DOGEUSD looks overextended from big-rises. Sell or buy Dip
If you follow the stochastic's at all, esp. on higher timeframes, if you don't well that is fine, but I will share my tip, you never want to see K line (generally blue) crossing down on the D line if you are in a Long position, but an even further bearish possible move is when the K-line crosses down on the 80 Stochastic's level.
Now the fundamentals of the indicator are similar to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), anything above 80 and staying above 80 will become further overbought in a situation where there has been too much recent buying demand orders executed and as such sellers will usually move-in, but traditionally not until k Crosses-down on 80, getting to 75 will probably seal the deal short for sellers as this crossing of K needs to be a sustained crossing and needs to be moving down, this would occur much slower on a daily timeframe of course. Drop to lower timeframes and see what the oversold/overbought condition is for Stochastic's on lower TF's because the more confluence you have with the Daily the better.
It does not necessarily have to be on the Daily, but bigger timeframes carry bigger profits, generally, depending on SL position and risk/reward. Often, the first TF to meet the setup will be a lower TF, but profits can be made on a Crossing of the Daily chart, it would mean the trade is probably safer in higher TF, by that I mean trade goes your way in your intended direction, in this instance Short.
But here is the controversy of Stochastic X-ups (bullish above 20 level) & X-downs (bearish on a break of 80 lower), they are not very reliable when you are going against the trend.
For example, the DOGEUSD crypto has had a massive run lately since bitcoin reached around 75k, despite being at a great price, I believe, its price is overextended and considerably above the 200ema daily, so it becomes a sort of mean reversion situation where sellers form an idea from Stochastic's RSI Price action etc, that it's price needs to cool a bit as its overbought and too much current demand has driven the price too high, but here is the thing, shorting- Doge when its in a bullish uptrend with price above EMA's especially 200 will not be easy.
So this method works better when you are trying to move price (down or up) in the direction of the trend and the path of least resistance. One of the main reasons is because the RSI and Stochastic's give a mixed message when the trend is not your friend. This is because momentum is still to the upside long when above the 80 level on Stochastic's and RSI, momentum is still to the bearish downside when Stochastic's' is below the 20 level. This continued momentum can last a long time in these extended zones above 80 (bullish momentum) or below 20 (bearish momentum) but usually at some point a diminishing momentum occurs as the market forms an opinion that the instrument is overbought > 80 or oversold < 20.
So, the Daily chart shows how price is tipping over, right now a lot of other TFs showing bearishness as well on Stochastic's.
I hope this helps your understanding, a bit long but its a lengthy topic.
By the way, I don't think I will be selling DOGEUSD despite the reasons above, BTCUSD chart does not share this quality of bears moving in, at least not last time I checked a few hours ago.
Stochasticoscillator
Fundamental & Technical analysis on USDZAR shorts Fundamental : Open Interest on the South African Rand is increasing which is a Bearish signal/confluence. Commercial (Hedgers) Short positions are also increasing which for Exotic pairs like USDZAR means they are covering their Longs and add yet another Bearish confluence. Non-Commercial is also increasing its Long positions which is once again Bearish since you have too see it from a 180 degree view point.
COT Report : cot-reports.com
Technical : On the Technical Analysis side of things we have the 5 EMA crossing down the 20 EMA at the same time that Momentum is negative and the Stochastic %K line is underneath the 50% line
Stop Loss & Take Profits : To determine my Stop Loss and Take Profits I use a Fib Retracement drawn from a recent significant Low to a recent High. My strategy uses the 0.236 Fib LVL as the Stop Loss, for this trade that means 18.51172 on the chart is my Stop. Take Profit #1 is at Fib LVL 1.272, Take Profit #2 is at Fib LVL 1.414, Take Profit #3 is at Fib LVL 1.618, Take Profit #4 is at Fib LVL 2, Take Profit #5 is at Fib LVL 2.272, and my final Take Profit which is #6 is at Fib LVL 2.618.
Bullish Alert: Tata Technologies|Strong Swing Trade Potential!📈 Bullish Alert: Tata Technologies Ltd. Shows Strong Swing Trade Potential! 🚀
Stock Analysis Report
Stock Name : Tata Technologies Ltd.
Timeframe: Daily
Current Market Price (CMP) : ₹1068
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Trade Type
• Trade Type: Swing Trade
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Technical Analysis
1. Trendline Breakout:
The stock has recently broken above a key trendline with increased volume, indicating a strong bullish signal.
Following the breakout, the stock has successfully retested the trendline, further
validating the upward momentum.
2. Indicators:
MACD: Buy signal confirmed.
Oscillator: Buy signal confirmed.
3. Moving Averages:
The price is currently trading above both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, reinforcing the positive trend.
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Target Prices
• T-1: ₹1115
• T-2: ₹1150
• T-3: ₹1180
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Stop Loss
• SL: ₹1045
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Summary : Tata Technologies Ltd. presents a strong swing trade opportunity. The stock exhibits a bullish trend supported by a recent trendline breakout, successful retest, and positive signals from key technical indicators. With the price trading above significant moving averages, potential target prices are set at ₹1115, ₹1150, and ₹1180, while a stop loss is recommended at ₹1045 to manage downside risk.
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Disclaimer : " Please do not base your trades solely on the ideas mentioned above. Conduct your own research before making any trading decisions. We are not responsible for any financial losses that may result from applying this study or from taking any early entry or exit in trades. "
$EURGBP | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
Price action is bounced off an Interest Zone and created a newer low
Price is breaking through a support trendline
To note, Stochastics is moving into Oversold conditions but fundamentally, there is support for OANDA:EURGBP to be weaker
Fundamental Confluences:
This FX pair is a trade-related pair and normally doesn't move much against one another unless there is a change in fiscal or monetary front
In this sense, we got a gauge of how both central banks, ECB and BOE stance are. ECB is taking on a data dependent stance and is trying to resist cutting interest rates while BOE sent out a hawkish note the other day that majority of them do not want to cut rates
Naturally from a yield perspective, holding GBP compared to EUR is more attractive and this is what we are aiming for.
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Will be taking on a short OANDA:EURGBP position when market reopens on Monday.
This trade may take some time to complete as it there is normally not much action with this pair except during London's trading hours.
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Bitcoin Sells Off For Demand To Re-Enter:Next Move-Up Likely BIG
I noticed on Friday at the NY close when Gold/Silver/Stocks, practically everything sold off as the VIX Index threatened it's climb & got to around 13% on the day.
But as NY wound down around 4pm local time, I saw all the Crypto's starting to hammer into green zones.
The main reason my feeling is that they had been beaten down severely in price & when price get beaten down, demand starts to increase and buyers swarm in. This is also supported on the higher time frame Stochastic's which I follow - call me old-skool but they tell me a lot.
What the Oscillators are telling me about Bitcoin presently is that a further oversold condition needs to occur (only a tad tiny bit more) which is more than likely playing out right now. The demand which enters Bitcoin on this leg down when price gets too hard to turn up, will be a massive turn up in price for Bitcoin.
Because of the laws of supply & demand and given that Bitcoin and Crypto are brutally oversold causing buyers to flood in commencing right now, it will be Bitcoin and Crypto that breakout in price way ahead of Silver and Gold in reference to the likelihood of an interest rate cut in just over 10 days time.
Short Trade of EURUSD1- The Euro Index is reaching a resistance and then falling down
2- The dollar index is reaching its support line and then going up
*** which means EURUSD will be downtrend
TP: 100% of the previous correction swing will be at least the profit
ST: First resistance of the price near above and close to it
Why I am getting very Cautious trading Long - Gold / Precious M
USDX has really fallen off a cliff this week & this lowering of the USD has been supportive of Gold & all at a time when Gold has been bided up a bit too much & making the Gold price overbought on the Stochastic's higher-time-frames.
With USDX and the Gold-price having an inverse relationship, my chart shows just how much the USD has been oversold this week on the important 4HR, Daily & Weekly Stochastics.
A strong cross-up on the 20 level could signal a rally in USDX soon, I tip it will rally next week if not before finding strength during late Thursday and Friday trading.
There is a tonne of economic news coming out today Thursday morning, will it be a mixed bag and what impact will have on the Gold price and USDX... We will know later.
$HIMS | Allocation | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
- Price action is near the 50% Fibo retracement area
- Price action have bounced off the 200 MA (Red) and has a valid Resistance Trendline with an Interest Zone nearby
- Stochastics is inn Oversold conditions in the Daily & Weekly timeframes
- Elliot Wave 4 seems to be completing at the 50% Fibo line and aim for the 100% Fibo Extension line @ 29.51
Fundamental Confluences:
- Telemedicine with US being a focus market is great as healthcare issues seems to be increasing; demographics start to shift right
- The main health markets that they target are issues that many in the society prefer to remain anonymous about and telemedicine solves that for them
- One negative would be the high expenses they are spending on A&P budgets, a drag but overtime, we can see the impact of what they have been pushing all these while
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Putting NYSE:HIMS as part of my medical/health category of my portfolio.
Will start my first allocation now and look at adding more into it if price moves into 50% - 61% Fibo range (Interest Zone).
Remember, DYOR.
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________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
$CELH | Buy Potential D1 | Market Exec | Technical Confluences:
- Elliot wave may have completed Wave 4 and begin the Wave 5 move
- Price action is close to the 78% Fibo levels and a Demand zone (Yellow Zone) area.
- Stochastics are at Oversold levels on both Weekly & Daily timeframes (TF)
Fundamental Confluences:
- Earnings was positive with both domestic & international revenue increasing, EPS beat, EBITDA also up
- Slowly gaining market share in the Energy drinks segment
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I see these levels as good for me to being some allocation of my Portfolio into $CELH.
Blue Zones & Fibo Extension levels (in Blue) will be the starting point of some my TP levels.
Remember, DYOR.
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________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
Bollinger Bands, Moving Averages, and Stochastic Oscillator* LIVE TRADING *
This is not a get rich quick scheme, if you have the time to study and practice this video it will give great insight on how price moves. Add the indicators to your chart and see if the 3 main signals create entry points for trades
3 Main Signals:
- Stochastic (settings) 14,3,3 with %K marked as RED and %D marked as GREEN (inversed from default)
- CM_Williams_Vix _Fix
- Bollinger Bands (default settings)
Extremely insightful example of how specific indicators correlate to create a trade setup. What the trade setup looks like and how you can practice it in real time. Time Frame Reference and how they mix. Calling out candlesticks as they populate.
Indicators (all indicators from Trading View indicator library):
- Stochastic (settings) 14,3,3 with %K marked as RED and %D marked as GREEN (inversed from default)
- CM_Williams_Vix _Fix
- Volume
- Bollinger Bands (default settings)
- TEMA - settings 9 EMA purple, 50 EMA yellow, 200 EMA black
- Divergence for many V3
GBPCAD |Short D1 | Market Exec |Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1 and H1 time-frame. H4 is also entering Overbought Conditions.
- Price action is close to last month's Resistance Trendline
- Price action is well into a Supply Zone area
- Targeting between the 50.0% - 61.8% Fibo retracement
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.7180 - 1.7270
SL @ 0.1.7348
TP 1 @ 1.7002 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.6811
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.93 (Depending on Entry Level)
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________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
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AUDNZD | Short H4 | Market Exe | Trade-Related TradeTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame
- Price action is close to a Supply Zone (Blue Area) & has Resistance Trendlines around
- Aiming for the 38.2% Fibo retracement to TP
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related. Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.0970 - 1.1010
SL @ 1.1060
TP 1 @ 1.0920 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.0838
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.04 (Depending on Entry Level)
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________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
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SOLUSDT | Long H4 | Buy Limit | Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 & H1 time-frame to activate our trade idea
- Entry level will be a Demand Zone for Solana
- Price action is in a consolidation zone
- Targeting the 61.8% Fibo retracement after trade is activated
Suggested Trade:
Buy Limit @ 123.15
SL @ 110.24
TP 1 @ 143.74 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 169.42
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 3.26 (Depending on Entry Level)
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________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________
NZDCAD | Short H4 | Market Exec | Pure Retracement PlayTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 and H1 time-frame. D1 is also entering Overbought Conditions.
- Price action is close to last month's Resistance Trendline
- Price action is in a consolidation zone
- Targeting the 61.8% Fibo retracement
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8210 - 0.8230
SL @ 0.8244
TP 1 @ 0.8184 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.8151
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.04 (Depending on Entry Level)
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________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________
EURUSD | MT Long H4 |Overly OversoldPair: FX:EURUSD
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action has some support trend-line holding it
- Horizontal trendline looks like a demand zone across the years
- Horizontal trendline (Red) is at the 1% Fib Extension Level
- Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- EUR weakness has been mostly been pricing in the expectation that ECB will cut in June and diverge from the FED. Currently, priced in.
- Risk is further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.0620 - 1.0650
SL @ 1.0589
TP 1 @ 1.0698 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.0758
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.44 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
USDCAD | Short H4 | Market Exe | Loonie to Ride the GreenbackTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame
- Price action is at a Supply Zone area
- Price action may reverse towards the ascending support Trendline
- Targeting the 38.2% Fibo retracement
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.3760 - 1.3800
SL @ 1.3854
TP 1 @ 1.3697 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.3611
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.12 (Depending on Entry Level)
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________________________________
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Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________
EURCHF | Short H1 | Market Exec | Taking a Safe Haven TradeTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 & D1 time-frame
- Price action is at a Consolidation/Supply area
- Price action may reverse towards the lower Consolidation/Demand area
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.9815 -0.9835
SL @ 0.9879
TP 1 @ 0.9767 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.9707
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.00 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
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________________________________
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Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________
EURGBP | MT Short H4 | Betting Against the EURPair: OANDA:EURGBP
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Short
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action has multiple resistance from trendlines & also a horizontal trendline (supply zone)
- Aiming for the 50% Fibo Retracement which the horizontal line shows a supply-demand zone.
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related like the FX:AUDNZD . Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8590 - 0.8620
SL @ 0.8643
TP 1 @ 0.8562 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.8522
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.22 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
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________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________
EURGBP | Long H1 | Market Exe | Two Zones StoryTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame
- Price is currently at a 78.6% Retracement level from Previous Low-High
- Price action should bounce between both Supply-Demand Zones
- Price is entering a Demand Zone (Yellow Zone)
- Aiming for the next Supply Zone (Blue Zone) at a 61.8% Fibo retracement & resistance from Trendlines
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related. Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8540 - 0.8550
SL @ 0.8526
TP 1 @ 0.0.8580 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.8606
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.63 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
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________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
________________________________
USDJPY | MT Short H4 | Riding on BOJ InterventionPair: FX:USDJPY
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Short
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action may face some resistance from a previous support line
- Price is close to 61.8% Fib Extension Level
- Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Dividend repatriation season for Japan where MNCs bring back USD dividends and converts them to JPY
- These levels may see BOJ intervening to stop the Yen weakness
- Yield differential between USA and Japan cannot be denied and dovish BOJ doesn't help much; hence the weak JPY unless we see a firmer BOJ
- Further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension may bring on risk-off moves and see the JPY strengthen
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 154.00 - 155.15
SL @ 156.56
TP 1 @ 151.30 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 149.27
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 3.03 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
CHFJPY | MT Short H4 | The Battle of 2 Safe HavensPair: FX:CHFJPY
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Short
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action may face some resistance from a previous support line
- Price has retraced to 61.8% Fib Retracement Level
- Aiming for the lower Support trendline from the mid of 2023
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- SNB has been repeatedly concerned about a strong CHF while BOJ is concerned about a weak JPY
- These levels may see BOJ intervening to stop the Yen weakness and vice versa for SNB
- SNB is the first developed nation to start their cutting rate cycles and BOJ has just started hiking
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 169.50 - 170.20
SL @ 170.84
TP 1 @ 168.68 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 167.18
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.31 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
USDCAD | LT Short D1 | Oil to power CAD StrengthPair: FX:USDCAD
Timeframe: D1 - Long Term (LT)
Direction: Short
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action is at the top-end resistance of a parallel channel
- Horizontal trendline looks like a supply zone across few periods
- Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- A strong oil story from ongoing geopolitical risks is a strong story for CAD's economy to remain their hold on interest rates while US's reflation story has been priced in by markets
- Risk is further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension which continue the rush to safe-havens like USD or JPY.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.3750 - 1.3850
SL @ 1.3898
TP 1 @ 1.3640 (TP Half-Position & move SL to Entry level for B/Even once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.3567
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.08 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.