of the structure (as described in related idea). I was too busy to post the chart here though.
Now in part 3, we see the price has came back down to test the structure that it has broken out of today. This gives us an opportunity to repeat step 2, should we see a green confirmation candle.
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GBP/NZD 4H Chart: Breaks junior patternThe Pound has recently ended trading in the junior channel down pattern on the four hourly chart pattern against the New Zealand Dollar.
The move was expected due to the fact that the currency pair had touched the lower trend line of a highly speculative medium term channel pattern. The dominant channel is considered speculative, as its trend lines are mildly confirmed.
In regards to the medium term future, the pair should form a new junior pattern, which should be an ascending one. However, before that the pair would face a strong resistance cluster near the 1.91 mark.
GBP/JPY 4H Chart: Pound gains groundThe highly demanded GBP/JPY currency pair has continued to surge. However, it has not occurred in the previously drawn long term channel.
Instead there have been various non-forecasted fluctuations. Although, such events are in general expected from this exchange rate. Due to that reason the Dukascopy research team has adjusted also the long term patterns.
In regards to the near future, during the review a junior channel up pattern was mapped. It is highly likely that this channel together with other support levels will force the rate through the monthly R1 and push higher.
Extremely Long Term EURGBP Chart!Today i'm visiting my favorite Forex pair to look at and discuss a very long term Elliott Wave count that it appears to have formed. It appears as if in early 2008, a 5th wave completed as a high. From there the market has been clearly corrective, ultimately going sideways. A Zig-zag completed into mid 2015 and from there we have seen a sharp move to the upside. The reason I am labeling that particular bounce as a Primary ((A)) instead of ((1)) is because Primary ((B)) is forming a triangle. Wave ((2)) cannot be a triangle as triangles are penultimate patterns and are followed by a wave ((C)), ((5)), ((Y)) or ((Z)). Therefore, I have come to the conclusion that we are likely to see a 3 wave move to the upside from the 2015 low. This means on the Cycle (turquoise) degree, we are going to either see a flat or triangle (variation thereof) pattern. That leads to believe that EURGBP will be capped by 1.10 (and ultimately 1.16) and as long as it remains below this level, it remains under pressure to the downside until the pattern has been completed (as a result of the break of 0.69).
For now, the market looks like it will continue sideways while Primary ((B)) is under progress and therefore there is no great enter and hold opportunities. I would wait for Primary ((B)) to complete before then looking to buy and hold. We have to remember that the pattern could change, however by looking at the previous patterns we can expect this pattern to play out.
I hope you found this useful and in decades to come, we can review this chart. :) Goodluck!
GBPUSD lining up a possible bounce!Price is consolidating within a triangle and is lining up for a possible bounce. We’re seeing major support above 1.3300 to 1.3311 (50% Fibonacci retracement, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) and a strong bounce could occur at this level to push price up to at least 1.3457 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance). Our next major level of support is at 1.3210 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,3,1) is seeing ascending support possibly signaling a bounce is impending.
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GBP/CAD 4H Chart: Reveals another patternThe GBP/CAD pair was last reviewed at the start of December, when it rebounded against the lower trend line of a long term support line. It has to be noted that this trend line is a rather unusual one, but has proven itself throughout the second half of 2017.
That resulted in a rebound and an eventual breaking of the at the time active channel down pattern, which at the time was in the center of attention. However, the pair did not form a medium term channel up pattern, as it could have been expected.
Instead the pair has revealed a different and broader channel down pattern, which is set to keep challenging the support line.