Example of how to draw a trend line using the StochRSI indicator
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I have explained how to draw a trend line before, but I will take the time to explain it again so that it is easier to understand.
-
When drawing a trend line, it must be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
However, since I focused on understanding the concept of drawing a trend line and the volatility period that can be seen with a trend line, I will explain it only with a trend line drawn on the 1D chart.
Please note that in order to calculate a somewhat accurate volatility period, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are required.
I hope this was helpful for understanding my thoughts on the concept of drawing trend lines and how to interpret them.
The main reason for drawing trend lines like this is so that anyone who sees it can immediately understand why such a trend line was drawn.
Then, there will be no unnecessary disagreements about the drawing, and each person will be able to share their opinions on the interpretation.
--------------------------
When drawing trend lines, the StochRSI indicator is used.
The reason is to secure objectivity.
When the StochRSI indicator touches the oversold zone and rises, the low corresponding to the peak is connected to draw a trend line between low points.
And, when the StochRSI indicator touches the overbought zone and falls, the Open of the downward candle corresponding to the peak is connected to draw a trend line between high points.
If the peak is not a downward candle, it moves to the right and is drawn with the Open of the first downward candle.
If you refer to the candlesticks of the arrows in the chart above, you will understand.
The trend line drawn as a dot is a high-point trend line, but it is a proper trend line because it does not touch the overbought zone between highs.
Therefore, you can draw a trend line corresponding to trend line 1.
Accordingly, around March 25-29, around April 8, and around April 14 correspond to the volatility period.
-
You can see how important the low-point trend line (2) is.
If the high-point trend line is properly created this time and the low-point trend line and the high-point trend line are displayed in the same direction, the trend is likely to continue along that channel.
If the StochRSI indicator rises and a peak is created in the overbought zone, you will draw a high-point trend line that connects to point A.
-
Thank you for reading to the end. I hope your transaction will be successful.
--------------------------------------------------
Stochastic RSI (STOCH RSI)
BTC - Analyzing monthly momentum shifts with the Stoch RSI!What is the stoch rsi?
The Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) is a momentum indicator that applies the stochastic oscillator to the RSI, making it more sensitive to price changes. The Stochastic RSI has two lines:
Blue line = the fast momentum line
Orange line = the slower momentum line
How It Works:
* Helps identify overbought (above 80) and oversold (below 20) conditions.
* Crossing above 20 signals possible bullish momentum.
* Crossing below 80 signals possible bearish momentum.
Why Use It?
* Reacts faster than regular RSI.
* Helps spot momentum shifts and reversals.
* Best used with other indicators for confirmation.
Analyzing the Monthly BTC Chart Through the Lens of Stochastic RSI: A Cycle Comparison
in this discussion, we’ll take a deep dive into the monthly Bitcoin (BTC) chart and examine how the Stochastic RSI aligns with previous market cycles, dating back to 2016. By comparing BTC’s historical price action with Stoch RSI signals, we aim to identify recurring patterns, overbought and oversold conditions, and how momentum shifts have played a role in past bull and bear markets. Understanding these correlations could provide valuable insights into where BTC currently stands in its broader cycle and what to expect next. Let’s break it down.
Let's dive into the bullmarket of 2016/2017:
In 2016 and 2017, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart stayed consistently above the 80 level, often fluctuating between 80 and 100. During this period, the blue line occasionally crossed below the orange line, signaling a short-term pullback. When this cross occurred, it was typically followed by a red candle in the next month, indicating a brief dip before the price continued its upward movement. This pattern appeared multiple times throughout the bull market, allowing BTC to make higher highs and pushing the price further up.
However, the key turning point came when both the blue and orange lines crossed below the 80 level. This marked a shift in momentum, often leading to a significant drop in price or even a bear market phase. When the Stochastic RSI fell below 80 and remained there, it indicated that bullish momentum had stalled, and a potential reversal or prolonged downtrend was likely to follow. This was a critical signal for traders to watch during the bull cycle.
What happened in 2019-2021?
In 2019, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart quickly moved from the oversold region to the overbought area, reflecting a rapid surge in BTC’s price during that time. This sharp movement in the Stochastic RSI mirrored the fast-paced price increase. However, once the Stochastic RSI entered the overbought zone, the blue line crossed below the orange line, signaling a potential reversal. When this happened, the Stochastic RSI fell below the 80 level, indicating that bullish momentum was weakening.
This crossover was a critical signal of potential downside, suggesting that BTC could experience a correction or even an extended period of bearish pressure. The decline in the Stochastic RSI below 80 marked the beginning of a phase where BTC faced increased downside momentum, leading to a correction in price for months.
Later in the cycle BTC and the Stoch RSI went up to the overbought area ones again. When the Stoch RSI with the blue and orange line crossed below the 80 was the start of a prolonged bear market.
What occured in this cycle?
In the current cycle of Bitcoin (BTC), there have been three notable crosses on the Stochastic RSI, which offer important insights into market conditions. The first cross stayed above the 80 level, which typically signals an overbought condition. When the Stochastic RSI is above 80, it indicates that the market may be experiencing strong bullish momentum, but it's also at risk of becoming overextended, potentially signaling a reversal.
However, the other two crosses occurred as the Stochastic RSI moved below the 80 level, which is generally interpreted as a sign that the bullish momentum is weakening and that further downside could be in play. The fact that these two crosses occurred below the 80 level suggests that the overbought conditions are being worked off, and momentum may be shifting to the downside.
The last cross is still in play. The momentum is quickly turning to the downside while BTC is facing downside pressure
How can we compare this cycle with the last ones?
In the last cycle of BTC, there were two key crosses of the Stochastic RSI below the 80 level, both of which marked important turning points for the market.
The first cross below the 80 level triggered a significant crash of around 70%, which was a sharp correction from the bull market's peak. This steep drop signified a clear shift in market sentiment, with the bearish trend beginning to take hold. The second cross below 80 marked the official start of the bear market, though it wasn’t as dramatic as the first crash.
An interesting aspect of the second cross was that Bitcoin briefly made a slightly higher high before the decline, which might have seemed like a potential sign of recovery or a continuation of the bullish trend. However, this higher high was not sustainable, and the bearish momentum quickly took over, confirming that the market had turned decisively to the downside. This higher high can often be seen as a bull trap, where traders were temporarily lured into thinking the market was rebounding, only for the price to reverse sharply.
In contrast, the cycle before this one was marked by Bitcoin staying consistently above the 80 level for the entire duration of the bull market. The Stochastic RSI remained elevated, reflecting strong bullish momentum and a prolonged uptrend. Once the Stochastic RSI crossed below the 80 level, it signaled the official start of the bear market. This transition from above to below 80 is often seen as a clear indication that the overbought conditions had been worked off, and the market was beginning to lose its bullish steam.
In both cycles, the Stochastic RSI's behavior has been crucial in identifying key points where the market shifted from bullish to bearish. In the most recent cycle, the sharp crash following the first cross below 80 and the subsequent bear market beginning with the second cross below 80 highlight the significance of this indicator in forecasting major market changes. Meanwhile, in the previous cycle, the sustained time spent above 80 helped to keep the bullish momentum intact until the market finally reversed with that pivotal cross below 80.
These patterns suggest that once Bitcoin’s Stochastic RSI starts crossing below the 80 level after an extended period of bullish movement, it’s a strong signal that the market is entering a phase of weakness and may eventually lead to a bear market.
Conclusion:
The current cycle shows similarities to the 2019/2021 cycle, particularly with the second cross down on the Stochastic RSI, which previously marked a local top. There is a strong possibility that this could signal a cycle top.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
The key is whether it can be supported and rise at 89294.25
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
After the volatility period, it shows an upward trend above the HA-Low indicator (89294.25) on the 1D chart.
The key is whether it can be supported near 89294.25 and break through the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts.
If the upward breakout is successful, it is expected to lead to an attempt to rise to around 94742.35.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, I think that the area around 94742.35 is likely to act as resistance.
-
If it falls below 89294.25, it is likely to eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
Accordingly, the maximum decline is expected to be around 73499.86.
At this time, it is expected that the trend will be determined again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
-
In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and maintain its value.
However, considering the currently formed support and resistance points, I think that it is highly likely to turn into an uptrend if it rises to around 94742.35 and shows support.
Therefore, the section where we can proceed with the trade is
1st: 89294.25
2nd: 94742.35
I think it is possible when we see the support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
In order for the uptrend to continue, it must rise above the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore,
1st: 97226.92
2nd: 101947.24
It must break through the 1st and 2nd sections above.
If not, the above section will act as resistance.
-
As I mentioned earlier, the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought section.
Therefore, I think it would be good to check whether it can be used as a trading reference indicator in the future by looking into how to resolve this.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Current bitcoin bullflag has a target of 144kBeen consolidating inside this one for some time now and its been creating a lot of uncertainty in the market lately as most people have been distracted by the bearish h&s pattern on the Daly chart and haven’t zoomed out to the higher time frames to realize this whole time we’ve ust been consolidating inside this bullflag. The stochrsi has already been reset for awhile on the Daly time frame and is about to be fully reset here on the weekly time frame too sugget we will resume the uptrend in the near future. *not financial advice*
Example of explanation of chart analysis and trading strategy
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
There was an inquiry asking for detailed information on how to analyze charts and create trading strategies accordingly, so I will take the time to explain it.
Before reading this article, you need a basic understanding of charts.
That is, you need to understand candles and price moving averages.
If you study this first and then read this content, I think you will have some understanding of trading.
---------------------------------------
Whether you are trading spot or futures, marking support and resistance points according to the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts is the first task you need to do before trading.
To do this, you need to understand the arrangement of candles.
Therefore, before using my indicator, it is better to study candles first and understand the arrangement of candles.
When studying candles, it is better not to try to memorize the names or shapes of various patterns.
This is because the overall understanding of candles is important, not the various patterns of candles.
If you study with a book or video, you will be able to understand candles after reading or watching them at least 3 times.
We study charts to trade, not to analyze charts and teach them to others, so we need to study efficiently and save time.
-
If you study candles, you will naturally understand the price moving average.
The indicator corresponding to the price moving average is the MS-Signal indicator.
This MS-Signal indicator consists of the M-Signal indicator and the S-Signal indicator, and the main indicator is the M-Signal indicator.
Therefore, we added the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart to the 1D chart so that we can see the overall trend.
-
You can see the arrangement of the MS-Signal (M-Signal of 1M, 1W, 1D charts) indicators in the example chart.
Currently, since the M-Signal of the 1M chart > the M-Signal of the 1W chart, we can see that it is a reverse array.
If you understand the price moving average, you will understand that we should not trade when it is a reverse array, but when it is a regular array.
Therefore, since the current state of the example chart is a reverse array, it is not suitable for trading.
However, the reason we brought this chart in this state is because the M-Signal indicators of the 1M and 1W charts are converging.
As convergence progresses, it will eventually diverge.
Therefore, since the possibility of price volatility increases, the possibility of capturing the timing for trading increases depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points.
-
The indicators included in the example chart are drawn as horizontal lines to indicate support and resistance points.
This work performs the same role as the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts according to the arrangement of the candles mentioned above.
Therefore, on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, horizontal lines are drawn on the indicators to indicate support and resistance points.
You can draw horizontal lines on indicators that are horizontal for at least 3 candles, and if possible, 5 candles.
-
Among the HA-MS indicators, the important indicators are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart.
Therefore, it is the next most important indicator after the MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1M, 1W, 1D charts) indicator that can tell the trend.
You can create a trading strategy depending on whether there is support near the HA-Low, HA-High indicators.
-
The next most important indicator is the BW(0), BW(100) indicator.
When this indicator is created or touched, it is time to respond in detail.
That is, when you are trading with a trading strategy created from the HA-Low, HA-High indicators, when the BW(0), BW(100) indicators are created or touched, you can choose whether to proceed with a split transaction.
In addition, you can understand the OBV, +100, -100 indicators as response points for split transactions.
Therefore, you do not need to indicate support and resistance points for the OBV, +100, -100 indicators.
However, it is recommended to mark support and resistance points for the HA-Low, HA-High, BW(0), BW(100) indicators.
-
If you look at the price position in the example chart, you can see that it is located in the 0.03347-0.03485 range.
And, the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart is passing through this range, and the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is acting as support and resistance.
Therefore, whether there is support near 0.03485 is an important key point.
If support is confirmed near 0.03485, it is a time to buy.
However, since the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator is passing between 0.03485-0.03814, the point to watch is whether the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator can break through upward.
As I mentioned earlier, if the MS-Signal indicator passes, a trend change will occur, so it is significant.
Therefore, in order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it is likely to be supported around 0.03814-0.03982.
Therefore, the first split selling section will be around 0.03814-0.03982.
At this time, whether to sell or hold depends on your investment style and investment period.
-
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing around 0.04341, it is likely to start when the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart in order to turn into a long-term uptrend.
Therefore, the second split selling period will be around the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
This is also something you can choose.
-
An important volume profile section is formed around 0.03038.
Therefore, the 0.03038 point corresponds to a strong support section.
-
(30m chart)
When the time frame chart you are trading is below the 1D chart, it is recommended to activate the 5EMA indicator on the 1D chart.
(I just used the 30m chart as an example. The same principle applies to any time frame chart you usually use.)
This is because there is a high possibility of volatility when the 5EMA of the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicator of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are touched.
In other words, you can understand that it plays a certain role of support and resistance.
If it touches the HA-High, BW(100) indicator and falls and falls below the MS-Signal indicator, it will basically touch the HA-Low or BW(0) indicator.
On the other hand, if it touches the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator and rises and rises above the MS-Signal indicator, it will basically touch the HA-High or BW(100) indicator.
However, since it may not do so and may rise or fall in the middle, it is necessary for the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts as mentioned earlier.
The support and resistance points drawn on the 1D chart are currently indicated at the 0.03347 point.
Therefore, even if it falls below the MS-Signal indicator, you can understand that there is a possibility of rising again around 0.03347.
Since the 5EMA of the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart are passing around 0.03485, we can see that the area around 0.03485 is an important support and resistance zone.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently above 50, we should focus on finding a time to sell.
Since it has fallen below the BW(100) and HA-High indicators, it has fallen too much to start trading with a sell (SHORT) position.
However, if you can respond quickly, you can enter a sell (SHORT) position when it falls from the 0.03411 point where the MS-Signal indicator is passing.
When the StochRSI indicator falls below 50, we should focus on finding a time to buy.
At this time, you can trade based on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts or around the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts), 5EMA, HA-Low, HA-High, BW(0), and BW(100) indicators on the 1D chart.
As mentioned earlier, you should not forget that trading strategies can be created based on whether there is support at the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
Therefore, if possible, it is recommended to trade based on whether there is support near the HA-High indicator point of 0.03443.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
I need objective information to help me interpret the chart
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
With this decline, the BW(100) indicator was created at 104556.23.
Accordingly, the high boundary section is the 101947.24-104556.23 section.
Unfortunately, since it fell below 101947.24, the key is whether it can receive support near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, i.e., around 98892.0, and rise.
If it falls below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and shows resistance, it is highly likely to turn into a short-term downtrend.
-
The settings for the StochRSI indicator I use are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
The source value is ohlc4.
If you set it as above, it will show a movement similar to the StochRSI indicator on my chart.
When the StochRSI indicator
- falls in the overbought zone,
- is located near the 50 point,
- rises in the oversold zone,
volatility is likely to occur.
However, you should check whether there is support near the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and think of a corresponding response plan.
Therefore, by checking the relationship between the movement of the StochRSI indicator and the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can choose the point where you can make a trade.
If you can calculate these selection points, I think it is highly likely that you will be able to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style.
It is good to predict future movements with trends or waves, but if you can calculate the point where you can actually make a trade, I think you can create a better trading strategy.
-
I wrote a long article, but
1. Will the StochRSI indicator fall in the overbought zone?
2. Will it receive support near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator?
3. Will it rise to the high boundary section?
You should focus on the three things above.
---------------------------------
The method of drawing support and resistance points is drawn according to the arrangement of candles.
This method can actually include subjective thoughts, so it requires skill.
Therefore, if possible, I recommend that you sign up as a paid member of TradingView and share my charts with me, and use the HA-High, HA-Low, BW(100), BW(0), OBV, +100, -100 indicators that appear on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts by the HA-MS_BW+v2 indicator as horizontal lines and use them as support and resistance points.
Then, even if others look at the charts, they will be easier to understand, and it will be easier to share opinions on trading strategies according to each other's investment styles.
By utilizing indicators that anyone can use in this way, you will be able to view the charts objectively.
If you trade based on what others tell you, you will likely not be able to respond quickly when sudden volatility occurs.
Therefore, when creating a trading strategy, you should roughly think about how to respond to all cases, both when it goes up and when it goes down.
That's why it's best to draw support and resistance points or other reference materials on your chart if possible and prepare countermeasures accordingly.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
HBAR likely to break outta flag as it breaks stochrsi resistanceNotice the yellow descending trendline on the stoch rsi indicator, we can see this line held resistance fr quite some time but stochrsi is now finally braking above t while price action has simultaneously closed the previous candle with the body poking above the top trendline and now the current daily candle looks like it will hold that trendline as solid support and potential even act as the breakout confirmation candle. Probability is high the breakout will be confirmed in the next few days *not financial advice*
Whether the bottom section will be formed is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
Happy New Year.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
USDT appears to have turned into a gap downtrend.
If it does not rise quickly, the coin market is expected to show a sharp decline.
(USDC 1D chart)
Fortunately, USDC is maintaining a gap uptrend, so there seems to be a possibility of price defense to some extent.
However, since USDC has a lower influence on the coin market than USDT, if USDT maintains a gap downtrend, the coin market is expected to eventually show a decline.
What we need to do is check the stop loss point of the coin (token) we currently hold rather than increasing new transactions and think about how much we should cut loss.
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether the movement of BTC is as updated last time.
If the HA-Low indicator is created, it means that the current wave is finished and a new wave is starting, so whether there is support is an important key.
There is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will fall after being created and show a stepwise downtrend, but the fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it is ultimately forming a bottom section, so it is a time to buy.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Important Support and Resistance Areas: 3265.0-3321.30
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
In this period of volatility, the key is whether it can find support near 3265.0-3321.30 and rise above 3644.71.
If not,
1st: M-Signal on 1W chart
2nd: M-Signal on 1M chart
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
When the decline progresses, if the HA-Low indicator of the 1D chart is generated, it is important to see if there is support near it.
The reason is that the movement to close the current wave and create a new wave will begin.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and shows resistance, there is a possibility that it will turn into a downtrend in the long term, so you should think about a response plan for this.
If it receives support near the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and rises, the gap between the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart will decrease, so there is a possibility that a large wave will be created when rising.
Therefore, we should look at what it will look like after this volatility period.
Currently, the StochRSI indicator is located near the 50 point, so there is a possibility of volatility, so caution is required when trading.
-
Once this volatility ends, the next volatility period for ETH is expected to be around January 22.
However, since the next volatility period for BTC is around January 10th, we will have to see what kind of movement it will show at that time.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
About BTC Analysis and Averaging Down...
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
I think USDT provides funds that support the coin market.
Therefore, it has a big impact on the coin market.
If this USDT gap continues to decline, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend.
I think the gap decline of USDT or USDC is a sign that funds are flowing out of the coin market.
(USDC 1D chart)
I think that the current continuous inflow of funds into USDC is preventing the coin market from turning into a downtrend.
However, I think that the impact of USDC on the coin market will be short-term because it has a lower impact than USDT.
USDC cannot form a USDC market on exchanges around the world, so it cannot help but have a lower impact than USDT.
Therefore, when USDT maintains a gap downtrend, if USDC also shows a gap downtrend, the coin market is expected to show a large decline.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
As a new candle is created, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart will be created at the 94742.35 point.
Accordingly, the support around 94742.35 is an important issue.
If it falls without support,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 79.9K-80K
You should check the support around the 1st and 2nd above.
However, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising around 83.6K, it is important to check whether there is support when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched.
-
(1D chart)
After passing the volatility period around December 27, it eventually reached the lower part of the sideways section.
Therefore, even if it continues to fall further, the key is whether it can touch the 92K-93.5K area and rise above 94742.35.
The next volatility period is expected to be around January 10, 2025.
-------------------------------------------
When the average purchase price falls below the average purchase price, it is best to cut your loss at the cut-off point.
However, from a mid- to long-term investment perspective, there are cases where you cannot cut your loss unconditionally just because the price falls, and you may have missed the time to respond.
In this case, you should eventually purchase more to lower the average purchase price and sell when it rebounds.
This is called averaging down.
The basic principle of averaging down is that you must purchase more than the current purchase principal.
(Usually in the stock market, you purchase more than the number of shares you currently own.)
Since decimal trading is possible in the coin market, there is an advantage of being able to purchase the purchase principal amount rather than the number of coins (tokens) you own.
In that case, the average purchase price will fall more than you think.
Therefore, in the coin market, having cash is very important.
If you have spare funds (cash), you can cut losses between 50% and 100% of the purchase principal when the price falls below the cut-off point, or you can respond without cutting losses at all.
If you do not have spare funds (cash), you should cut losses near the cut-off point.
At this time, it is important to secure cash by selling more than 50% of the purchase principal.
-
If you can manage your investment ratio as explained above, the next important thing is when to make additional purchases.
If you bought when the price fell by -10% as I mentioned in the previous "Example of how to trade without being able to analyze charts" idea, then when the price falls by -10% again, it is the time to make additional purchases.
Instead, you should purchase additional stocks that you bought according to your own standards when the price rebounds, lower the average purchase price, and then sell them when the price rebounds.
In other words, the additional funds purchased must be sold when the price rebounds.
Otherwise, when it falls below the average purchase price again, the funds for the next additional purchase will increase significantly, so you will end up giving up without doing anything.
The important thing here is to know how much the original purchase principal was before you start averaging down.
The reason is that when you purchase additionally and then rebound and sell the amount of the additional funds purchased, the number of coins (tokens) remaining may change.
If you purchase additionally and the price rebounds, but it does not rise above the average purchase price and shows signs of falling, it is considered a loss from the overall trading perspective.
However, since you sell the amount of the additional purchase when the price rebounds, it is likely to be a profit when looking at the average purchase price of the additional purchase.
In other words, the coins (tokens) for that profit will remain.
Therefore, if you do not know the original purchase principal, you may end up investing excessive funds the next time you purchase additional funds.
Excessive investment of funds can eventually be applied due to psychological anxiety and pressure, which can cause you to make inappropriate transactions.
I will publish how to select the timing of additional purchases when I have the next opportunity.
However, you should select it by looking at the movements of the StochRSI, BW, DOM auxiliary indicators added to this chart and the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts.
At this time, if there are support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can trade based on whether there is support or not.
Since the MS-Signal indicator on this chart is the standard for trend reversal, you can use it.
However, it is recommended to proceed with additional purchases based on the 1D chart.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Example of Interpretation of USDT, USDC, BTC.D, USDT.D
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
Trading Strategy
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
USDT is a stable coin that has a great influence on the coin market.
Therefore, the gap decline of USDT is likely to have a negative impact on the coin market.
Since the gap decline means that funds have flowed out of the coin market, it can be interpreted that funds have currently flowed out through USDT.
(USDC 1D chart)
USDC cannot help but have a lower influence on the coin market than USDT.
The reason is that USDC markets are not operated in all exchanges around the world.
In other words, USDC can be seen as having limitations compared to USDT as an American investment capital.
Therefore, the gap increase of USDT is likely to have a short-term impact on the coin market.
----------------------------------
(BTC.D 1D chart)
You can refer to BTC dominance to choose which side (BTC, Alts) to trade in the coin market.
Since the rise in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated on BTC, it can be interpreted that Alts are likely to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
For this interpretation to be meaningful, USDT dominance must show a downward trend.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
Because the decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance rises, it may be a good idea to pause all trading and take a look at the situation.
-
You can roughly figure out whether funds are flowing into or out of the coin market with USDT and USDC.
You can roughly figure out which direction the funds in the actual coin market are moving with BTC dominance and USDT dominance.
As I am writing this, BTC dominance is rising and USDT dominance is falling, so it is better to trade BTC rather than Alts.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Example of how to trade without chart analysis
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
Since the coin market can be traded 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, gaps do not occur as often as in the stock market.
(However, gaps may occur frequently in exchanges with low trading volume.)
In any case, I think that these movements provide considerable usefulness in conducting transactions.
Sometimes I told you to buy when the price drops by -10% or more.
Today, I will tell you why.
--------------------------------------
In order to trade, you must have basic knowledge of charts.
Otherwise, you are likely to conduct transactions incorrectly due to volatility.
However, such cases are less common in the coin market than in the stock market.
One of the reasons is that the current coins (tokens) are not being used for actual business purposes.
So, I think there are quite a few issues that cause volatility other than charts like stocks.
-
If the price falls one day and falls by about -10% from the high before a new candle is created, I buy.
The next day, if it falls by about -10% from the high again, I buy again.
When it falls by about -10% like this, I continue to buy in installments.
That's why I need to adjust my investment ratio.
-
If I buy like that, there will come a point where my price rises more than the average unit price.
In that case, when I'm making a profit, I sell the amount corresponding to the purchase principal in installments and leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
If you want cash profit, you can sell a certain portion in installments.
Also, on the contrary, when it rises by about +10%, we proceed with a split sale.
-
As shown in the example chart, you can see that there are not many cases where it rises by -10% or +10%.
However, since it occurs more often in the case of altcoins than in BTC or ETH, you should pay special attention to adjusting your investment ratio when trading altcoins.
That is why you must check the price fluctuation range 1-3 hours before a new candle is created on the 1D chart.
This method is a method that can be traded even if you lack knowledge about charts.
If you let go of your greed a little and have the ability to split sell when you are making a profit, you will be able to meet the moment when a crisis becomes an opportunity.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Check support at important support and resistance zones
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around 3265.0-3321.30.
If not, and it falls, it is possible to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to check whether it can rise around 2706.15.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the important support and resistance area of 3265.0-3321.60 and rise above 3438.16.
If not, it is likely to fall to around 2895.47 to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The point to watch is what kind of movement it will show as it passes through the next volatility period of ETH, around December 27 (December 26-28).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
After the volatility period around December 27th...
(Title) What will it look like after the volatility period around December 27th
---------------------------------------
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a good day today.
-------------------------------------
USDT is currently showing a gap down, although small.
USDC is showing a gap up steadily.
The gap up of USDT and USDC means that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think the start of the altcoin bull market should be below 55.01 and maintained or show a downward trend.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
If it rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to experience a sharp decline and the coin market is likely to show a downward trend.
If USDC continues to fall, it is likely to fall to around 2.84.
After that, it is expected that the coin market will gradually show a downward trend while rising.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of being created at the 94742.35 point.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is generated, it is important to see if it can be supported near that area.
If it falls without being supported, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
Before meeting the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is necessary to check if it is supported near 87.8K-89K.
-
The Momentum indicator is showing a continuous downward trend.
We need to see if it shows an upward trend when a new candle is created.
-
Looking at the overall picture of BTC, it is still in the sideways section.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it can rise above 97821.58-98892.0 by rising near 92K-93.5K.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether it can rise above 9.39
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(APTUSDT 1W chart)
It seems that the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart has started to be created.
Accordingly, the 7.41-9.39 section is an important support and resistance section.
When it shows support in the 7.41-9.39 section, it is a time to buy.
-
In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must be received above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 9.39.
-
The high point boundary section is formed in the 12.06-14.50 section, so if it rises above this section, it is expected to create a new upward wave.
If it falls below 7.41, it is expected to enter the mid- to long-term investment area.
Therefore, if possible, I think it would be better to trade when the price is maintained above 7.41 and wait and see if it falls below 7.41.
-
(1M chart)
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
Whether it can be supported and rise from BW(0) is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(PEPEUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise above the HA-High indicator point of 0.00001898.
To do so, the point to watch is whether it can be supported and rise near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Accordingly, if it falls, you should check whether it can be supported near 0.00001463.
The strong support area is around 0.00000723.
-
(1D chart)
Since the BW(0) indicator was created at the 0.00001767 point, it is important whether it can be supported and rise around this area.
If it falls, it is important whether it can touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and rise.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator must rise above and maintain the price.
To do so, it must rise above 0.00001898 and be supported.
-
From this perspective, if it rises, the area around the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is likely to be the first resistance area, and the area around the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is likely to be the first support area.
------------------------------------------------
(1000PEPEUSDT.P 1D chart)
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether it can rise above 0.37778
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(DOGEUSDT 1W chart)
As the price falls, the HA-High indicator is expected to be created at the 0.37778 point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can rise above 0.37778.
If not,
1st: 0.26850-0.28000
2nd: M-Signal on the 1M chart
You need to check whether it can rise with support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has fallen below the overbought level, it seems likely to continue to decline further.
However, when looking at the StochRSI indicator, volatility may occur when it reaches around the 50 point, so caution is required.
-
(1D chart)
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
Whether it can be supported and rise around 92K-93.5K is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
What we need to look at is whether it can touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator and rise.
When a new candle is created, it is expected to pass around 83.6K.
Accordingly, the point of interest is whether it will meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart around 87.8K-89K.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend from the 100 point, and if a new candle is created, it is expected to change to a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Since the StochRSI indicator is still in the overbought zone, it is likely to rise after receiving support around 92K-93.5K.
-
(1D chart)
The next volatility period is around December 17 (December 16-18).
Therefore, the key is how it will look after this volatility period.
It is currently showing a short-term downtrend, but looking at the overall picture, it is ambiguous to say that it has yet to break out of the sideways zone, so the key is whether it falls below 90586.92.
-
Therefore, we need to check whether it can rise above 95904.28.
If not, it is expected to touch around 92K-93.5K.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it needs to rise above 97821.5-98892.0 to be supported.
Since the Momentum indicator is showing a low, it may lead to an additional decline.
You can see that the Body color of the candle changed to red from the December 20 candle.
This is because the OBV fell below the midpoint.
Therefore, if the Body color of the candle changes back to Green, it can be seen as a buying period.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Start of decline: Below 3707.61
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
As I mentioned in the BTC idea, when the StochRSI indicator is moving, the value of the StochRSI indicator fluctuates when it passes a meaningful point.
Currently, the value of the StochRSI indicator seems to have fallen from the 100 point.
However, if it rises above a certain point, it is possible that it will show the 100 point again.
Also, you can check the exact value when a new candle occurs.
-
In the previous idea, I said that the time to buy is when it is below 3438.16.
The reason is that if it goes up more than that, you may feel psychological anxiety due to volatility.
If you bought an altcoin during this buying period, I think it is likely that it is currently at a similar price range or making a profit.
Otherwise, if it is losing money, the coin (token) can be considered a subordinate coin (token).
In other words, it can be seen as being neglected in the market.
-
(1D chart)
It has fallen below the HA-High indicator (3831.12).
It has also fallen below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 3644.71 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, or if possible, above 3831.12.
If not, and it falls, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Before that,
1st: 3438.16 ~ 0.618 (3548.07)
2nd: 3265.0-3321.30
You need to check if it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
When the decline progresses, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to check whether there is support near it.
In particular, if the HA-Low indicator is generated, it will close the current wave and create a new wave.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Start of decline: Below 97821.58
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The Market Cap chart will be updated again when a new candle is created.
I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing in.
The increase in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated on BTC.
You cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC with BTC dominance.
The rise in USDT dominance is likely to be reflected in the decline of the coin market.
The start of the decline in the coin market is expected to begin when it rises above 4.97 and is maintained.
-------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The point to watch is whether the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend from the 100 point or whether it switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Since the StochRSI indicator is a lagging indicator, you can know the exact value when a new candle is created.
However, if there is a change in the value of the StochRSI indicator when a movement occurs, it means that an important point has been passed.
In that sense, the fact that the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point despite the current price decline means that an important point has not been passed.
However, there may be fluctuations in the StochRSI indicator value when a new candle is created while the price is falling.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at 101947.24.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 101947.24.
If not, it falls and shows resistance near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator or 97821.58, there is a possibility of meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, before meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, you should check whether it is supported near 87.8K-89K or whether the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is newly created.
If the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to see if there is support in the vicinity.
If the HA-Low indicator is generated, it is expected that the current wave will end and a movement to create a new wave will begin.
The start of the decline is expected to start when it falls below 97821.58.
The volatility period is around December 27 (maximum December 26-28).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
In the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether it can be supported in the support zone
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
Support zone
1st: Left Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (21039.7) ~ 21348.0
2nd: 19582.6
However, when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched, whether it is supported or not is important.
The next volatility period is expected to be around December 26th.
If it is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is expected to eventually rise to the left Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (23557.7) ~ right Fibonacci ratio 1.27 (23962.1) and re-determine the trend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Entering the volatility period
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16.
If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend.
--------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend.
Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend.
The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur.
If it starts to decline,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 79.9K-80.9K
There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above.
If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd.
Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th.
If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it.
-
(1D chart)
I will update after a new candle is created.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether the price can be maintained above 3644.71
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the upper section of the HA-High indicator box on the 1M chart.
If not, it will eventually show a downward trend.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching the 100 point.
Since the StochRSI EMA indicator has not touched the 100 point so far, it will eventually show a downward trend.
However, since the StochRSI indicator cannot predict how much fluctuation will occur, you should refer to the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore,
1st: 3438.16-3644.71
2nd: 3265.0-3321.30
The point to watch is whether it can receive support near the 1st and 2nd above.
If the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point for a long time, you should keep in mind that even if a small decline occurs, the decline in the StochRSI indicator is likely to be quite large.
In other words, it means that there are cases where it pretends to decline and moves sideways and then rises.
To determine this, it is good to refer to the movement of the OBV indicator.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------