LINKBTC Uptrend| Structural Support| 200 MA Pivot Today’s Technical Analysis – LINKBTC - trading in a clear long term uptrend putting in consecutive higher lows.
Points to consider,
- 200 MA support confluence
- Double top resistance
- Structural support (trade location)
- Stochastics projected own
LINKBTC has been respecting the 200 MA where a retest usually ends with an impulse move up. Structural support is in confluence, solidifying a trade location, price is likely to pivot at this region.
The double top resistance is a visual target if support is respected, break above this will lead into a blue sky breakout.
Stochastics is currently projected down; the RSI is not officially oversold, indicating further downside momentum likely.
Overall, in my opinion, a valid long entry at structural support is a decent trade idea with clear risk mitigation.
Invalidation will be below the recent swing low under structural support
What are your thoughts?
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“It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you‘re wrong.” -George Soros
Stochastic Oscillator
EURUSD ShortJust caught a really good trend.
Price rejected the resistance at 1.08859 and started to put down heavily.
The bears took the charge big time.
RSI and Stochastic were in heavily bought territory.
MACD crossed over and i enered.
I got in this one at around 1.08742 with SL at 1.09000 (placed after the recent high as i didn't think it would reach that high again).
TP at 1.08228.
We took a really nice 50 pips in this one in the space of just under 3 and a half hours.
Looking to pick up another trade (long) as i think we will see a rejection of the support at 1.08192.
BNBUSDT Resistance Confluence| Demand Zone| Bearish Retest Evening Traders,
Today’s Technical Analysis – BNBUSDT – wedge formation has broken bearish, testing local support (demand zone), which has led to buy backs.
Points to consider,
- Resistance Confluence
- Bearish retest
- Local Support (Demand Zone)
- Stochastic lower highs
- RSI below 50
Long candle wicks confirm buy pressure coming in at local support, BNB is currently putting in a bearish retest at structural resistance, confirmation will likely revisit local support, this will then further solidify a macro lower high.
A break of structural resistance on the other hand will increase the probability of taking out the current high, continuing the trend.
The RSI is currently neutral, not officially oversold whilst the stochastics is projecting lower highs, indicating potential further downside.
Overall, in my opinion, BNBUSDT has two clear levels to breach, structural resistance and or local support. These are key levels to pay attention to when developing a directional bias.
What are your thoughts?
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“There is only one side of the market and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side.” –Jesse Livermore
EURUSD LongMy trade yesterday looks to have gone to plan.
I got in just after the highest high as illustrated on the chart.
As you can see both Stochastic and RSI proved that the market was being over bought.
This points to a sell.
The resistance at 1.08505 was passed with flying colours but volatility soon started to fade.
Then MACD crossed over which pinpointed my entry point.
It is looking as if things are going to go from overbought to oversold pretty quickly.
I am looking to get a long position when the same circumstances appear but being oversold not overbought (obviously).
EURUSD ShortAs a continuation of my last post it looks like price has smashed though the resistance i thought t would stop at and shot right up to the next one.
RSI and Stochastic starting to heavily indicate overbought conditions.
Waiting for MACD cross over before entry.
We might see a reversal on the next resistance at 1.08528
LINKUSDT Watch Price Action | Range Median| Local Support Evening Traders,
Today’s Analysis – LINKUSDT – clear break out failure, trading back into its range most likely to form an equilibrium, how price action forms will dictate the next probable move
Points to consider,
- Overthrow failure
- Demand zone respected
- PA Consolidation
- Range trading (local support and range median)
- Volume climax
Price recently had an impulse move down confirming a break out failure at a key level. Sell pressure pushed price into demand zone where the bulls showed up, subsequent oversold bounce.
The current trading range is between Local support and range median, key trade locations upon a break.
Price action will be important to monitor at these levels subsequently with the RSI and Stochastics, which are quite neutral at current given time, needs more development.
Volume climax evident, indication of seller exhaustion as price balances supply and demand
Overall in my opinion, LINKUST may forma equilibrium before its next impulse move, the way price action forms at key levels will determine a directional bias.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
“You create your own game in your mind based on your beliefs, intents, perception and rules.” ― Mark Douglas
LTCUSDT the Sleeping Giant | Resistance Confluence| Weekly RangeEvening Traders,
Recent developments on LTCUSDT have not been much, lagging behind the broader market in general. From a technical stand point it needs to break above the weekly resistance zone for an impulse move.
Points to consider,
- Immediate trend bullish
- Resistance multiple confluences
- RSI above 50
- Stochastics buy cross (larger time frame)
- Volume influx likely
LTCUSDT’s trend is respecting its local support establishing higher lows into the weekly range, the next trade location.
Current resistance has multiple confluences, the .382 Fibonacci and structural horizontal needs to be breached decisively to enter the weekly range
The RSI is above 50 whilst the stochastics has recently established a buy signal, both clear on the higher time frame.
This can be an indication that momentum is shifting
Volume influxes are probable in the weekly resistance zone, historically has been the case. A break above weekly resistance will be the long confirmation as LTCUSDT has been lagging against the market.
What are your thoughts?
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“There are no guarantees in trading. The sooner you accept that you sooner you can release your expectations and focus unconditionally on a proven process.”― Yvan Byeajee
XTZBTC Long Term Trend Line| Structural Support| Stoch Cross Evening Trader’s,
Today’s Technical Analysis – XTZBTC- bouncing off from its trend line, an area of significance for the overall market structure
Points to consider,
- Macro trend line holding
- Structural support confluence
- Resistance test sell off
- RSI below 50
- Stochastics buy cross
- Volume below average
XTZBTC is respecting its macro trend line with an initial bounce that needs follow through. This area must hold as it is in confluence with structural support, a break will negate market structure.
The resistance test lead to an impulsive sell off, a correction to local resistance is highly probable
The RSI is below 50, not officially oversold whilst the stochastics has a buy cross at lower levels, indication of momentum shifting.
Volume has been below average for a while; a bull influx at a key technical level will show strength in price action. This is important as failure can run the risk of negating the whole market structure.
Overall, in my opinion, XTZBTC has a high probability of testing local resistance. A break above will confirm the respect of the longer term trend.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
“Trading mastery is a state of complete acceptance of probability, not a state of fight it.”
― Yvan Byeajee
TRXUSDT Local Support| Hidden bullish Div| Volume Climax Evening Traders
Today’s Technical Analysis – TRXUSDT – trading in a small range with defined levels to breach for either a bull or bearish scenario.
Points to consider,
- Bullish trend (higher lows)
- Structural resistance (triple top)
- Local support holding (wicks)
- RSI possible divergence (Further confirmation needed)
- Stochastics momentum down
- Volume climax evident
The local trend is bullish with consecutive higher lows but it is now important to note that a triple top may be in if structural resistance does not get breached.
Local support is holding true as a current trade location; multiple wicks suggest buy pressure coming in.
Also another important observation is that these wicks are in a higher low fashion.
The RSI has a probable hidden bullish divergence, putting in lower lows as price puts in higher lows.
Confirmation will be on the next confluence touch at local support.
The stochastics momentum is stored down, currently at 50, there is room for further downside as price retraces.
Volume climax is evident, indicating that a temporary top is in; this will obviously be negated with a breach of structural resistance.
Overall, in my opinion, TRXUSDT needs to come for a retest of local support; this is where the hidden bullish divergence will be confirmed and or negated.
What are your thoughts?
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“Fear, inherently, is not meant to limit you. Fear is the brain’s way of saying that there is something important for you to overcome.” ― Yvan Byeajee
COTIBTC Bullish Divergence| Local Resistance| Low VolumeEvening Trader’s
Today’s Technical Analysis – COTIBTC – trading at local support, a break of the 21 MA will further confirm a rally in to local resistance.
Points to consider,
- Local support holding
- Valid bullish divergence
- 21 MA current resistance
- RSI below 50
- Stochastics projected up
- Volume below average
COTIBTC is trading at local support forming a valid bullish divergence where an impulse move into local resistance is probable.
The 21 MA needs to break, current resistance, this will confirm further upside in the immediate term.
RSI is clearly diverging from price; break of its 50 level will change the immediate bias to bullish.
The Stochastics currently has stored momentum to the upside, currently no valid sell cross.
Volume is below average, an impulse is probable as this is a trade location.
Overall, in my opinion, COTIBTC needs further confirmation by breaking the 21 MA before a probable impulse move into local resistance as volume is below average.
What are your thoughts?
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“The key to trading success is emotional discipline. If intelligence were the key, there would be a lot more people making money trading… I know this will sound like a cliche, but the single most important reason that people lose money in the financial markets is that they don’t cut their losses short.” – Victor Spreandeo
NZDUSD Oversold bounce| Structural support| Long liquidity Evening Traders,
Today’s technical analysis – NZDUSD – recovering from an oversold bounce closing back into key structure where a test of local resistance is likely
Points to consider,
- Trend bearish (lower highs)
- Oversold bounce
- Local resistance confluence
- RSI at 50
- Stochastics valid sell cross
- Volume climax evident
Consecutive lower highs for NZDUSD, breaking key structure for what looks like a valid long liquidity hunt.
The oversold bounce broke back into structural support; price has been consolidating above this technical level where a retest is likely.
Local resistance itself has multiple confluences, the.618 Fibonacci and the 200 MA will converge as price trades closer.
The RSI is currently at 50, travelling in a wedge where a break will be imminent. Stochastics on the other hand has a valid divergence from price, an indication that momentum is stored to the downside.
A volume climax node is evident, bear volume had little follow through as bulls maintain price above structural support.
Overall, in my opinion, NZDUSD is likely to retest structural support due to bearish oscillators. An impulse move into local resistance is probable if support holds true.
What are your thoughts?
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“All statistics have outliers. Money management, therefore, is key to the process of good trading.” ― Yvan Byeajee
SPX Rising Wedge|Stochastics bearish Div|.618 Fib Resistance Evening Traders,
Today’s technical analysis – S&P 500 lndex – breaking out if its rising wedge structure, respecting strong upper resistance, it is likely to establish a macro lower high.
Points to consider,
- Bearish trend structure
- .618 Fibonacci Resistance
- Local Support retest
- RSI testing 50
- Stochastics bearish divergence
SPX Index is in bear trend with this macro lower high likely to be set due to the break of the rising wedge.
The .618 Fibonacci is current resistance, travelling below it is considered to be a bear market, a break above and consolidation will negate this narrative as this will also take out the 200 MA.
Local support is likely to be tested as this is the next structural trade location, bulls need to defend this level.
The RSI is likely to break 50, where trading below will increase the probability of a bearish bias. Stochastics on the other hand is clearly showing a valid bearish divergence, indicating momentum shifting bearish.
Overall, in my opinion, SPX is due for a correction, breaking this rising wedge increases the probability of putting in a lower high.
The trend is still developing, but these are early signs of momentum running out for the bulls.
What are your thoughts?
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“A peak performance trader is totally committed to being the best and doing whatever it takes to be the best. He feels totally responsible for whatever happens and thus can learn from mistakes. These people typically have a working business plan for trading because they treat trading as a business.” - Van K. Tharp
Macro Broadening Wedge Pattern| MA Support| Declining Volume Evening Trader’s
What a historic day in Bitcoins price – assessing the situation, Bitcoin is trading in a probable broadening wedge pattern on the weekly timeframe.
Points to consider,
- Immediate trend parabolic
- Resistance line tested
- Moving Average support
- RSI crossed 50
- Stochastics projected up
- Volume tapering of
BTC has had an insane pump from the low, consecutive weekly green candle closes breaking all structural resistances and cleaning up the CME gap.
Current resistance being a staunched one was tapped, further solidifying its importance. The Moving Average, 21, visually coming in as support which can hold true for the time being.
RSI has crossed 50, historically this indicates and uptrend on the weekly whilst this stochastics is projecting up, momentum is shifting.
The bull volume nodes are declining with an evident volume climax on the lower timeframes, suggesting temporary top being in.
Overall, in my opinion, BTCUSDT is due for a correction after this significant rise. The wick represents profit taking, BTCUSDT is not officially out of the woods until we break this pattern.
What are your thoughts?
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“In order to succeed, you first have to be willing to experience failure.” ― Yvan Byeajee,
CGC New Range| Structural Support/Resistance| S/R Flip Evening Traders,
Today’s Technical Analysis – CGC - impulse move into resistance where CGC is likely to range trade.
Points to consider,
- Macro trend bearish
- Resistance confluence
- S/R Flip retest
- RSI above 50
- Volume climax
CGC’s macro trend has been putting in consecutive lower highs with a recent sell of ending with an oversold bounce.
Currently testing structural resistance which is in confluence with the 200 MA, a rejection is probable.
This will likely lead to a retest of support, confirming the S/R Flip
RSI is above 50, cooling off from oversold conditions whilst the stochastics is trading in the upper regions with a sell cross coming to fruition.
Volume climax is evident, indicating temporary bottom may be in as CGC finds its equilibrium
Overall, in my opinion, CGC is likely to trade in this range before another impulse move. CGC’s general immediate trend can be determined by the break of either of the key support and or resistance level.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
“In order to succeed, you first have to be willing to experience failure.” ― Yvan Byeajee
USDCHF Symmetrical Triangle|Low Volume|Apex|Breakout Imminent Evening Traders,
Today’s Technical Analysis – USDCHF- a clear symmetrical triangle at pay, price is approaching its apex before an imminent break.
Points to consider,
- Trend Bullish (Consecutive higher lows)
- Support and Resistances converging
- RSI neutral (Above 50)
- Stochastics in upper regions
- Volume declining
The immediate trend is bullish with consecutive lower highs from local bottom. Price is finding its equilibrium in this larger symmetrical triangle as support and resistance converge.
The RSI is neutral above 50 whilst the stochastics is in the upper regions, an indication of buy momentum still being present.
Volume is clearly declining as price is reaching its apex of the symmetrical triangle; this is an indication of an influx in volume.
Overall, in my opinion, a breakout is imminent, very tradeable, price is coming close to its apex as support and resistance converge.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
“You become fearful the moment you identify with fear. But once you begin seeing it as an impersonal changing phenomenon, you become free.” ― Yvan Byeajee
XTZBTC Fractal| .618 Fibonacci| Trend Line| Volume Profile Evening Traders,
Today’s Analysis – XTZBTC – a highly probable fractal at play, the .618 Fibonacci coinciding with the overall trend line perfectly.
Points to consider,
- Trend Bullish
- Impulse move from .618 Fibonacci
- RSI neutral
- Stochastics in upper regions
- Similar volume profile
XTZ’s trend is bullish with consecutive established higher highs, respecting the trend line to a T.
The .618 Fibonacci has held true twice with confluence from the trend line, leading to two impulse moves.
RSI is currently neutral, similar to the previous test of the trend; this goes the same with the stochastics, trading in the upper regions (momentum is up).
The volume profile looks similar in shape, a declining and tapering off as price magnets to the trend line.
Overall, in my opinion, this is a highly probable fractal at play with a retest of the trend line being the confirmation. It is an easy manageable trade where invalidation will come quickly, that is when the trend line breaks.
What are your thoughts?
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“People who look for easy money invariable pay for the privilege of proving conclusively that it cannot be found on this earth.” - Jesse Livermore
BTCUSDT Head and Shoulders|Volume Climax|Neck Line Retest Entry Evening Traders,
Today’s technical analysis – BTCUSDT – breaking its heads and shoulders pattern with a technical target situated at around $6100.
Points to consider,
- Trend Bearish (Neckline breached)
- Rising Wedge broke with a retest
- Structural support holding true
- RSI below 50 (Not officially oversold)
- Stochastics below 50 (Sell pressure evident)
- Volume climax node evident
BTCUSDT has broken its neckline with conviction confirming the head and shoulders pattern, a retest is likely for a short entry.
The macro rising wedge support line broke with a bearish retest, putting in BTC’s right shoulder and continuing the overall lower high projection.
Structural support is currently holding true, a retracement back to the neckline is probable which is in confluence with the .382 Fibonacci.
The RSI is below 50 but not oversold, recovery is probable as price is testing a key support. The stochastics on the other hand is also below 50. Sell pressure is still evident and there is momentum stored to the downside.
An evident volume climax node has been printed, sign that a temporary bottom may be in, price is trying to find its equilibrium before another probable impulse move.
Overall, in my opinion, the macro trend is bearish; BTC just broke out of a bearish pattern, the head and shoulders. Retest and confirmation of the neckline is on the cards which will allow for a short entry.
What are your thoughts?
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“If I hadn’t made money some of the time I might have acquired market wisdom quicker.”
Jesse Livermore
ETHBTC Bull Flag| S/R Flip| Support Confluence| Pull Back Entry Evening Traders,
Today’s Analysis – ETHBTC – forming a potential bull flag above a key level, volume influx is needed for confirmation,
Points to consider,
- Trend bullish
- Confirmation of S/R Flip
- Bull Flag confluence ( .382 Fibonacci)
- RSI neutral
- Stochastics above 50
- Volume declining
ETHBTC's trend has been bullish, breaching a very key level with consolidation above structural resistance. A bull flag is likely forming, will be valid as long as the .382 Fibonacci holds which is in confluence with the now probable support upon a retest (S/R Flip).
The RSI is quite neutral sitting at 50; it does have a higher low projection using the trend line as a guide. Stochastics on the other hand is trading just above 50, indicating buy pressure coming in.
Volume is clearly low, an influx will be needed for a confirmation if a true bull flag and a continuation in the trend.
Overall, in my opinion, the .382 Fibonacci needs to hold which is aligned with the S/R flip. The technical target of the bull flag is aligned with local resistance.
What are your thoughts?
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“I know from experience that nobody can give me a tip or a series of tips that will make more money for me than my own judgement.” - Jesse Livermore
USDCAD Descending Triangle| Low Volume| Structural Support|Apex Evening Traders,
Today’s Technical Analysis – USDCAD – in a probable descending triangle formation, support and resistances are converging thus a breakout is imminent.
Points to consider,
- Trend bearish – consecutive lower highs
- Clear resistance line to breach
- Structural support being tested
- RSI diverging from price
- Stochastics projected down
- Volume Cleary declining
USDCAD’s immediate trend is bearish after putting in a local top – coincided from a break of key structural resistance in the lower regions of the chart. A break and close of this clear resistance line will negate the overall bearish formation.
Structural support is being tested, holding true, forming a bullish divergence, the RSI is putting in higher lows whilst price puts in lower lows. This is a sign that price might have strength to retest resistance again.
The stochastics is currently projected down, coinciding with the lower high projection; momentum is stored to the downside.
The volume is clearly declining, indication that an impulse move is imminent especially as price trades close to its apex.
Overall, in my opinion, USDCAD will have a breakout as support and resistances converge. A break down is more probable due to the bearish nature of the trend and formation.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember – Jesse Livermore once said,
“It took me five years to learn to play the game intelligently enough to make big money when I was right.”
EURUSD Multi Month Resistance| Volume Climax| ApexEvening Traders,
Today’s Technical analysis will focus on EURUSD pairings, a clear monthly resistance pushing price down while support holding true – price is nearing its APEX.
Points to consider,
- Trend bearish (consecutive lower highs)
- Multi-Month Resistance line respected
- Structural support tested
- RSI neutral
- Stochastics in the lower regions
- Volume climax evident
EURUSD trend has been bearish over an extended period of time – putting in consecutive lower highs as price respects its multi-month resistance line. A break of this resistance line will allow structural support to hold true.
Price is travelling into its apex, - a breakout is imminent.
The RSI is below 50, quite neutral, no clear divergences have been set, previous divergence played out bullish at structural support. Stochastics on the other hand is in the lower regions; momentum is stored for an upside move.
Volume climax nodes are evident, sign of seller exhaustion, temporary bottom is in until price finds its equilibrium which will coincide with the apex.
Overall, in my opinion, EURUSD will have a break in the coming years as support and resistance levels converge. A break of multi month resistance will likely push EURUSD in to its local resistance.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
" Only enter a trade after the action of the market confirms your opinion and then enter promptly" - Jesse Livermore
ONTBTC Double Bottom| S/R Flip| Pull Back Entry Evening Traders,
Today’s technical analysis will focus on ONT/BTC, breaking a key level with conviction; an S/R flip retest is likely for a trade entry.
Points to consider,
- Resistance breached
- S/R flip for confirmation
- 200 EMA immediate resistance
- 21 MA confluence (upon S/R Flip Retest)
- RSI in overbought
- Stochastics in upper regions
- Increasing bull volume nodes
ONTBTC has broken an important level with candle closes above; price was consolidating under resistance giving a sign of increasing buy pressure. A Support/ Resistance flip is probable for a confirmation of the now support.
The 200 EMA is current resistance (candle has not closed above it), price is likely to respect it initiating a rejection. The 21 MA on the other hand is likely to be in confluence with the S/R flip retest if price retraces (it is likely to align).
The RSI is in overbought conditions, sign that the current impulse move is overextended. While the stochastics is in the upper regions, can stay trading here for a while however stored momentum to the downside.
Increasing bull volume nodes are evident, can be interpreted as a sign that buy pressure will continue to test upper regions.
Overall, in my opinion, ONTBTC has breached a key level; a retest is highly probable to confirm an S/R flip – allowing for a pullback entry.
What are your thoughts?
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“Whenever I have had the patience to wait for the market to arrive at what I call a Pivotal Point before I started to trade; I have always made money in my operations.” - Jesse Livermore