USDCAD Dynamic Resistance|Weekly S/R|21 MA|Technical DivergenceEvening Traders,
Today’s analysis – USDCAD – consecutive lower highs into weekly S/R, price is likely to pivot.
Points to consider,
- Trend bearish (dynamic resistance)
- 21 MA resistance ( confluence)
- Weekly S/R (key support)
- Oscillators technical bullish divergence
- .50 Fibonacci target
USDCAD’s immediate trend is bearish until the dynamic resistance is breached. The 21 MA has been holding price down, in confluence with dynamic resistance, price breaking this will likely lead into a price expansion.
The weekly S/R is a major technical level that price is testing; this is a pivot as price is coiling in its apex. A break in either direction will be noticeable.
The oscillators both have a technical bullish divergence, this increase the probability of breaking bullish, however confirmation will still need to be on a break of dynamic resistance.
Overall, in my opinion, USDCAD is a valid long after breaking key resistance. Price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of trade.
Hope this helps!
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“Trading doesn't just reveal your character, it also builds it if you stay in the game long enough.” ― Yvan Byeajee
Stochastic Oscillator
GBPJPY Bearish Retest| 200DMA| .50 Fibonacci| Support ConfluenceEvening Traders,
Today’s analysis – GBPJPY – putting in a bearish retest, price is to test support, the next technical trade location.
Points to consider,
- Trend bearish retest (Daily S/R)
- Support confluence (.50 Fibonacci & 200DMA)
- Oscillators diverging
- Volume below average
GBPJPY has had an initial rejection from its Daily S/R, putting in a bearish retest. This allows us to have a bearish directional bias.
The local support area has technical confluence (.50 Fibonacci & 200 DMA); price is likely to respect this area leading into a bounce.
Both oscillators are diverging from price (double bearish divergence), this indicates weakness in the market as price struggles to close above Daily S/R.
Volume is currently trading below average; an influx is likely to occur at support confluence as this is the next trade location.
Overall, in my opinion, any rallies are to be sold into for a short play. Price action is to be used upon management/ discretion of trade.
Hope this analysis helps!
Thank you for following my work!
And remember,
“Fear, inherently, is not meant to limit you. Fear is the brain’s way of saying that there is something important for you to overcome.”
― Yvan Byeajee
BTCUSD Key Levels|Weekly S/R|Liquidity Zone|Bearish Price ActionEvening Traders,
Today’s analysis – BTCUSD- strong impulse sell from $12 K psychological, current weekly S/R is at the pivot point for the macro trend.
Points to consider,
- Bearish PA
- Liquidity buy back
- Valid volume climax
- Bearish retest ($11.5K)
BTCUSD continues to trade with bearish price action, no bull volume follow through evident, this allows us to maintain a bearish bias.
The liquidity zone is currently holding true, breaking below this level will be extremely bearish, and price will then likely test lower S/R.
There is a valid volume climax which entails a temporary bottom; price needs to hold above this low for a bounce.
Overall, in my opinion, the most important level for BTCUSD is the $11.5K region, what price action does here will be indicative of the overall trend. A short trade here is valid, immediate nullification will be candle closes above.
Hope this helps!
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And remember,
“All statistics have outliers. Money management, therefore, is key to the process of good trading.”
― Yvan Byeajee
The DXY – Dollar to bounce Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – DXY- testing key weekly support where a bounce is probable,
Points to consider,
- Strong bullish divergence (daily timeframe)
- Oscillators overextended
- Impulse sell into macro support
- Local S/R target
On the weekly timeframe the DXY is resting on major support, price action has a probability of bouncing here.
The oscillators are approaching overextended levels, technically leads to a relief rally; there is a strong bullish divergence on the daily which indicated this.
Impulse sells into macro support levels tend to be respected, DXY breaking this level will be extremely bearish.
The local S/R is the current target; this area is of confluence with technical resistance, 200WMA. Price breaking above this level will make swing high target.
Overall, in my opinion, if the DXY get its bounce going, metals and BTC will have a retrace across the board; this also includes the stock market. This chart is important to keep an eye on for us day traders.
Hope this helps!
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And remember,
“Fear, inherently, is not meant to limit you. Fear is the brain’s way of saying that there is something important for you to overcome.” ― Yvan Byeajee
ZECUSDT Dynamic Resistance| 200 EMA| Swing High| Weekly S/R Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – ZECUSDT – breaking above key dynamic resistance with a retest, a move to swing high is plausible.
Points to consider,
- Weekly S/R respected
- Dynamic Resistance (retest)
- 200 EMA support
- RSI respecting midpoint
- Swing high target
ZECUSDT has respected weekly S/R which allows us to have a bullish bias on the market.
The recent dynamic resistance retest is a confirmation of a true break. Follow through will be needed for continuation.
The 200 EMA is critical support to hold, price action must respect it for a sustained up trend.
RSI is trading above 50 midpoint, this is indicative of bull momentum present after a clean bullish divergence.
The immediate target for ZECUSDT is swing high, breaking this level will see macro trend continuation.
Overall, in my opinion, ZECUSDT is a valid long with defined risk. Price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of trade.
What are your thoughts?
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“Trading effectively is about assessing probabilities, not certainties.” ― Yvan Byeajee
EURUSD| Weekly S/R| RSI Wedge| Increasing Volume Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – EURUSD – impulsive break of weekly S/R, a retest will allow for a valid long.
Points to consider,
- Impulse bull move
- Weekly S/R support confluence (200 WMA)
- Local resistance holding
- RSI wedge
- Volume declining
Price decisively broke weekly S/R, a bullish retest will solidify the level. This allows us to have a bullish bias on the market.
Weekly S/R has technical confluence with the 200 WMA, this level has a high probability of holding true once the retest comes to fruition.
Price action is currently respecting local resistance as the RSI wedges. A break down from this wedge will coincide with price retracing.
The volume profile is noticeably increasing, must sustain for further upside momentum to be had.
Overall, in my opinion, EURUSD is likely to retrace for a retest. This will allow for a risk defined long. Price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of trade.
What are your thoughts?
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“Trading effectively is about assessing probabilities, not certainties.” ― Yvan Byeajee
NZDUSD Weekly S/R | 200 WMA| .50 Fibonacci| Swing Low Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – NZDUSD- testing key weekly S/R with resistance confluence, a move down is plausible.
Points to consider,
- Trend oversold bounce
- Macro weekly S/R ( resistance)
- 200 WMA confluence
- Swing low failure (.50 Fibonacci)
NZDUSD’s price action recovered from oversold conditions, now likely to respect weekly S/R allowing for a short term bearish bias.
The level has technical confluence with the 200WMA that has historically been rejecting price.
Price action is likely to put in a swing low failure, making the immediate target, .50 Fibonacci. How price action forms here will be indicative of the overall trend.
Overall, in my opinion, NZDUSD is a valid short with defined risk. Price action is to be used upon management/ discretion of trade.
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“The mind is a fascinating instrument that can make or break you.” ― yvan Byeajee
EURJPY Structural S/R|Hidden Divergence|.50 Fibonacci|Low VolumeEvening Traders,
Today’s analysis – EURJPY- respecting structural S/R, price action is likely to retrace for a swing low failure.
Points to consider,
- Bearish Retest (Structural S/R)
- Hidden bearish divergence ( RSI)
- Stochastics valid sell cross
- Volume below average
- .50 Fibonacci target
EURJPY respecting structural S/R will validate a bearish retest allowing for a short term bearish bias.
The Structural S/R level coincides with a hidden bearish divergence; the RSI has made a local high whilst price action established a technical lower high.
The Stochastics has a valid sell cross, this is indicative of momentum shifting as buyers become exhausted.
Volume profile is currently below average, an influx is probable as price accelerates towards key levels.
Overall, in my opinion, EURJPY is likely to test the .50 Fibonacci for a swing low failure. This will allow for a short with defined risk at current level. Price action must be used upon discretion/ management of trade.
What are your thoughts?
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“Don't ever make the mistake of believing that market success has to come to you fast. Trade small, stay in the game, persist, and eventually, you'll reach a satisfying level of proficiency.” ― Yvan Byeajee
EURNZD Daily S/R | Support Confluence| .618 Fib| 200 DMA Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – EURNZD- deviating from local swing high, daily S/R is the next trade location with technical confluence.
Points to consider,
- Consecutive HH’s and HL’s (bullish)
- Swing high resistance (respected)
- Daily S/R confluence (.618 Fib & 200DMA)
- Oscillators below 50 mid-point
- Oversold bounce continuation
The macro trend for EURZND is considered bullish with consecutive higher lows and higher highs.
Price action respected swing high, now trading towards daily S/R. This area has strong technical confluence with the .618 Fibonacci and the 200 DMA. Price has a higher probability of bouncing here.
Both oscillators are below 50, not officially overextended. Oversold conditions will coincide with price testing daily S/R, leading to a probable oversold bounce continuation.
Overall, in my opinion, EURNZD, respecting daily S/R will allow for a valid long. Price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of trade.
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“Trading effectively is about assessing probabilities, not certainties.” ― Yvan Byeajee
FIOBTC Double Bottom| Liquidity Run| Dynamic Resistance| PAEvening Traders,
Today’s analysis, FIOBTC trading towards a probable double bottom structure, confirmation will be on the break of dynamic resistance.
Points to consider,
- PA approaching trade location
- Equal lows (liquidity run)
- Key dynamic resistance
- Oscillators over-extended
- Swing high target
FIOBTC’s price action is approaching a key trade location where a pivot bullish is probable. This will establish a double bottom in the market structure.
The equal lows increases the probability of a liquidity run, price action closing above with a wick will be indicative.
Breaking the dynamic resistance will confirm trend reversal with the immediate target swing high.
Oscillators both are overextended reaching oversold conditions; this indicates an oversold bounce being probable as price reaches liquidity.
Overall, in my opinion, FIOBTC breaking dynamic resistance will allow for a valid long into swing high. Price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of trade.
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“If you can learn to create a state of mind that is not affected by the market’s behavior, the struggle will cease to exist.” – Mark Douglas
ADAUSDT Weakness| Weekly S/R| 21 MA| Low Volume| Bearish Retest Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – ADAUSDT – likely to retest lower weekly S/R before trend continuation, price action is currently bearish.
Points to consider,
- Local S/R Flipped
- 21 MA Resistance
- Oscillators below 50
- Below average volume
- Lower Weekly S/R Retest
ADAUSDT has lost local S/R, any rallies into it are considered a bearish retest, this allows for an immediate bearish retest.
The 21 MA is in confluence with local resistance, this further solidifies the area as a trade location.
The oscillators are both below 50, the RSI not being officially oversold is indicative of further momentum down.
ADAUSDT has below average volume; price action is currently in an equilibrium that will break with an influx.
Overall, in my opinion, ADAUSDT respecting local resistance with a bearish retest will allow for a short trade. Price action must be used upon discretion/ management of trade, the immediate target it lower Weekly S/R.
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“You become fearful the moment you identify with fear. But once you begin seeing it as an impersonal changing phenomenon, you become free.”
― Yvan Byeajee
SXPUSDT Local S/R| Dynamic Resistance | Swing High| Daily S/R Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – SXPUSDT – breaking dynamic resistance with swing high immediate target, local S/R must hold as support.
Points to consider,
- Local S/R Flip retest
- Dynamic resistance breached
- 21 MA support
- Oscillators above 50
- Volume below average
SXPUSDT is trading above local resistance, respecting this level will confirm an S/R Flip allowing for trend continuation.
The dynamic resistance has been breached with candle closes above it. This is an early sign of a trend change occurring.
Current support is the 21 MA, price respecting this will give us a visual guide in reaching swing high target.
The oscillators are above 50 mid-point, this shows strength in the market allowing for a short term bullish bias.
The volume is currently below average, an influx is highly probable as this is a key trade location.
Overall, in my opinion, SXPUSDT is likely to hold local S/R Flip retest. This allows for a long entry with defined risk. Price action must be used upon discretion/ management of trade.
What are your thoughts?
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“Why do you think unsuccessful traders are obsessed with market analysis? They crave the sense of certainty that analysis appears to give them. Although few would admit it, the truth is that the typical trader wants to be right on every single trade. He is desperately trying to create certainty where it just doesn’t exist.” – Mark Douglas
OAXBTC Falling Wedge| Weekly S/R| Swing High| Low Volume Evening Traders,
Today’s Analysis – OAXBTC- trading in a falling wedge structure holding weekly S/R, a break bullish will see continuation.
Points to consider,
- Bullish chart formation
- Weekly S/R Support confluence
- Swing high immediate target
- RSI diverting
- Volume declining
OAXBTC is trading in a falling wedge pattern that has a higher probability of breaking bullish. Price is approaching its apex, signalling a break imminent in the immediate term.
The weekly S/R is holding true confirming an S/R Flip retest. This level has multiple technical confluence, the 200 DMA & DEMA with the .50 Fibonacci – proving to be a strong trade location.
Activation of the falling wedge will make the immediate target swing high, breaking this level will confirm trend continuation.
The RSI is currently diverting, a reclaim above the 50 mid-point is an early indication of price breaking.
The volume profile is declining, common in patterns as price finds its equilibrium. An influx will signal price breaking leading to an expansion.
Overall, in my opinion, OAXBTC is likely to hold weekly S/R allowing for a long trade with defined risk. Price action is to be used upon discretion| management of the trade.
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“You create your own game in your mind based on your beliefs, intents, perception and rules.”
― Mark Douglas
NZDJPY Dynamic Resistance| Local S/R| 200 DMA| Macro Bear Trend Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – NZDJPY- in a macro bear trend where rallies are to be sold into until proven otherwise, current set up allows for a short.
Points to consider,
- Consecutive LH’s & LL’s
- Local S/R Flip bearish
- Weekly S/R target
- Oscillators below 50
- Volume below average
NZDJPY has a bearish bias as the trend continues to establish lower highs. The local S/R has been flipped; a bearish retest will solidify the level. Essentially this retest will allow for a short entry.
The weekly S/R is this immediate target, holding this area is crucial if the market structure is to be changed.
Both oscillators are currently below 50, this is an indication of weakness. Price Action can travel further down before hitting oversold conditions.
The volume is below average, an influx will be indicative of price movement from key trade locations.
Overall, in my opinion, a local S/R Flip retest will allow for a valid short with risk defined. Price Action is to be used upon discretion/ management of trade.
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“Trade the market in front of you, not the one you want!” – Scott Redler
CADJPY Daily S/R| Support Confluence| 200 DMA| Local Resistance Evening traders,
Today’s Analysis – CADJPY – trading at a pivot with strong support, price is likely to trade towards swing high.
Points to consider,
- Trend bullish (S/R Flips)
- Daily S/R Confluence (200 DMA & DEMA)
- Swing high target
- Oscillators neutral
- Volume below average
CADJPY’s immediate trend is establishing S/R Flips which allow for a short term bullish bias on the market.
The current daily S/R is strong support with multiple technical confluences. Price is respecting the 200 DMA & 200 DEMA, with an S/R Flip retest. Price technically has a higher probability of deviating bullish from this pivot.
Swing high is the local target for CADJPY, breaching this level will establish a higher high, continuing the trend.
Both oscillators are neutral; remaining above 50 indicates momentum is still shifted bullish for the immediate term.
The current volume nodes are below average, an influx is likely as price trades at support. This will confirm a true respect of the level as price deviates with increasing volume.
Overall, in my opinion, CADJPY is likely to respect Daily S/R allowing for a valid long. Price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of the trade.
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“Focus, patience, wise discernment, non-attachment —the skills you acquire in meditation and the skills you need to thrive in trading are one and the same.”
― Yvan Byeajee
CRVBTC Structural Support|Daily S/R|Equilibrium| Low VolumeEvening Traders,
Today’s analysis – CRVBTC- price action needs to hold structural support for a trend continuation trade.
Points to consider,
- Trend higher lows
- Key support respected
- Daily S/R resistance
- Oscillators equilibrium
- Declining Volume
CRVBTC’s trend needs to establish a higher low to keep market structure intact, allowing for a continued bullish bias.
Structural support has been respected; price action must remain above this level, breaking below will negate structure.
The Daily S/R is immediate resistance; price breaking this level will confirm a higher high, confirming trend continuation.
Both oscillators are trading in an equilibrium towards there apex where a break will be imminent.
This will be in confluence with price breaking key levels.
The volume profile is declining, common in equilibriums, a volume influx will signal a break, follow through is needed to avoid false breaks,
Overall, in my opinion, CRVBTC is a valid long from structural support for a trend continuation trade. Price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of the trade.
What are your thoughts?
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“Reaching any goal in trading requires specific domain knowledge and technical skills. But then, after that, it's all mindset management. Yet most people ignore that —they automatically think they have that last part all figured out, and it's a mistake.” ― Yvan Byeajee
VET Dynamic Resistance|.618 Fib| Swing high|Structural supportEvening Traders,
Today’s analysis – VETUSDT- breaching dynamic resistance with an impulse move, swing high being the immediate target.
Points to consider,
- Local downtrend broken
- Retest confluence (.618 Fibonacci)
- Key dynamic resistance breached (swing high target)
- Stochastics flat
- Volume below average
VETUSDT’s down trend has been breached by taking out its dynamic resistance. This gives us a bullish bias on the immediate trend.
A structural support retest is probable; price is likely to respect this level due to high demand, currently holding the .618 Fibonacci.
The RSI is declining, remaining above 50 will allow for a bullish bias on the market. The stochastics is currently flat; this is an indication of momentum being stored to the upside. Price action must remain bullish for upside target (swing high).
The volume profile is currently below average, an influx will coincide with an impulsive move. Volume needs to be backed up by price action for follow through.
Overall, in my opinion, VETUSDT reaming above structural support will allow for a valid long with defined risk. Price action is to be used upon discretion / management of the trade.
What are your thoughts?
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“Trading effectively is about assessing probabilities, not certainties.”
― Yvan Byeajee
QTUMBTC Daily S/R| Trend Trade|.50 Fibonacci |Range Mid point Evening Traders,
Today’s Analysis – QTUMUSDT- breaking daily S/R after running liquidity, a long trade is valid for continuation.
Points to consider,
- Trend bullish (consecutive higher lows)
- Daily S/R Flip retest (.50 Fibonacci)
- Range Mid (Local Resistance)
- Oscillators above 50
- Volume below average
QTUMUSDT’s immediate trend is bullish with consecutive higher highs and higher lows, this gives us a bullish bias on the market.
The current daily S/R is likely to be back tested for an S/R Flip retest. Holding the .50 Fibonacci will maintain the bullish structure.
Range midpoint is local resistance that has been respected, price is likely to consolidate below this level before continuation.
Both oscillators are above 50, this signals strength in the market, breaking bellow will be bearish.
The current volume profile is below average, an influx is likely upon a back test, this will signify momentum picking up in the trend.
Overall, in my opinion, a back test and hold of the .50 Fibonacci will allow for a valid long. Risk must be defined and price action to be used for discretion and management of the trade.
What are your thoughts?
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“Trading mastery is a state of complete acceptance of probability, not a state of fight it.”
― Yvan Byeajee
RLCBTC Daily S/R| .618 Fibonacci|Technical Confluence|Swing highEvening Traders,
Today’s Analysis – RLCBTC- in strong uptrend breaking daily S/R. A retest of the level will allow for a long.
Points to consider,
- Immediate trend bullish
- Daily support confluence (.618 Fibonacci & 200MA)
- Swing high (immediate target)
- RSI above 50
- Stochastics flat
- Volume declining
RLCBTC’s trend has been establishing consecutive HH’s and HL’s giving us a bullish bias on the market.
The daily support is a key trade location with multiple technical confluences. The .618 Fibonacci and the 200 MA is likely to be respected upon a back test.
RLCBTC’s swing high is the immediate target; price action breaking this level will increase the probability of trend continuation.
The RSI is currently above 50, likely to dip with the correction, maintaining above 50- midpoint will keep the bullish bias intact.
Stochastics is currently in the lower regions, there is stored momentum to the upside that will coincide with price movement.
Volume is currently declining; this is an indication of an influx being probable at daily S/R as it is the next trade location.
Overall, in my opinion, RLCBTC is a valid long at daily S/R, risk being defined below previous low. Price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of the trade.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
“All statistics have outliers. Money management, therefore, is key to the process of good trading.”
― Yvan Byeajee
AUDJPY Rising Channel|Bearish Divergence|Key Zone|Low Volume Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – AUDJPY – range trading in a rising channel, price action is approaching key resistance/ liquidity level where a rejection is probable.
Points to consider,
- Trend Ranging
- Resistance respected (liquidity area)
- Local support immediate target (market structure)
- Double bearish divergence
- Declining volume
AUDJPY’s immediate trend is in a rising channel that has defined support and resistance. Breaking out of the channel will help with the directional bias.
Resistance initially has been respected; this is a key liquidity zone where potential short filling will occur. The immediate target to the downside is local support; this level needs to hold to maintain market structure.
There is a valid bearish divergence on the RSI and Stochastics, this indicates weakness, momentum is likely shifting.
The volume profile is declining which usually indicates an influx, especially at key levels. An influx needs to be backed with follow through to avoid false breaks.
Overall, in my opinion, price action is probable to test resistance again allowing for a valid short. The short is risk defined entry with invalidation above swing high. Price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of trade.
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“A lot of people get so enmeshed in the markets that they lose their perspective. Working longer does not necessarily equate with working smarter. In fact, sometimes is the other way around.” - Martin Schwartz
AUDUSD Bearish Divergence|Range Resistance|.618 Fib| Low VolumeEvening Traders,
Today’s analysis – AUDUSD – testing range resistance with bearish price action indicating a down move being plausible,
Points to consider,
- Trend at pivot point
- Resistance respected
- Range mid-point target (.618 overextension)
- Oscillators diverging (RSI & Stochastics )
- Volume below average
AUDUSD’s trend is at a trade location, price has a high probability of pivoting. Current range resistance has been respected with bearish price action.
There is a valid double bearish divergence which signifies weakness in the market. The oscillators established lower highs whilst the price established a higher high.
The Range midpoint with the .618 Fibonacci over-extension is the immediate target. Price is likely to retrace and respect this level due to technical confluence with the 200 DMA.
Volume is currently below average, an influx will coincide with the direction of the trend, follow through needs to be noticeable.
Overall, in my opinion, bearish price action at resistance allows for a valid short with defined risk. Discretion must be used upon management of the trade.
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“In order to succeed, you first have to be willing to experience failure.”
― Yvan Byeajee
GBPCAD Structural S/R|200 MA Support|.50 Fib|Weekly Resistance Evening Traders,
Today’s Analysis –GBPCAD- holding structural level where a move into weekly resistance is plausible.
Points to consider,
- Price range trading
- Structural support confluence (.50 Fibonacci & 200 MA)
- Weekly Resistance target
- Oscillators neutral
- Bullish price action
GBPCAD’s immediate trend is range bound respecting key levels. Structural support is the immediate trade location with technical confluence. The .50 Fibonacci and the 200 MA is likely to be respected upon a back test.
This will solidify an S/R Flip retest.
The immediate target is weekly resistance, breaking this level will mean breaking the range – trend continuation.
Oscillators are both trading neutral after declining from overbought conditions. Remaining above 50 midpoint allows for a short term bullish bias on the market.
Overall, in my opinion, respecting structural support is bullish allowing for a long entry. Risk needs to be defined with immediate target weekly resistance. Price action is to be used upon discretion/ management of the trade.
What are your thoughts?
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“You’re going to learn a million things, then you need to forget them all and focus on one.” – @SunriseTrader